Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

18 Dec 2008

ESPN Numbers Crunching: Week 16

This week, learn why Baltimore doesn't care about Witten vs. T.O., why Kansas City could upset Miami, and why false starts will finally be a good thing for the New York Giants.

Posted by: Aaron Schatz on 18 Dec 2008

5 comments, Last at 19 Dec 2008, 1:26pm by DFJinPgh

Comments

1
by BucNasty :: Thu, 12/18/2008 - 7:20pm

LT is only averaging 3 ypc but if he has over 50 rushing yards the Chargers pull off the upset winning 64 percent of these simulations.

50 yards? That's not even fair.

2
by panthersnbraves :: Thu, 12/18/2008 - 9:39pm

Homer-vision says that half the Panthers False Starts happened in the first few weeks. They have been much better of late.

3
by WeaponX (not verified) :: Fri, 12/19/2008 - 10:14am

I don't think your homer-vision needs adjusting, or much if any. It was more prevalent earlier in the season. Also, the worst days at the office for Carolina (false starts and or just getting the arse kicked) have been in domes or when down 2 olinemen. Shockhorror! Now, homer-memory may be aiding me there... maybe.

4
by Doug Farrar :: Fri, 12/19/2008 - 1:06pm

Homer-vision is correct in this case. The Panthers have committed only nine false starts in the second half of the season, and 16 of those total calls came in the first four games.

5
by DFJinPgh (not verified) :: Fri, 12/19/2008 - 1:26pm

I expected the word "combined" to end the sentence beginning "Calvin Johnson is averaging ..." :-)