06 Sep 2012
Debuting a new weekly feature for ESPN Insider: Upset Watch. Each week, I'll be doing game analysis on the most likely upset of the weekend according to the FO Premium picks system. We'll also include a couple paragraphs on the most likely underdog to cover. This week: An overrated Denver defense makes Pittsburgh a smart pick in Week 1, plus why 12.5 is a lot to give Miami against Houston.
11 comments, Last at 10 Sep 2012, 12:22am by Dragon Pie
The New England Patriots climb to No. 1 in DVOA, but they aren't a great team, because this is The Year of No Great Teams. In fact, no No. 1 team in any week of DVOA has ever been rated lower. (Note: Table errors fixed as of Wed. morning.)