Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

22 Nov 2008

Packers' Defensive Success Won't Last

This week's Monday Night Football column on ESPN.com is an expanded look at the Packers' defensive scoring exploits and how they're not likely to continue, both over the rest of the year and into the future.

Posted by: Bill Barnwell on 22 Nov 2008

11 comments, Last at 25 Nov 2008, 2:51am by Jamie

Comments

1
by packerslounge.com (not verified) :: Sat, 11/22/2008 - 10:36pm

ESPN always hates on the Packe. Worthless network.

3
by Bobman :: Sun, 11/23/2008 - 12:44am

And for all those years, Bill Barnwell has been leading the anti-Pack charge as ESPN's cheese-hater-in-chief. It's been, like, decades, right? Maybe even a century.

5
by Bill Barnwell :: Sun, 11/23/2008 - 1:51pm

You know that guy in the commercial who gets cut and bleeds green and yellow?

I beat up that guy.

2
by DaveInTucson :: Sat, 11/22/2008 - 11:53pm

Just saw this stat: Drew Brees has thrown 11 interceptions so far this season. Packers defense will make it (at least) 12 monday night.

I have a blog where I post objective, predicive power rankings of NFL teams.

4
by Duff Soviet Union :: Sun, 11/23/2008 - 9:32am

Isn't it amazing how people always think that media outlets are biased against their favourite team? It couldn't be that they're biased TOWARDS that same team, could it? Na.

6
by Joseph :: Mon, 11/24/2008 - 12:15am

Hey Bill, thanks for the numbers. I posted this in the other thread about the Pack scoring defense, and will bring it up again here. Is there any way this is tied to the NUMBER of possible returns? I mean, I think you guys have probably proved that the likelihood of an INT TD is based on what yardline the D intercepts it at and what type of pattern is picked off--I mean, any football fan knows that an interception off of an out pattern is more likely to be taken to the house versus a fade or fly pattern.

7
by JoeHova (not verified) :: Mon, 11/24/2008 - 5:57am

I don't think any Packer fans were counting on the defense being able to keep taking it to the house with regularity. This feels like an unneeded diss, as if Packer fans expected their defense to score a dozen TDs every year now.

8
by Mike W :: Mon, 11/24/2008 - 12:18pm

Yes, in that way Packer fans are smarter than, say, Lovie Smith.

9
by Bill Barnwell :: Mon, 11/24/2008 - 1:32pm

Clearly, you haven't read the comments to this article on ESPN.com.

10
by Mike W :: Mon, 11/24/2008 - 4:53pm

No, I haven't. Why would I? That stuff rots your brain.

11
by Jamie (not verified) :: Tue, 11/25/2008 - 2:51am

What a prescient article. That defense was exploited hardcore tonight