Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

09 Jan 2012

Aaron Schatz on B.S. Report

Here's my appearance for the second round of the playoffs on the big B.S. Report playoffs mega-podcast. Bill Barnwell and I are on different parts of the podcast this week.

Posted by: Aaron Schatz on 09 Jan 2012

9 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2012, 12:12pm by David

Comments

1
by Topas :: Mon, 01/09/2012 - 7:39pm

Rofl. The interview is awesome. After pretty much each of your well-thought arguments, Bill says: "Oh ... Well ... next game"
I am not sure he cant follow you, or he does not know anything to add. Its really funny.

2
by theslothook :: Mon, 01/09/2012 - 7:43pm

i find bill simmons the ultimate example of the ugly patriot fan, the forefront of its all bellicheck, brady, and the elite bostonian presence that makes the pats so good.

5
by Anonymous1 (not verified) :: Tue, 01/10/2012 - 6:18pm

As a Boston fan I can tell you that I'd dump Bill in a heartbeat. He isn't an "ultimate example" he is a caricature.

9
by David :: Wed, 01/11/2012 - 12:12pm

To be fair, Simmons has just had the exact same conversation with *four* other people (Cousin Sal, Barnwell, Lombardi & Millman) - if you're interested in his viewpoint, he's already said whatever he has to say four times...

3
by lester bangs (not verified) :: Tue, 01/10/2012 - 4:37am

A brief Schatz appearance, he apparently wasn't feeling well. He's the final guy on the segment, after Lombardi (flimsy as usual) and Millman. Aaron discussed confirmation bias in the second minute, without actually saying "confirmation bias."

Barnwell got control of the "you know" tick in his segment - it still showed up, but it was significantly reduced. Amen.

I didn't like how Simmons framed the "home team laying an egg" question because of course everyone is going to say San Francisco, as a home dog. The better question is this: which favored home team is most likely to lay an egg?

No Cousin Sal fake Tebow phone message, which was a letdown.

4
by Danish Denver-Fan :: Tue, 01/10/2012 - 12:21pm

The first guy on in the second part (Lombardi?) said that the Pats need "to keep Tebow on the sideline". He's a "keep him on the sideline"-guy now.

6
by dmstorm22 :: Tue, 01/10/2012 - 9:42pm

This is the 2nd straight week Aaron claimed that teh Saints home-field advantage is overrated because over the last 10 years their record and results at home aren't that much better than on the road. It seems illogical to compare over the last 10 years, when four of them (2002-2005) didn't feature Brees/Payton, and one featured them without a home at all.

Under Payton/Brees, the Saints went 8-0 at home in 2011 (5-3 on the road), 5-3 at home in 2010 (6-2 on the road), 6-2 at home in 2009 (7-1 on the road), 6-2 at home in 2008 (2-6 on the road), 4-4 at home in 2007 (3-5 on the road), and 4-4 at home in 2006 (6-2 on the road).

So in total, the Saints are 33-15 at home and 29-19 on the road under Payton/Brees. Taking away three losses for resting starters, the Saints are 33-13 at home and 29-18 on the road. This gives us a 71.7 win pct at home and a 61.7 on the road. That's not exactly negligible.

7
by Lothar (not verified) :: Tue, 01/10/2012 - 10:18pm

Yeah, I kind of thought of that, too. Over the last decade? I'm not sure how that's relevant when the team with Brees is so much different than any team from the past.
I'm not sure why people bag on Lombardi so much. I don't find his opinions any more or less valid then anybody else, including anybody from this website. Does he drool too much over New England? Yep. I wonder where else I could find that?

8
by tuluse :: Tue, 01/10/2012 - 10:23pm

Lombardi overrates big plays to a huge degree, and doesn't support his positions well at all.