26 Jan 2016, 02:06pm by Scott Kacsmar
Denver and Carolina will meet in Super Bowl 50, but it was really a five-year path for both teams to get to this point. The top two defenses in DVOA this year, each built their strongest unit with high draft picks and a few free-agent deals. In fact, Denver had 45.9 percent of its offensive and defensive snaps from free agents this season, the highest percentage for any Super Bowl team since 2006. The Panthers surprisingly come in second at 37.8 percent, but their moves were not as flashy as John Elway's big-name signings. We recap some of the team's best decisions to build these Super Bowl rosters.
11 comments, Last at 04 Feb 2016, 10:07pm by yazilisohbet
21 Jan 2016, 12:33pm by Aaron Schatz
A little preview of the NFC Championship preview coming Friday on Football Outsiders. Arizona blitzes more than any other team in the league, but it may not be a good strategy against Cam Newton.
20 Jan 2016, 06:02pm by Scott Kacsmar
For the degenerate gambling crowd still playing DFS, we have one more matchup column this season. Our favorites this week include Carson Palmer, Jonathan Stewart, Julian Edelman and Rob Gronkowski.
20 Jan 2016, 03:27pm by Scott Kacsmar
Over at ESPN Insider, a look at Tom Brady and Peyton Manning's playoff records. So often wins and losses come down to one play, and the difference between Brady's 22-8 and Manning's 12-13 is heavily determined by six specific plays where neither quarterback was even on the field: four field goals and two plays by defenders named Moore. We'll be expanding this article with a look at similar plays for other current top quarterbacks in a second article on Football Outsiders next week.
233 comments, Last at 26 Jan 2016, 4:28pm by Eleutheria
14 Jan 2016, 02:30pm by Andrew Healy
Get a bit of a preview of tomorrow's Football Outsiders playoff previews, as Andrew Healy looks at some of the matchups that could favor Kansas City against New England despite the loss of Jeremy Maclin.
8 comments, Last at 15 Jan 2016, 10:51pm by mehllageman56
13 Jan 2016, 03:00pm by Scott Kacsmar
The final fantasy column of the season at ESPN Insider looks at the injury-plagued divisional round. We are fading Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown. Some of our favorite DraftKings matchups include Carson Palmer (stacked with Larry Fitzgerald), Emmanuel Sanders, Spencer Ware and Travis Kelce.
13 Jan 2016, 01:43pm by Aaron Schatz
In an ESPN Insider column today, I looked at DVOA over the last four seasons, including the playoffs. FO readers know, of course, that Seattle is No. 1, but can you guess which other franchises have been among the top ten over the four-year span? You'll find out that Carolina has been better than you probably remember, and that Detroit has been surprisingly consistent in its mediocrity.
6 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2016, 3:38pm by johnmatthewsinla
08 Jan 2016, 11:05am by Brian Fremeau
Alabama and Clemson are the two best defenses in forcing opponent three-and-outs (or worse). What impact will this defensive statistical matchup have on the outcome of the game?
07 Jan 2016, 05:16pm by Andrew Healy
Get a bit of a preview of one of our four Friday wild-card previews with this Thursday article at ESPN Insider. How can the Bengals beat the Steelers without Andy Dalton at quarterback? Good thing the strength of their passing game matches a big Pittsburgh weakness.
3 comments, Last at 10 Jan 2016, 10:56pm by theslothook
06 Jan 2016, 05:41pm by Aaron Schatz
I went through and looked at some lesser-known players who could make a big impact in the postseason. Well, lesser-known to most fans. I'm sure FO readers have heard of most of these guys: Tyler Lockett, David Johnson, James White, Kawann Short, Whitney Mercilus, Ryan Shazier, Ron Parker, and (as the next Justin Bethel/Matthew Slater on punt coverage) Jeff Janis.