14 Feb 2015, 03:29pm by Brian Fremeau
Which teams overachieve on the field with less recruiting success than their opponents, and which teams underachieve when fielding a more-talented roster?
28 Jan 2015, 04:47pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey, kids, it's my annual pre-Super Bowl numbers breakdown with Bill Simmons on the B.S. Report. This time, the Patriots aren't favored to win the game. Well, not by us, anyway. 50-50 all the way! We also talk about that other thing, so if you don't want to hear me say the same things I've been saying on Twitter about that thing, don't listen.
23 Jan 2015, 09:12am by Scott Kacsmar
"He just wins" is the most annoying thing someone can say about a quarterback, but the stats for Russell Wilson are too good to label him that way. Despite significant differences in how they play the position, Wilson's three-year start has been very similar to Tom Brady's first three years as a starter (2001-03). They both have an average rank of 10.3 in DVOA and DYAR (passing only) in those seasons. Fittingly, the Seahawks are looking to become the first repeat champion since the 2003-04 Patriots.
8 comments, Last at 27 Jan 2015, 4:51pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin
14 Jan 2015, 12:43pm by Aaron Schatz
Because I just can't get enough of writing about the 1991 Philadelphia Eagles, here's a look at where the 2012-2014 Seattle Seahawks defense ranks all-time. I ranked all defenses over three-year periods by harmonic mean of DVOA. If we Andreas Shepard's estimated historical DVOA ratings to go back to 1950, the 2012-2014 Seahawks are 18th and the 1969-1971 Minnesota Vikings are No. 1. This article also specifically explains why Seattle's defense was not as good this year, and how that changed in the last six weeks.
4 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2015, 7:33pm by Will Allen
14 Jan 2015, 10:31am by Scott Kacsmar
We make our picks for salary-cap leagues for Championship Sunday. The Patriots offer many favorable matchups, but find out why this should be Tom Brady's week to shine instead of another monster rushing performance against the Colts. Marshawn Lynch should be on every lineup this week, and we look at the best tight end not named Rob Gronkowski.
08 Jan 2015, 02:02pm by Aaron Schatz
Passing is more important than rushing, and thus the Cowboys need a big game from Tony Romo more than a big game from DeMarco Murray to beat Green Bay.
7 comments, Last at 09 Jan 2015, 6:44pm by Will Allen
07 Jan 2015, 05:49am by Scott Kacsmar
Is Aaron Rodgers the most valuable quarterback this weekend given the Dallas pass defense is the only remaining unit not ranked in the top 15? Can you afford to start any running backs besides the four studs playing below-average run defenses? Is Emmanuel Sanders a better investment than Demaryius Thomas and T.Y. Hilton? Can we trust Julius Thomas to regain his dominant form, or is the pricey Rob Gronkowski the safest bet for tight end dominance? We answer these questions and rank our picks for salary-cap leagues for divisional weekend.
06 Jan 2015, 02:44pm by Brian Fremeau
Turnover value, special teams value, and field position value figure to be critical factors in the championship game. Will Oregon or Ohio State have the edge?
31 Dec 2014, 12:26pm by Scott Kacsmar
If you could only pick one this week: Dez Bryant or Calvin Johnson? Is Ryan Lindley a bargain to load up on the wide receivers, or is he destined for single-digit points? Is DeMarco Murray too expensive against the best run defense now that Ndamukong Suh is allowed to play? Should we even bother looking at any Pittsburgh running back this week? We answer these questions and more to help set up your rosters for salary-cap leagues for this Wild Card weekend.
31 Dec 2014, 08:15am by Brian Fremeau
In each of the NY6 games, the efficiency ratings for both teams closely matched a major bowl game of recent vintage. Those matchup similarities highlight a few important statistics that figure to be keys to this week's biggest games.