13 Aug 2015, 01:54pm by Aaron Schatz
Two pieces today on ESPN Insider that both serve as a bit of a preview for people who haven't yet purchased Football Outsiders Almanac 2015. This article looks at five teams our projections have on the rise for 2015: Atlanta, New Orleans, Minnesota, St. Louis, and the New York Jets.
27 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2015, 9:14pm by kimkom
22 Jul 2015, 11:08am by Andrew Healy
A recent article where Mike Sando surveyed 35 different NFL insiders ranked Derek Carr as the No. 20 quarterback in the NFL. But advanced metrics definitely do not agree. Come learn about Derek Carr's amazing 2014 red zone performance, and why it is not repeatable.
21 comments, Last at 03 Oct 2016, 1:22am by melbahenry
07 Jul 2015, 12:47pm by Aaron Schatz
Here are the final two parts of a four-part series for ESPN Insider looking at estimated snap-weighted age for 2015, based on projected starters, last year's snap counts, and a regression that predicts snaps for rookies based on draft pick and position. The result is a look at which defenses are getting older this year (Denver, New Orleans), which are getting younger (New England, Pittsburgh), and what that means for how good those teams might be this season.
01 Jul 2015, 12:46pm by Aaron Schatz
This is a two-part series for ESPN Insider that's actually part of a four-part series. For the first time, we've done some work on estimated snap-weighted age for 2015, based on projected starters, last year's snap counts, and a regression that predicts snaps for rookies based on draft pick and position. The result is a look at which offenses are getting older this year (Indianapolis, Green Bay), which are getting younger (St. Louis, Tennessee), and what that means for how good those teams might be this season.
3 comments, Last at 01 Jul 2015, 1:44pm by Perfundle
30 Jun 2015, 12:00pm by Brian Fremeau
Brian Fremeau uses his Program FEI methodology to compare his list of the top college football programs over the next few years to the ESPN Insider College Football Future Power Rankings. The ESPN experts like Ohio State the best, but for us, nothing matches the consistency of Alabama.
24 Jun 2015, 01:35pm by Andrew Healy
Andrew Healy looks at where the Patriots rank among the best offenses in NFL history over a ten-year span, and what happened to those offenses in Year 11. Will a change in QB aging trends make it easier for the Pats to stay successful?
1 comment, Last at 25 Jun 2015, 1:34pm by Noah of Arkadia
17 Jun 2015, 11:25am by Aaron Schatz
Todd Gurley could be the best running back since Adrian Peterson, but it won't matter. In the modern NFL, you simply can't build your offense around the running back. You build around the quarterback.
38 comments, Last at 30 Jun 2015, 10:51am by BDC
03 Jun 2015, 12:24pm by Andrew Healy
How do Vincent Jackson and Mike Evans compare to the best wide-receiver duos that first-year starting quarterbacks have had throughout NFL history? Is there any sense that having two tall, successful wide receivers will help Jameis Winston develop?
8 comments, Last at 08 Jun 2015, 10:57am by ChrisS
29 May 2015, 10:19am by Scott Kacsmar
Peyton Manning is entering 2015 with arguably the least accomplished offensive line of his career. While that might spell doom for some teams, Manning has made a career out of making every offensive line combination work out. Can he do it one more time?
53 comments, Last at 02 Jun 2015, 8:09pm by tuluse
12 May 2015, 01:10pm by Aaron Schatz
As I did a year ago, I've done a "quick version" of 2015 projections for ESPN Insider. These are not the official projections that will appear in FOA 2015. They simply regress DVOA to the mean for offense, defense, and special teams each separately, then make some small changes based on injury rates last year and certain personnel changes. The NFC projections are about as expected, except perhaps in the NFC South where we see both Atlanta and New Orleans rebounding. Easy schedules are a big help.
25 comments, Last at 13 May 2015, 11:39pm by Will Allen