12 May 2016, 10:42am by Aaron Schatz
We did our early AFC projections on Wednesday, now here are the early NFC projections. They look very familiar... but probably closer to 2014 than to 2015. We're expecting Green Bay and Dallas to rebound with better health. Carolina is likely to decline but still lead the NFC South. Out west, the two best teams in the NFL may see the race for the No. 1 seed decided by a federal court and a big suspension in the other conference.
20 comments, Last at 18 May 2016, 11:10am by Kaelik
11 May 2016, 03:25pm by Aaron Schatz
Well, here we go. It's time to take off the wrapping and unveil our first run of 2016 NFL projections. This ESPN Insider article goes in-depth into the projections which were also featured last week in Todd McShay's "way too early" 2017 mock draft. I explain why Denver is likely to significantly decline, why the AFC North could put three teams in the playoffs again, and why the Colts may not be the obvious pick in the AFC South despite Andrew Luck's return. NFC projections will run on Thursday. There's some video too.
29 comments, Last at 04 Oct 2016, 6:45pm by apek
26 Apr 2016, 09:17am by Scott Kacsmar
At ESPN Insider, our staff has pinpointed each team's biggest need, a quiet need and a position that's not a need heading into this week's draft.
04 Apr 2016, 02:23pm by Andrew Healy
This year's Football Outsiders QB projections absolutely love California's Jared Goff, who now ranks among the top 10 QB prospects of the past two decades according to QBASE. It is a lot less excited about Carson Wentz, but that comes with a bit of a caveat: we had to try to incorporate FCS prospects into the system in order to project Wentz, and the same method would have underrated FCS prospect Joe Flacco. We'll write more about the Wentz and FCS issue in an expanded FO version of QBASE to run next week.
13 comments, Last at 14 Apr 2016, 5:16am by Vincent Verhei
31 Mar 2016, 03:14pm by Scott Kacsmar
At ESPN Insider, we recapped the top and bottom three teams in adjusted games lost (AGL) for the season and what that could mean for their injury luck in 2016. If you missed it, our 2015 AGL report can be found here.
28 Mar 2016, 01:11pm by Nathan Forster
Get a sneak peak at the top edge-rusher prospects according to our SackSEER system. Joey Bosa and Leonard Floyd are tied at the top, though Bosa is more of a sure thing. BYU's Bronson Kaufusi is an interesting sleeper. A longer version of SackSEER will appear on Football Outsiders next week.
2 comments, Last at 29 Apr 2016, 2:36am by Abdul-Rahmaan
21 Mar 2016, 12:15pm by Andrew Healy
The analysis of trades based on the value of draft picks and cap space appears on ESPN Insider this year. This article looks at four big recent NFL trades. Given the amount of cap space they gave up, the Maxwell/Alonso trade will only work for the Eagles if Byron Maxwell can become a Pro Bowl cornerback. Also, the Chandler Jones trade works out well for both sides, but even better for Arizona if they allow Jones to leave after one season and get a (likely very high) compensatory pick.
7 comments, Last at 23 Mar 2016, 6:36pm by Andrew Healy
16 Mar 2016, 12:53pm by Nathan Forster
Here are Nathan Forster's Playmaker Score projections for the top WR prospects of 2016. Playmaker Score loves Corey Coleman of Baylor and is surprisingly lukewarm on the consensus No. 1 prospect, Laquon Treadwell of Ole Miss. Pharoh Cooper is our big mid-round sleeper. There will be an expanded piece with all the Playmaker Scores for 2016 (both "rating" and "projection") on FO next week, and then the same with Nathan's SackSEER projections for edge rushers: ESPN Insider next week and FO the week after.
1 comment, Last at 20 Mar 2016, 12:50pm by Karl Cuba
06 Mar 2016, 08:55pm by Andrew Healy
Here's a look at the biggest holes that last year's final eight teams need to address to make it back to the postseason in 2016. A number of these teams have the same clear issue: offensive line play.
3 comments, Last at 11 Mar 2016, 2:02am by runaway robot
03 Mar 2016, 02:55pm by Sterling Xie
Over at ESPN Insider, Sterling Xie looks at other quarterbacks who have had the kind of fourth-year improvement that Kirk Cousins showed this season. The problem? Those players are all over the map as far as whether they regressed or had good careers, so Washington needs to wait on giving Cousins a long-term deal until they can figure out if he is Aaron Brooks or Brett Favre.
1 comment, Last at 04 Mar 2016, 1:52pm by RickD