Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

22 Aug 2008, 03:05pm by Bill Barnwell

FO on ESPN: Catch This

This week's ESPN column is about Wes Welker and his sublime catch rate from last year.

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14 comments, Last at 25 Aug 2008, 7:04pm by Matt Saracen - QB1 - Dillon Panthers

08 Aug 2008, 10:04am by Doug Farrar

FO on ESPN: Does Preseason Success Matter?

This week's ESPN piece discusses a particular preseason stat -- yards per carry -- which indicates first-year success for lesser-known (third-round or lower, or undrafted) rookie running backs. If you want to be ahead of the pack on the next Ahmad Bradshaw or Pierre Thomas, YPC over the average seems to be a good way to go. At the end of the preseason, I'll post a list of the qualifying rookie backs whose YPC is highest over the average.

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19 comments, Last at 30 Aug 2008, 5:24am by Miguel

02 Aug 2008, 08:56pm by Doug Farrar

FO on ESPN: Panthers' Sack Numbers Could Rebound

This week's ESPN column is about the "dramastic" sack decline suffered by the 2007 Carolina Panthers, and the rebound indicators for other teams with large dips in Adjusted Sack Rate from one season to the next.

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8 comments, Last at 05 Aug 2008, 1:17am by Bobman

25 Jul 2008, 01:34pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Bad News Bears Offense Has Little Hope

Here's a (somewhat table-free) look at similarity scores for the pathetic 2008 Chicago Bears offense. Yikes.

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20 comments, Last at 26 Jul 2008, 5:53pm by johonny

10 Jul 2008, 09:36pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN.com: Top RB Draft Classes

This week's ESPN.com column uses the method from PFP 2007's "Best Running Back Seasons" essay to figure out the best running back draft classes in modern NFL history. Part one looks at the best rookie seasons, while part two looks at the best classes in career value. Both parts are now posted as of Friday afternoon.

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17 comments, Last at 14 Jul 2008, 3:25pm by David H

03 Jul 2008, 05:30pm by Bill Barnwell

FO on ESPN: 2008 Day Two Favorites

In Part Two of our look at Day Two of the NFL Draft on ESPN, we peg 10 guys who are best-positioned to be successful NFL players.

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18 comments, Last at 07 Jul 2008, 10:24am by Aaron

26 Jun 2008, 08:58pm by Bill Barnwell

FO on ESPN: Finding Value on Day Two

Our weekly ESPN column employs a new methodology to analyze which Day Two picks are the best value.

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22 comments, Last at 30 Jun 2008, 11:15am by White Rose Duelist

19 Jun 2008, 10:52pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Losing Strahan Might Hurt Giants

This week's ESPN.com column takes a look at what happens to teams that lose a top pass rusher in the offseason. On average, a strong pass rush will take a substantial hit when one of its stars departs -- but adding a top pass rusher has a smaller impact than adding a top offensive lineman.

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15 comments, Last at 25 Jun 2008, 12:42pm by Lance S.

12 Jun 2008, 05:30pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Losing Ogden Shouldn't Hurt Ravens

With the book behind us, weekly FO columns on ESPN.com return. This week, we look at teams that lose a star offensive lineman. The numbers were pretty surprising -- as a group, teams that lose a star lineman don't tend to decline. For every team like the Chiefs of the last couple years, there's a team like the 2000 Vikings or 2006 Saints. Adding a top lineman? That's a different story, one that will give Jets fans a reason for optimism.

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24 comments, Last at 17 Jun 2008, 10:32pm by TonyAngelo

23 Apr 2008, 06:24pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN.com: Adding Star WR Rarely Improves Team

After the recent success of Terrell Owens and Randy Moss, teams are chomping at the bit to trade for Chad Johnson. But Owens and Moss aside, adding a star receiver doesn't generally lead to significant improvement. Losing a star receiver, however, usually leads to decline.

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29 comments, Last at 28 Apr 2008, 9:59pm by Alex