Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

25 Sep 2006

Manic Monday: Division Rivalries Ruled the Day

Reviewing Cincinnati's revenge, Jacksonville's "almost" game, Minnesota's newfound respect, Steve Smith's insane value, why Ernie Accorsi should have let sleeping dogs lie, and a lot of numbers that (hopefully) hold some meaning.

Posted by: Doug Farrar on 25 Sep 2006

24 comments, Last at 27 Sep 2006, 2:59am by Levente, Hungary

Comments

1
by dbt (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 11:36am

post links to itself...

2
by Kulko (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 11:38am

Link is only linking back to the FO on FOX pssge.

I think you guys should look at the way, how you set those external links. Its the umpteenth time, that it is broken first and has to be reset.

3
by Doug Farrar :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 11:41am

Link fixed - sorry about that.

4
by admin :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 11:51am

The reason links end up broken is that we're only human and forget to paste the links in ... we're just absent-minded professors, what can we say.

5
by White Rose Duelist (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 11:54am

Should the Giants' first quarter yards be -40, or are the 23 and 63 switched?

6
by Doug Farrar :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 12:00pm

Giants' first-quarter yards should be -40, as it was when the draft left my Outbox last night. Hopefully fixed soon.

7
by Sophandros (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 12:16pm

Everyone talks about the relative weakness of the Saints opposition, but let's be honest about who the Falcons have played thus far. Tampa and Carolina's offenses aren't exactly the greatest show on turf, and one could argue that Tampa's defense is living off of reputation more than production.

This game could be closer than people think, provided that NOLA's trio of white linebackers can stop Vick...

Yes, the Saints start three white linebackers. It's the Saints' attempt to out-white Atlanta on defense.

8
by DMP (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 12:23pm

Aaron, we've come to expect perfection -- shame on if you can't live up to that!

9
by kleph (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 12:35pm

this is truly an outstanding start to the week - a FO thread with no inane "first!" if i could find a way to bronze this sucker and present it to dbt, i would.

10
by B (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 12:57pm

8: Maybe they should hire ROBO-editor.

11
by coltrane23 (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 1:09pm

Re: 7

I agree with you regarding the Falcons' victories up to this point.

Who's the DC in NOLA now? If he can come up with a way to neutralize that spread option that I saw in action against TB, the Saints really could pull an upset. I'm not sure the Falcons would succeed if they had to go to the pass a lot because the run wasn't working.

I don't know if the Saints have the personnel to pull it off or not, don't know much about them this year other than Drew Brees, Reggie Bush, Joe Horn and Deuce McAllister.

12
by Ben (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 2:32pm

That passer rating for Manning in the Colts-Jags write-up was for the first half, he finished at 79.9 for the game.

13
by TBW (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 4:27pm

thirteenth !

14
by Richie (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 4:34pm

The Jags had six more first downs, amassed 128 more rushing yards, and had the ball twice as long as their opponent.

Has anybody checked the correlation of first downs gained per game and winning games? (Do touchdowns count as first downs gained?)

First downs sounds like a nice stat, but if a team is picking up yardage at a large clip, or getting great field position, they aren't going to get many first downs.

I see that yesterday, the team that had the most first downs won 6 games and lost 7.

15
by DavidH (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 5:13pm

I'd rather see "First!" than 4 posts about a broken link.

Sounds like I am complaining about the broken link. I'm actually complaining about people who complain about "First!"

But in a good-natured way.

16
by NedNederlander (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 5:58pm

I don't understand what the "Rubik's Cube" defense means. Could someone explain?

17
by Luz (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 6:43pm

#17

easy. the only way to solve the steelers defense is to re-arrange their stickers. what was hard to understand about that?

18
by Jerry (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 7:35pm

Didn't Holmgren complain about officiating in his halftime interview with a sideline reporter as well as at the rally a day or two later?

19
by thad (not verified) :: Mon, 09/25/2006 - 8:53pm

TD's count as first downs.

20
by Doug Farrar :: Tue, 09/26/2006 - 3:13am

Re: 11...NOLA's DC is Gary Gibbs, former Dallas LB coach. First-year guy. He did some kind of job containing the ATL run and forcing Vick to throw (which is always fun). That was a very discombobulated Falcons team.

Re: the Rubik's Cube reference, I'm looking for the right metaphors for "multi-faceted" or "ever-changing" or "effectively confusing" when describing Pittsburgh's defense. As of now, I'm 0-2.

21
by Adam H (not verified) :: Tue, 09/26/2006 - 10:10am

RE 20 How about the Rube Goldberg Defense?

22
by DGL (not verified) :: Tue, 09/26/2006 - 10:44am

20: Heisenberg defense? Or is that too TMQ-ish for you?

23
by andrew (not verified) :: Tue, 09/26/2006 - 1:08pm

"The NFC's two best teams right now, personified by MVP Shaun Alexander...

If Alexander personifies the Seahawks for this game, they're going to be hurting.

24
by Levente, Hungary (not verified) :: Wed, 09/27/2006 - 2:59am

Re: the Rubik’s Cube reference,

Kaleidoscope?