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24 Sep 2009
Smarter Stats: Winning's A Brees?
This week's Smarter Stats article in the Washington Post looks at the relationship between great single games (as measured by DYAR) and league-leading seasons for quarterbacks.
3 comments, Last at 24 Sep 2009, 11:49am by DaveRichters
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Comments
Re: Smarter Stats: Winning's A Brees?
I know you need to keep these articles short. If you had more space, wouldn't it have been better to compare great one-game performances to the DYAR for the other 15 games in the season? For all but Brady on the list, the big game DYAR was more than three times the average for the other 15 games, and was therefore a large part of the high total for the season.
Analogy: Does rolling double-sixes lead to a high average roll? Yes, but that doesn't indicate any bias towards rolling high numbers. But if rolling double-sixes indicates that other rolls will also be high, it's time to suspect loaded dice.
Re: Smarter Stats: Winning's A Brees?
I know you need to keep these articles short. If you had more space, wouldn't it have been better to compare great one-game performances to the DYAR for the other 15 games in the season?
Exactly.
Re: Smarter Stats: Winning's A Brees?
Agreed. I would remove the one great game from (and all other QBs best game) from the analysis.
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