Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

07 Sep 2010

The Great Receiver Cliff

Don't be that guy in your fantasy league who gets stuck deciding between Sammie Stroughter and Mohamed Massaquoi for his last starting wide receiver spot.

Posted by: Mike Tanier on 07 Sep 2010

11 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2010, 6:05pm by The Other Ben Johnson

Comments

1
by Raiderjoe :: Tue, 09/07/2010 - 10:23pm

Cliff Branch

2
by buzzorhowl (not verified) :: Wed, 09/08/2010 - 12:24am

I thought the same thing, Raiderjoe.

3
by Shattenjager :: Wed, 09/08/2010 - 12:41am

I'm thinking the same as Raiderjoe . . . as a Bronco fan, I am frightened beyond words.

4
by Marko :: Wed, 09/08/2010 - 12:54am

I also thought the same thing.

5
by wr (not verified) :: Wed, 09/08/2010 - 1:09am

I thought it was going to be about the age at which WRs fell off a cliff...

6
by Bobman :: Wed, 09/08/2010 - 2:07am

My first thought was same as 1-4. My second assumption was the same as #5.

As for #3, you may not be welcome in your own hometown anymore. Maybe even your own house.

Personally, I think rather than cliff, that "gap" as in "the 60s missile gap" sums it up better, or gulf, chasm, canyon. If we want to stick with mountain terms, a crevasse or bergschrund would work nicely, but then again I've been reading a lot of mountaineering books recently.

7
by Shattenjager :: Wed, 09/08/2010 - 11:37am

I live in Minnesota now, by myself, so I'm probably safe.

8
by Drunkmonkey :: Wed, 09/08/2010 - 1:01pm

OK, this is picky, but...

I noticed in the article it mentions the top 11 fantasy wideouts selected by our experts here. The last receiver listed is 'Steve Smith of the Giants'.

I don't know if that was supposed to be the NYG receiver, but when you click the link it opens up to the Carolina Steve Smith. And I'm pretty sure that he's a bit better option right now than the NYG Smith, as Hakeem Nicks is definitely going to be getting some catches, and the CAR Smith is all by his lonesome.

Am I right in assuming it was supposed to be written as the CAR Smith?

One other thing: Tainer puts Colston in the top 11 group, then keeps him on the list of other wideouts, and talks about him as if he was not in the group. I'm confused.

9
by bctowns :: Wed, 09/08/2010 - 3:54pm

Ouch, my first draft was a keeper league, and my top two wideouts were Eddie Royal and TJ Housh. Got Mike Williams versions 1 and 2 and Davone Bess. Brady and AP better have ridiculous years to keep me out of the doghouse. Any advice on which of Nate Washington, Devery Henderson to pick up in lieu of my current crop of crap? League is 14-team keeper league with .25 PPR and standard yardage and TD totals.

10
by morrongiello :: Wed, 09/08/2010 - 5:36pm

I'm not sure about this. If you look at last year's fantasy points distribution within each position, QBs and WRs seem to go off linearly while it's RBs that go off logarithmically. That would mean that the difference between the RB1 and RB2 is much greater than the difference between RB2 and RB3, and so on until it evens out after the first 5 or 6 guys; whereas the difference between WR1 and WR2 is roughly the same as that between WR10 and WR11 (maybe a little bit larger, but overall it's roughly the same).

11
by The Other Ben Johnson (not verified) :: Wed, 09/08/2010 - 6:05pm

Any article about Fantasy drafting (or even regular drafting) that ignores trade value is pretty weak. While everybody else is worried about their WR1, snatch up the RBs and QBs. Problem solved.

Also: WRs hold value better than any other position. There's just more variance so you don't know where the production is going to come from. I say Thelma and Louise had it right. Load up on value at other positions and trade for a top-flight WR later if you need to.