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Are Teams Faking Injuries? Part II

Guest columnist Jared Cohen's research shows that Philadelphia may not be the only offense that sees an unusually high rate of opposing injuries.

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Football Outsiders Features

Futures: Rookie Rankings

I hate rookie rankings. You love rookie rankings. It’s a beautiful relationship.

1 comment, Last Comment at 26 Mar 2015, 2:28am by Venger

Mar 25, 2015 11:48am by Matt Waldman || read all Futures articles

Week 20 DVOA Ratings

After the Patriots have one of the top five single-game performances of the season, our weighted DVOA ratings score Super Bowl XLIX as perhaps the biggest toss-up in SB history.

79 comments, Last Comment at 16 Mar 2015, 6:15pm by EdwardBPhelps

Jan 19, 2015 06:28pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Word of Muth: Ravens Wrap-Up

Ben Muth puts Baltimore's 2014 season to bed, and says their offensive line should be a solid building block for 2015.

12 comments, Last Comment at 16 Mar 2015, 6:17pm by EdwardBPhelps

Jan 16, 2015 09:13am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Super Bowl XLIX Quick Reads

By FO's advanced numbers, the MVP of Super Bowl XLIX was an easy choice -- even though the losing team actually ended up with a higher DVOA rating.

59 comments, Last Comment at 16 Mar 2015, 6:17pm by EdwardBPhelps

Feb 02, 2015 10:44am GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Film Room: Peyton Manning's Back, But Same Problems?

Peyton Manning's back, but what happened in that miserable loss to the Colts, and why might it happen again even if he's healthy?

28 comments, Last Comment at 20 Mar 2015, 3:59pm by Grendel13G

Mar 12, 2015 02:15pm by Scott Kacsmar || read all Film Room articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl XLIX

The closest matchup in Super Bowl history ends with a play call nobody understands... and a fourth title for Bill Belichick and Tom Brady.

354 comments, Last Comment at 16 Mar 2015, 6:18pm by EdwardBPhelps

Feb 02, 2015 01:49am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

Final 2014 FEI Ratings

Yes, Oregon is still ranked ahead of Ohio State in the FEI ratings. Why do you ask?

6 comments, Last Comment at 21 Jan 2015, 11:18am by Kyndynos

Jan 14, 2015 01:16pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Ohio State Runs Over Oregon

The Buckeyes overcame four turnovers by using incredible rushing efficiency, timely explosive plays, and critical defensive stops on third down and in the red zone to claim the first College Football Playoff Championship.

3 comments, Last Comment at 14 Jan 2015, 4:32am by rfh1001

Jan 13, 2015 01:20pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: National Championship Preview

The very first Playoff National Championship is here, and the two most deserving teams -- the Buckeyes and Ducks -- face off in a game that should be extremely close according to the advanced statistics.

19 comments, Last Comment at 14 Jan 2015, 6:13pm by Will Allen

Jan 11, 2015 07:04pm by Chad Peltier || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

VN: What F/+ Tells Us About 2014

With only one game remaining in the FBS season, Bill Connelly takes a look at what the current F/+ ratings can tell us about the 2014 season. For starters: the SEC is still the king.

9 comments, Last Comment at 12 Jan 2015, 11:01am by Mikey Benny

Jan 07, 2015 10:28am by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Any Given Sunday: Ravens Over Steelers

Why does John Harbaugh's excellent coaching record go overlooked? And how has Joe Flacco fared against excellent pass defenses in his career?

10 comments, Last Comment at 07 Jan 2015, 7:20pm by jonnyblazin

Jan 06, 2015 01:59pm GMT by Andrew Healy || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Month In Quotes: February 2015

From Ray Rice to Russell Wilson to Matt Millen to DeAngelo Williams, it was a month of regret over past mistakes around the NFL.

14 comments, Last Comment at 09 Mar 2015, 5:17pm by ChrisS

Mar 06, 2015 01:15pm by Rory Hickey || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: Rare Positives

Mike and Tom recap the Super Bowl in the only way that matters: prop bets and commercials.

8 comments, Last Comment at 11 Feb 2015, 3:13am by Jerry

Feb 05, 2015 11:11am by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower || read all Scramble articles

Innovative Statistics

2014 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1SEA31.3% 1SEA32.8%
2DEN29.5% 2NE31.4%
3GB23.3% 3GB24.0%
4NE22.4% 4DEN23.9%
5BAL22.2% 5BAL23.0%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2014 OFFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1GB24.6% 1GB26.7%
2PIT22.5% 2PIT21.9%
3DEN19.9% 3DAL19.4%
4DAL17.0% 4NE19.4%
5SEA16.7% 5SEA15.0%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2014 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1SEA-16.3% 1SEA-19.8%
2BUF-15.6% 2BUF-19.1%
3DET-13.8% 3DEN-13.4%
4DEN-13.3% 4HOU-12.7%
5SF-10.0% 5SF-11.3%
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2014 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1PHI8.3% 1BAL10.4%
2BAL8.0% 2KC9.4%
3KC6.7% 3PHI8.2%
4BUF6.2% 4STL6.7%
5NE5.5% 5CIN6.0%
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QUARTERBACKS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1B.RoethlisbergerPIT1,598 1A.RodgersGB32.2%
2A.RodgersGB1,563 2T.RomoDAL27.9%
3P.ManningDEN1,433 3D.AndersonCAR27.6%
4D.BreesNO1,212 4B.RoethlisbergerPIT27.5%
5T.RomoDAL1,198 5P.ManningDEN24.5%
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RUNNING BACKS 2014

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1D.MurrayDAL381 1M.LynchSEA23.3% 1L.BellPIT313
2M.LynchSEA362 2J.CharlesKC20.0% 2A.BradshawIND152
3J.CharlesKC250 3C.J.AndersonDEN17.9% 3M.ForteCHI128
4L.MillerMIA247 4L.MillerMIA17.8% 4E.LacyGB110
5L.BellPIT206 5D.MurrayDAL14.7% 5P.ThomasNO110
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WIDE RECEIVERS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.BrownPIT553 1R.CobbGB35.5%
2J.NelsonGB481 2K.StillsNO32.4%
3E.SandersDEN480 3T.WilliamsDAL30.5%
4R.CobbGB478 4E.SandersDEN29.5%
5D.BryantDAL435 5D.JacksonWAS27.9%
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TIGHT ENDS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1R.GronkowskiNE234 1T.WrightNE30.4%
2A.GatesSD202 2D.AllenIND25.2%
3G.OlsenCAR175 3J.ThomasDEN24.5%
4T.KelceKC171 4N.PaulWAS24.0%
5J.WittenDAL144 5A.GatesSD23.7%
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Most Recent Articles

26 Mar 2015, 12:43pm by Guest

Are Teams Faking Injuries? Part II

Guest columnist Jared Cohen's research shows that Philadelphia may not be the only offense that sees an unusually high rate of opposing injuries.

» More...

9 comments, Last at 26 Mar 2015, 9:15pm by MarkV

26 Mar 2015, 12:20pm by Aaron Schatz

Playmaker Score 2015 (ESPN Insider version)

Here are Nathan Forster's Playmaker Score projections for the top WR prospects of 2015. We've got Amari Cooper way ahead of everyone else, with some red flags for prized prospects like Kevin White (didn't produce until senior year) and Dorial Green-Beckham (didn't stand out compared to teammates). There will be an expanded piece with all the Playmaker Scores for 2015 (both "rating" and "projection") on FO next week, and then the same with Nathan's SackSEER projections for edge rushers: ESPN Insider next week and FO the week after.

» More...

0 comments

25 Mar 2015, 11:48am by Matt Waldman

Futures: Rookie Rankings

I hate rookie rankings. You love rookie rankings. It’s a beautiful relationship.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 26 Mar 2015, 2:28am by Venger

24 Mar 2015, 03:42pm by Guest

Are Teams Faking Injuries? Part I

Guest columnist Jared Cohen explores whether teams are faking injuries to slow down high-tempo offenses like the Eagles.

» More...

21 comments, Last at 26 Mar 2015, 2:34pm by mehllageman56

23 Mar 2015, 10:28am by Scott Kacsmar

Go For Nine? For Who? For What?

The Colts have proposed a nine-point touchdown that includes a bonus 50-yard field goal after a two-point conversion. We look at the potential impact this could have on the game.

» More...

57 comments, Last at 26 Mar 2015, 12:47pm by rich006

20 Mar 2015, 02:21pm by Andrew Healy

Free-Agency Cost-Benefit Analysis

Did the Dolphins pay too much for Ndamukong Suh? And what free agency trick have the Patriots mastered that gives them a leg up on the rest of the league?

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89 comments, Last at 26 Mar 2015, 3:12pm by chemical burn

18 Mar 2015, 11:21am by Matt Waldman

Futures: Deep Diving for Small-School Sleepers

James O'Shaughnessy, Darius Davis, Dezmin Lewis, and Zach Zenner are small-time names with potential for big-time games.

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4 comments, Last at 25 Mar 2015, 12:32pm by rich006

16 Mar 2015, 02:43pm by Scott Kacsmar

Failed Completions 2014

One 2014 team had the highest rate of failed completions on offense and defense. Another ranked 16th on both sides of the ball. Which one won the Super Bowl?

» More...

33 comments, Last at 19 Mar 2015, 9:43pm by tuluse

13 Mar 2015, 01:42pm by Andrew Healy

Trade Cost-Benefit Analysis

When analyzing trades, is it possible to measure players, draft picks, and cap space on one scale? Well, we can try.

» More...

123 comments, Last at 19 Mar 2015, 4:08pm by chemical burn

12 Mar 2015, 02:15pm by Scott Kacsmar

Film Room: Peyton Manning's Back, But Same Problems?

Peyton Manning's back, but what happened in that miserable loss to the Colts, and why might it happen again even if he's healthy?

» More...

28 comments, Last at 20 Mar 2015, 3:59pm by Grendel13G

11 Mar 2015, 11:23am by Matt Waldman

Futures: Two Non-College Prospects

Two tight ends on the Denver roster show that talent isn't always evident at first glance.

» More...

4 comments, Last at 16 Mar 2015, 6:14pm by EdwardBPhelps

09 Mar 2015, 05:47pm by Aaron Schatz

The Best Clutch Kicker Ever

Or, at least, of the past 25 years. It's probably not who you think it is.

» More...

46 comments, Last at 24 Mar 2015, 1:52am by LionInAZ

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