Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

Football Outsiders Features

Futures: Kentucky Edge Rushers Bud Dupree and Za'Darius Smith

Matt Waldman explains why Kentucky's linemen are similar -- and why they are so very, very different.


Feb 25, 2015 01:01pm by Matt Waldman || read all Futures articles

Week 20 DVOA Ratings

After the Patriots have one of the top five single-game performances of the season, our weighted DVOA ratings score Super Bowl XLIX as perhaps the biggest toss-up in SB history.

78 comments, Last Comment at 30 Jan 2015, 7:04pm by normgambles

Jan 19, 2015 06:28pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Word of Muth: Ravens Wrap-Up

Ben Muth puts Baltimore's 2014 season to bed, and says their offensive line should be a solid building block for 2015.

11 comments, Last Comment at 18 Jan 2015, 1:35am by tg

Jan 16, 2015 09:13am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Super Bowl XLIX Quick Reads

By FO's advanced numbers, the MVP of Super Bowl XLIX was an easy choice -- even though the losing team actually ended up with a higher DVOA rating.

58 comments, Last Comment at 04 Feb 2015, 7:26pm by herewegobrowniesherewego

Feb 02, 2015 10:44am GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Film Room: Russell Wilson's Mobility

How big is mobility in Russell Wilson's game? We looked at every play of the scramblin' man's career to understand how much of Seattle's offense is by design versus improv.

17 comments, Last Comment at 30 Jan 2015, 1:38pm by Bobman

Jan 28, 2015 02:08pm by Scott Kacsmar || read all Film Room articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl XLIX

The closest matchup in Super Bowl history ends with a play call nobody understands... and a fourth title for Bill Belichick and Tom Brady.

353 comments, Last Comment at 05 Feb 2015, 8:25pm by GrandVezir

Feb 02, 2015 01:49am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

Final 2014 FEI Ratings

Yes, Oregon is still ranked ahead of Ohio State in the FEI ratings. Why do you ask?

6 comments, Last Comment at 21 Jan 2015, 11:18am by Kyndynos

Jan 14, 2015 01:16pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Ohio State Runs Over Oregon

The Buckeyes overcame four turnovers by using incredible rushing efficiency, timely explosive plays, and critical defensive stops on third down and in the red zone to claim the first College Football Playoff Championship.

3 comments, Last Comment at 14 Jan 2015, 4:32am by rfh1001

Jan 13, 2015 01:20pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: National Championship Preview

The very first Playoff National Championship is here, and the two most deserving teams -- the Buckeyes and Ducks -- face off in a game that should be extremely close according to the advanced statistics.

19 comments, Last Comment at 14 Jan 2015, 6:13pm by Will Allen

Jan 11, 2015 07:04pm by Chad Peltier || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

VN: What F/+ Tells Us About 2014

With only one game remaining in the FBS season, Bill Connelly takes a look at what the current F/+ ratings can tell us about the 2014 season. For starters: the SEC is still the king.

9 comments, Last Comment at 12 Jan 2015, 11:01am by Mikey Benny

Jan 07, 2015 10:28am by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Any Given Sunday: Ravens Over Steelers

Why does John Harbaugh's excellent coaching record go overlooked? And how has Joe Flacco fared against excellent pass defenses in his career?

10 comments, Last Comment at 07 Jan 2015, 7:20pm by jonnyblazin

Jan 06, 2015 01:59pm GMT by Andrew Healy || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: February 6, 2015

Did you hear? There was a controversial play call in the Super Bowl, and lots of people are talking about it.

23 comments, Last Comment at 09 Feb 2015, 11:51pm by Will Allen

Feb 06, 2015 04:44pm by Rory Hickey || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: Rare Positives

Mike and Tom recap the Super Bowl in the only way that matters: prop bets and commercials.

8 comments, Last Comment at 11 Feb 2015, 3:13am by Jerry

Feb 05, 2015 11:11am by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower || read all Scramble articles

Innovative Statistics


Full SeasonWeighted
1SEA31.3% 1SEA32.8%
2DEN29.5% 2NE31.4%
3GB23.3% 3GB24.0%
4NE22.4% 4DEN23.9%
5BAL22.2% 5BAL23.0%
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Full SeasonWeighted
1GB24.6% 1GB26.7%
2PIT22.5% 2PIT21.9%
3DEN19.9% 3DAL19.4%
4DAL17.0% 4NE19.4%
5SEA16.7% 5SEA15.0%
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Full SeasonWeighted
1SEA-16.3% 1SEA-19.8%
2BUF-15.6% 2BUF-19.1%
3DET-13.8% 3DEN-13.4%
4DEN-13.3% 4HOU-12.7%
5SF-10.0% 5SF-11.3%
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Full SeasonWeighted
1PHI8.3% 1BAL10.4%
2BAL8.0% 2KC9.4%
3KC6.7% 3PHI8.2%
4BUF6.2% 4STL6.7%
5NE5.5% 5CIN6.0%
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DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1B.RoethlisbergerPIT1,598 1A.RodgersGB32.2%
2A.RodgersGB1,563 2T.RomoDAL27.9%
3P.ManningDEN1,433 3D.AndersonCAR27.6%
4D.BreesNO1,212 4B.RoethlisbergerPIT27.5%
5T.RomoDAL1,198 5P.ManningDEN24.5%
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Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1D.MurrayDAL381 1M.LynchSEA23.3% 1L.BellPIT313
2M.LynchSEA362 2J.CharlesKC20.0% 2A.BradshawIND152
3J.CharlesKC250 3C.J.AndersonDEN17.9% 3M.ForteCHI128
4L.MillerMIA247 4L.MillerMIA17.8% 4E.LacyGB110
5L.BellPIT206 5D.MurrayDAL14.7% 5P.ThomasNO110
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DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.BrownPIT553 1R.CobbGB35.5%
2J.NelsonGB481 2K.StillsNO32.4%
3E.SandersDEN480 3T.WilliamsDAL30.5%
4R.CobbGB478 4E.SandersDEN29.5%
5D.BryantDAL435 5D.JacksonWAS27.9%
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DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1R.GronkowskiNE234 1T.WrightNE30.4%
2A.GatesSD202 2D.AllenIND25.2%
3G.OlsenCAR175 3J.ThomasDEN24.5%
4T.KelceKC171 4N.PaulWAS24.0%
5J.WittenDAL144 5A.GatesSD23.7%
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Most Recent Articles

25 Feb 2015, 01:01pm by Matt Waldman

Futures: Kentucky Edge Rushers Bud Dupree and Za'Darius Smith

Matt Waldman explains why Kentucky's linemen are similar -- and why they are so very, very different.

» More...


24 Feb 2015, 03:33pm by Scott Kacsmar

Four Downs: AFC West

Scott Kacsmar says that NFC North stars like Randall Cobb and Ndamukong Suh could find new homes in the AFC West.

» More...

31 comments, Last at 7:37pm by Raiderfan

23 Feb 2015, 12:45pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: 2015 RB Speed Scores

Here are your Speed Scores for running backs who ran the 40 at the 2015 combine. Matt Waldman fave Karlos Williams is this year's Speed Score champ and a big-time sleeper. Melvin Gordon did fine. Colorado State's Dee Hart is undraftable.

» More...


23 Feb 2015, 12:20pm by Aaron Schatz

Four Downs: NFC South

Winston or Mariota? How about neither? If Lovie Smith and the Bucs are smart, they'll try to trade out of the first overall pick.

» More...

43 comments, Last at 24 Feb 2015, 10:40pm by Alternator

20 Feb 2015, 10:06am by Matt Waldman

Futures: The Inner Game and the 2015 Class

What if Brett Hundley had played at Oregon? How do you measure a player's toughness? Why do some players struggle to make the most of their talent?

» More...

4 comments, Last at 24 Feb 2015, 12:02am by LionInAZ

19 Feb 2015, 11:57am by Tom Gower

Four Downs: AFC South

Tom Gower says the Titans should go with Jameis Winston at quarterback, while the Texans would be best served by going with... Ryan Fitzpatrick?

» More...

25 comments, Last at 25 Feb 2015, 6:21pm by Bobman

18 Feb 2015, 02:26pm by Tom Gower

Four Downs: NFC North

Ndamukong Suh is one of the league's best defensive players, but he's not a good fit in Detroit anymore.

» More...

58 comments, Last at 24 Feb 2015, 3:58am by mehllageman56

17 Feb 2015, 11:12am by Scott Kacsmar

Four Downs: AFC North

Our suggestions of bold moves in the AFC North start in Baltimore, where it's time for the Ravens to say goodbye to a key defender.

» More...

66 comments, Last at 5:54pm by nairy10

14 Feb 2015, 03:29pm by Brian Fremeau

ESPN: Overachievers And Underachievers

Which teams overachieve on the field with less recruiting success than their opponents, and which teams underachieve when fielding a more-talented roster?

» More...


13 Feb 2015, 11:59am by Vincent Verhei

Four Downs: NFC East

DeMarco Murray led the NFL in rushing in 2014. His reward might be a new team a year later.

» More...

61 comments, Last at 20 Feb 2015, 12:17pm by chemical burn

12 Feb 2015, 11:55am by Vincent Verhei

2014 Football Outsiders Awards

The ballots are in and the votes are counted. Join us as, for the last time, we all Turn Down For Watt.

» More...

119 comments, Last at 1:46am by cozmark

11 Feb 2015, 03:26am by Matt Waldman

Futures: Nebraska DE/OLB Randy Gregory

Good football analysis often provides answers, but it also helps frame better questions. Two plays from Randy Gregory's USC tape frame a vital question about the potential top-five pick.

» More...

4 comments, Last at 16 Feb 2015, 2:40am by dank067

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