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Super Bowl 50 Preview

The Giants and Ravens set a record in Super Bowl XXXV with 21 total punts. That record may well be in jeopardy. But in this battle of top defenses, Carolina's superior and more flexible offense gives the Panthers the edge.

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

Week 20 DVOA Ratings

In the NFC Championship Game, Carolina puts up the biggest single-game DVOA of the year and one of the 10 best in DVOA history. The Panthers now go into Super Bowl 50 as clear favorites.

112 comments, Last Comment at 31 Jan 2016, 2:53am by Pantherpryde

Jan 25, 2016 09:20pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Word of Muth: Panthers' Run Game

Ben Muth likes Carolina's multiple run schemes, but he says the weakness on the Panthers' line might not be where you would expect.

21 comments, Last Comment at 01 Feb 2016, 9:59am by garion333

Jan 28, 2016 04:56am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

QR Bonus: Keys To Beating Denver

We know Denver's defense will show up in the Super Bowl. We just don't know what we're going to get from the Broncos' offense.

9 comments, Last Comment at 04 Feb 2016, 12:03pm by BroncosGuyAgain

Feb 02, 2016 12:31pm GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Film Room: Emmanuel Sanders

The Broncos' secondary receiver may be their best weapon against Carolina in the Super Bowl.

5 comments, Last Comment at 4:30am by Rashid Ryzaev

Feb 03, 2016 06:07am by Cian Fahey || read all Film Room articles

Audibles at the Line: Conference Championships

The Broncos' pass rush gets Peyton Manning a big (final?) win over Tom Brady, while the Panthers dominate Arizona to reach the Super Bowl.

385 comments, Last Comment at 28 Jan 2016, 9:50pm by Kaelik

Jan 25, 2016 12:42am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI Final: Alabama Again

The national championship game will long be remembered for the flurry of scores over the final ten minutes, but two key stops by Alabama before that flurry began were just as crucial.

0 comments

Jan 13, 2016 12:03pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Another Alabama Championship

In one of the most exciting college championships since Texas-USC, Alabama defeated Clemson thanks to special teams and explosive plays.

2 comments, Last Comment at 13 Jan 2016, 1:37pm by rbennett99

Jan 12, 2016 04:55pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: The Best Possible Championship

This is the best possible championship game we could have gotten, with Alabama and Clemson as the two top teams with nearly equal top-end talent. But does Clemson have enough depth to get the win?

0 comments

Jan 10, 2016 04:08pm by Chad Peltier || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: A Couple of Goodbyes

Bill Connelly says goodbye to the 2015 college football season ... and says goodbye to Varsity Numbers.

2 comments, Last Comment at 15 Jan 2016, 7:02pm by andrew

Jan 15, 2016 02:27pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Any Given Sunday: Vikings Over Packers

The NFC North championship game featured two teams that were more alike than many might imagine. Was Minnesota even a true underdog?

11 comments, Last Comment at 06 Jan 2016, 10:48am by PatsFan

Jan 05, 2016 03:59pm GMT by Sterling Xie || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: January 29, 2016

Conversation this week obviously focuses on the playoffs and Super Bowl, with some observations from the Senior Bowl thrown in.

12 comments, Last Comment at 31 Jan 2016, 6:06pm by Eddo

Jan 29, 2016 07:52am by Vincent Verhei || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble's 2016 SB Prop Bet Extravaganza!

Anyone can bet on Carolina vs. Denver. True gamblers put their money on Carolina vs. Steph Curry.

8 comments, Last Comment at 05 Feb 2016, 10:30am by Will Allen

Feb 04, 2016 12:43pm by Andrew Healy and Sterling Xie || read all Scramble articles

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

Odds to Win Super Bowl 50
1 CAR 60.5%
2 DEN 39.5%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through conference championships

Most Recent Articles

05 Feb 2016, 11:04am by Scott Kacsmar

Super Bowl 50 Preview

The Giants and Ravens set a record in Super Bowl XXXV with 21 total punts. That record may well be in jeopardy. But in this battle of top defenses, Carolina's superior and more flexible offense gives the Panthers the edge.

» More...

36 comments, Last at 5:26am by Pen

04 Feb 2016, 05:11pm by Scott Kacsmar

Solving the Peyton Playoff Puzzle: Part II

A look at the frailty of win-loss records in the playoffs, where a quarterback's legacy can swing on one play where he wasn't even involved. Includes a look at Ben Roethlisberger, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, and Russell Wilson.

» More...

82 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2016, 9:52pm by Will Allen

04 Feb 2016, 03:41pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: February 4

It's the final Off The Charts Podcast of the season, the Super Bowl preview episode! Scott Spratt and Aaron Schatz go through all the numbers to look at Carolina-Denver matchups, plus some discussion of the anxieties that come with rooting for a team that will be favored in the Super Bowl for the first time ever.

» More...

0 comments

04 Feb 2016, 12:43pm by Andrew Healy and Sterling Xie

Scramble's 2016 SB Prop Bet Extravaganza!

Anyone can bet on Carolina vs. Denver. True gamblers put their money on Carolina vs. Steph Curry.

» More...

8 comments, Last at 05 Feb 2016, 10:30am by Will Allen

03 Feb 2016, 04:58pm by Scott Kacsmar

Solving the Peyton Playoff Puzzle: Part I

Peyton Manning has gone most of his career without a winning playoff record. In part I of II, we piece together how unparalleled consistency and bad luck have clouded one of the best playoff careers in NFL history.

» More...

90 comments, Last at 05 Feb 2016, 1:23am by tuluse

03 Feb 2016, 06:07am by Cian Fahey

Film Room: Emmanuel Sanders

The Broncos' secondary receiver may be their best weapon against Carolina in the Super Bowl.

» More...

5 comments, Last at 4:30am by Rashid Ryzaev

02 Feb 2016, 12:31pm by Vincent Verhei

QR Bonus: Keys To Beating Denver

We know Denver's defense will show up in the Super Bowl. We just don't know what we're going to get from the Broncos' offense.

» More...

9 comments, Last at 04 Feb 2016, 12:03pm by BroncosGuyAgain

01 Feb 2016, 05:21am by Scott Kacsmar

Film Room: Big Pass Plays and Super Bowl 50

We looked at the big pass plays created by Carolina's offense and allowed by Denver's defense this season. Can Carolina's receivers beat Denver's man coverage? Is Cam Newton's mobility too much for Denver?

» More...

17 comments, Last at 03 Feb 2016, 1:17am by SuperGrover

29 Jan 2016, 07:52am by Vincent Verhei

The Week In Quotes: January 29, 2016

Conversation this week obviously focuses on the playoffs and Super Bowl, with some observations from the Senior Bowl thrown in.

» More...

12 comments, Last at 31 Jan 2016, 6:06pm by Eddo

28 Jan 2016, 04:56am by Ben Muth

Word of Muth: Panthers' Run Game

Ben Muth likes Carolina's multiple run schemes, but he says the weakness on the Panthers' line might not be where you would expect.

» More...

21 comments, Last at 01 Feb 2016, 9:59am by garion333

28 Jan 2016, 01:52am by Cian Fahey

Film Room: Denver Defense

Wade Phillips and company were able to beat Tom Brady and the Patriots, but they will need entirely different tactics to stop Cam Newton and the Panthers.

» More...

16 comments, Last at 29 Jan 2016, 5:55pm by RickD

27 Jan 2016, 11:32am by Andrew Healy and Sterling Xie

Scramble for the Ball: 2015 All-Keep Choppin' Wood Team

Andrew and Sterling continue the annual tradition of singling out the worst of the worst.

» More...

54 comments, Last at 30 Jan 2016, 12:33pm by Shattenjager

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