Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

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OFI: SEC Surprises

In an opening week where even the elite teams in college football looked mortal, the SEC had two big surprises in Texas A&M and Georgia defeating their South Carolinian opponents by big scores.

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

Let Me Check My Schedule

Kenneth Arthur looks at how DVOA and strength of schedule play with each other, especially in regards to Super Bowl possibilities.

25 comments, Last Comment at 01 Sep 2014, 4:52pm by kicorse

Jul 03, 2014 01:32pm by Guest || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Word of Muth: Chicago Bears Preview

Ben Muth reveals which offensive lines he'll be covering this season, including the Chicago Bears. How did they improve so drastically in 2013, and can they maintain that improvement this fall?

8 comments, Last Comment at 24 Aug 2014, 12:45pm by Will Allen

Aug 21, 2014 12:00pm by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Super Bowl XLVIII Quick Reads

Seattle won in all three phases with the best single-game DVOA of 2013, but DYAR numbers don't do anything to shed more light on the MVP debate in Super Bowl XLVIII.

136 comments, Last Comment at 20 Jun 2014, 10:41pm by Shady

Feb 03, 2014 02:33pm GMT by Vince Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Film Room: Cordarrelle Patterson

What should we expect from the Vikings receiver in his sophomore season, and what does he need to do to take his game to the next level?

0 comments

Aug 28, 2014 11:36am by Cian Fahey || read all Film Room articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl XLVIII

We thought that the best defense of the year would cancel out the best offense of the year. Instead, the best defense of the year delivered a thorough, 60-minute asskicking to the best offense of the year.

231 comments, Last Comment at 09 Feb 2014, 6:15pm by LionInAZ

Feb 03, 2014 01:04am GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Audibles articles

FEI Primer: Right and Wrong

Brian Fremeau looks back at some of his favorite mistakes from 2013, and unveils the final preseason FEI ratings.

5 comments, Last Comment at 28 Aug 2014, 3:07pm by Spidersva

Aug 27, 2014 02:57pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: SEC Surprises

In an opening week where even the elite teams in college football looked mortal, the SEC had two big surprises in Texas A&M and Georgia defeating their South Carolinian opponents by big scores.

4 comments, Last Comment at 12:22pm by JIPanick

Sep 01, 2014 07:09am by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: Welcome Back, Folks

The college football season returns in a big way with South Carolina-Texas A&M, Wisconsin-LSU, and Clemson-Georgia headlining opening weekend. Seventh Day Adventure is back with advanced stats, analysis, and F/+ predictions.

9 comments, Last Comment at 01 Sep 2014, 4:14pm by Sid

Aug 28, 2014 03:28pm by Chad Peltier || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: Updated 2014 Projections

Bill Connelly says hello to the 2014 college football season by giving the F/+ projections some last-second tweaks.

7 comments, Last Comment at 28 Aug 2014, 12:35pm by Lance

Aug 26, 2014 03:41pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Any Given Sunday: 49ers Over Cardinals

San Francisco held off Arizona to claim the No. 5 seed by jumping on the Cardinals defense early and taking advantage of poor Arizona special teams.

5 comments, Last Comment at 25 Jan 2014, 6:31am by louis vuitton solbriller

Dec 31, 2013 12:03pm GMT by Mike Ridley || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: August 29, 2014

This week: Josh Shaw lies, Steve Smith intimidates, Le'Veon Bell relaxes, Matt Simms dances, and Clint Trickett kisses and tells.

11 comments, Last Comment at 31 Aug 2014, 12:38pm by Led

Aug 29, 2014 10:34am by Rory Hickey || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble Over/Unders: the Norths

The league's northern divisions pose a number of meaty questions, such as: "Is the Bears' offense due for a repeat performance?" "Why do the Lions have such pronounced splits?" and "Has Johnny Manziel made the Cleveland brass even crazier?"

14 comments, Last Comment at 1:31pm by TomC

Aug 27, 2014 03:42pm by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower || read all Scramble articles

Futures: Tom Savage

Savage has the physical skills and flashes of on-field play that make him look like a first-rounder. Is his rumored late rise up draft boards a product of hyperbolic thinking?

5 comments, Last Comment at 11 May 2014, 3:30am by Mr Shush

Apr 30, 2014 01:15pm by Matt Waldman || read all Futures articles

Innovative Statistics

2014 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full Season 2013 Weighted 2013
1 SEA 40.0% 1 SEA 43.7%
2 DEN 32.7% 2 DEN 27.0%
3 CAR 24.6% 3 PHI 25.6%
4 NO 19.3% 4 CAR 24.7%
5 NE 18.9% 5 NE 24.4%


Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium! through Week 17

2014 OFFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Football Outsiders statistics will be updated beginning after Week 1 of the NFL season.

2014 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Football Outsiders statistics will be updated beginning after Week 1 of the NFL season.

2014 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Football Outsiders statistics will be updated beginning after Week 1 of the NFL season.

QUARTERBACKS 2014

Football Outsiders statistics will be updated beginning after Week 1 of the NFL season.

RUNNING BACKS 2014

Football Outsiders statistics will be updated beginning after Week 1 of the NFL season.

WIDE RECEIVERS 2014

Football Outsiders statistics will be updated beginning after Week 1 of the NFL season.

TIGHT ENDS 2014

Football Outsiders statistics will be updated beginning after Week 1 of the NFL season.

Most Recent Articles

29 Aug 2014, 10:34am by Rory Hickey

The Week In Quotes: August 29, 2014

This week: Josh Shaw lies, Steve Smith intimidates, Le'Veon Bell relaxes, Matt Simms dances, and Clint Trickett kisses and tells.

» More...

11 comments, Last at 31 Aug 2014, 12:38pm by Led

28 Aug 2014, 03:28pm by Chad Peltier

SDA: Welcome Back, Folks

The college football season returns in a big way with South Carolina-Texas A&M, Wisconsin-LSU, and Clemson-Georgia headlining opening weekend. Seventh Day Adventure is back with advanced stats, analysis, and F/+ predictions.

» More...

9 comments, Last at 01 Sep 2014, 4:14pm by Sid

28 Aug 2014, 11:36am by Cian Fahey

Film Room: Cordarrelle Patterson

What should we expect from the Vikings receiver in his sophomore season, and what does he need to do to take his game to the next level?

» More...

0 comments

27 Aug 2014, 09:07pm by Brian Fremeau

ESPN: SEC On Upset Alert

Five SEC teams need to be particularly careful in nonconference matchups this weekend.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 1:12pm by whyareunvs

27 Aug 2014, 03:42pm by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower

Scramble Over/Unders: the Norths

The league's northern divisions pose a number of meaty questions, such as: "Is the Bears' offense due for a repeat performance?" "Why do the Lions have such pronounced splits?" and "Has Johnny Manziel made the Cleveland brass even crazier?"

» More...

14 comments, Last at 1:31pm by TomC

27 Aug 2014, 02:57pm by Brian Fremeau

FEI Primer: Right and Wrong

Brian Fremeau looks back at some of his favorite mistakes from 2013, and unveils the final preseason FEI ratings.

» More...

5 comments, Last at 28 Aug 2014, 3:07pm by Spidersva

27 Aug 2014, 11:53am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Super Bowl Odds

ESPN Insider asked me to give Super Bowl odds for all 32 teams along with a sentence or two about what a championship season would look like for each franchise. These are updated odds that account for the Sam Bradford injury and numerous preseason changes, although not yesterday's New England-Tampa Bay trade. Denver leads at 16.9 percent.

» More...

0 comments

26 Aug 2014, 05:14pm by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Race for No. 1 Pick in 2015 NFL Draft

At Insider we looked at the 10 teams who finished 4-12 or worse in the highest percentage of our simulations used for projections in Football Outsiders Almanac 2014. Oakland has missed out by the smallest of margins the last two years, but the Raiders lead the way this year.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 26 Aug 2014, 8:07pm by herewegobrowniesherewego

26 Aug 2014, 03:41pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Updated 2014 Projections

Bill Connelly says hello to the 2014 college football season by giving the F/+ projections some last-second tweaks.

» More...

7 comments, Last at 28 Aug 2014, 12:35pm by Lance

25 Aug 2014, 12:50pm by Scott Kacsmar

NFL Division Strength (2002-2013)

In the last 12 years, which divisions have been the strongest? The weakest? The best on offense and defense? The best DVOA? Does playing in a strong division lead to more playoff success?

» More...

6 comments, Last at 26 Aug 2014, 10:23am by nat

22 Aug 2014, 04:33pm by Vince Verhei

2014 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Underrated

Going too low in your fantasy draft: veteran quarterbacks, running backs who do more with their hands than their feet, and Houston's (only) two good receivers.

» More...

3 comments, Last at 26 Aug 2014, 2:20pm by Dad2sca

22 Aug 2014, 12:24pm by Rory Hickey

The Week In Quotes: August 22, 2014

A very classy edition of TWIQ brings you observations on obscene gestures, racial slurs, pro wrestling, intrasquad brawling, inappropriate places for urination, and preteen sexual activity.

» More...

18 comments, Last at 30 Aug 2014, 7:21pm by phuongnhi

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