Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

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Word of Muth: Tampa Twosome

They weren't perfect, but Tampa Bay's two youngest offensive linemen -- Donovan Smith and Ali Marpet -- shined in the Bucs' loss to Los Angeles.

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

Week 3 DVOA Ratings

Philadelphia opens a bigger lead in our ratings, one of a number of top teams being driven primarily by defense in the early part of 2016.

92 comments, Last Comment at 29 Sep 2016, 3:20pm by Theo

Sep 27, 2016 07:41pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Film Room: Minnesota Vikings

Cian Fahey shows how Mike Zimmer has led his team through a month of upheaval to become one of the NFL's best teams.

32 comments, Last Comment at 11:37am by Tomlin_Is_Infallible

Sep 29, 2016 06:58am by Cian Fahey || read all Film Room articles

Word of Muth: Tampa Twosome

They weren't perfect, but Tampa Bay's two youngest offensive linemen -- Donovan Smith and Ali Marpet -- shined in the Bucs' loss to Los Angeles.

4 comments, Last Comment at 12:49pm by MilkmanDanimal

Sep 30, 2016 11:14am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Week 3 Quick Reads

How bad was Ryan Fitzpatrick's day against Kansas City? Worse than any game David Klingler, Brandon Weeden, Donald Hollas, Ryan Leaf, or any other horrible quarterback has ever had in the past 25 years.

107 comments, Last Comment at 29 Sep 2016, 4:15am by Vincent Verhei

Sep 27, 2016 12:20am GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Audibles at the Line: Week 3

Denver, Philadelphia, and Minnesota roll on; Seattle and Green Bay get back on track; Washington wins a shootout with the Giants; and the Cardinals lose again on the east coast.

206 comments, Last Comment at 5:38am by fmtemike

Sep 26, 2016 04:04am GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Audibles articles

FEI Week 4: Ratings Check

With Alabama holding serve as the nation's top team, Brian Fremeau explains how good play-by-play teams can still struggle drive-by-drive -- and vice versa.

2 comments, Last Comment at 29 Sep 2016, 12:12pm by Brian Fremeau

Sep 28, 2016 03:30pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Chaos and Coaching Changes

An upset-fueled Week 4 led to new expectations for surprising teams like Wisconsin, Tennessee, and Texas A&M, but poor performances at LSU and Notre Dame led to early-season firings.

0 comments

Sep 26, 2016 07:13pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

Seventh Day Adventure: Week 5

Critical games this weekend in the Pac-12, Big Ten, and ACC could go a long way in determining conference championships -- and maybe even playoff berths.

0 comments

Sep 29, 2016 04:51am by Ian Boyd || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Any Given Sunday: Eagles Over Steelers

The Eagles' standing at the top of the DVOA rankings looks a lot less fluky after their stunning domination of the Steelers.

19 comments, Last Comment at 28 Sep 2016, 5:12pm by horn

Sep 27, 2016 10:26am GMT by Sterling Xie || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: September 23, 2016

Topics this week include Cleveland's terrible offense, Los Angeles' terrible offense, and Chicago's terrible offense. With a special appearance by Mike Ditka!

19 comments, Last Comment at 26 Sep 2016, 12:10am by The Hypno-Toad

Sep 23, 2016 11:04am by Rob Eves || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: The Great Debate

Inspired by Terrelle Pryor's do-it-all day against Miami, Bryan and Andrew try to put together the NFL's best 11-man double-duty lineup.

14 comments, Last Comment at 29 Sep 2016, 2:12pm by Theo

Sep 28, 2016 11:03am by Bryan Knowles and Andrew Potter || read all Scramble articles

Playoff Odds Report

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

Odds to Make PlayoffsOdds to Win Super Bowl LIOdds of No. 1 Pick
1NE84.6% 1SEA16.4% 1CLE29.4%
2SEA77.3% 2NE13.9% 2CHI13.7%
3BAL74.8% 3KC10.3% 3JAC11.2%
4MIN72.9% 4BAL7.8% 4NO9.5%
5PHI69.0% 5PHI7.0% 5SF6.5%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 3

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30 Sep 2016, 11:43am by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Are Broncos Better This Year?

So far, yes! But can their offense keep up this above-average production? And what happens when other AFC contenders get stars back from injury and/or suspension?

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0 comments

30 Sep 2016, 11:14am by Ben Muth

Word of Muth: Tampa Twosome

They weren't perfect, but Tampa Bay's two youngest offensive linemen -- Donovan Smith and Ali Marpet -- shined in the Bucs' loss to Los Angeles.

» More...

4 comments, Last at 12:49pm by MilkmanDanimal

29 Sep 2016, 06:58am by Cian Fahey

Film Room: Minnesota Vikings

Cian Fahey shows how Mike Zimmer has led his team through a month of upheaval to become one of the NFL's best teams.

» More...

32 comments, Last at 11:37am by Tomlin_Is_Infallible

29 Sep 2016, 04:51am by Ian Boyd

Seventh Day Adventure: Week 5

Critical games this weekend in the Pac-12, Big Ten, and ACC could go a long way in determining conference championships -- and maybe even playoff berths.

» More...

0 comments

28 Sep 2016, 04:09pm by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Week 4 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 4 DFS matchups include Joe Flacco, Melvin Gordon, Terrelle Pryor and Zach Miller. We are fading the injured Russell Wilson and Dez Bryant.

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0 comments

28 Sep 2016, 03:30pm by Brian Fremeau

FEI Week 4: Ratings Check

With Alabama holding serve as the nation's top team, Brian Fremeau explains how good play-by-play teams can still struggle drive-by-drive -- and vice versa.

» More...

2 comments, Last at 29 Sep 2016, 12:12pm by Brian Fremeau

28 Sep 2016, 11:33am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Week 4 Playoff Odds

Here's a new weekly feature from us at ESPN Insider. We're starting our ESPN playoff odds report earlier than past years, and giving comments about all 32 teams each week. You'll find this on Wednesdays for the first half of the year, switching to Tuesdays in the second half. We also list the five most important games of the week for impact on playoff odds; this week's most important game is Carolina at Atlanta.

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3 comments, Last at 28 Sep 2016, 3:09pm by Eddo

28 Sep 2016, 11:03am by Bryan Knowles and Andrew Potter

Scramble for the Ball: The Great Debate

Inspired by Terrelle Pryor's do-it-all day against Miami, Bryan and Andrew try to put together the NFL's best 11-man double-duty lineup.

» More...

14 comments, Last at 29 Sep 2016, 2:12pm by Theo

27 Sep 2016, 07:41pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 3 DVOA Ratings

Philadelphia opens a bigger lead in our ratings, one of a number of top teams being driven primarily by defense in the early part of 2016.

» More...

92 comments, Last at 29 Sep 2016, 3:20pm by Theo

27 Sep 2016, 03:27pm by Scott Kacsmar

Clutch Encounters: Week 3

T.Y. Hilton to the rescue in Indy. Also: Trevor Siemian's big day, The Terrelle Pryor Show, Washington's must-have comeback, and Tennessee's Exotic Smashmouth is so indecent.

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10 comments, Last at 28 Sep 2016, 2:45pm by Anon Ymous

27 Sep 2016, 10:26am by Sterling Xie

Any Given Sunday: Eagles Over Steelers

The Eagles' standing at the top of the DVOA rankings looks a lot less fluky after their stunning domination of the Steelers.

» More...

19 comments, Last at 28 Sep 2016, 5:12pm by horn

27 Sep 2016, 12:20am by Vincent Verhei

Week 3 Quick Reads

How bad was Ryan Fitzpatrick's day against Kansas City? Worse than any game David Klingler, Brandon Weeden, Donald Hollas, Ryan Leaf, or any other horrible quarterback has ever had in the past 25 years.

» More...

107 comments, Last at 29 Sep 2016, 4:15am by Vincent Verhei

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