Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

FolesNic12.jpg

Photo: US PRESSWIRE

Clutch Encounters: Week 3

New respect for Nick Foles after another GWD. Also: four-minute blues for Browns, glory-hole day for Dallas, Jets seeing red and Bruce Arians' magic beans.

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

Week 2 DVOA Ratings

Stomping the Jags leaves Washington No. 2 behind only Denver. But what can we really learn from one big win early in the season, before we are applying opponent adjustments?

75 comments, Last Comment at 18 Sep 2014, 5:43pm by Rick_and_Roll

Sep 16, 2014 06:55pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Word of Muth: Bears Upset 49ers

The Bears got the win and Kyle Long had the block of his dreams, but Ben Muth found plenty of room for improvement in Chicago's offensive line.

15 comments, Last Comment at 20 Sep 2014, 12:06pm by Benzki

Sep 18, 2014 01:56pm by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Week 3 Quick Reads

What was the flaw in Andrew Luck’s game against Jacksonville? And does that say more about Luck, or the Jaguars?

45 comments, Last Comment at 3:23pm by Ryan

Sep 22, 2014 05:00pm GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Film Room: Philip Rivers

The "blueprint" the Chargers used to beat the Seahawks? It starts with a Pro Bowl quarterback playing at the absolute top of his game.

5 comments, Last Comment at 18 Sep 2014, 6:56pm by gecko85

Sep 18, 2014 09:20am by Cian Fahey || read all Film Room articles

Audibles at the Line: Week 3

Our thoughts on the Super Bowl rematch, early MVP contenders, and tactics to avoid on third-and-long.

141 comments, Last Comment at 3:14pm by dmstorm22

Sep 22, 2014 06:10am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI Week 3: Bulldogs Bog Down

Georgia had a significant field-position and turnover-value advantage over South Carolina, but couldn't convert with the game on the line.

0 comments

Sep 17, 2014 12:20pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Blowouts, Upsets, and Narrow Escapes

The College Football Playoff field narrowed on Saturday. Some teams got upset, some barely escaped an upset, and a few had big record-setting blowouts.

1 comment, Last Comment at 3:07pm by RickD

Sep 22, 2014 02:03pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: Big Tests for Playoff Front Runners

Oklahoma, Florida State, Alabama, Auburn, and LSU all have tough matchups this weekend. Are any at risk of an upset?

5 comments, Last Comment at 22 Sep 2014, 6:52am by Chad Peltier

Sep 18, 2014 05:05pm by Chad Peltier || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: Cry Havoc

Bill Connelly takes a look at what we can learn from defensive box score stats and general rates of havoc.

0 comments

Sep 19, 2014 11:25am by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Any Given Sunday: Cardinals Over 49ers

San Francisco's loss to Arizona had less to do with Colin Kaepernick's performance and more to do with a key injury.

3 comments, Last Comment at 12:39pm by turbohappy

Sep 23, 2014 11:18am GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: September 19, 2014

Yes, people are still talking about Adrian Peterson, Greg Hardy, and Ray McDonald. But hey, we also get Chip Kelly exchanging pleasantries with reporters.

5 comments, Last Comment at 22 Sep 2014, 9:54am by Led

Sep 19, 2014 04:17am by Rory Hickey || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: The Best Losers

Tom and Mike perform the ritual "complimenting of the Loser League team names," pile on Marty Mornhinweg, and actually find a scenario where starting Geno Smith is a good idea.

19 comments, Last Comment at 2:05pm by العاب طبخ

Sep 17, 2014 11:47am by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower || read all Scramble articles

Futures: Miami RB Duke Johnson

Is Johnson capable of NFL brilliance? Burst will ultimately tell the tale.

0 comments

Sep 19, 2014 04:50pm by Matt Waldman || read all Futures articles

Innovative Statistics

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

Odds to Make Playoffs Odds to Win Super Bowl Odds to Get No. 1 Pick
1CIN87.1% 1CIN14.4% 1TB35.9%
2DEN83.6% 2DEN13.5% 2OAK17.4%
3PHI82.2% 3SEA9.4% 3JAC16.3%
4SEA78.1% 4PHI9.4% 4STL5.5%
5CHI71.6% 5CHI8.3% 5MIN5.3%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 3

2014 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1DEN46.8% 1DEN29.7%
2WAS40.4% 2SEA19.7%
3BUF33.8% 3NE15.9%
4CIN33.1% 4GB14.1%
5SEA29.2% 5CIN11.6%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 2

2014 OFFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1DEN41.3% 1DEN27.6%
2SEA38.4% 2GB16.7%
3CIN22.6% 3SEA12.3%
4NO22.3% 4SD11.9%
5CLE22.2% 5NO11.9%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 2

2014 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1WAS-37.8% 1CAR-11.3%
2CAR-26.8% 2WAS-9.8%
3DET-25.2% 3SEA-6.4%
4NE-25.2% 4NE-6.4%
5ARI-22.1% 5ARI-6.2%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 2

2014 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1BUF16.8% 1BUF4.5%
2GB8.5% 2NE3.4%
3ARI5.5% 3CLE1.6%
4NO4.6% 4ATL1.3%
5DAL4.5% 5GB1.1%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 2

QUARTERBACKS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1M.RyanATL341 1M.RyanATL35.9%
2P.ManningDEN310 2K.CousinsWAS34.8%
3D.BreesNO262 3P.ManningDEN31.4%
4K.CousinsWAS260 4D.AndersonCAR27.8%
5P.RiversSD236 5P.RiversSD25.6%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 3

RUNNING BACKS 2014

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1D.MurrayDAL88 1J.HillCIN60.9% 1A.BradshawIND80
2J.HillCIN76 2K.MorenoMIA54.0% 2D.SprolesPHI49
3M.LynchSEA73 3I.CrowellCLE45.9% 3M.LynchSEA49
4R.JenningsNYG66 4J.ForsettBAL38.6% 4L.BellPIT45
5K.MorenoMIA65 5M.LynchSEA24.6% 5P.ThomasNO34
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 3

WIDE RECEIVERS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.BrownPIT126 1M.FloydSD66.0%
2J.JonesATL119 2S.JohnsonSF47.0%
3E.SandersDEN94 3A.BrownPIT44.1%
4C.JohnsonDET91 4A.J.GreenCIN43.9%
5J.EdelmanNE90 5D.HopkinsHOU38.7%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 3

TIGHT ENDS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.GatesSD74 1Z.ErtzPHI63.5%
2Z.ErtzPHI66 2A.GatesSD61.4%
3J.GrahamNO65 3V.DavisSF56.3%
4J.ThomasDEN57 4S.ChandlerBUF45.6%
5M.BennettCHI52 5J.ThomasDEN43.2%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 3

Most Recent Articles

23 Sep 2014, 02:26pm by Scott Kacsmar

Clutch Encounters: Week 3

New respect for Nick Foles after another GWD. Also: four-minute blues for Browns, glory-hole day for Dallas, Jets seeing red and Bruce Arians' magic beans.

» More...

0 comments

23 Sep 2014, 11:18am by Rivers McCown

Any Given Sunday: Cardinals Over 49ers

San Francisco's loss to Arizona had less to do with Colin Kaepernick's performance and more to do with a key injury.

» More...

3 comments, Last at 12:39pm by turbohappy

22 Sep 2014, 05:00pm by Vincent Verhei

Week 3 Quick Reads

What was the flaw in Andrew Luck’s game against Jacksonville? And does that say more about Luck, or the Jaguars?

» More...

45 comments, Last at 3:23pm by Ryan

22 Sep 2014, 02:03pm by Chad Peltier

OFI: Blowouts, Upsets, and Narrow Escapes

The College Football Playoff field narrowed on Saturday. Some teams got upset, some barely escaped an upset, and a few had big record-setting blowouts.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 3:07pm by RickD

22 Sep 2014, 10:52am by Scott Kacsmar

Clutch Encounters: Broncos vs. Seahawks

The sequel that blew away the original. Denver's historic one-minute drill goes for naught after Seahawks calmly drive for OT win.

» More...

29 comments, Last at 4:55pm by atworkforu

22 Sep 2014, 06:10am by Andrew Potter

Audibles at the Line: Week 3

Our thoughts on the Super Bowl rematch, early MVP contenders, and tactics to avoid on third-and-long.

» More...

141 comments, Last at 3:14pm by dmstorm22

19 Sep 2014, 04:50pm by Matt Waldman

Futures: Miami RB Duke Johnson

Is Johnson capable of NFL brilliance? Burst will ultimately tell the tale.

» More...

0 comments

19 Sep 2014, 11:25am by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Cry Havoc

Bill Connelly takes a look at what we can learn from defensive box score stats and general rates of havoc.

» More...

0 comments

19 Sep 2014, 04:17am by Rory Hickey

The Week In Quotes: September 19, 2014

Yes, people are still talking about Adrian Peterson, Greg Hardy, and Ray McDonald. But hey, we also get Chip Kelly exchanging pleasantries with reporters.

» More...

5 comments, Last at 22 Sep 2014, 9:54am by Led

18 Sep 2014, 05:05pm by Chad Peltier

SDA: Big Tests for Playoff Front Runners

Oklahoma, Florida State, Alabama, Auburn, and LSU all have tough matchups this weekend. Are any at risk of an upset?

» More...

5 comments, Last at 22 Sep 2014, 6:52am by Chad Peltier

18 Sep 2014, 01:56pm by Ben Muth

Word of Muth: Bears Upset 49ers

The Bears got the win and Kyle Long had the block of his dreams, but Ben Muth found plenty of room for improvement in Chicago's offensive line.

» More...

15 comments, Last at 20 Sep 2014, 12:06pm by Benzki

18 Sep 2014, 11:00am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Panthers, Bills Can Sustain Success

Today's ESPN Insider feature looks at four surprise 2-0 teams. Carolina and Buffalo look most likely to continue their success into the playoffs; Houston hasn't actually played that well and Arizona still has hellish division competition.

» More...

2 comments, Last at 2:03pm by العاب طبخ

Click here for full article archives