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Film Room: Doug Baldwin

The Seahawks receiver put himself on the map with a numerical explosion in the second half of last year, but Cian Fahey shows that Baldwin has been very good for a long time now.

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Football Outsiders Features

Film Room: Doug Baldwin

The Seahawks receiver put himself on the map with a numerical explosion in the second half of last year, but Cian Fahey shows that Baldwin has been very good for a long time now.

5 comments, Last Comment at 5:04pm by Joe Pancake

Aug 25, 2016 01:39pm by Cian Fahey || read all Film Room articles

Week 20 DVOA Ratings

In the NFC Championship Game, Carolina puts up the biggest single-game DVOA of the year and one of the 10 best in DVOA history. The Panthers now go into Super Bowl 50 as clear favorites.

115 comments, Last Comment at 04 Aug 2016, 7:06pm by davepyne

Jan 25, 2016 09:20pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Word of Muth: Super Bowl Wrap-Up

An erratic but improving offensive line played a big part in Denver's championship win.

20 comments, Last Comment at 24 Feb 2016, 8:53pm by tuluse

Feb 11, 2016 11:43am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Super Bowl 50 Quick Reads

Raise your hand if you don't care how bad Peyton Manning's numbers were so long as the Broncos won.

86 comments, Last Comment at 11 Feb 2016, 8:49am by ChicagoRaider

Feb 08, 2016 01:00pm GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Audibles: 2016 NFL Draft Day 2

In which the FO staff tries to make sense of whatever the hell the Titans are doing.

35 comments, Last Comment at 03 May 2016, 4:03pm by dmstorm22

Apr 30, 2016 05:25am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI Final: Alabama Again

The national championship game will long be remembered for the flurry of scores over the final ten minutes, but two key stops by Alabama before that flurry began were just as crucial.


Jan 13, 2016 12:03pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Another Alabama Championship

In one of the most exciting college championships since Texas-USC, Alabama defeated Clemson thanks to special teams and explosive plays.

2 comments, Last Comment at 13 Jan 2016, 1:37pm by rbennett99

Jan 12, 2016 04:55pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: The Best Possible Championship

This is the best possible championship game we could have gotten, with Alabama and Clemson as the two top teams with nearly equal top-end talent. But does Clemson have enough depth to get the win?


Jan 10, 2016 04:08pm by Chad Peltier || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: A Couple of Goodbyes

Bill Connelly says goodbye to the 2015 college football season ... and says goodbye to Varsity Numbers.

2 comments, Last Comment at 15 Jan 2016, 7:02pm by andrew

Jan 15, 2016 02:27pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Any Given Sunday: Vikings Over Packers

The NFC North championship game featured two teams that were more alike than many might imagine. Was Minnesota even a true underdog?

11 comments, Last Comment at 06 Jan 2016, 10:48am by PatsFan

Jan 05, 2016 03:59pm GMT by Sterling Xie || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Month In Quotes: July 2016

Just before training camp, NFL players seemed most concerned with rehabbing injuries, and the drugs they used to deal with the pain of those injuries.

3 comments, Last Comment at 11 Aug 2016, 12:11am by LionInAZ

Aug 04, 2016 08:40pm by Guest || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: 2015 in Review

Andrew and Sterling recap Denver's win over Carolina and their takeaways for the 2015 season.

124 comments, Last Comment at 01 Mar 2016, 6:26pm by RR0907

Feb 10, 2016 12:37pm by Andrew Healy and Sterling Xie || read all Scramble articles


Odds to Make 2016 Postseason
1SEA 72.2% 6 KC 60.3% 11CIN 40.9%
2ARI 69.3% 7 BAL 50.7% 12BUF 39.9%
3PIT 66.9% 8 DAL 50.5% 13IND 38.9%
4NE 65.5% 9 CAR 47.7% 14SD 37.2%
5GB 64.8% 10 MIN 41.4% 15DEN 37.0%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!from Football Outsiders Almanac 2016

Most Recent Articles

25 Aug 2016, 01:39pm by Cian Fahey

Film Room: Doug Baldwin

The Seahawks receiver put himself on the map with a numerical explosion in the second half of last year, but Cian Fahey shows that Baldwin has been very good for a long time now.

» More...

5 comments, Last at 5:04pm by Joe Pancake

24 Aug 2016, 11:53am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Overrated, Underrated from #NFLRank

Each year, ESPN polls a number of writers and editors to make up a list of the top 100 players in the NFL, and each year Football Outsiders writes an article auditing the list and giving players we feel are overrated or underrated by the list. This year is no exception. We choose Adrian Peterson, Jordan Reed, and Marcus Peters as overrated, and Russell Wilson, Lavonte David, and David DeCastro as underrated.

The ESPN reader comments are certainly enjoyable.

» More...

3 comments, Last at 9:02pm by commissionerleaf

23 Aug 2016, 05:34pm by Scott Kacsmar

Tajae Sharpe: Perfect Situation for Early Success?

You don't see many fifth-round rookie wideouts with real expectations, but Tajae Sharpe is one. Tennessee's poor history of developing wideouts has led to a rare opportunity that Sharpe can seize this season.

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4 comments, Last at 4:44pm by Jerry

22 Aug 2016, 03:56pm by Vincent Verhei

2016 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Underrated

Our look at players going too low in fantasy drafts shows an obvious trend: people have lost faith in the Cincinnati offense. We explain why overestimating the Bengals' decline is a mistake.

» More...


18 Aug 2016, 09:58am by Cian Fahey

Film Room: New England Defense

Cian Fahey shows how a pair of pass-rushers could carry New England to victory even without their quarterback.

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10 comments, Last at 23 Aug 2016, 10:33pm by alan frankel

17 Aug 2016, 07:57pm by Scott Kacsmar

Derek Carr: Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics

Is Derek Carr a franchise QB or a young player trying to find his way? Scott Kacsmar sees his career as a case study for how fans value fantasy football vs. reality, and the divide between stats and film study.

» More...

109 comments, Last at 12:12pm by Bob Smith

17 Aug 2016, 07:07pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: 2016 NFC Preview

The Off The Charts podcast is back for its second season, featuring me and Scott Spratt of Sports Info Solutions talking about the NFL, advanced stats, and all of the charting data SIS is collecting for us. In this first edition, we take a look at the NFC projections in FOA 2016. (Click to read more.)

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17 Aug 2016, 01:40pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on The Ringer's NFL Podcast

Hey! It's time for more preseason podcast appearances. Here I am with Robert Mays doing The Ringer's NFL podcast. This episode is about the AFC East specifically, and I talk a lot about the Jets and Patriots, but we do discuss the general NFL forecast of FOA 2016 as well.

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1 comment, Last at 19 Aug 2016, 6:48am by Abdul-Rahmaan

17 Aug 2016, 09:45am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: NFL's Most Likely Worst-to-First Teams

Over on ESPN Insider, I take a look at the eight last-place teams from 2015 and which one is most likely to make the postseason according to our playoff odds simulation. Things are looking good for Dallas, and San Diego's going to be in the playoff race too. San Francisco and Cleveland, not so much.

» More...


16 Aug 2016, 09:38pm by Scott Kacsmar

FOA 2016 Discussion: The Root and Roots Show

Scott Kacsmar made his annual appearance on Greg Rasheed's The Root and Roots podcast to talk about Football Outsiders Almanac 2016. Topics include: why we expect the Broncos to regress to .500, the difficulty of sustaining a great defense over a great offense, surprise teams in 2016 and the favorites in each division heading into the season.

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16 Aug 2016, 02:53pm by Vincent Verhei

2016 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Overrated

Our look at players going way too early in fantasy drafts starts with a veteran quarterback making a big return in Big D.

» More...

30 comments, Last at 23 Aug 2016, 3:05pm by Vincent Verhei

15 Aug 2016, 03:09pm by Scott Kacsmar

Catch Radius: Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper finished with the 11th-most receiving yards by a rookie in NFL history, but is catching the ball his biggest weakness? Scott Kacsmar finds out just how many drops he had and looks at Cooper's catch radius.

» More...

5 comments, Last at 16 Aug 2016, 2:47pm by fb29

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