Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

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Film Room: Philip Rivers

The "blueprint" the Chargers used to beat the Seahawks? It starts with a Pro Bowl quarterback playing at the absolute top of his game.

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

Week 2 DVOA Ratings

Stomping the Jags leaves Washington No. 2 behind only Denver. But what can we really learn from one big win early in the season, before we are applying opponent adjustments?

73 comments, Last Comment at 10:34am by ElJefe

Sep 16, 2014 06:55pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Word of Muth: Ravens' New Scheme

The Ravens lost a nail-biter in Week 1, but Ben Muth found plenty to like about their offensive line's performance and Gary Kubiak's play design.

8 comments, Last Comment at 12 Sep 2014, 5:19pm by atworkforu

Sep 11, 2014 11:31am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Week 2 Quick Reads

How dramatic was Jay Cutler's improvement from the first half to the second against San Francisco?

39 comments, Last Comment at 17 Sep 2014, 1:31pm by TomC

Sep 15, 2014 04:37pm GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Film Room: Philip Rivers

The "blueprint" the Chargers used to beat the Seahawks? It starts with a Pro Bowl quarterback playing at the absolute top of his game.

1 comment, Last Comment at 10:51am by Noah of Arkadia

Sep 18, 2014 09:20am by Cian Fahey || read all Film Room articles

Audibles at the Line: Week 2

Topics this week include the Wilson-Rivers shootout in San Diego, the Bears' ugly comeback in San Francisco, and Jake's first-half a-Locker-lypse in Tennessee.

125 comments, Last Comment at 17 Sep 2014, 8:15am by Jimmy

Sep 15, 2014 10:05am GMT by Luke McKenna || read all Audibles articles

FEI Week 3: Bulldogs Bog Down

Georgia had a significant field-position and turnover-value advantage over South Carolina, but couldn't convert with the game on the line.

0 comments

Sep 17, 2014 12:20pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Letdown Saturday

A week after big upsets of Stanford and Ohio State, the USC and Virginia Tech themselves fell to less-talented opponents. Georgia also fell to South Carolina after pummeling Clemson in the opener.

0 comments

Sep 15, 2014 02:36pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: Dawgs Go for South Carolina Sweep

After a dominant second half against Clemson, many in the media are happy to put Georgia into playoff projections. This week's matchup against South Carolina should provide more clarity.

4 comments, Last Comment at 11 Sep 2014, 7:46pm by cfn_ms

Sep 11, 2014 01:09pm by Chad Peltier || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: Follow the Bouncing Ball

We like to think of fumble recoveries as a 50/50 proposition, but how much of an impact does the location of the fumble have on who recovers it? Bill Connelly takes a look.

0 comments

Sep 12, 2014 07:05pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Any Given Sunday: Browns Over Saints

Why have Kenny Vaccaro and the Saints' secondary been such a headache for New Orleans this year?

0 comments

Sep 16, 2014 01:33pm GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: September 12, 2014

Not surprisingly, there's a lot of negativity concerning you-know-who in this TWIQ. But if you make it all the way through we can promise a happy ending.

2 comments, Last Comment at 12 Sep 2014, 2:53pm by armchair journeyman quarterback

Sep 12, 2014 11:03am by Rory Hickey || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: The Best Losers

Tom and Mike perform the ritual "complimenting of the Loser League team names," pile on Marty Mornhinweg, and actually find a scenario where starting Geno Smith is a good idea.

15 comments, Last Comment at 11:38am by Mike Kurtz

Sep 17, 2014 11:47am by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower || read all Scramble articles

Futures: Alabama WR Amari Cooper

Cooper's game has elements of Michael Crabtree and Roddy White. See what he must learn to fit into either one of these starters' development trajectory.

1 comment, Last Comment at 16 Sep 2014, 7:13am by Tomlin_Is_Infallible

Sep 13, 2014 10:22am by Matt Waldman || read all Futures articles

Innovative Statistics

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

Odds to Make Playoffs Odds to Win Super Bowl Odds to Get No. 1 Pick
1DEN91.7% 1DEN21.7% 1OAK22.8%
2CIN77.6% 2CIN9.4% 2KC17.2%
3PHI70.1% 3SEA8.4% 3JAC11.9%
4SEA69.5% 4CAR6.7% 4NYG11.9%
5CAR66.9% 5PHI6.6% 5TB9.2%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 2

2014 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1DEN46.8% 1DEN29.7%
2WAS40.4% 2SEA19.7%
3BUF33.8% 3NE15.9%
4CIN33.1% 4GB14.1%
5SEA29.2% 5CIN11.6%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 2

2014 OFFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1DEN41.3% 1DEN27.6%
2SEA38.4% 2GB16.7%
3CIN22.6% 3SEA12.3%
4NO22.3% 4SD11.9%
5CLE22.2% 5NO11.9%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 2

2014 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1WAS-37.8% 1CAR-11.3%
2CAR-26.8% 2WAS-9.8%
3DET-25.2% 3SEA-6.4%
4NE-25.2% 4NE-6.4%
5ARI-22.1% 5ARI-6.2%
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2014 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1BUF16.8% 1BUF4.5%
2GB8.5% 2NE3.4%
3ARI5.5% 3CLE1.6%
4NO4.6% 4ATL1.3%
5DAL4.5% 5GB1.1%
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QUARTERBACKS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1P.ManningDEN300 1P.ManningDEN62.6%
2M.StaffordDET184 2K.CousinsWAS43.2%
3D.BreesNO158 3R.FitzpatrickHOU34.7%
4A.DaltonCIN157 4A.DaltonCIN29.0%
5J.CutlerCHI153 5C.PalmerARI25.6%
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RUNNING BACKS 2014

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1D.MurrayDAL87 1M.IngramNO63.4% 1A.BradshawIND63
2M.IngramNO74 2I.CrowellCLE52.1% 2L.BellPIT55
3K.MorenoMIA61 3K.MorenoMIA49.5% 3D.SprolesPHI43
4M.LynchSEA56 4J.ForsettBAL48.3% 4P.ThomasNO30
5J.ForsettBAL46 5J.HillCIN47.4% 5A.SmithATL26
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WIDE RECEIVERS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1R.CobbGB87 1R.CobbGB58.8%
2C.JohnsonDET80 2J.CotcheryCAR49.6%
3A.BrownPIT71 3J.EdelmanNE43.6%
4J.EdelmanNE68 4A.J.GreenCIN43.0%
5J.NelsonGB65 5A.BrownPIT38.4%
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TIGHT ENDS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.GatesSD71 1J.CarlsonARI82.7%
2Z.ErtzPHI60 2Z.ErtzPHI82.6%
3J.GrahamNO59 3A.GatesSD63.8%
4J.ThomasDEN52 4V.DavisSF55.3%
5N.PaulWAS40 5J.ThomasDEN53.6%
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Most Recent Articles

18 Sep 2014, 11:00am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Panthers, Bills Can Sustain Success

Today's ESPN Insider feature looks at four surprise 2-0 teams. Carolina and Buffalo look most likely to continue their success into the playoffs; Houston hasn't actually played that well and Arizona still has hellish division competition.

» More...

0 comments

18 Sep 2014, 09:20am by Cian Fahey

Film Room: Philip Rivers

The "blueprint" the Chargers used to beat the Seahawks? It starts with a Pro Bowl quarterback playing at the absolute top of his game.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 10:51am by Noah of Arkadia

18 Sep 2014, 09:17am by Brian Fremeau

ESPN: Wreaking Poll Havoc

Kansas State and three other teams poised to ruin the College Football Playoff hopes of contenders.

» More...

0 comments

17 Sep 2014, 12:20pm by Brian Fremeau

FEI Week 3: Bulldogs Bog Down

Georgia had a significant field-position and turnover-value advantage over South Carolina, but couldn't convert with the game on the line.

» More...

0 comments

17 Sep 2014, 11:59am by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Week 3 Fantasy Matchups

Need advice on which players to target in salary-cap leagues, or sit/start advice for your regular league? Here are our picks for Week 3, including Ryan Tannehill and Cordarrelle Patterson.

» More...

0 comments

17 Sep 2014, 11:47am by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower

Scramble for the Ball: The Best Losers

Tom and Mike perform the ritual "complimenting of the Loser League team names," pile on Marty Mornhinweg, and actually find a scenario where starting Geno Smith is a good idea.

» More...

15 comments, Last at 11:38am by Mike Kurtz

16 Sep 2014, 06:55pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 2 DVOA Ratings

Stomping the Jags leaves Washington No. 2 behind only Denver. But what can we really learn from one big win early in the season, before we are applying opponent adjustments?

» More...

73 comments, Last at 10:34am by ElJefe

16 Sep 2014, 03:26pm by Scott Kacsmar

Clutch Encounters: Week 2

The Eagles horse-collar the Colts in Monday night stunner. Also: Chicago's rope-a-dope, the end of Seattle's streaks, and a comeback 22 years in the making in Green Bay.

» More...

26 comments, Last at 17 Sep 2014, 8:22pm by LionInAZ

16 Sep 2014, 01:33pm by Rivers McCown

Any Given Sunday: Browns Over Saints

Why have Kenny Vaccaro and the Saints' secondary been such a headache for New Orleans this year?

» More...

0 comments

15 Sep 2014, 04:37pm by Vincent Verhei

Week 2 Quick Reads

How dramatic was Jay Cutler's improvement from the first half to the second against San Francisco?

» More...

39 comments, Last at 17 Sep 2014, 1:31pm by TomC

15 Sep 2014, 02:36pm by Chad Peltier

OFI: Letdown Saturday

A week after big upsets of Stanford and Ohio State, the USC and Virginia Tech themselves fell to less-talented opponents. Georgia also fell to South Carolina after pummeling Clemson in the opener.

» More...

0 comments

15 Sep 2014, 10:05am by Luke McKenna

Audibles at the Line: Week 2

Topics this week include the Wilson-Rivers shootout in San Diego, the Bears' ugly comeback in San Francisco, and Jake's first-half a-Locker-lypse in Tennessee.

» More...

125 comments, Last at 17 Sep 2014, 8:15am by Jimmy

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