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Football Outsiders Features

Week 3 DVOA Ratings

For only the second time in history, the Bengals are No. 1 in our ratings. But compared to other No. 1 teams after three weeks, there's a real lack of dominance.

104 comments, Last Comment at 28 Sep 2014, 11:03am by mitch

Sep 23, 2014 05:39pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Word of Muth: State of the Rams

Sam Bradford is hurt and Greg Robinson can't get off the bench. Is there anything to like in St. Louis? Actually, Ben Muth says, the answer is an emphatic yes.

7 comments, Last Comment at 26 Sep 2014, 4:26pm by ssburbman@hotmail com

Sep 25, 2014 01:38pm by Vincent Verhei || read all Word Of Muth articles

Week 4 Quick Reads

Our look at which quarterbacks were "streakiest" in Week 4 includes more discussion of Raiders quarterbacks than we ever anticipated.

24 comments, Last Comment at 12:32pm by Bobman

Sep 29, 2014 09:39pm GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Film Room: Khalil Mack

Khalil Mack hasn't put up big numbers in his first three games, but the rookie might one day turn the whole league on its head.

8 comments, Last Comment at 27 Sep 2014, 2:30pm by theslothook

Sep 25, 2014 11:11am by Cian Fahey || read all Film Room articles

Audibles at the Line: Week 4

Topics this week include bad quarterbacks, bad commentary, bad coverage, bad tackling, and bad coaching.

89 comments, Last Comment at 11:57am by Steve in WI

Sep 29, 2014 09:10am GMT by Luke McKenna || read all Audibles articles

FEI Week 4: Mean Wins Update

It's too early to tell how some of our preseason projections will fare, but we know we were wrong about East Carolina.

2 comments, Last Comment at 26 Sep 2014, 3:36pm by skunkfunk

Sep 24, 2014 06:01am by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Running Wild

Elite running backs have carried their teams this season, from Georgia's Todd Gurley to Nebraska's Ameer Abdullah

1 comment, Last Comment at 29 Sep 2014, 6:21pm by Danimal

Sep 29, 2014 03:10pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: Offensive Advantages

The week's most anticipated matchups all feature high-powered offenses, with Texas A&M, Arkansas, Georgia, South Carolina, Texas Tech, and Arizona State in the spotlight.

0 comments

Sep 25, 2014 07:16pm by Chad Peltier || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: Little Things, Inc.

Big plays and touchdowns get all the hype, but Bill Connelly says it's the little things that make Stanford one of the best teams in the country.

0 comments

Sep 26, 2014 03:51pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Any Given Sunday: Bucs Over Steelers

For several reasons, Sunday's upset in Pittsburgh looks more like a Steelers loss than a Buccaneers win.

3 comments, Last Comment at 12:29pm by young curmudgeon

Sep 30, 2014 12:23pm GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: September 26, 2014

This week: Ray Lewis makes us uncomfortable, everyone questions Roger Goodell, and the Luck vs. Wilson debate is settled forever.

27 comments, Last Comment at 29 Sep 2014, 3:23am by Hummingbird Cyborg

Sep 26, 2014 10:11am by Rory Hickey || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: Rotten Cheeseheads

Mike and Tom learn the same lesson and pile on the Dallas defense in this week's edition of Scramble for the Ball.

22 comments, Last Comment at 26 Sep 2014, 7:26pm by LionInAZ

Sep 24, 2014 04:21pm by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower || read all Scramble articles

Futures: UCLA LB-RB Myles Jack

If players who play multiple positions are the four-leaf clovers of football, then two-way players are the even rarer five-leaf variety. Myles Jack, a star at linebacker and running back, is college football's six-leaf clover.

0 comments

Sep 27, 2014 11:30am by Matt Waldman || read all Futures articles

Innovative Statistics

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

Odds to Make Playoffs Odds to Win Super Bowl Odds to Get No. 1 Pick
1CIN87.1% 1CIN14.4% 1TB35.9%
2DEN83.6% 2DEN13.5% 2OAK17.4%
3PHI82.2% 3SEA9.4% 3JAC16.3%
4SEA78.1% 4PHI9.4% 4STL5.5%
5CHI71.6% 5CHI8.3% 5MIN5.3%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 3

2014 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Projection)
1CIN36.3% 1DEN24.3%
2ATL35.8% 2SEA20.1%
3DEN24.7% 3CIN18.8%
4SEA24.6% 4NE17.4%
5CHI24.3% 5CHI15.9%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 3

2014 OFFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Projection)
1NO24.6% 1DEN21.7%
2SEA24.3% 2NO15.7%
3CLE23.6% 3SEA12.9%
4ATL22.3% 4PIT11.4%
5PIT21.9% 5ATL11.0%
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2014 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Projection)
1NE-27.1% 1NE-12.3%
2DET-24.7% 2DET-9.6%
3WAS-20.1% 3WAS-9.3%
4CHI-19.9% 4CHI-9.0%
5CIN-14.8% 5CIN-8.4%
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2014 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Projection)
1ATL14.6% 1ATL6.7%
2BUF14.0% 2BUF6.5%
3PHI8.9% 3NE3.1%
4GB6.6% 4GB2.3%
5PIT5.7% 5PHI2.2%
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QUARTERBACKS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1M.RyanATL341 1M.RyanATL35.9%
2P.ManningDEN310 2K.CousinsWAS34.8%
3D.BreesNO262 3P.ManningDEN31.4%
4K.CousinsWAS260 4D.AndersonCAR27.8%
5P.RiversSD236 5P.RiversSD25.6%
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RUNNING BACKS 2014

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1D.MurrayDAL88 1J.HillCIN60.9% 1A.BradshawIND80
2J.HillCIN76 2K.MorenoMIA54.0% 2D.SprolesPHI49
3M.LynchSEA73 3I.CrowellCLE45.9% 3M.LynchSEA49
4R.JenningsNYG66 4J.ForsettBAL38.6% 4L.BellPIT45
5K.MorenoMIA65 5M.LynchSEA24.6% 5P.ThomasNO34
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WIDE RECEIVERS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.BrownPIT126 1M.FloydSD66.0%
2J.JonesATL119 2S.JohnsonSF47.0%
3E.SandersDEN94 3A.BrownPIT44.1%
4C.JohnsonDET91 4A.J.GreenCIN43.9%
5J.EdelmanNE90 5D.HopkinsHOU38.7%
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TIGHT ENDS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.GatesSD74 1Z.ErtzPHI63.5%
2Z.ErtzPHI66 2A.GatesSD61.4%
3J.GrahamNO65 3V.DavisSF56.3%
4J.ThomasDEN57 4S.ChandlerBUF45.6%
5M.BennettCHI52 5J.ThomasDEN43.2%
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Most Recent Articles

30 Sep 2014, 12:23pm by Rivers McCown

Any Given Sunday: Bucs Over Steelers

For several reasons, Sunday's upset in Pittsburgh looks more like a Steelers loss than a Buccaneers win.

» More...

3 comments, Last at 12:29pm by young curmudgeon

29 Sep 2014, 09:39pm by Vincent Verhei

Week 4 Quick Reads

Our look at which quarterbacks were "streakiest" in Week 4 includes more discussion of Raiders quarterbacks than we ever anticipated.

» More...

24 comments, Last at 12:32pm by Bobman

29 Sep 2014, 03:10pm by Chad Peltier

OFI: Running Wild

Elite running backs have carried their teams this season, from Georgia's Todd Gurley to Nebraska's Ameer Abdullah

» More...

1 comment, Last at 29 Sep 2014, 6:21pm by Danimal

29 Sep 2014, 09:10am by Luke McKenna

Audibles at the Line: Week 4

Topics this week include bad quarterbacks, bad commentary, bad coverage, bad tackling, and bad coaching.

» More...

89 comments, Last at 11:57am by Steve in WI

27 Sep 2014, 11:30am by Matt Waldman

Futures: UCLA LB-RB Myles Jack

If players who play multiple positions are the four-leaf clovers of football, then two-way players are the even rarer five-leaf variety. Myles Jack, a star at linebacker and running back, is college football's six-leaf clover.

» More...

0 comments

26 Sep 2014, 03:51pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Little Things, Inc.

Big plays and touchdowns get all the hype, but Bill Connelly says it's the little things that make Stanford one of the best teams in the country.

» More...

0 comments

26 Sep 2014, 02:01pm by J.J. Cooper

Under Pressure: Jacksonville's Sorry Tradition

J.J. Cooper examines the latest sad tale in Jacksonville's horrid offensive line legacy, and breaks down sack data from the past two weeks.

» More...

6 comments, Last at 2:51am by Jerry

26 Sep 2014, 10:11am by Rory Hickey

The Week In Quotes: September 26, 2014

This week: Ray Lewis makes us uncomfortable, everyone questions Roger Goodell, and the Luck vs. Wilson debate is settled forever.

» More...

27 comments, Last at 29 Sep 2014, 3:23am by Hummingbird Cyborg

25 Sep 2014, 07:16pm by Chad Peltier

SDA: Offensive Advantages

The week's most anticipated matchups all feature high-powered offenses, with Texas A&M, Arkansas, Georgia, South Carolina, Texas Tech, and Arizona State in the spotlight.

» More...

0 comments

25 Sep 2014, 01:38pm by Vincent Verhei

Word of Muth: State of the Rams

Sam Bradford is hurt and Greg Robinson can't get off the bench. Is there anything to like in St. Louis? Actually, Ben Muth says, the answer is an emphatic yes.

» More...

7 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2014, 4:26pm by ssburbman@hotmail com

25 Sep 2014, 11:11am by Cian Fahey

Film Room: Khalil Mack

Khalil Mack hasn't put up big numbers in his first three games, but the rookie might one day turn the whole league on its head.

» More...

8 comments, Last at 27 Sep 2014, 2:30pm by theslothook

25 Sep 2014, 11:04am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: We've Never Been Right About Eli

Eli Manning was never as good as his reputation, and now he's not as bad as his reputation. Can we look back at players with similar collapses to the one Eli had last season, and figure out what is in his future?

» More...

4 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2014, 2:21pm by Bright Blue Shorts

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