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2017 Free Agency Cost-Benefit Analysis

It's a year of huge cornerback contracts, with A.J. Bouye and Stephon Gilmore breaking the bank. But will these big-money contracts, and the big-time gambles associated with them, pay off?

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

1987 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Let's go back in time 30 years, when a four-week player strike threw the entire league into turmoil. We've got advanced stats for both the regular players and the strikebreakers, plus a San Francisco 49ers team that led the league in both offense and defense but imploded in one of the greatest upsets in NFL postseason history.

106 comments, Last Comment at 28 Mar 2017, 12:59pm by Travis

Mar 13, 2017 02:10pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Film Room: Receiving Backs in Super Bowl LI

The Patriots and Falcons each have a couple of high-quality receiving backs, but which defense is more likely to continue to struggle covering running backs in the passing game? Also: the greatness of the wheel route.

7 comments, Last Comment at 07 Feb 2017, 1:41pm by Guest789

Feb 02, 2017 03:09pm by Scott Kacsmar || read all Film Room articles

Word of Muth: Super Bowl Preview

The Falcons and Patriots got to the Super Bowl thanks in part to the excellent play of their offensive lines -- but that doesn't mean they don't have flaws to exploit.

11 comments, Last Comment at 04 Feb 2017, 6:07pm by Andrew Potter

Jan 31, 2017 03:20pm by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

QR Bonus: Keys To Beating New England

It was difficult to find New England's weaknesses this year, but Atlanta's best bet is likely to test the depth of the Patriots secondary.

19 comments, Last Comment at 03 Feb 2017, 3:59pm by nat

Jan 31, 2017 01:46pm GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl LI

Seriously, did that really happen!?

343 comments, Last Comment at 14 Feb 2017, 10:50am by intel_chris

Feb 06, 2017 01:21am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI 2016 Final Ratings

In many ways, the National Championship game looked like many of Alabama's wins. In other ways it was like no game they had ever played before.

12 comments, Last Comment at 15 Jan 2017, 5:31pm by mehllageman56

Jan 11, 2017 02:23pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Wearing the Tide Down

The dam never fully broke, but eventually Deshaun Watson and the Clemson offense wore down an incredible Crimson Tide defense because Alabama's offense couldn't stay on the field.

2 comments, Last Comment at 11 Jan 2017, 2:05pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Jan 10, 2017 09:31pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA National Championship Preview

It's the rematch we all hoped for when Alabama narrowly beat Clemson in last year's National Championship. Can the Tide fend off Deshaun Watson and the Tigers once more?

14 comments, Last Comment at 19 Jan 2017, 4:13am by Amily

Jan 08, 2017 06:57pm by Ian Boyd || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Any Given Sunday: Jaguars Over Titans

Ditch Gus Bradley, then hand the division crown to the Texans while messing with your draft position. That was Jacksonville's plan on Sunday as the Titans stumbled even before Marcus Mariota got hurt.

2 comments, Last Comment at 29 Dec 2016, 4:39am by bubqr

Dec 27, 2016 02:17pm GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Year In Quotes: 1987

This companion piece for our 1987 DVOA ratings and commentary takes us back to the Year of the Scab and reviews the strangest stories of one of the NFL's strangest seasons.

19 comments, Last Comment at 28 Mar 2017, 8:22pm by LionInAZ

Mar 13, 2017 12:18pm by Guest || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: Disbelief

Your Scramble writers are still trying to come to grips with what exactly happened Sunday night. Also: the most exciting Super Bowls in history, results of our various playoff contests, and a whole mess of commercials in the final Scramble for the 2016 season.

51 comments, Last Comment at 13 Feb 2017, 2:30pm by Bryan Knowles

Feb 08, 2017 12:03pm by Bryan Knowles and Andrew Potter || read all Scramble articles

Most Recent Articles

27 Mar 2017, 01:20pm by Bryan Knowles

2017 Free Agency Cost-Benefit Analysis

It's a year of huge cornerback contracts, with A.J. Bouye and Stephon Gilmore breaking the bank. But will these big-money contracts, and the big-time gambles associated with them, pay off?

» More...

23 comments, Last at 6:34pm by bravehoptoad

24 Mar 2017, 04:10pm by Scott Kacsmar

A History of Undrafted NFL Quarterbacks

Given the historical success of undrafted quarterbacks in the NFL, Tony Romo might as well be a national treasure. We look at the impact of developmental leagues on undrafted quarterbacks, and just how many players have tried to break through in a recent season.

» More...

23 comments, Last at 4:35pm by Vincent Verhei

24 Mar 2017, 11:59am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Ranking NFL's Best Teams at Every Position Post-Free Agency

Back before the playoffs, I wrote for ESPN Insider ranking the units of all 12 playoff teams. This article is similar, but looks at the top-10 teams at each unit after free agency. The FO staff had some debate on some of my decisions at QB and WR/TE, where it's difficult to figure out just how to separate a quarterback from his receivers. And can you guess which NFL franchise is No. 1 for one unit but below-average everywhere else?

» More...

7 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2017, 3:44pm by Aaron Schatz

21 Mar 2017, 03:16pm by Scott Kacsmar

NFL Draft: Round-by-Round QB Study (1994-2016)

Thanks a lot, Dak Prescott. Now more people will think the fourth round is still a gold mine for quarterbacks, but the data says otherwise. The update to our quarterback draft study for 1994-2016 shows little has changed: finding a good QB is really hard.

» More...

36 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2017, 1:11pm by ChrisS

13 Mar 2017, 02:10pm by Aaron Schatz

1987 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Let's go back in time 30 years, when a four-week player strike threw the entire league into turmoil. We've got advanced stats for both the regular players and the strikebreakers, plus a San Francisco 49ers team that led the league in both offense and defense but imploded in one of the greatest upsets in NFL postseason history.

» More...

106 comments, Last at 28 Mar 2017, 12:59pm by Travis

13 Mar 2017, 12:18pm by Guest

The Year In Quotes: 1987

This companion piece for our 1987 DVOA ratings and commentary takes us back to the Year of the Scab and reviews the strangest stories of one of the NFL's strangest seasons.

» More...

19 comments, Last at 28 Mar 2017, 8:22pm by LionInAZ

10 Mar 2017, 11:08am by Rob Eves

The Month in Quotes: February 2017

Discussion this time around focuses on the combine, anti-Dallas game plans, insufferable gloating, man-on-wolf combat, and an all-time awkward family photo.

» More...

8 comments, Last at 13 Mar 2017, 2:18am by ChrisS

07 Mar 2017, 11:55am by The Outsiders

2017 Free Agency Discussion

This is our open thread to discuss all the free agent movement, trades, cuts, and other news for the first few days of free agency, starting with the "legal tampering period" that begins at noon Eastern on March 7. As of new league year 4pm EST March 9, we're updating with official signings and details. (Click to read more.)

» More...

278 comments, Last at 24 Mar 2017, 2:26pm by Tomlin_Is_Infallible

07 Mar 2017, 11:11am by Aaron Schatz

Four Downs: AFC East

The Super Bowl champions need to boost their pass rush. Defense is also in demand in Miami and New York, while the Bills are looking for receivers to complement Sammy Watkins.

» More...

40 comments, Last at 13 Mar 2017, 1:57pm by Anon Ymous

06 Mar 2017, 12:38pm by Rivers McCown

Four Downs: AFC North

The haves and the have-nots, an AFC North tradition at this point. The haves want wide receivers. The have-nots want ... everything.

» More...

27 comments, Last at 14 Mar 2017, 11:32pm by LionInAZ

05 Mar 2017, 11:48am by Bryan Knowles

Speed Score 2017

Leonard Fournette, Dalvin Cook, and Christian McCaffrey run near-identical times, but Speed Score weighs in on which 40-yard dash was most impressive.

» More...

20 comments, Last at 15 Mar 2017, 4:24pm by Tomlin_Is_Infallible

03 Mar 2017, 10:56am by The Outsiders

ESPN: Bold Moves for Every NFC Team

Part II on ESPN Insider: As we did last year, the FO staff put together a bold move recommendation for all 32 teams. There's a lot of Alshon Jeffrey talk here. NFC piece is written by Vincent Verhei, Bryan Knowles, Andrew Potter, and Carl Yoder.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 03 Mar 2017, 12:34pm by jklps

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