Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

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Four Downs: NFC West

Our offseason Four Downs series ends with a look at the NFC West's biggest remaining holes and their most notable UDFA signings. The Rams and 49ers have to kick-start their passing games, Arizona's offense lacks a big dimension, and the Seahawks continue to rely on Russell Wilson's magic tricks.

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

Week 20 DVOA Ratings

In the NFC Championship Game, Carolina puts up the biggest single-game DVOA of the year and one of the 10 best in DVOA history. The Panthers now go into Super Bowl 50 as clear favorites.

112 comments, Last Comment at 31 Jan 2016, 2:53am by Pantherpryde

Jan 25, 2016 09:20pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Word of Muth: Super Bowl Wrap-Up

An erratic but improving offensive line played a big part in Denver's championship win.

20 comments, Last Comment at 24 Feb 2016, 8:53pm by tuluse

Feb 11, 2016 11:43am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Super Bowl 50 Quick Reads

Raise your hand if you don't care how bad Peyton Manning's numbers were so long as the Broncos won.

86 comments, Last Comment at 11 Feb 2016, 8:49am by ChicagoRaider

Feb 08, 2016 01:00pm GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Film Room: Josh Norman

Washington just locked up a smart, talented player, but there's a reason the Panthers were unwilling to yield to his contract demands.

21 comments, Last Comment at 27 Apr 2016, 12:52pm by Never Surrender

Apr 22, 2016 05:05pm by Cian Fahey || read all Film Room articles

Audibles: 2016 NFL Draft Day 2

In which the FO staff tries to make sense of whatever the hell the Titans are doing.

35 comments, Last Comment at 03 May 2016, 4:03pm by dmstorm22

Apr 30, 2016 05:25am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI Final: Alabama Again

The national championship game will long be remembered for the flurry of scores over the final ten minutes, but two key stops by Alabama before that flurry began were just as crucial.

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Jan 13, 2016 12:03pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Another Alabama Championship

In one of the most exciting college championships since Texas-USC, Alabama defeated Clemson thanks to special teams and explosive plays.

2 comments, Last Comment at 13 Jan 2016, 1:37pm by rbennett99

Jan 12, 2016 04:55pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: The Best Possible Championship

This is the best possible championship game we could have gotten, with Alabama and Clemson as the two top teams with nearly equal top-end talent. But does Clemson have enough depth to get the win?

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Jan 10, 2016 04:08pm by Chad Peltier || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: A Couple of Goodbyes

Bill Connelly says goodbye to the 2015 college football season ... and says goodbye to Varsity Numbers.

2 comments, Last Comment at 15 Jan 2016, 7:02pm by andrew

Jan 15, 2016 02:27pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Any Given Sunday: Vikings Over Packers

The NFC North championship game featured two teams that were more alike than many might imagine. Was Minnesota even a true underdog?

11 comments, Last Comment at 06 Jan 2016, 10:48am by PatsFan

Jan 05, 2016 03:59pm GMT by Sterling Xie || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Month in Quotes: March 2016

After free agency and before the draft, Peyton Manning takes center stage in the NFL one last time.

6 comments, Last Comment at 22 Apr 2016, 7:15pm by Eric S. Smith

Apr 01, 2016 03:08pm by Guest || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: 2015 in Review

Andrew and Sterling recap Denver's win over Carolina and their takeaways for the 2015 season.

124 comments, Last Comment at 01 Mar 2016, 6:26pm by RR0907

Feb 10, 2016 12:37pm by Andrew Healy and Sterling Xie || read all Scramble articles

Most Recent Articles

26 May 2016, 04:00pm by Scott Kacsmar

Four Downs: NFC West

Our offseason Four Downs series ends with a look at the NFC West's biggest remaining holes and their most notable UDFA signings. The Rams and 49ers have to kick-start their passing games, Arizona's offense lacks a big dimension, and the Seahawks continue to rely on Russell Wilson's magic tricks.

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24 May 2016, 05:03am by Sterling Xie

Four Downs: NFC South

Our offseason Four Downs series continues with a division-by-division look at each team's biggest remaining holes and their most notable UDFA signings. Does anyone in the NFC South have any pass rushers? Well, the Bucs might, but they still need more players to catch the ball.

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6 comments, Last at 11:59am by Jonrd

23 May 2016, 11:53am by Vincent Verhei

Four Downs: NFC North

Our offseason Four Downs series continues with a division-by-division look at each team's biggest remaining holes and their most notable UDFA signings. In the NFC North, quality wide receivers and defensive backs are in short supply.

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21 comments, Last at 1:30pm by Steve in WI

19 May 2016, 03:12pm by Scott Kacsmar

Snap-Weighted Age: 2015 NFL Rosters

Our annual look at Snap-Weighted Age finds the same two teams from 2014 as the NFL's youngest, but now with more hype. Also: SWA adjusted for position.

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19 comments, Last at 23 May 2016, 8:15am by Ferguson1015

18 May 2016, 11:41am by Sterling Xie

Four Downs: NFC East

With the draft done, three NFC East teams still need help in the trenches, while the outlook for Philadelphia's cornerbacks is grim.

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12 comments, Last at 20 May 2016, 1:36pm by Steve in WI

17 May 2016, 02:09pm by Andrew Healy

Four Downs: AFC West

Our offseason Four Downs series continues with a division-by-division look at each team's biggest remaining holes and their most notable UDFA signings. Are the Broncos really counting on Paxton Lynch to defend their Super Bowl championship?

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12 comments, Last at 23 May 2016, 4:17pm by tuluse

16 May 2016, 12:15pm by Tom Gower

Four Downs: AFC South

Our offseason Four Downs series continues with a division-by-division look at each team's biggest remaining holes and their most notable UDFA signings. Defense is the order of the day, except for the Colts, who are still relying on Frank Gore.

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5 comments, Last at 24 May 2016, 6:15pm by Vincent Verhei

13 May 2016, 01:20pm by Scott Kacsmar

What Does the NFL Draft Really Produce? (Part III)

The conclusion to our NFL draft study shows what to expect from an average draft class, the cumulative value drafted by each team from 1994-1999, and the most valuable player that got away. Included: downloadable spreadsheet of data.

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16 comments, Last at 19 May 2016, 12:09pm by justanothersteve

12 May 2016, 01:31pm by Scott Kacsmar

Four Downs: AFC North

Our offseason Four Downs series continues with a division-by-division look at each team's biggest remaining holes and their most notable UDFA signings. The Steelers retain last year's biggest weakness, while the Browns' section all but writes itself.

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6 comments, Last at 15 May 2016, 11:21pm by justanothersteve

12 May 2016, 10:42am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Early 2016 NFC Projections

We did our early AFC projections on Wednesday, now here are the early NFC projections. They look very familiar... but probably closer to 2014 than to 2015. We're expecting Green Bay and Dallas to rebound with better health. Carolina is likely to decline but still lead the NFC South. Out west, the two best teams in the NFL may see the race for the No. 1 seed decided by a federal court and a big suspension in the other conference.

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20 comments, Last at 18 May 2016, 11:10am by Kaelik

11 May 2016, 03:25pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Early 2016 AFC Projections

Well, here we go. It's time to take off the wrapping and unveil our first run of 2016 NFL projections. This ESPN Insider article goes in-depth into the projections which were also featured last week in Todd McShay's "way too early" 2017 mock draft. I explain why Denver is likely to significantly decline, why the AFC North could put three teams in the playoffs again, and why the Colts may not be the obvious pick in the AFC South despite Andrew Luck's return. NFC projections will run on Thursday. There's some video too.

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27 comments, Last at 20 May 2016, 11:26pm by LionInAZ

11 May 2016, 03:11pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: Offseason 2016

The Off The Charts NFL Podcast is back for the offseason! Aaron Schatz and Scott Spratt review Football Outsiders' first run at 2016 projections, which you'll find in ESPN Insider articles on Wednesday and Thursday of this week. Why do we think Denver is likely to follow up its Super Bowl championship with a losing record? How does Tom Brady's suspension affect the top two teams in the NFL, even though they are 3,000 miles away? And which is the projection among all 32 where Aaron disagrees most with what the objective stat formula says for 2016?

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