Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis
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22 Jan 2010
The AFC Championship Game preview is on the frontpage of nytimes.com right now! Alas, the NFC Championship Game preview does not get equal appreciation.
Posted by: Mike Tanier on 22 Jan 2010
15 comments, Last at
05 Dec 2010, 1:12am by
"Brett Favre can still produce long touchdowns, especially when nursing a narrow 27-3 lead in the waning seconds."
I enjoyed the less-than-subtle dig, even though that touchdown was his shortest of the day, both in TD distance and TD drive distance.
According to Vikings punter Kluwe, their game plan does not involve pooping their pants. Would be interested in seeing the game plan that does involve pooping one's pants. "Okay Jared, you poop your pants, then you rush the passer butt-first, the tackle will be grossed out and get out of the way, then rub your butt on Brees when you sack him and maybe he will want to come out of the game to wash up."
I'm pretty sure nobody wants to see that game plan. Reading about it is damn funny, but watching it.... ick. Of course I just spend 2 grand on a new HD Smellovision, which may be part of my problem. And who the hell can defecate on command, anyway? I'd hate to see the team's breakfast menu: a double helping of beans and rice--hold the rice, and seven pounds of spinach salad, please.
"The Saints allowed 150 yards per rush over the last four games"
Then Peterson ought to do well.
I like the comments people are making over at the NYTimes like "you didn't even look at defense - you call yourself an analyst?" Duh, it's dumbed down for mainstream newspaper-reading boobs like you.
man, the comment threads on those previews are the dumbest i've ever seen at the NYT. usually times readers are somewhat more sophisticated.
These were fantastic. Thanks for writing them. I will forward them to my NFL peeps.
Arrrgh, kill me, please! The old cliche lives: "Peyton Manning has struggled historically against blitzing 3-4 defenses."
He's done alright against the Pats, Steelers, Ravens, AND Chargers since 2005 (His passer rating is about 90 in the two playoff losses to the Chargers, and about 95 against the Steelers in that playoff loss--He led a 24-point late-game comeback over the Pats 3-4 in the AFCCG.). They all run 3-4 hybrids. More to the point, when playing a full game, he was 5-0 (or 4-0) against Rex Ryan-designed 3-4 defenses, including an AFC Div Playoff win in 2007.
If by "history" Tanier (whom I usually love--just don't tell him, it makes him giggle) means, "our civilization has historically had problems with invading barbarian hordes from the north," well then, I agree. Long-ago history, blitzing and well-disguised 3-4s did cause problems. I cannot remember the last time--probably the 2007 divisional game in Balt.
Also, Mike, "Colts scoring drives were grueling marches kept alive by reach-for-the-chains third- and fourth-down conversions." It kind of implies multiple 4th down conversions (how un-Colts-like!) but there was just one 4th down conversion. I know in the sentence it's bundled in with 3rd down conversions (which aren't all that unusual, are they? against a top D? not quite sure why that's significant), but seeing "4th down" and "conversions" next to each other forced me to re-read it more s l o w l y....
"To beat the Colts’ starters, the Jets’ defense must somehow keep Manning below two touchdowns." I agree with that, as I see the Jets peaking at about 13 pts.
Oh, those accursed barbarian hordes! (You mean the Canadians, right?)
Overall, I'd be kind of embarrassed to critique something when I didn't know what the hell I was talking about, but then, oh yeah, my NAME is on what I write, isn't it?
Well, if they bring beer it's not so bad. And their bacon is okay, though it's not really bacon....
We can thank the Canucks for Sarah McLachlan and the Vinyl Café, so they're all right by me.
Besides, they have all these wide open spaces we can conquer when we get bored.
Though, as a Colts fan, it must be pointed out that they also brought us Mike Vanderjagt...
Football fans don't want to miss every action of the players. This weekend is going to be great for football. The NFC game and AFC Championship game are both going to be epic – Vikings at Saints, and Super Bowl III all over again – a young, upstart New York Jets team against a battle hardened Colts team. The games are going to be epic this weekend – and I'm so looking forward to it Granted, it's the Indianapolis Colts, not Baltimore. Jets QB Mark Sanchez even made a Joe Namath like prediction. It would be worth payday loans to go see it, to say the least. Win or lose, all of them are still the winners as they have given their best to win the game.
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Merci pour ce merveilleux article.
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