Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

31 Aug 2005, 03:45pm by admin

SITE NEWS: Game Charters Needed

Many readers have asked about plans to chart games to gather stats not available from standard play-by-play. We've been experimenting in the preseason, we have a system that takes about four hours per game, and if we get enough volunteers we may split it by half so we would just be asking for two hours a week of your time. Everyone will get access to all the charting data from all 32 teams, plus access to game-by-game DVOA and other FO stuff. But we need more volunteers to make this work. If you are interested, please email Aaron using the contact form.

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31 Aug 2005, 12:25pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Fantasy Chat at AuctionPlayers.com

Here's the archive of the fantasy football chat I did last night for the website auctionplayers.com. Questions in here about Daunte Culpepper, Matt Hasselbeck, Tiki Barber, LaMont Jordan, and how to deal with our projections when everyone else in your league is using a more standard cheat sheet. Plus, Trent Green's low projection explained.

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2 comments, Last at 31 Aug 2005, 2:31pm by JasonK

30 Aug 2005, 07:52pm by P. Ryan Wilson

TMQ: The Lost Episode of NYPD Blue!

In this week's TMQ, Gregg Easterbrook wonders how soon until the 400-pound lineman becomes the norm (Bill Walsh has some ideas); gives us his annual thoughts on professional basketball (Boring); points us to a scientific study on the two-point conversion that basically says teams should go for one during the first three quarters, but then start going for two during the last quarter (Allegedly, this is the Belichickian strategy); and in between, the usual random observations we come to expect from TMQ during the preseason. (Thanks to reader RichC for reminding me that today is, uh, Tuesday ...

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102 comments, Last at 01 Sep 2005, 6:01pm by GBS

30 Aug 2005, 05:20pm by P. Ryan Wilson

"I Hate Y'all" -- Falcons Cut Peerless Price

Not to be confused with "He Hate Me." The Falcons have cut Peerless Price, the guy they acquired from the Bills for a first-round pick back in 2003. Peter Warrick, another big name wideout, was also given his walking papers today. I'm guessing both of these guys will end up in New England, where it seems washed up players go to revitalize their careers. (Free registration/Bugmenot required)

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18 comments, Last at 04 Sep 2005, 12:12pm by BillinNYC

29 Aug 2005, 11:02pm by P. Ryan Wilson

Preseason Stats That Can't be Ignored

Pat Kirwan of NFL.com isn't so concerned with wins and losses in the preseason, but he does think statistics like interceptions and sacks are more indicative of regular season success. He finds it a little troubling that the Colts have surrendered 20 sacks in four games and that Byron Leftwich has been taken down six times in three games. Kirwan also notes that Kyle Boller and Patrick Ramsey have both thrown four interceptions each while "Ben Roethlisberger hasn't picked up from where he left off as the starting quarterback of a 15-1 team in 2004, but he has no interceptions this summer.

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40 comments, Last at 02 Sep 2005, 10:55am by Pat

29 Aug 2005, 02:10pm by Aaron Schatz

Third Down, Red Zone Efficiency are Significant

No, really? Golly, John, if only one of those "sabermetric converts of baseball" could figure out a method of rating NFL team efficiency that really did judge teams by more than just total yardage. Maybe somebody could measure teams by yards per play, just like you suggest, and give more weight to third downs and red zone performance, and maybe adjust based on game situation and even opponent strength, so that they ended up with a statistic that did a better job of predicting future performance than wins or points or total yards.

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44 comments, Last at 01 Sep 2005, 5:53pm by Pat

29 Aug 2005, 10:58am by Aaron Schatz

Pared Down to Pair

The Miami Dolphins are now considering playing both A.J. Feeley and Gus Frerotte in a quarterback rotation. What on earth is the point of this? Are teams really going to be freaked out trying to prepare for both Feeley and Frerotte? When is the last time a team even tried a quarterback rotation like this? And when's the last time it worked? Norm Van Brocklin and Bob Waterfield? (Free registration required.)

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23 comments, Last at 30 Aug 2005, 6:48pm by Oswlek

28 Aug 2005, 05:46pm by Russell Levine

Orton Named Bears Starting QB

In a move that should surprise noone, the Bears have named rookie Kyle Orton their starting QB for the regular season. Chad Hutchinson, who was starting in place of the injured Rex Grossman, has fallen complete off the depth chart, behind Orton, Jeff Blake, and Kurt Kittner, making him a likely candidate for a visit by the "turk" this week.

(Aaron adds 10:30pm: As long as we're talking Chicago Bears, Cedric Benson finally ended his holdout tonight.)

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22 comments, Last at 30 Aug 2005, 12:47pm by Todd S.

27 Aug 2005, 11:20am by Aaron Schatz

Ten Undecided Positional Battles

See if you can notice something really weird about this SI.com article by Don Banks. I'll give you a hint: The problem with 1-9 doesn't quite apply to number 10.

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25 comments, Last at 29 Aug 2005, 10:41pm by Björn

26 Aug 2005, 12:32pm by P. Ryan Wilson

The Ravens Go Digital

Wired takes a look at how the Ravens are on the cutting edge of using technology to scout their opponents. Which leads me to this: if every person who reads this site donates $50,000, the Football Outsiders can each have their very own high-tech coaching station. And that means more geeky stats for you, the readers. Everybody wins. (link via Off Wing Opinion)

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14 comments, Last at 29 Aug 2005, 11:31am by Mike