05 Mar 2015, 06:04pm by The Outsiders
This will be a running thread to discuss and announce major salary-cap related player cuts before teams all need to be under the 2015 salary cap on March 10. (Click to read more.)
120 comments, Last at 22 Apr 2015, 10:00am by Maya
04 Mar 2015, 01:48pm by Aaron Schatz
Well, the Bills certainly are tired of being ignored in the headlines. Second day, second trade. They will send those infamous "undisclosed draft picks" to Minnesota for Matt Cassel. Cassel is the very definition of a replacement-level quarterback and will replace Kyle Orton, who was slightly better than that. Have fun throwing endless screen passes to Sammy Watkins and LeSean McCoy, Matthew.
70 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:27pm by bloggesrdog
03 Mar 2015, 07:34pm by Tom Gower
Trade-bomb from Adam Schefter: The Bills have notified LB Kiko Alonso he will be traded to the Philadelphia Eagles for RB LeSean McCoy.
135 comments, Last at 09 Mar 2015, 7:08am by bubqr
02 Mar 2015, 10:00pm by Vincent Verhei
Andre Johnson is second behind Reggie Wayne among active players in both receptions and receiving yards, but it appears two-time NFL receiving champion has reached the end of the line in Houston. John McClain of the Houston Chronicle reports that the Texans have given Johnson permission to seek a trade, and if no deal can be made, they will cut the best player in franchise history.
37 comments, Last at 08 Mar 2015, 5:26pm by Mr Shush
02 Mar 2015, 02:53pm by Vincent Verhei
Here is all your 2015 franchise tag news. (Click to read more.)
69 comments, Last at 10 Mar 2015, 7:12pm by tuluse
27 Feb 2015, 01:24pm by Aaron Schatz
For years now, analytics people have been attempting to find some sort of correlation between NFL combine results and success in the league, so we can use the combine to provide some guidance on who should be drafted, and when. For the most part, these studies fail to find any connection. Even when we play around with combine results here at FO, we don't really get good forecasts unless we blend them with college game stats, as in Playmaker Score and SackSEER. This is a really interesting theory from Brian Burke over at Advanced Football Analytics explaining why this is.
3 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:28pm by bloggesrdog
24 Feb 2015, 02:16pm by Vincent Verhei
Neil Paine at FiveThirtyEight has a look at the folks at Electronic Arts who determine which players get a 95 and which get a 94, and then deal with the fallout from unhappy NFL stars. Includes a brief look at the history of football video games, including the phenomenally under-rated Front Page Sports: Football Pro, which had the best playbook editor I've ever seen.
18 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:28pm by bloggesrdog
19 Feb 2015, 11:02am by Andrew Healy
After a wild postseason that included the most influential play in NFL history (by a mile), here is an updated version of some analysis that I've done at Football Perspective, a list of the 25 most important plays in the Super Bowl era.
34 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2015, 4:28pm by bloggesrdog
16 Feb 2015, 05:45pm by Aaron Schatz
Great series over the past week on the website OvertheCap.com featuring a new metric by Bryce Johnston. The idea here is to come up with a metric for measuring the value of a contract that gives us the most accurate accounting of how much of the contract is likely to be earned by the player. Johnston used regression analysis to determine that roughly 80 percent of the decision-making about when to cut NFL players is driven only by the numbers of the contract, not the actual value of the player.
17 comments, Last at 24 Feb 2015, 2:33pm by Never Surrender
13 Feb 2015, 07:25pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey, readers. I just wanted to remind everyone that the offseason is the best time for Football Outsiders to be running guest columns. You can submit your ideas or rough drafts to us at mailbag-at-footballoutsiders.com. We're looking for deep stat analysis and new ideas or theories, although we're willing to look past that for excellent film analysis or Tanier-level humor. Please excuse the fact that we're sometimes very slow to respond to e-mails. We do get to them all, we promise.
Odell Beckham had the catch of the year, but he wasn't the only rookie star in 2014. We look at the catch radii for Kelvin Benjamin, Sammy Watkins, and Mike Evans.