Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

Revised as of 01/18/16, through Week 20.

Compiled by Mike Harris

The playoff odds report plays out the season 25,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on an equation which considers the current Weighted DVOA ratings of the two teams as well as home-field advantage. (DVOA ratings are explained here.) Please remember that the odds simulation does not consider specific matchups for playoff games.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 50
1 CAR 60.5%
2 DEN 39.5%