Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008


Revised as of 01/19/15, through Week 20.

Compiled by Mike Harris

The playoff odds report plays out the season 50,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on an equation which considers the current Weighted DVOA ratings of the two teams as well as home-field advantage. (DVOA ratings are explained here.)

Odds to Win Super BowlWEI DVOA
1NE50.5%39.8% DVOA
2SEA49.5%38.8% DVOA