Football Outsiders Almanac 2009 offers projections for the six BCS conferences and a handful of independents and other FBS (Division I-A) teams. For those who want more projections, the table below gives the FEI projections for all 120 FBS teams in 2009, together rather than separated by conference.
| FEI 2009 Projections | ||||||||||
| Rank | Team | FEI | SOS | SOS Rank |
Off FEI | Off FEI Rank |
Def FEI | Def FEI Rank |
Mean Wins | Mean Conf Wins |
| 1 | Florida | .340 | .196 | 23 | .674 | 4 | -.868 | 1 | 11.1 | 7.3 |
| 2 | USC | .250 | .257 | 40 | .716 | 2 | -.420 | 16 | 10.3 | 7.9 |
| 3 | Texas | .245 | .349 | 59 | .774 | 1 | -.513 | 8 | 10.6 | 6.8 |
| 4 | Virginia Tech | .226 | .210 | 27 | .161 | 31 | -.427 | 13 | 9.7 | 6.3 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | .219 | .251 | 39 | .545 | 6 | -.450 | 10 | 9.9 | 6.5 |
| 6 | Georgia | .211 | .061 | 1 | .676 | 3 | -.247 | 33 | 8.4 | 5.2 |
| 7 | LSU | .208 | .089 | 9 | .380 | 13 | -.335 | 20 | 9.0 | 5.1 |
| 8 | Ohio State | .195 | .236 | 35 | .185 | 25 | -.526 | 7 | 9.5 | 6.3 |
| 9 | Georgia Tech | .182 | .133 | 11 | .409 | 11 | -.251 | 31 | 8.4 | 5.3 |
| 10 | Clemson | .178 | .201 | 25 | .070 | 47 | -.643 | 2 | 8.7 | 5.2 |
| 11 | Auburn | .176 | .164 | 16 | -.001 | 62 | -.572 | 5 | 8.7 | 5.2 |
| 12 | West Virginia | .172 | .400 | 72 | .148 | 35 | -.425 | 15 | 9.6 | 5.6 |
| 13 | Alabama | .167 | .183 | 18 | .109 | 40 | -.470 | 9 | 8.7 | 5.4 |
| 14 | Boston College | .166 | .192 | 20 | .076 | 44 | -.594 | 3 | 8.5 | 5.1 |
| 15 | California | .154 | .293 | 49 | .059 | 51 | -.553 | 6 | 9.0 | 6.5 |
| 16 | Florida State | .148 | .068 | 3 | .313 | 16 | -.179 | 36 | 7.1 | 4.6 |
| 17 | Notre Dame | .139 | .219 | 32 | .270 | 21 | -.310 | 24 | 8.3 | n/a |
| 18 | Miami | .138 | .122 | 10 | .179 | 27 | -.087 | 51 | 7.3 | 4.5 |
| 19 | Penn State | .136 | .361 | 62 | .445 | 9 | -.106 | 48 | 9.1 | 5.3 |
| 20 | Michigan | .121 | .282 | 48 | .302 | 18 | -.294 | 26 | 8.3 | 5.0 |
| Rank | Team | FEI | SOS | SOS Rank |
Off FEI | Off FEI Rank |
Def FEI | Def FEI Rank |
Mean Wins | Mean Conf Wins |
| 21 | Arkansas | .116 | .074 | 5 | .420 | 10 | -.316 | 23 | 7.1 | 3.5 |
| 22 | Iowa | .116 | .295 | 50 | -.028 | 65 | -.447 | 11 | 8.1 | 4.7 |
| 23 | Tennessee | .113 | .088 | 8 | .002 | 61 | -.572 | 4 | 7.1 | 3.7 |
| 24 | Oklahoma State | .100 | .185 | 19 | .634 | 5 | .194 | 83 | 7.6 | 4.7 |
| 25 | Texas Tech | .098 | .261 | 41 | .470 | 7 | -.341 | 19 | 8.1 | 4.5 |
| 26 | Wake Forest | .096 | .196 | 24 | -.064 | 72 | -.270 | 28 | 7.0 | 3.8 |
| 27 | Oregon | .095 | .236 | 34 | .285 | 20 | -.164 | 37 | 7.1 | 5.3 |
| 28 | Vanderbilt | .090 | .082 | 6 | -.037 | 67 | -.370 | 17 | 6.8 | 3.7 |
| 29 | Rutgers | .087 | .472 | 78 | .183 | 26 | -.025 | 57 | 8.8 | 4.3 |
| 30 | Pittsburgh | .087 | .360 | 60 | .063 | 49 | -.143 | 40 | 7.8 | 4.3 |
| 31 | Michigan State | .085 | .332 | 56 | .016 | 57 | -.183 | 35 | 7.5 | 4.4 |
| 32 | Utah | .083 | .599 | 94 | -.102 | 78 | -.288 | 27 | 9.4 | 6.4 |
| 33 | Wisconsin | .079 | .341 | 58 | -.293 | 106 | -.029 | 54 | 7.6 | 4.2 |
| 34 | South Carolina | .069 | .072 | 4 | -.156 | 83 | -.443 | 12 | 5.7 | 3.0 |
| 35 | North Carolina | .068 | .167 | 17 | -.181 | 90 | -.214 | 34 | 6.4 | 3.2 |
| 36 | BYU | .066 | .381 | 66 | .230 | 22 | -.021 | 58 | 8.5 | 6.2 |
| 37 | Southern Mississippi | .065 | .599 | 93 | .161 | 30 | .050 | 64 | 8.4 | 5.8 |
| 38 | Kansas | .065 | .246 | 38 | .395 | 12 | -.014 | 59 | 7.2 | 4.1 |
| 39 | Boise State | .065 | .680 | 111 | -.075 | 73 | -.257 | 29 | 10.7 | 7.1 |
| 40 | Missouri | .063 | .392 | 69 | .315 | 15 | .043 | 63 | 8.0 | 4.6 |
| Rank | Team | FEI | SOS | SOS Rank |
Off FEI | Off FEI Rank |
Def FEI | Def FEI Rank |
Mean Wins | Mean Conf Wins |
| 41 | UCLA | .063 | .238 | 36 | -.010 | 64 | -.427 | 14 | 6.6 | 4.6 |
| 42 | Minnesota | .059 | .265 | 43 | .088 | 42 | -.113 | 44 | 6.6 | 3.8 |
| 43 | Arizona | .057 | .241 | 37 | .150 | 34 | -.133 | 41 | 6.6 | 4.5 |
| 44 | North Carolina State | .055 | .163 | 15 | .164 | 29 | .056 | 65 | 6.0 | 3.1 |
| 45 | Arizona State | .054 | .194 | 21 | -.038 | 68 | -.304 | 25 | 6.5 | 4.5 |
| 46 | Mississippi | .052 | .210 | 28 | .045 | 53 | -.253 | 30 | 6.4 | 2.9 |
| 47 | South Florida | .051 | .315 | 53 | -.064 | 71 | -.108 | 46 | 7.1 | 3.6 |
| 48 | TCU | .051 | .500 | 81 | -.076 | 74 | -.335 | 21 | 8.5 | 5.9 |
| 49 | Louisville | .043 | .376 | 64 | .059 | 50 | -.154 | 39 | 6.8 | 3.5 |
| 50 | Oregon State | .043 | .273 | 45 | .157 | 32 | .101 | 73 | 6.7 | 4.2 |
| 51 | Virginia | .041 | .145 | 13 | -.048 | 69 | -.118 | 43 | 5.4 | 2.8 |
| 52 | Tulsa | .038 | .452 | 76 | .291 | 19 | .138 | 78 | 8.0 | 5.6 |
| 53 | East Carolina | .036 | .330 | 55 | -.203 | 92 | -.249 | 32 | 7.0 | 5.3 |
| 54 | Maryland | .024 | .140 | 12 | .045 | 54 | .022 | 62 | 4.9 | 2.7 |
| 55 | Connecticut | .023 | .340 | 57 | -.221 | 97 | -.334 | 22 | 6.2 | 3.1 |
| 56 | Navy | .015 | .392 | 68 | .121 | 39 | .259 | 90 | 8.4 | n/a |
| 57 | Fresno State | .012 | .689 | 112 | .138 | 36 | .128 | 76 | 9.0 | 6.4 |
| 58 | Purdue | .009 | .274 | 46 | -.229 | 100 | -.363 | 18 | 5.1 | 3.2 |
| 59 | Stanford | .008 | .195 | 22 | .192 | 24 | .084 | 68 | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| 60 | Northwestern | .001 | .440 | 75 | .017 | 56 | -.111 | 45 | 6.5 | 3.2 |
| Rank | Team | FEI | SOS | SOS Rank |
Off FEI | Off FEI Rank |
Def FEI | Def FEI Rank |
Mean Wins | Mean Conf Wins |
| 61 | Texas A&M | -.004 | .217 | 31 | .456 | 8 | .263 | 91 | 5.4 | 3.0 |
| 62 | Nebraska | -.006 | .266 | 44 | .225 | 23 | .084 | 69 | 5.9 | 3.3 |
| 63 | Cincinnati | -.007 | .403 | 73 | -.125 | 82 | .143 | 80 | 5.8 | 2.6 |
| 64 | Kentucky | -.013 | .085 | 7 | -.186 | 91 | -.026 | 56 | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| 65 | Kansas State | -.015 | .379 | 65 | .153 | 33 | .090 | 70 | 6.1 | 3.1 |
| 66 | UAB | -.021 | .648 | 105 | .177 | 28 | .375 | 104 | 6.6 | 4.4 |
| 67 | Central Florida | -.023 | .362 | 63 | -.489 | 114 | -.163 | 38 | 6.4 | 4.4 |
| 68 | Colorado | -.024 | .274 | 47 | .024 | 55 | -.128 | 42 | 5.0 | 2.8 |
| 69 | Washington | -.033 | .150 | 14 | .101 | 41 | -.041 | 53 | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| 70 | Houston | -.033 | .563 | 87 | .308 | 17 | .464 | 112 | 6.5 | 4.4 |
| 71 | Marshall | -.033 | .361 | 61 | -.210 | 94 | -.074 | 52 | 6.0 | 4.2 |
| 72 | Central Michigan | -.038 | .519 | 83 | .075 | 45 | .364 | 101 | 6.9 | 5.3 |
| 73 | Baylor | -.040 | .203 | 26 | .318 | 14 | .270 | 92 | 4.4 | 2.1 |
| 74 | Air Force | -.041 | .592 | 92 | -.208 | 93 | -.026 | 55 | 6.7 | 4.4 |
| 75 | UTEP | -.046 | .431 | 74 | .125 | 38 | .669 | 119 | 6.3 | 4.4 |
| 76 | Illinois | -.046 | .298 | 51 | .055 | 52 | .109 | 74 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| 77 | Indiana | -.061 | .299 | 52 | .063 | 48 | .121 | 75 | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| 78 | Mississippi State | -.063 | .067 | 2 | -.117 | 80 | -.092 | 50 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| 79 | Iowa State | -.065 | .504 | 82 | .131 | 37 | .345 | 98 | 5.0 | 2.5 |
| 80 | Toledo | -.071 | .572 | 90 | -.052 | 70 | .204 | 85 | 6.1 | 4.6 |
| Rank | Team | FEI | SOS | SOS Rank |
Off FEI | Off FEI Rank |
Def FEI | Def FEI Rank |
Mean Wins | Mean Conf Wins |
| 81 | Middle Tennessee | -.073 | .603 | 95 | -.083 | 76 | .340 | 97 | 7.0 | 5.6 |
| 82 | Troy | -.077 | .262 | 42 | -.170 | 86 | .338 | 96 | 6.5 | 5.5 |
| 83 | Bowling Green | -.081 | .696 | 114 | -.169 | 85 | .378 | 105 | 5.6 | 4.4 |
| 84 | Northern Illinois | -.082 | .736 | 117 | -.255 | 101 | .193 | 82 | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| 85 | Ball State | -.085 | .635 | 100 | -.262 | 103 | .130 | 77 | 6.8 | 4.3 |
| 86 | Nevada | -.091 | .568 | 89 | .071 | 46 | .406 | 109 | 6.4 | 4.8 |
| 87 | Duke | -.098 | .222 | 33 | -.531 | 116 | .022 | 61 | 3.8 | 1.0 |
| 88 | Akron | -.098 | .693 | 113 | .006 | 60 | .559 | 117 | 6.2 | 4.2 |
| 89 | New Mexico | -.099 | .528 | 84 | -.435 | 111 | -.108 | 47 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| 90 | Memphis | -.100 | .538 | 86 | -.117 | 81 | .251 | 89 | 4.0 | 2.2 |
| 91 | Wyoming | -.100 | .395 | 70 | -.475 | 113 | .099 | 72 | 5.3 | 3.3 |
| 92 | Ohio | -.110 | .703 | 115 | -.500 | 115 | .070 | 66 | 6.0 | 4.0 |
| 93 | Syracuse | -.111 | .326 | 54 | -.219 | 96 | .184 | 81 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| 94 | Rice | -.112 | .483 | 80 | .006 | 59 | .443 | 111 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| 95 | SMU | -.112 | .662 | 108 | -.160 | 84 | .287 | 93 | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| 96 | Kent State | -.114 | .614 | 97 | -.003 | 63 | .403 | 108 | 5.9 | 4.2 |
| 97 | Miami (OH) | -.121 | .719 | 116 | -.267 | 104 | .418 | 110 | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| 98 | Washington State | -.123 | .214 | 29 | -.096 | 77 | .081 | 67 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 99 | Louisiana Lafayette | -.125 | .566 | 88 | .009 | 58 | .540 | 116 | 6.1 | 4.5 |
| 100 | Eastern Michigan | -.130 | .587 | 91 | -.080 | 75 | .232 | 87 | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| Rank | Team | FEI | SOS | SOS Rank |
Off FEI | Off FEI Rank |
Def FEI | Def FEI Rank |
Mean Wins | Mean Conf Wins |
| 101 | Western Michigan | -.140 | .639 | 101 | -.177 | 87 | .094 | 71 | 4.7 | 3.2 |
| 102 | Louisiana Monroe | -.141 | .474 | 79 | -.257 | 102 | .370 | 102 | 5.6 | 4.2 |
| 103 | Temple | -.142 | .675 | 110 | -.564 | 118 | .197 | 84 | 5.1 | 3.4 |
| 104 | Colorado State | -.143 | .646 | 102 | -.035 | 66 | .371 | 103 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| 105 | Louisiana Tech | -.143 | .385 | 67 | -.360 | 107 | .323 | 94 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| 106 | Hawaii | -.145 | .653 | 106 | -.180 | 89 | .359 | 100 | 6.1 | 3.9 |
| 107 | Army | -.149 | .648 | 104 | -.551 | 117 | -.003 | 60 | 4.7 | n/a |
| 108 | Buffalo | -.157 | .738 | 119 | -.363 | 108 | .468 | 113 | 4.5 | 3.0 |
| 109 | Arkansas State | -.158 | .673 | 109 | -.567 | 119 | .142 | 79 | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| 110 | UNLV | -.165 | .618 | 99 | .086 | 43 | .564 | 118 | 4.0 | 2.1 |
| 111 | Tulane | -.170 | .455 | 77 | -.229 | 99 | .386 | 106 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 112 | San Jose State | -.172 | .398 | 71 | -.688 | 120 | -.106 | 49 | 4.6 | 3.4 |
| 113 | Florida International | -.175 | .215 | 30 | -.391 | 109 | .403 | 107 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| 114 | San Diego State | -.177 | .606 | 96 | -.180 | 88 | .477 | 114 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| 115 | Utah State | -.184 | .615 | 98 | -.212 | 95 | .335 | 95 | 4.4 | 3.2 |
| 116 | Florida Atlantic | -.199 | .739 | 120 | -.423 | 110 | .349 | 99 | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| 117 | Western Kentucky | -.202 | .662 | 107 | -.106 | 79 | .229 | 86 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| 118 | North Texas | -.205 | .647 | 103 | -.224 | 98 | .525 | 115 | 3.8 | 2.9 |
| 119 | New Mexico State | -.259 | .534 | 85 | -.456 | 112 | .243 | 88 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| 120 | Idaho | -.289 | .737 | 118 | -.271 | 105 | .700 | 120 | 2.1 | 1.5 |