This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total offense as well as rushing and passing offense separated. The DVOA system is explained here [1]. All numbers below are adjusted to an average schedule of opponents and an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the offense. The exceptions are the final three columns, which are unadjusted total, passing, and rushing offense. Rushing includes all rushing, not just running backs.
LAST YEAR represents 2003 rank. WEIGHTED OFFENSE is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season.
Please note that the combination of pass offense and run offense will appear to be higher than total offensive DVOA. This is because offensive DVOA also accounts for false starts and delay of game penalties, which are all negative plays but are not considered as either passes or runs.
VARIANCE [2] measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance. Teams are ranked from most consistent (#1, lowest variance) to least consistent (#32, highest variance).
| TEAM |
OFF. DVOA |
LAST YEAR |
WEIGHTED OFFENSE |
RANK |
PASS OFF. |
PASS RANK |
RUSH OFF. |
RUSH RANK |
NON-ADJUSTED | VAR. | RANK | |||
| TOTAL | PASS | RUSH | ||||||||||||
| 1 | IND | 33.2% | 2 | 31.5% | 2 | 69.1% | 1 | 6.7% | 11 | 34.8% | 71.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7 | 2 | KC | 32.9% | 1 | 34.0% | 1 | 46.1% | 4 | 26.6% | 1 | 30.7% | 43.5% | 24.8% | 5.9% | 9 | 3 | NE | 24.6% | 14 | 23.0% | 3 | 48.7% | 2 | 12.7% | 4 | 19.6% | 41.8% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 5 | 4 | NYJ | 22.1% | 7 | 14.8% | 9 | 34.8% | 8 | 19.0% | 2 | 20.3% | 29.5% | 19.8% | 10.1% | 25 | 5 | MIN | 18.4% | 6 | 16.6% | 6 | 38.2% | 6 | 10.9% | 6 | 19.8% | 40.3% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 8 | 6 | GB | 18.3% | 8 | 20.7% | 4 | 41.8% | 5 | -0.7% | 19 | 20.9% | 45.3% | 0.8% | 8.7% | 20 | 7 | SD | 18.2% | 12 | 16.5% | 7 | 48.7% | 3 | 6.1% | 12 | 21.9% | 53.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 10 | 8 | PIT | 17.4% | 19 | 19.0% | 5 | 38.2% | 7 | 12.6% | 5 | 14.2% | 31.6% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 6 | 9 | PHI | 16.0% | 3 | 10.3% | 10 | 30.1% | 10 | 9.2% | 8 | 16.0% | 30.7% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 30 | 10 | DEN | 15.0% | 9 | 15.0% | 8 | 34.2% | 9 | 5.5% | 13 | 15.2% | 35.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 11 | 11 | CIN | 4.9% | 10 | 8.7% | 11 | 16.2% | 12 | 7.8% | 9 | -3.2% | 7.1% | 0.3% | 8.4% | 18 | 12 | SEA | 4.1% | 5 | 5.7% | 12 | 12.4% | 13 | 4.0% | 15 | 8.4% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 14 | 13 | CAR | 1.3% | 18 | 3.8% | 13 | 19.3% | 11 | -5.6% | 25 | 5.7% | 27.2% | -5.0% | 3.9% | 2 | 14 | OAK | 0.5% | 25 | -0.1% | 14 | 9.4% | 16 | 3.3% | 16 | -3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 8.9% | 21 | 15 | HOU | -0.5% | 28 | -1.1% | 16 | 6.1% | 19 | 5.1% | 14 | -0.5% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 7.9% | 16 | 16 | BAL | -1.3% | 27 | -1.1% | 17 | -3.5% | 22 | 6.8% | 10 | -4.1% | -8.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4 |
| TEAM |
OFF. DVOA |
LAST YEAR |
WEIGHTED OFFENSE |
RANK |
PASS OFF. |
PASS RANK |
RUSH OFF. |
RUSH RANK |
NON-ADJUSTED | VAR. | RANK | |||
| TOTAL | PASS | RUSH | ||||||||||||
| 17 | JAC | -2.5% | 15 | -4.5% | 19 | 10.5% | 14 | -2.9% | 23 | -2.9% | 8.8% | -2.0% | 7.3% | 13 | 18 | TEN | -2.8% | 4 | -4.7% | 20 | 3.7% | 20 | 1.5% | 18 | -1.7% | 6.7% | -0.1% | 9.3% | 23 | 19 | STL | -3.2% | 22 | -11.3% | 25 | 6.4% | 18 | 2.2% | 17 | -2.4% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 10.6% | 27 | 20 | DAL | -3.6% | 21 | -6.1% | 21 | 9.9% | 15 | -3.6% | 24 | -4.6% | 8.5% | -4.1% | 7.1% | 12 | 21 | BUF | -5.1% | 29 | -3.4% | 18 | 1.5% | 21 | -1.4% | 21 | -5.8% | 1.2% | -2.5% | 9.7% | 24 | 22 | TB | -6.1% | 16 | -0.8% | 15 | 9.0% | 17 | -10.7% | 28 | -8.4% | 7.3% | -14.0% | 10.4% | 26 | 23 | DET | -9.0% | 31 | -11.3% | 24 | -5.7% | 23 | -1.4% | 20 | -7.1% | -4.3% | 1.2% | 8.1% | 17 | 24 | ATL | -9.4% | 24 | -8.7% | 22 | -35.1% | 31 | 18.5% | 3 | -6.6% | -31.0% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 32 | 25 | NYG | -10.3% | 26 | -14.2% | 27 | -13.5% | 28 | 10.1% | 7 | -7.9% | -10.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 29 | 26 | NO | -11.9% | 13 | -8.9% | 23 | -7.5% | 25 | -2.9% | 22 | -8.6% | -0.5% | -4.1% | 2.8% | 1 | 27 | CLE | -13.2% | 23 | -15.7% | 28 | -6.0% | 24 | -6.3% | 26 | -21.7% | -18.7% | -11.6% | 17.6% | 31 | 28 | WAS | -17.5% | 20 | -12.7% | 26 | -11.0% | 26 | -12.0% | 29 | -14.6% | -5.9% | -11.2% | 7.5% | 15 | 29 | SF | -20.2% | 11 | -21.8% | 30 | -11.5% | 27 | -20.8% | 32 | -24.6% | -15.0% | -26.6% | 8.6% | 19 | 30 | ARI | -22.8% | 32 | -23.9% | 31 | -20.2% | 29 | -13.8% | 31 | -17.1% | -11.6% | -10.8% | 4.0% | 3 | 31 | MIA | -28.5% | 17 | -19.9% | 29 | -28.7% | 30 | -13.1% | 30 | -30.9% | -32.5% | -13.7% | 9.0% | 22 | 32 | CHI | -36.1% | 30 | -46.5% | 32 | -51.2% | 32 | -7.1% | 27 | -35.3% | -49.5% | -7.2% | 12.0% | 28 |
Links:
[1] http://www.footballoutsiders.com/methods
[2] http://www.footballoutsiders.com/glossary#variance