2009 NCAA S&P+ RATINGS, OFFENSE

through games of 1/7/10

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from the play-by-play data of all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays). There are three key components to the S&P+:

Success Rate: A common Football Outsiders tool used to measure efficiency by determining whether every play of a given game was successful or not. The terms of success in college football: 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, and 100 percent on third and fourth down.
EqPts Per Play (PPP): An explosiveness measure derived from determining the point value of every yard line (based on the expected number of points an offense could expect to score from that yard line) and, therefore, every play of a given game.
Opponent adjustments: Success Rate and PPP combine to form S&P, an OPS-like measure for football. Then each team's S&P output for a given category (Rushing/Passing on either Standard Downs or Passing Downs) is compared to the expected output based upon their opponents and their opponents' opponents. This is a schedule-based adjustment designed to reward tougher schedules and punish weaker ones.

The S&P+ figures used in the tables below only look at the plays that took place while a game was deemed "close," or competitive. The criteria for being "close" are as follows: a game within 24 points in the first quarter, with 21 points in the second quarter, and within 16 points in the second half.

Passing Downs are defined as:

second down with 8 or more yards to go
third or fourth down with 5 or more yards to go

All other downs are Standard Downs.

Please note that in the split of rushing and passing S&P+, sacks are counted as passes, as in NFL data, and not runs as in official NCAA totals.

Use the menu above for pages that give more details on total and defensive S&P+, or our other college football ratings, the drive-based FEI.

Offense	Off. S&P+	Rk	Success Rate+	Rk	PPP+	Rk	Rushing S&P+	Rk	Passing S&P+	Rk	Std. Downs S&P+	Rk	Pass. Downs S&P+	Rk
Cincinnati	137.2	1	123.6	5	161.2	3	135.8	3	139.4	7	127.3	10	156.8	1
TCU	128.4	2	125.8	3	141.7	11	124.6	13	144.1	4	124.9	11	132.6	19
Houston	128.1	3	124.1	4	135.1	21	124.5	14	125.0	20	117.0	22	143.6	9
Florida	128.0	4	122.9	7	147.1	7	137.2	2	128.2	17	131.4	2	143.7	8
Stanford	127.8	5	122.0	8	144.0	8	131.5	7	133.1	10	132.3	1	130.3	23
BYU	127.2	6	126.0	2	136.6	16	113.2	32	144.3	3	128.4	7	126.5	26
Arkansas	127.0	7	111.6	26	169.9	1	112.1	36	154.1	1	128.9	6	135.8	13
Virginia Tech	126.7	8	114.6	20	168.4	2	133.2	6	143.6	5	130.7	3	131.6	21
Georgia Tech	125.9	9	120.1	11	153.5	5	135.5	4	130.6	14	129.0	5	148.4	3
Florida State	125.1	10	127.3	1	136.3	17	140.2	1	121.5	23	128.3	8	143.0	10
Penn State	124.9	11	119.6	13	143.2	9	125.6	12	131.5	13	118.9	17	133.1	17
Nevada	124.5	12	114.4	21	125.4	27	126.8	10	105.5	55	116.8	23	133.0	18
Oregon	124.0	13	117.0	15	150.7	6	133.3	5	126.4	18	122.9	14	138.2	12
Alabama	123.9	14	117.6	14	154.1	4	121.2	18	147.1	2	124.4	13	139.8	11
Miami	122.3	15	121.3	9	140.4	12	128.1	9	129.5	15	130.5	4	121.4	32
Wisconsin	121.2	16	123.0	6	128.8	23	122.9	16	131.9	12	121.7	15	122.6	30
Boise State	120.6	17	115.7	18	122.5	33	109.5	40	129.4	16	118.6	18	115.3	43
Texas	119.9	18	120.2	10	142.4	10	124.3	15	132.4	11	120.0	16	151.6	2
Texas A&M	119.9	19	116.3	16	135.4	20	130.6	8	116.6	32	113.9	30	145.5	5
Tennessee	118.7	20	119.6	12	139.3	13	115.6	27	141.4	6	127.8	9	144.3	6
Offense	Off. S&P+	Rk	Success Rate+	Rk	PPP+	Rk	Rushing S&P+	Rk	Passing S&P+	Rk	Std. Downs S&P+	Rk	Pass. Downs S&P+	Rk
Notre Dame	118.5	21	116.2	17	123.5	31	110.6	37	126.3	19	114.3	28	126.0	27
Auburn	117.5	22	115.2	19	137.1	14	125.9	11	122.2	21	124.6	12	129.3	24
Pittsburgh	117.1	23	106.1	45	136.2	18	120.5	19	118.2	28	115.4	25	124.7	29
Texas Tech	116.4	24	112.7	25	128.1	24	115.7	26	117.6	29	118.5	19	143.9	7
Troy	114.1	25	107.4	34	119.3	37	105.6	55	114.7	33	102.0	64	121.3	33
Michigan State	113.9	26	105.9	46	137.0	15	101.8	70	134.2	9	114.3	27	120.5	36
Kansas	113.7	27	114.1	22	124.2	29	109.4	41	120.3	25	117.4	20	131.4	22
Missouri	112.3	28	107.6	32	126.9	25	107.7	47	120.2	26	114.0	29	104.9	58
Florida Atlantic	111.9	29	108.1	31	116.7	39	105.7	53	116.7	31	99.0	76	135.3	14
Michigan	111.8	30	113.4	24	119.8	36	120.1	20	112.8	36	110.3	36	120.8	34
USC	111.5	31	106.8	38	126.7	26	122.2	17	109.4	43	114.9	26	120.5	37
UAB	111.5	32	104.2	53	116.4	42	117.8	23	104.5	58	104.4	56	113.5	46
Ohio State	111.2	33	107.4	33	131.6	22	116.3	25	120.7	24	112.2	33	106.9	52
Oregon State	110.8	34	106.3	41	116.6	40	108.3	43	112.7	37	108.0	48	118.8	39
Idaho	110.2	35	103.6	58	111.1	49	97.8	76	117.1	30	104.4	57	127.4	25
Georgia	109.9	36	102.8	62	135.5	19	99.9	75	135.7	8	110.0	38	133.6	16
Central Michigan	109.5	37	109.1	30	104.6	63	104.6	56	108.9	44	107.7	49	99.2	70
Connecticut	108.9	38	107.3	35	120.3	35	118.1	22	108.3	47	105.8	53	148.0	4
N.C. State	108.5	39	106.9	37	117.2	38	100.2	73	119.0	27	106.3	50	132.0	20
Fresno State	108.3	40	101.3	64	111.6	48	109.2	42	107.2	52	101.8	65	107.9	50
Offense	Off. S&P+	Rk	Success Rate+	Rk	PPP+	Rk	Rushing S&P+	Rk	Passing S&P+	Rk	Std. Downs S&P+	Rk	Pass. Downs S&P+	Rk
LSU	108.2	41	110.0	28	122.9	32	110.2	39	121.7	22	113.6	31	115.1	44
Arizona	107.8	42	106.1	43	120.6	34	110.5	38	111.9	39	109.2	41	115.5	42
California	107.7	43	99.8	67	124.4	28	108.2	44	113.5	35	117.3	21	88.0	98
Colorado State	107.5	44	111.0	27	108.3	54	115.2	29	106.7	53	112.8	32	96.6	81
Wake Forest	107.4	45	106.5	39	108.0	55	104.3	57	107.5	51	99.2	75	116.6	41
Toledo	106.6	46	103.9	55	108.4	53	102.6	64	108.8	45	101.4	66	120.8	35
Utah	106.5	47	105.8	47	109.4	52	107.6	48	108.0	49	108.7	44	100.8	67
West Virginia	106.2	48	102.8	61	113.9	45	119.4	21	96.3	79	108.7	43	101.1	66
Hawaii	106.1	49	106.4	40	97.1	77	115.6	28	96.3	78	100.0	73	101.9	61
Southern Miss	105.8	50	102.9	60	104.7	62	101.9	69	108.5	46	106.2	51	101.4	64
Ole Miss	105.7	51	105.2	49	113.8	46	112.3	35	104.4	59	108.5	45	111.3	47
Purdue	105.6	52	104.2	52	113.2	47	107.8	46	106.4	54	108.8	42	100.7	68
Baylor	105.3	53	104.2	51	123.7	30	113.2	33	110.1	42	109.5	39	125.0	28
UTEP	105.3	54	99.7	68	103.9	66	107.1	49	96.7	76	102.9	61	96.8	80
Clemson	105.1	55	101.2	66	116.6	41	113.6	30	103.2	61	110.8	35	105.6	55
Mississippi State	105.0	56	113.9	23	107.9	57	116.6	24	96.5	77	115.6	24	96.3	83
North Texas	104.0	57	107.0	36	99.4	69	113.3	31	93.5	85	109.3	40	83.0	106
Washington	103.5	58	102.6	63	109.8	51	106.5	51	104.3	60	105.4	55	118.2	40
Iowa State	103.4	59	109.6	29	104.4	65	105.8	52	108.1	48	110.1	37	95.1	84
Bowling Green	103.3	60	99.5	69	107.9	56	94.5	86	105.5	56	96.2	82	121.7	31
Offense	Off. S&P+	Rk	Success Rate+	Rk	PPP+	Rk	Rushing S&P+	Rk	Passing S&P+	Rk	Std. Downs S&P+	Rk	Pass. Downs S&P+	Rk
Kentucky	103.2	61	103.9	57	115.1	44	112.7	34	99.1	71	108.2	46	110.7	48
Oklahoma State	102.9	62	104.1	54	107.4	59	102.9	62	110.2	41	106.0	52	101.8	62
Navy	102.7	63	99.1	70	107.4	60	107.0	50	101.1	64	105.7	54	96.4	82
South Carolina	101.6	64	106.1	44	111.1	50	102.0	68	114.3	34	104.3	58	114.7	45
UNLV	101.6	65	106.3	42	97.3	76	103.1	61	100.6	66	100.2	72	108.1	49
Indiana	101.5	66	105.5	48	107.8	58	102.1	66	110.2	40	104.1	59	119.6	38
Illinois	100.4	67	102.9	59	101.4	68	103.9	58	100.2	69	111.8	34	93.1	90
East Carolina	100.4	68	103.9	56	98.8	71	107.8	45	98.6	73	102.0	63	99.1	71
South Florida	100.0	69	95.0	87	104.6	64	102.0	67	98.5	74	98.4	78	105.0	57
Tulsa	99.9	70	96.8	78	98.5	72	93.6	91	100.2	68	94.5	84	99.0	72
Oklahoma	99.9	71	97.7	72	115.4	43	94.4	87	112.5	38	101.3	67	134.3	15
Temple	99.0	72	93.3	92	106.8	61	101.7	71	94.9	81	99.5	74	97.8	76
Utah State	98.2	73	95.5	83	97.1	78	95.8	80	98.0	75	94.6	83	107.9	51
Buffalo	98.1	74	97.2	74	98.0	75	95.3	83	100.1	70	100.9	68	90.5	92
Northern Illinois	97.3	75	93.5	91	95.6	79	94.3	88	98.8	72	93.9	90	98.5	74
Syracuse	97.3	76	101.3	65	99.2	70	100.9	72	100.2	67	108.1	47	81.2	108
Northwestern	97.1	77	104.2	50	91.8	86	87.9	102	108.0	50	93.0	91	106.1	53
Middle Tennessee	97.0	78	91.7	100	94.1	84	95.3	82	88.8	94	88.7	99	94.8	86
UL-Monroe	96.2	79	95.2	85	89.8	91	93.4	93	93.0	87	91.5	96	101.3	65
Louisiana Tech	95.7	80	95.3	84	91.5	87	97.1	78	90.4	90	91.1	98	93.9	88
Offense	Off. S&P+	Rk	Success Rate+	Rk	PPP+	Rk	Rushing S&P+	Rk	Passing S&P+	Rk	Std. Downs S&P+	Rk	Pass. Downs S&P+	Rk
Air Force	95.6	81	98.7	71	93.7	85	100.1	74	93.1	86	98.7	77	85.0	103
Iowa	95.0	82	95.0	86	103.8	67	97.4	77	101.1	65	100.4	70	97.6	77
Marshall	94.9	83	96.0	81	94.5	83	102.5	65	90.2	91	92.5	94	89.7	94
Kansas State	94.1	84	96.3	79	94.9	82	96.7	79	91.8	89	100.3	71	94.9	85
SMU	93.4	85	90.7	102	86.2	97	90.0	100	86.1	99	97.2	81	73.3	114
Boston College	93.3	86	92.7	96	98.4	73	89.8	101	101.7	63	94.4	87	101.7	63
Memphis	92.1	87	96.2	80	88.3	94	103.2	60	85.0	101	102.3	62	89.2	96
Louisville	91.8	88	96.9	77	89.9	90	102.9	63	87.2	97	94.0	89	104.6	59
UL-Lafayette	91.6	89	95.5	82	82.9	101	85.5	107	94.1	82	86.0	108	90.4	93
Central Florida	91.6	90	89.5	105	90.6	89	91.1	98	88.8	93	92.8	92	85.8	101
Duke	91.4	91	92.8	95	89.7	92	64.8	119	105.5	57	88.0	101	105.2	56
Western Michigan	90.6	92	97.1	75	72.9	112	86.8	104	84.5	102	87.2	102	88.2	97
Nebraska	90.1	93	90.8	101	98.3	74	93.9	89	93.6	84	100.8	69	103.4	60
San Diego State	90.0	94	87.9	108	91.3	88	68.8	118	102.3	62	86.0	107	105.9	54
Maryland	89.6	95	97.4	73	88.2	95	90.8	99	96.2	80	94.4	85	98.9	73
Minnesota	89.1	96	92.6	97	95.6	80	93.5	92	94.1	83	97.3	80	93.9	87
Rutgers	88.2	97	80.8	115	95.4	81	95.8	81	81.3	106	97.5	79	68.5	117
Arkansas State	88.0	98	90.5	103	81.9	104	83.5	110	87.6	96	94.3	88	76.7	110
North Carolina	87.5	99	92.9	94	82.1	103	94.9	85	82.9	104	87.2	103	86.7	99
Tulane	87.5	100	94.1	89	76.5	108	84.9	109	87.7	95	87.0	104	77.4	109
Offense	Off. S&P+	Rk	Success Rate+	Rk	PPP+	Rk	Rushing S&P+	Rk	Passing S&P+	Rk	Std. Downs S&P+	Rk	Pass. Downs S&P+	Rk
UCLA	86.7	101	92.1	99	83.0	100	86.4	105	89.8	92	94.4	86	84.9	104
Western Kentucky	86.4	102	87.8	109	82.3	102	103.3	59	64.9	116	88.2	100	86.5	100
Virginia	86.4	103	97.1	76	83.2	98	105.6	54	79.1	108	103.8	60	72.5	115
New Mexico	86.1	104	94.7	88	83.1	99	95.0	84	85.8	100	91.4	97	81.4	107
Wyoming	85.4	105	92.5	98	81.1	105	92.3	95	82.5	105	85.4	109	97.2	78
Akron	85.3	106	93.2	93	74.7	109	92.1	97	78.6	109	92.6	93	84.3	105
Ohio	85.1	107	81.0	114	89.4	93	77.8	113	92.0	88	80.7	114	97.9	75
Colorado	84.5	108	87.8	110	87.3	96	92.6	94	83.3	103	86.2	106	99.9	69
Florida International	83.3	109	89.7	104	77.2	107	79.7	112	86.5	98	84.4	112	96.8	79
Arizona State	82.9	110	87.3	111	73.0	111	87.8	103	76.6	112	91.5	95	74.6	111
Vanderbilt	82.1	111	89.4	106	77.9	106	92.1	96	74.7	113	86.4	105	89.7	95
Miami (Ohio)	81.5	112	93.5	90	68.2	114	86.0	106	80.1	107	84.8	110	93.8	89
Eastern Michigan	81.4	113	89.1	107	70.4	113	93.8	90	67.1	115	80.5	115	85.4	102
Kent State	78.8	114	77.8	117	73.5	110	73.4	116	77.2	111	82.6	113	69.4	116
San Jose State	77.6	115	86.1	112	66.0	115	75.5	115	77.7	110	77.3	117	73.8	112
Ball State	75.6	116	81.7	113	64.5	117	85.1	108	61.4	118	74.5	119	93.0	91
Rice	73.7	117	80.0	116	65.7	116	82.4	111	67.5	114	84.7	111	73.4	113
Army	72.7	118	76.4	118	62.5	118	76.4	114	62.0	117	74.8	118	59.5	118
New Mexico State	62.0	119	73.8	119	42.8	119	71.0	117	43.3	120	67.5	120	47.2	120
Washington State	56.2	120	67.9	120	42.2	120	63.4	120	53.1	119	78.4	116	47.8	119