In this week's Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly takes a page out of baseball's playbook and attempts to isolate power from efficiency.
21 Jul 2004
With apologies to John Madden; actually, we co-wrote a book. We're proud to announce that Football Outsiders and Football Project have combined forces to produce Brassey's Pro Football Forecast, which will be in bookstores this preseason.
This is the book that was Pro Football Prospectus for the last two years. Unfortunately, due to reasons beyond our control, it isn't going to be Pro Football Prospectus in 2004. The name has changed but the content is better than ever -- plus, we wrote some of it.
(I'm glad they put the best player in football on the cover, but the Ravens are totally screwed now. This book has a curse like Madden. Brian Urlacher was on the first cover and the Bears were terrible that year. Michael Vick was on last year's cover. Uh-oh.)
|List price of the book is $21.95. Click on this button to buy the book from Amazon.com at 30% off (plus we get an extra Amazon associates referral fee). Don't worry about how Amazon lists the book right now; you are buying Pro Football Forecast.|
The first section of the book also contains a long essay on DVOA -- how it works, and why it is better than conventional football numbers. The second part of the book features two essays for each team, one that looks at expectations for the team in 2004 and one that explores a research question related to the team. The essays are written by a number of different folks, including the writers from Football Project like Sean Lahman, Todd Greanier, Dan Lewis, and Brandon Williams, as well as four different Football Outsiders: Aaron Schatz, Michael David Smith, Al Bogdan, and Russell Levine. Here's a list of the essays contributed to the book by Football Outsiders:
Yep, that's a lot of new Football Outsiders material, plus you get all of Football Project's work, like a projection system for 2004 player statistics that will help you prepare for your fantasy football draft. It's the one preseason book you need. Buy yours today.
Anyway, we have two winners who managed to get three correct answers (not counting coaches already hired). Manas Pradhan correctly guessed that Warren Sapp was going to Oakland, Terrell Owens was going to Philadelphia, and Ty Law was staying in New England. Lindsay Oliver also had Ty Law correct, predicted Keyshawn Johnson would go to Dallas, and guessed that Chicago would hire Lovie Smith before they actually filled the job. As our winners, Pradhan and Oliver will both be getting free copies of Pro Football Forecast in the mail.