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» Futures: My Expansion Franchise

You've just been awarded an NFL expansion team and must build your personnel department. How would you do it? Matt Waldman takes on the exercise.

06 Sep 2006

Scramble for the Ball: Damaged Goods

by Bill Barnwell and Ian Dembsky

Beating Your League to the Waiver Wire

Bill: It's been my observation that the most active waiver wire of the season occurs right after Week 1. It makes sense; (almost) nobody's given up on their team yet, so the activity rate is high. Sometimes, it's not worth the effort (I'm looking at you last year, Chris Baker), but other times, you pull an Anquan Boldin off the wire and he becomes a stud receiver. Of course, the real solution is to have a player who's going to have an unexpectedly big Week 1 on your roster before the season even begins, allowing you the latitude to hold onto him or, more likely, trade him for something much more likely to be valuable over the course of the other sixteen weeks of the season. In this article, I'm going to try and identify some guys who may fit that niche -- guys who, if you have an open spot on your bench before the season, you might want to take a gamble on. The flip side is also a positive -- if they don't work out, you can cut them for one of the better players who get waived by teams trying to acquire those Week 1 stars. Of course, none of these guys are guarantees -- they're just guys who, for one reason or another, are likely to look better during Week 1 than they will in subsequent weeks.

Marcedes Lewis, TE, JAC: Marcedes is a perfect example of this syndrome -- he's a guy who's already slightly overvalued (as you can read in this year's book, rookie tight ends are almost never fantasy point fountains), who'll be in an advantageous situation in Week 1. He plays at home versus the Cowboys, who were 31st in the league in defending against tight ends in 2005; in addition, the Cowboys will be employing Greg Ellis in coverage across from Lewis, a move which should inspire confidence in, well, Marcedes Lewis. The addition of Mike Tice to the Jaguars coaching staff won't hurt, either. The only downside here is that Lewis suffered a high ankle sprain during preseason and it may still be hampering him. I wasn't able to find information on whether he'd be available or healthy for the season opener. If he's going to be out, picking up reserve TE George Wrighster for a week isn't the worst idea.

Eric Parker, WR, SD: Parker is a guy I've been recommending as a sleeper pick all summer for the upcoming season: he's 27, was second in DVOA last year, and is across from an aging WR who's likely to see the ball less. Granted, he may only be the third option in the offense, but that's still going to mean a goodly amount of receptions. This week, Parker's playing Oakland, whose defense (27th against the pass in '05) is blending in several new starters at linebacker and cornerback; it's easy to envision the Raiders pushing their safeties up to help cover Antonio Gates and LaDainian Tomlinson, allowing Parker opportunities to beat the inexperienced Nnamdi Asomugha one-on-one.

DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR: While I expect Williams to be selected in most leagues, there should be some where he's available. If so, get ready to grab him and deal him. Williams is playing Atlanta in Week 1 -- the same Atlanta Falcons team that was last against the run in 2005 and solved their problems by, well, bringing in a pass rusher in John Abraham. Ed Hartwell's return (if he gets on the field -- he'll be questionable with a knee injury) should help the run defense some, but this team is built for the pass rush. The intelligent coaching staff in Carolina knows this, and will run the ball down their throat. With DeShaun Foster not really the type to run the ball thirty times (although he did rush a season-high 24 times against the Falcons last season) and the coaching staff trying to find places to get Williams in, he could see the ball up to fifteen times in this game. That won't be an every-week occurrence.

Jon Kitna, QB, DET: The Seahawks pass defense was nothing to write home about last season, finishing 25th in the league. They addressed this in the offseason by replacing Andre Dyson with first-round pick Kelly Jennings and/or Kelly Herndon. Whichever Kelly wins out, he can be expected to struggle, Jennings because of his inexperience and Herndon because of his history of ... struggle. That should only be magnified performing on the road, on a fast surface, against a Mike Martz offense. If you do pick up Kitna and he does well, trade him before Week 2. He moves on to play at Chicago, a slightly less appetizing fixture.

Out on a Limb

Ian: It's bold prediction time. Time for me to say the kind of things that can quickly be proven wrong; that I can look back on and laugh because I was so stupid. And for the one or two that turn out right, I can say, "See? I predicted that would happen!" Always a good ego booster.
That being said, I have a strong premonition many of these things will happen. Some will be more likely than others, but here goes:

  • The Baltimore Ravens will win the AFC North. Regular readers know by now that I'm a big fan of the Ravens this season. I'm also not a big fan of the rest of the division. I don't think anyone's predicting the Browns to win the division. The Steelers are a strong team, but injuries are already mounting. Even when Big Ben returns from his emergency appendectomy, he's only one solid shot to the head from aggravating his fractured jaw, and then it's Charlie Batch time. Cincinnati seems the biggest challenger for a division title, and Carson Palmer's preseason performance did nothing to disprove that notion. I just think that the strong Ravens defense will combine with a rejuvenated offense to catapult the team to a division title. By the way, it kills me that Baltimore starts their season in Tampa this year. No way am I rooting against my Bucs just to back up my predictions. Let's just say the Ravens will look bad Week 1, then turn it on for the rest of the year.
  • Peyton Manning will return to 2004 form. Okay, so this isn't going that far out on a limb. Last season marked the first time in Peyton's career that didn't throw for 4,000 yards. His touchdowns also dipped from an NFL-record 49 to a more human 28. It seemed like after 2004 he said to himself, "I have the NFL record; this season I'll just do whatever it takes to win games, screw individual achievements." Well, it brought the same results that the previous season brought -- no Super Bowl ticket. This season, it's back to racking up stats when he realizes that the regular season is just a warm-up for the postseason for the Colts anyways. Without Edge the running game won't be as effective as it was last season, and Wayne, Harrison, and Manning will all benefit. Speaking of Edge ...
  • Kurt Warner will have lots of touchdowns; Edgerrin James won't. It's not surprising that Edge gets drafted so high in every league. He's been a stud for years, and a change of scenery won't do anything to affect that, right? Wrong. The Cardinals offensive line won't magically change into a top-notch unit; they've been terrible for the past several seasons and that will likely continue. That being said, Edge commands attention from a defense, and will prevent too many double-teams on Larry Fitzgerald, which should make him a prime target in the red zone. Boldin will keep the chains moving, and is a good enough YAC guy to get some scores on his own. Keep an eye on Leonard Pope; he also is a solid red zone target. The biggest worry with Kurt Warner is injuries, which is a reasonable thing to worry about, but if he's healthy he could be in the top three in the league in passing touchdowns.
  • Todd Heap will lead all tight ends in receptions, yards, and touchdowns. Last season, the top three Titans tight ends (Erron Kinney, Ben Troupe and Bo Scaife) combined for 147 catches for 1,346 yards and 8 touchdowns. None of them are as good as Todd Heap. He set career highs last season with 75 catches for 855 yards and 7 touchdowns, and that was with a mix of Kyle Boller and Anthony Wright at quarterback. I expected Heap to get better regardless of a quarterback upgrade; with McNair at the helm he will ascend to the league's best.
  • The New York Giants will represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Now that is a very thin limb to climb out on. Seriously though, I think this Giants team is headed for the big game this season. Eli Manning is no Peyton, but he was pretty good last season, and he'll be better this season. Tiki Barber and Brandon Jacobs are among the league's best speed/power tandems in the backfield. Burress is a great deep threat and Shockey is a great short-range option. The defensive line is a fearsome one. LaVar Arrington will defy the injury worries and bring back shades of the original L.T. (only "shades" though; no one in the league is close to being L.T. right now). Sam Madison should help stabilize what has been a shaky secondary. It won't be easy, but the Giants will exact revenge on the Panthers and outscore Seattle on their way to an NFC title.

For the record, I think the Colts will finally make it to the Super Bowl, where Peyton will top Eli for his first Super Bowl ring. That's not really going out on a limb though now, is it?

Check out the Football Outsiders comics archive and Jason's wacky Gil Thorp blog.

Best Bets

Bill: You know, I was reading Seventh Day Adventure earlier and they have a fancy name for their best bet of the week. I'm not going to lie -- I'm a little jealous. Especially 'cause they named it after Fred Edelstein. If anyone can think of a good name for our best bet, I'd like to hear it.

Bill: (0-0)

CAROLINA (-6.0) over Atlanta

Keeping in mind what I mentioned before about the Carolina offense versus the Atlanta defense, I have lots of faith in Carolina's defense to shut down Michael Vick and the Falcons running game. Besides, this is the yearly game that Kris Jenkins gets to play two quarters in before he blows out his knee! Hooray for humans!

Philadelphia (-4.0) over HOUSTON

Houston, in some sort of misguided and bizarre tribute to the 2005 Packers, is already out of running backs. With that in mind, the Eagles won't need to employ their defensive tackle rotation -- this should be an easy win for the Eagles, even on the road.

JACKSONVILLE (-3.0) over Dallas

As you may be aware, we are not very high on the chances of the Cowboys following the Pilsner trail to victory this year. To be honest, I don't think it really makes a difference whether Terrell Owens is in Jacksonville, Dallas, or Idiot Joy Showland this week. The Jaguars are going to be too much, especially at home, for a Cowboys team that isn't going to be able to stop the run.

Ian: (0-0)

ARIZONA (-7.5) over San Francisco

I hate laying a lot of points week one of the NFL season, but I can't resist here. Not only do I expect the Arizona offense to have a field day against the Niners' D, I expect a good day for the Cardinals defense as well. They're a good spot start for those of you that didn't draft a top fantasy defense and are playing the weekly matchup game. The new stadium will be rockin', and the 49ers will be reelin'.

San Diego (-3.0) over OAKLAND

I'm also not a big fan of laying points on the road on week one. No worries here though; San Diego swept the season series last season against Oakland, and should do so again this season without a problem. Look for LaDainian Tomlinson to rack up huge numbers to help take the pressure off of Philip Rivers, while the defense will contain Randy Moss and the offense.

NEW YORK GIANTS (+3.5) over Indianapolis

The converse is certainly true, of course; I love taking points at home in week one, especially when it's an above-average team getting the points. The loss of Edgerrin James will make the Colts more of a one-dimensional team. Not that they'll have a problem relying on the pass, but passing often leads to more second-and-longs, which lead to more punts, which means the G-Men will have the opportunity to keep the game close. Who knows; maybe they'll pull an upset, but either way I'm predicting a close game here.

Loser League

Bill: Obviously, as Scramble For The Ball is the home of the Loser League, myself and Ian each selected a group of heroes (I hope to give the Ike Hilliard induction speech when he enters the Loser League Hall of Fame) to represent us in football mediocrity this season.

Ian: With the Loser League roster set for eight weeks without substitutions, my goal was to avoid penalties. Take guys I think will be in there week in, week out, and hope for the crappiest performances no money could buy.

QB: Jon Kitna: There are worse starters out there. But not many. Kitna has proven a capable quarterback, but I don't expect much in his first season in Detroit. New team, new offensive system, mediocre fantasy numbers. It's pretty funny he's also on your list of guys to pick up -- who knows; maybe he'll come busting out of the gates and turn Roy Williams into the next Torry Holt. It doesn't really matter to me, because I also selected ...

QB: Chad Pennington: Ladies and Gentleman, your probable first-half Loser League MVP! The Jets are looking pretty poor at the moment, which is great for Chad, because no one will notice his miserable numbers in the midst of a disaster of a team. It's pretty depressing that Cedric Houston and Kevan Barlow have to take up spots on fantasy rosters, because a starting running back should never go undrafted. Either one of them won't do much to take the pressure off of Pennington, who'll be looking to pass the ball to Laveranues Coles and, um, Jerricho Cotchery? Hey, at least they have Chris Baker.

RB: Reuben Droughns: When a starting running back carries the ball 309 times in a season and scores a mere two touchdowns, that's what the Loser League is all about. I can't imagine he'll score that few this season, but he's a safe bet for eight carries a game with piss-poor results.

RB: Corey Dillon: It's unfortunate to see that Laurence Maroney is nicked up going into Week 1, as now Dillon will probably have a very nice game against the Bills. I'm counting on Maroney to limit Dillon to 10-12 carries a game, which should make him a consistent low scorer without pulling penalty.

RB: Chester Taylor: Taylor should have a pretty decent first half. The Vikings aren't likely to throw the ball all that well with Koren Robinson gone (hmm, maybe I should've gone with Brad Johnson over Jon Kitna), and so they will rely on their running game. Which means the probability of penalty with Chester Taylor is very low. I don't envision him putting up great numbers though; he should score in the 5-8 range most weeks. That's good enough for me.

WR: Laveranues Coles: Jeez, who would've anticipated my picking Coles? Wide receiver penalties are common when you go for the weaker options at wideout. I try to pick number one guys that don't put up number one numbers, and Coles fits right in.

WR: Keyshawn Johnson: Here's a former number one receiver now operating as a number two wideout. Given that Steve Smith is such a red zone target, I can't imagine Keyshawn scoring more than a handful of touchdowns this season. Which will make him a Loser League All-Star; he's very unlikely to pull penalty either.

WR: Muhsin Muhammad: Another player that's likely to give me 5-8 points each week, but is very unlikely to pull penalty.

K: Mike Nugent: Drafting Loser League kickers is first and foremost about picking teams with weak offenses, and second-most about drafting inaccurate kickers. Last season, Ryan Longwell was the man, but now he's kicking in a dome. This season no kicker combines the two better than New York's own, Mike Nugent.

K: Rob Bironas: I like Rob Bironas. I think he'll be a solid kicker for the Titans in the years to come. But the Titans don't know who their starting quarterback, or who their starting running back is. This is not a good sign when the season starts in less than a week. It's purely a matter of opportunity here, and I don't see Bironas getting all that many.

Bill: With my team this season, I decided to go Boom or Bust. I chose guys who I know will be in the starting lineup, but guys who may theoretically have some potential to be above replacement-level. It is my confidence, though, that they will perform to the standards I would expect of Ike Hilliard, Thomas Lewis, Aaron Pierce, and many other famed former Giants receivers who were awful and disappointing but were not so lucky as to get a character on 24 named after them. Anyway, my team, lovingly and memorially entitled STEVE HOLT! (remember, there's no "I" in win), entails:

QB: Charlie Frye: Oh yeah. Sure, he may have the heart of a hundred men and run a huddle like nobody's business. So could Roy Keane, probably. Doesn't mean he's an NFL quarterback. Or a Championship manager, for that matter. Now, if he could take York to the Champions League like me...

QB: Brad Johnson: I really like Troy Williamson. Unfortunately, Minnesota has absolutely no one else to throw to besides him in the offense this year. Since I think the Vikings will be behind a lot of the time, Johnson will be chucking it up quite frequently, which should lead to loads of interceptions. Of course, he will eventually get hurt, which is why he won't be on my second-half team.

RB: Reuben Droughns: Oh yeah. I'm not real high on the Browns this season. Gotta back up those Over/Under bets. While the LeCharles Bentley injury didn't help, even if he was healthy, Droughns would still be playing on a team that, like the Vikings, will be behind a lot of the time; that means lots of 12 carry, 38 yard days for our boy Reuben.

RB: DeShaun Foster: Foster's going to lose time to DeAngelo Williams this year, but he's still going to get twelve carries a game. In typical DeShaun Foster fashion, though, he won't be doing very much with eleven of them. Sure, he may get 35 yards on his one successful carry, but no worries.

RB: Edgerrin James: Someone wondered whether anyone would dare to pick Edge in the Loser League thread right before I selected my team and, well, I bit. This is a selection that places total belief in our offensive line statistics.

WR: Reggie Brown: I think that Reggie Brown is going to be a very good player -- it just won't be until 2007. Brown's going to be a starting WR, and he should catch four balls a game, but they're going to be, likely, as a possession receiver. That's exactly what the Loser League loves.

WR: Eric Moulds: Another guy who will just barely make it over the two-catches-a-game hump, Moulds has been playing off of his reputation for three years now and while he should free Andre Johnson up, that's going to be to Johnson's advantage, not Moulds'.

WR: Amani Toomer: My token Giants selection. Toomer will be in the starting lineup for the first half of the season and then get replaced by Tim Carter v2.0, Sinorice Moss. This pick hurts because I like Amani so much as a person and player, but, well, even Yankees fans began to boo Bernie Williams once the fork in his back started not answering the bleacher calls.

K: Rian Lindell: Lindell will be a stronger pick in the second half because of the cooler temperatures in Buff ... who am I kidding? There's a 30 percent shot of it snowing in Buffalo in September. Lindell's strictly a weather pick.

K: Robbie Gould: Firmly in the same vein, I remember the gusty game from Chicago last season and know that such a situation can also happen at anytime in Chicago. Again, nothing personal guys, you just happened to get jobs in cold-weather places. Blame Olindo. Not me. Olindo.

Scramble for the Mailbag

Don Ganzer: HELP! Im in a yardage and TD league. All TDS equal value. Rush/Rec.1 PT for every 25 yards. I have RBS S.Jackson, D.McAllister, T.Fisher. WRS Driver, R.Williams, J.Walker, A.Bryant, Mason. Please tell me why I should trade J.Walker for Chester Taylor?

Ian: That's an easy question, Don. The answer is because you probably need to start two running backs, and so far you only have one worth starting. Deuce McAllister is unlikely to put up much with Reggie Bush sharing the rock, and Tony Fisher is, well, Tony Fisher. Meanwhile, even if you have to start three wide receivers, going with Donald Driver, Roy Williams and Derrick Mason is perfectly reasonable. Javon Walker is likely to have a very nice season, but he won't be better than any of those three guys in a way that Chester Taylor will be better than McAllister.

Michael O'Neill: I am playing in a Yahoo fantasy football league and am trying to figure out which quarterback I should go with for the first week. I have Donovan McNabb versus Houston, McNair versus Miami (I believe), Ben Roethlisberger, and Brett Favre versus the Bears. I can only start one of these guys and I am a big Steve McNair fan. Every ranking list I have seen has McNabb number 7 QB or better and McNair is around 14 or so.

Which guy should I go with and what are your thoughts on a recent trade i just made? I traded Kevin Jones, Carnell Williams and Torry Holt for Shaun Alexander, T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Keenen McCardell. I start two RBs each week. I already have Westbrook and now I got Alexander. My thinking is Alexander is as good as it gets and the difference between Holt and Houshmandzadeh is minimal (TJ could very well be better than Holt this year). I think I got a steal of a deal because Alexander scores 25-30 TDs annually and Williams does not score all that much.

Ian: Well, first of all, McNair is playing at Tampa, which is a big difference than being at home versus Miami. Second of all, Roethlisberger is out. Third of all, Favre was eaten up by the Bears last season, so he's not an option. All that being said, you should be starting Donovan McNabb every week he's healthy, regardless of matchup. I also (as you all know) am a big Steve McNair fan, but he shouldn't be expected to put up better numbers than Donovan on a given week. Don't make the mistake many people do and worry too much about matchups; you should never bench a top player for a decent reserve if the top player is healthy.

As far as the trade goes, I'd say that it was a closer deal than you think. Torry Holt is regarded by many as the top wide receiver out there. Cadillac is among the better second-tier running backs, and Kevin Jones is a nice RB3 for any team. T.J. Housh is a good guy to start any given week, but it's very unlikely he'll put up numbers like Torry Holt; not with Chad Johnson on the other side of the field. All that being said, any trade where you get one of the Big Three is usually a good one, and you'll be loving it when Alexander runs wild on the 49ers, Cardinals and Rams. Not knowing the other team's roster and how it affected him, I'd say that this is a trade that is very slightly in your favor.

Posted by: Bill Barnwell & Ian Dembsky on 06 Sep 2006

39 comments, Last at 12 Sep 2006, 2:41pm by Tom Kelso

Comments

1
by Trogdor (not verified) :: Wed, 09/06/2006 - 1:34pm

Based on their astounding success last year, you might as well name your best bets after Russell and Vinny.

2
by Steve Holt (not verified) :: Wed, 09/06/2006 - 1:37pm

STEVE HOLT!

3
by Tom Kelso (not verified) :: Wed, 09/06/2006 - 1:37pm

There is only one name to give your best bets:

The Ax -- both in honor of the late Pete Axthelm, and because your bet records are usually eligible for the Keep Choppin' Wood Award.

4
by Fnor (not verified) :: Wed, 09/06/2006 - 1:49pm

Gould is pretty bad in his own right: no need to reach to weather to justify the pick. Plus, he'll get maybe 10 PATs all year.

On the other hand, I hope to God that Bill is wrong about the Vikings (and Taylor in particular), since I have him as my third RB in real fantasy football.

5
by mactbone (not verified) :: Wed, 09/06/2006 - 1:54pm

C'mon, it has to be Jimmy the Greek. You can't bet against the Raiders though - his pal Al thinks they're going to win.

6
by mactbone (not verified) :: Wed, 09/06/2006 - 1:55pm

Actually, Gould may have pulled it together. He was good in the preseason.

7
by Bill Barnwell :: Wed, 09/06/2006 - 2:03pm

Just to clarify - that's Ian that picked Chester Taylor. Not me. Although I'm not high on Taylor either.

8
by cjfarls (not verified) :: Thu, 09/07/2006 - 1:13am

If Taylor can't run behind Birk, Hutch & McKinnie, he really should be in the loser league...

9
by Miles (not verified) :: Thu, 09/07/2006 - 1:26am

With studly fantasy defense changing from year to year and hard to predict, I imagine Ds are a popular 1t week waiver pickup. How well does the Defense DVOA in the first week correlate to year end Defense DVOA?

10
by Jacob Stevens (not verified) :: Thu, 09/07/2006 - 3:29pm

I can't go with Jacksonville against Dallas with Mike Peterson out.

11
by Adam B. (not verified) :: Thu, 09/07/2006 - 5:11pm

Start/bench q: DRhodes @ NYG, or KBarlow @ TEN? Am leaning towards Rhodes.

12
by peachy (not verified) :: Thu, 09/07/2006 - 5:26pm

Given the way Sunderland's started the season, next year we can compare Frye to a League One manager...

13
by Adam H. (not verified) :: Thu, 09/07/2006 - 6:15pm

"The Erie Canal Lock of the week"
"The Ness Lock of the week"
"The Pop/Lock Like Rerun from 'Good Times' Lock of the Week"
"The Ken Shamrock Memorial Lock of the Week"
"The Dr. James Shortt Lock of the Week"

14
by Adam H. (not verified) :: Thu, 09/07/2006 - 6:17pm

I got it! "The Joe Cullen, Lock up your Daughters" Lock of the Week!

15
by Neil J. (not verified) :: Thu, 09/07/2006 - 6:27pm

OK, so it might not be football related, but it sure is funny:
The George Ryan Lock of the Week

16
by BB (not verified) :: Thu, 09/07/2006 - 6:33pm

#4: Gould did look better in the preseason, for whatever that's worth. It's of course worth zero if the wind starts going bonzo off the lake again though. And in his PAT's, while I think you short shrift the Bears offense which ought to be passably below average (instead of unbelievably brutally awful), you forget the prolific Bears defense and the inevitable several TD's they provide.

17
by Arkaein (not verified) :: Thu, 09/07/2006 - 8:45pm

It's a bit of a stretch, but how about the Lisa Simpson (aka Robo-"Picker") Pick of the Week.

18
by Bill Barnwell :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 1:26am

I would never want to start Kevan Barlow ever. I hope you got some real good WRs out of that draft.

19
by big_adventure (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 8:30am

OK, I really shouldn't, but how about:

The Wolfgang Priklopil Lock of the Week

A pretty harsh story, and it was all over the airwaves on this side of the Atlantic.

-Sean

20
by lk6 (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 9:45am

Samuel L. Jackson lock of the week.

21
by Mister Rush (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 11:01am

This Week's Namath.

22
by Adam B. (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 11:47am

Bill, it's a multi-year keeper league, and to preserve Addai's status for next year I've got to keep him to

23
by DavidH (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 1:12pm

to channel Bill Simmons for a sec...

The Brian Baldinger "I Pinky Swear" Pick of the Week

24
by DavidH (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 1:19pm

RE: 19

That's in such poor taste.

But I'm doing one of those smirk and shake your head moves that you do when you're not allowed to think something is funny, but you have to admire its cleverness.

25
by Podge (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 2:00pm

From the embarrasment of riches column, with basic scoring rules, any input on who I should start from:

HBs (1 from 3 cos starting Tomlinson is a no brainer): Gore at Ari, McGahee at NE or Thomas Jones at Green Bay. Leaning towards Gore ATM.

WRs (3 of): Burress v Colts, Kennison V Cin, Glenn at Jax, Mason at Tampa and Braylon Edwards at NO.

TE (1 of): Ben/Benjamin Watson v Buffalo or Todd Heap at Tampa.

Any input?

26
by Podge (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 2:02pm

Sorry for the double post, but RE 19 and 24, I'm doing on of those things when you know you shouldn't laugh, because its very harsh, but very funny too.

27
by Bill Barnwell :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 2:20pm

I'd go with Gore, Burress/Glenn/Kennison, and Watson.

28
by Podge (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 3:46pm

Cheers Bill. Now I have til Sunday to agonise about whether I should trust you or not!

:-P

29
by dbt (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 3:46pm

Two WR, two RB, one Flex. TD 6, receptions are .5, rushing/receiving yards 1pt/10 yards, 5pt bonus at 100 yards.

WRs: Kinnison, Andre Johnson, Santonio Holmes (benched already), Braylon Edwards.
RBs: LT, Reggie Bush, Jamal Lewis, Alstott.

Suggestions?

30
by Mitch Cumstein (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 7:21pm

I will nominate the Stu Feiner "ABSOLUTELY FREE" Lock of the Week.

Re: 29, I would go with LT & Bush at RB, Kennison and Johnson at WR, and start Edwards at flex instead of Jamal Lewis because of the good matchup for Edwards, and Jamal Lewis' hip.

My starting question: My fantasy team is going to start fining Deion Branch $1 a day until he returns, with him out, should I start KUBIAK favorite Roddy White against Carolina or Joe Jurevicius against New Orleans this week? Pts are 1/rec, 1/ first down, 1/10 yds, 6/TD and a 5 pt bonus for a 100+ yd receiving game.

31
by Bill Barnwell :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 9:58pm

In that league, dbt, WRs are more valuable than normal it seems like. I'd go with Kinneson/Johnson/LT/Lewis/Bush but I'd try and grab another useful WR to put in that flex spot weekly. Edwards isn't going to be able to do a lot with Fryeguy behind whoever's playing center.

I'd say the same thing about Jurevicius, but games with New Orleans should be high scoring affairs, and their pass defense isn't any good. Atlanta should also be behind against Carolina, but I think Jurevicius is the better bet this week.

32
by Nathan (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 10:11pm

Start at RB/2 slots
WR/3 slots

Gore, Taylor, Lundi, Dayne, Portis, Addai, Stephen Davis

Santana Moss, Randy Moss, Mushin Mohammed, Mason

Seems for Injuries, S. Moss, R. Moss, Mohammed

And Taylor and Gore.

Man, having auto pick take Davis really killed me. I traded Rod Smith for Fred Taylor and his groin because I'm so bad in RB's.

Ugh. Decent trade though given the situation?

33
by Peter (not verified) :: Fri, 09/08/2006 - 10:40pm

#10:

Mike Peterson isn't out. He's listed as questionable but he's practicing now. He's playing on Sunday.

34
by Jay B. (not verified) :: Sat, 09/09/2006 - 12:38am

Fantasy problem:

I have Portis, Jamal Lewis and Cedric Benson. It looks like Portis won't play, Lewis is probable but banged up, and Benson is banged up as well and the backup to boot.

Another owner has floated Frank Gore to me. I have two defenses and two kickers (that's what happens when you miss the draft and let Yahoo! draft for you). Should I offer one of Denver/Buffalo for Gore? (The other owner presently has Minnesota's D.) Or how about one of Rackers or Jeff Reed? (He has Stephen Gostkowski.)

35
by jimmo (not verified) :: Sat, 09/09/2006 - 2:51am

re:34, I'm not sure this even needs to be said, but Yes, in a heartbeat. Trading a Kicker and/or D for pretty much any position player with a pulse is a good move; to get a starting RB is insane. I can't imagine he'd take it, but by all means offer it up.

36
by Fargo (not verified) :: Sat, 09/09/2006 - 9:47am

Ok, I'm really agonising over this one: A half-fit Darrell Jackson, Donte Stallworth in his first game with a new offense, or Drew Bennett with God knows who throwing to him. Anyone got any suggestions?

37
by Murr (not verified) :: Sat, 09/09/2006 - 12:31pm

At RB: Frank Gore @ Ari, or Mike Bell @ StL?

And 2 out of 3 WRs: Matt Jones vs. Dal, Samie Parker vs. Cin, Michael Jenkins @ Car?

38
by Kalyan (not verified) :: Mon, 09/11/2006 - 2:52am

Some nice Loser League for Ian. A recap:

QB: Jon Kitna: 200 yds and no picks
QB: Chad Pennington: 300+ yds and 2 TDs. Ladies and Gentlemen, what a pick
RB: Reuben Droughns: 11 carries @2.5. Nice work
RB: Corey Dillon: 70 yds, 0 TDs. Average
RB: Chester Taylor: Let's wait
WR: Laveranues Coles: Jeez, 8 catches for 100+ yds
WR: Keyshawn Johnson: 4 for 40 is not bad
WR: Muhsin Muhammad: Another 100 yder
K: Mike Nugent: Finally, a solid pick
K: Rob Bironas: Not much work. A Good pick

Summary: As per Loser league lines: Bad QB & WR performance, decent WR performance and only good performance in 'K'

Guess, your score in this would put some of the actual fantasy league owners to shame.

39
by Tom Kelso (not verified) :: Tue, 09/12/2006 - 2:41pm

Ian,

Sorry about Week 1, but rest assured that your prediction looks very solid for now.

And the Bucs' season isn't over either; they got a reprieve in how poorly Carolina played as well, so their chances at the NFC South are still in their own hands (or in the hands of whomever knocks Michael Vick out for a few games THIS season).