Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

16 Jun 2016, 01:52pm by Scott Kacsmar

2015 Receiving Plus-Minus

Antonio Brown now has the highest receiving plus-minus season since 2006. We look at the 2015 results, including which receivers hurt their quarterbacks the most with drops. Also: the odd cases of Oakland, Jeremy Langford, and Rob Gronkowski.

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7 comments, Last at 21 Jun 2016, 12:49pm by Raiderjoe

13 Jun 2016, 06:28pm by Scott Kacsmar

2015 Passing Plus-Minus

Passing Plus-Minus is our method of adjusting completions based on where the ball was thrown. We look at the best and worst of the last decade, and who was at their career peak in 2015. We also have adjusted +/- for drops for the first time.

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17 comments, Last at 22 Jun 2016, 7:50pm by Vincent Verhei

03 Jun 2016, 03:33pm by Scott Kacsmar

Defense: Expected Failed Completions and YAC+

Our look at Expected Failed Completions and YAC+ for defenses showcases impressive feats from Denver, Carolina, Gregg Williams, and Seattle. Also: is scheme a weakness for Dick LeBeau and Dom Capers?

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0 comments

31 May 2016, 04:17pm by Scott Kacsmar

Expected Failed Completions

Expected Failed Completions is another step in using game charting to break down the air and YAC components in a successful connection. We look at a decade of results and hone in on 2015.

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24 comments, Last at 02 Jul 2016, 12:52am by David180

19 May 2016, 03:12pm by Scott Kacsmar

Snap-Weighted Age: 2015 NFL Rosters

Our annual look at Snap-Weighted Age finds the same two teams from 2014 as the NFL's youngest, but now with more hype. Also: SWA adjusted for position.

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19 comments, Last at 23 May 2016, 8:15am by Ferguson1015

13 May 2016, 01:20pm by Scott Kacsmar

What Does the NFL Draft Really Produce? (Part III)

The conclusion to our NFL draft study shows what to expect from an average draft class, the cumulative value drafted by each team from 1994-1999, and the most valuable player that got away. Included: downloadable spreadsheet of data.

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17 comments, Last at 03 Jun 2016, 7:18am by bengt

10 May 2016, 11:49am by Scott Kacsmar

What Does the NFL Draft Really Produce? (Part II)

Part II of our draft study on 1994-1999 focuses on how much value the player brought to the team that drafted him. How good were those Tampa Bay drafts, and how bad was Cleveland's last one with Bill Belichick?

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4 comments, Last at 11 May 2016, 4:01pm by duh

06 May 2016, 12:14pm by Scott Kacsmar

What Does the NFL Draft Really Produce? (Part I)

What does a 7-round NFL draft really produce? With every drafted player from the 1990's now retired, we take a look at career lengths and approximate value with respect to position and round.

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40 comments, Last at 12 May 2016, 11:46pm by secretbonus

26 Apr 2016, 02:49pm by Nathan Forster

Introducing BackCAST

Our new, more detailed running back forecast system isn't big on the 2016 draft class, but it has a clear favorite in mind, and also likes the potential of some mid-round sleepers.

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21 comments, Last at 18 May 2016, 1:13am by tuluse

22 Apr 2016, 01:13pm by Guest

The East Coast Scheduling Bias

Why is the NFL so reluctant to change a scheduling process that handicaps so many teams?

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67 comments, Last at 03 May 2016, 10:07am by ammek