Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

04 Jan 2008, 04:31pm by Bill Barnwell

A Second Helping of Secret Sauce

In a followup to last year's article on what wins in the playoffs, Bill Barnwell reveals which top contender might not have what it takes to compete in the 2007 postseason. Prepare for a shock.

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128 comments, Last at 15 Jan 2008, 1:43pm by Eric P

21 Dec 2007, 06:56pm by Aaron Schatz

Charting Defensive Backs 2007

Here's a look at our game charting data for defensive backs through Week 13. Which team's cornerbacks might be a lot better than we realized? Which Pro Bowl selection was a lifetime achievement award for a player having unexpected struggles in 2007? And how astonishingly bad has Jason David really been?

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69 comments, Last at 03 Feb 2008, 3:23pm by rob

23 Nov 2007, 05:49pm by Stuart Fraser

Players Have Opponent Adjustments Too

We frequently talk about how the difficulty of a team's schedule affects their statistical achievement, but what about the individual players? Join Stuart Fraser as he searches for the most extreme opponent adjustments of the DPAR era and discovers that 2000 was a very strange year for schedules.

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17 comments, Last at 27 Nov 2007, 4:42pm by Herm?

16 Nov 2007, 03:43pm by Sean McCormick

Time to Go to Beck?

The Dolphins are making a quarterback change, turning the reins of the franchise over to a young player, just like the Jets and Bills have already done. How do teams perform when switching passers, and how do those new quarterbacks look the next year? Sean McCormick looks at those questions, and also look at which team needs to make a quarterback change to save their season.

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41 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2007, 2:11pm by johonny

19 Oct 2007, 12:01pm by Vince Verhei

How Good Is Devin Hester?

Vince Verhei updates an earlier post analyzing Devin Hester and his place in history, then discusses the value of kick returners and the most accurate way to measure their contributions.

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46 comments, Last at 22 Oct 2007, 7:10pm by JonL

07 Aug 2007, 05:21pm by Doug Farrar

Adjusted Penalty Rate, Part One

NBA refs may be the only ones on the take, but they're not the only ones who call games differently from one another enough to affect play. Doug Farrar breaks down all the officiating crews to see who called the most and least holding and false start penalties in 2006, and from that he offers some innovative offensive lineman rankings.

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32 comments, Last at 17 Aug 2007, 9:53am by stan

29 Jul 2007, 05:37pm by Guest

Value under the Cap

Guest columnist Zac Hinz offers something to help get you through the pre-training camp summer doldrums: a look at what positions make the most sense to devote more of a team's salary cap to, based on correlations between salary and DVOA.

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37 comments, Last at 14 Aug 2007, 6:00pm by steelersalarycap

25 Jul 2007, 06:59pm by Aaron Schatz

More Fun with Incomplete Passes

We go back into the 2006 game charting data to take a closer look at incomplete passes. Learn who had the most underthrown or overthrown passes, the surprising difference between Byron Leftwich and David Garrard, and why a pass defensed isn't necessarily a higher quality of incomplete.

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74 comments, Last at 17 Aug 2007, 6:37pm by stan

23 Jul 2007, 04:24pm by Aaron Schatz

Adjusting Completion Percentage

This year's Pro Football Prospectus contains a lot more game charting data when compared to last year's book, but we still couldn't fit it all in. We'll be looking at some of that data on Football Outsiders over the next month. Today: Whose completion percentage suffered due to dropped passes, and whose completion percentage was helped by a healthy dose of short routes?

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84 comments, Last at 20 Aug 2007, 12:26pm by Soxphan

28 Jun 2007, 05:33pm by Bill Barnwell

Welker? I Hardly Know Her.

Wes Welker was actually a good player despite being mired in the Dolphins' offense the last few years, so he should be great with Tom Brady and the Patriots, right? Bill Barnwell doesn't think so, and if you'll listen he'll tell you exactly why.

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68 comments, Last at 12 Jun 2012, 4:10pm by Anonymous2012