Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

26 Jul 2006, 12:35pm by Guest

Ken Anderson and the Hall of Fame, Revisited

In PFP 2005, we listed Ken Anderson with two of the top ten QB seasons since 1960. So why does he receive so little consideration for the Hall of Fame? David Lewin analyzes Steve McNair's HOF chances in the brand new Pro Football Prospectus 2006; here, he uses those same tools to compare Anderson and his 1970s contemporaries.

» More...

91 comments, Last at 01 Apr 2009, 11:46am by GJones

26 Jun 2006, 11:13am by Guest

Quarterbacks and Fourth Quarter Comebacks

When you think of fourth-quarter heroics in the NFL, you think of quarterbacks. John Elway willing his team to victory over and over. Tom Brady marching the Patriots down the field for two last-minute Super Bowl wins. Flutie Magic. Is there really a measurable difference between quarterbacks when it comes to leading fourth-quarter comebacks? Does the list of the best fourth-quarter quarterbacks actually match our memories? And why do we tend to blame coaches for losing late leads, and give them far less credit than the quarterbacks when it comes to comebacks? Jason McKinley investigates.

» More...

95 comments, Last at 09 Jan 2007, 4:33pm by Ray

23 Mar 2006, 04:26pm by Guest

College Quarterbacks Through the Prism of Statistics

Can college football stats somehow be used to predict which players will succeed in the NFL? It will surprise many to discover the answer is "yes." With this look at Matt Leinart, Vince Young and Jay Cutler, guest columnist David Lewin previews his college-to-NFL QB projection system, which will get its proper debut in Pro Football Prospectus 2006.

» More...

137 comments, Last at 11 Nov 2010, 4:37am by Carla

14 Mar 2006, 11:38pm by Guest

Pete Morelli Under Review

A lot of people complained about the officiating in this year's playoffs. But just like players, officials cannot really be judged on a single game in the national spotlight. Guest columnist Matthew Furtek goes through several regular season games to judge the referee behind the most controversial calls of this past January. Bill who? No, we're talking about Pete Morelli, the man who overturned Troy Polamalu's interception in Indianapolis and presided over the infamous false start/offsides that was neither a false start nor an offsides.

» More...

47 comments, Last at 13 Apr 2006, 11:37pm by Mentos

02 Feb 2006, 05:30pm by Bill Moore

Second(ary) Look

Other than tackles, interceptions, and sacks, there are very few publicly available stats to measure the quality of individual defensive players. That's why this year, Football Outsiders began a project to chart games and get more data to improve our analysis of defense. Bill Moore takes a look at this unofficial data to draw some conclusions about the Pittsburgh and Seattle secondaries -- some of which may surprise you.

» More...

75 comments, Last at 05 Feb 2006, 4:30pm by DGL

09 Dec 2005, 04:42pm by Michael David Smith

Giants Try "East Coast" Offense

For the last two decades, many NFL teams have attempted to emulate the West Coast Offense, the short-passing system pioneered in San Francisco by Bill Walsh. But as Michael David Smith points out in this article from Thursday's New York Sun, Giants offensive coordinator John Hufnagel thinks a little differently.

» More...

69 comments, Last at 12 Oct 2006, 11:04am by Dave

02 Dec 2005, 03:24am by Aaron Schatz

FO on FOX: Guts and Stomps

What defines a champion? Are the greatest teams the ones which stomp on the league's bad teams, or the ones that gut out close, clutch victories against their best opponents? Is your record against winning teams really more important than your record against losing teams? Actually, no.

» More...

78 comments, Last at 03 Apr 2006, 9:33pm by Dan Babbitt

06 Oct 2005, 02:07pm by Aaron Schatz

Washington Bandwagon Headed for a Crash

Is Washington a fraud? If the statement is "Washington is 3-0 and has a shot at the playoffs," the answer is no. If the statement is "Washington has been one of the NFL's best teams so far in 2005," the answer is yes. Aaron Schatz goes inside the history of teams that start with three close wins, and shows that even the best unit in Washington isn't playing as well as people think.

» More...

195 comments, Last at 16 Oct 2005, 9:53am by Mykhael

30 Sep 2005, 04:16pm by Bill Moore

Nine-Tenths of the Law

Nuts to those who say we at Football Outsiders don't even watch the games. Bill Moore, the impromptu impresario of the Football Outsiders game charting project, takes a look at the play of Jets cornerback Ty Law through the first three games to see if he's everything he's cracked up to be -- or, at least, 90% of everything he was before his foot was cracked.

» More...

33 comments, Last at 01 Oct 2005, 5:34pm by Led

10 Sep 2005, 04:55pm by Guest

Weighing in on Champ Bailey

The Denver pass defense in general, and Champ Bailey in particular, have taken heat from critics ever since the ignominious end to their season. Guest columnist Sean McCormick takes an in-depth look at both using just about every statistical tool in the book(s).

» More...

67 comments, Last at 22 Jul 2007, 10:45pm by Chris L