Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

07 Aug 2007, 05:21pm by Doug Farrar

Adjusted Penalty Rate, Part One

NBA refs may be the only ones on the take, but they're not the only ones who call games differently from one another enough to affect play. Doug Farrar breaks down all the officiating crews to see who called the most and least holding and false start penalties in 2006, and from that he offers some innovative offensive lineman rankings.

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32 comments, Last at 17 Aug 2007, 9:53am by stan

29 Jul 2007, 05:37pm by Guest

Value under the Cap

Guest columnist Zac Hinz offers something to help get you through the pre-training camp summer doldrums: a look at what positions make the most sense to devote more of a team's salary cap to, based on correlations between salary and DVOA.

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37 comments, Last at 14 Aug 2007, 6:00pm by steelersalarycap

25 Jul 2007, 06:59pm by Aaron Schatz

More Fun with Incomplete Passes

We go back into the 2006 game charting data to take a closer look at incomplete passes. Learn who had the most underthrown or overthrown passes, the surprising difference between Byron Leftwich and David Garrard, and why a pass defensed isn't necessarily a higher quality of incomplete.

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74 comments, Last at 17 Aug 2007, 6:37pm by stan

23 Jul 2007, 04:24pm by Aaron Schatz

Adjusting Completion Percentage

This year's Pro Football Prospectus contains a lot more game charting data when compared to last year's book, but we still couldn't fit it all in. We'll be looking at some of that data on Football Outsiders over the next month. Today: Whose completion percentage suffered due to dropped passes, and whose completion percentage was helped by a healthy dose of short routes?

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84 comments, Last at 20 Aug 2007, 12:26pm by Soxphan

28 Jun 2007, 05:33pm by Bill Barnwell

Welker? I Hardly Know Her.

Wes Welker was actually a good player despite being mired in the Dolphins' offense the last few years, so he should be great with Tom Brady and the Patriots, right? Bill Barnwell doesn't think so, and if you'll listen he'll tell you exactly why.

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68 comments, Last at 12 Jun 2012, 4:10pm by Anonymous2012

06 Jun 2007, 11:47pm by Bill Barnwell

O Bennett Where Art Thou?

The Tennessee Titans replace both their top rusher and top receiver, but they aren't the first NFL team to face this problem. Are they in for a long year? Bill Barnwell investigates.

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43 comments, Last at 14 Jun 2007, 9:37pm by DolFan 316

16 Mar 2007, 11:50am by Bill Barnwell

Opposition Matters

Conventional wisdom says that the great quarterbacks raise their games against elite opponents. In reality, the great quarterbacks raise their games against bad opponents. Bill Barnwell goes into the FO database to look at how the other team affects a quarterback's numbers. Bonus: For the first time in FO history, this one goes to 11.

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50 comments, Last at 08 May 2007, 5:24pm by Jack Neefus

04 Jan 2007, 02:16pm by Bill Barnwell

Why Doesn't Bill Polian's S--t Work in the Playoffs?

In which football ends up like baseball, Adam Vinatieri isn't as important as you think, and defense really does win more championships than offense.

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168 comments, Last at 09 Jan 2007, 7:16pm by Pat

02 Jan 2007, 12:24am by Aaron Schatz

370 Carries Revisited

We've mentioned it all season long, and now that Larry Johnson set a new NFL record for carries in a season, the "Curse of 370" is showing up in everything written by Football Outsiders. This article from the Seattle chapter of Pro Football Prospectus 2006 should help answer some of the questions people have about the 370-carry theory, including why we don't count receptions, and how a playoff appearance changes things.

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62 comments, Last at 29 Dec 2010, 4:24am by nike air max

18 Nov 2006, 11:52pm by Guest

Will Jason Campbell Save the Redskins?

The Redskins traded up to get Jason Campbell in the first round of the 2005 draft; this week, they finally hand him the keys to the car. David Lewin uses this opportunity to revisit the college quarterback projection system he introduced in Pro Football Prospectus 2006. The system has been extremely accurate in 2006 -- just ask Philip Rivers -- and it predicts that Campbell will become a star.

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48 comments, Last at 29 Nov 2006, 10:27pm by David Lewin