Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

23 Jan 2004, 01:20pm by Michael David Smith

Do Penalties Really Disappear During the Playoffs?

Gregg Easterbrook says that officials seem to allow more contact in the playoffs without calling penalties. NFL Director of Officiating Mike Pereira says that officials call the playoffs the same way they call the regular season. Mike Smith crunches numbers to find out who's right.

» More...

comments

23 Jan 2004, 01:13pm by Guest

Guest Column: Do Great Defenses Really Beat Great Offenses?

It's the most common cliche among football writers, but is it true? Does defense really win championships? Vincent Verhei says not in the last ten years.

» More...

comments

12 Jan 2004, 12:51pm by Aaron Schatz

'Tis Better to Have Rushed and Lost Than Never to Have Rushed at All

Gregg Easterbrook's TMQ says that teams too often go pass-wacky in short-yardage situations. True or false? We've gone through every single play of 2003 in order to test this fundamental TMQ axiom.

» More...

comments

31 Dec 2003, 09:55am by Michael David Smith

Fun With Sacks, Part II

Last Monday, we took a look at sack rate to determine which teams did the best job of protecting the quarterback. What if the sacks are the fault of the quarterback? We break down four years of sack rates to see if some quarterbacks might be responsible for their own demise. For example, quarterbacks whose names rhyme with "Job Bronson."

» More...

1 comment, Last at 13 Jun 2005, 9:24pm by Richie

23 Dec 2003, 01:15pm by Michael David Smith

Are Penalties Overrated?

The Hidden Game of Football says that penalties aren't very important because they even out in the long run. True or false? Michael David Smith has some interesting facts about 2002 numbers as well as 37 years of Super Bowl champions.

» More...

comments

22 Dec 2003, 03:12am by Aaron Schatz

Fun With Sacks

OK, so our offensive and defensive line numbers have only included run blocking so far. What about pass blocking? Aaron takes the sacks per pass attempt statistic used by the folks over at Football Project, tweaks it a little bit, and runs the 2003 numbers.

» More...

3 comments, Last at 20 Sep 2011, 2:19pm by jeff Anderton

15 Dec 2003, 06:19am by Michael David Smith

The Era of Unpredictability

This year the Raiders and (probably) the Bucs will miss the playoffs. Michael David Smith asks: Why are we so surprised? In the era of unpredictability, Super Bowl teams regularly miss the playoffs the next year... and often return to the playoffs the year after.

» More...

comments

13 Dec 2003, 01:37pm by Michael David Smith

In Defense of Ken Walter

With his fourth column for us, we hereby shift Michael David Smith from "guest columnist" to "Football Outsider," which means he eventually gets a cartoon of himself drawn by Jason Beattie. Never one to shy from controversy, Mike devotes his first article as "a regular" to defending Patriots punter-turned-ex-punter-turned-punter-again Ken Walter. The secret lies not in the length of punts, but in the length of returns.

» More...

comments

08 Dec 2003, 01:42pm by Michael David Smith

Second Half Success

Is second half success a good omen for next year? Given the 2003 Patriots and Seahawks, we might say yes. Given 32 different teams since 1990, Michael David Smith says, well, maybe not.

» More...

comments

06 Dec 2003, 02:20pm by admin

Guest Column: Cold Weather is Hot Issue in NFL Betting

In this week's Scramble for the Ball Best Bets, Al told you a bit about Anthony Brancato and his gambling statistics that show how warm-weather teams often fail to cover in cold weather December games. Anthony's been kind enough to expand upon that idea for us in this guest column. Fear this, o Dolphin and Ram fans.

» More...

2 comments, Last at 22 Jan 2007, 2:43pm by osisbs