02 Oct 2003, 12:25pm by admin
Since Football Outsiders launched, we've compared players to the league average on a play-by-play basis. But what about the value of a player like Ricky Williams who runs near league-average but with amazing durability? Borrowing from baseball analysts, we introduce a stat that combines quality with quantity - and as an added bonus, we've translated it into actual points. Plus, the first 2003 player rankings and directional rushing stats.
1 comment, Last at 17 Nov 2005, 2:14pm by ernie cohen
25 Sep 2003, 05:04am by Aaron Schatz
How many points should the offense expect to score, depending on their field position? The answers within, including discussion of The Most Important Thing We've Learned So Far (TM) and the dreaded question of "field goal or go for it?" Plus, graphs galore. Don't miss the Happy Turnover Smile-Time Hour!
4 comments, Last at 08 Nov 2011, 2:09pm by bravehoptoad
23 Sep 2003, 05:20am by Aaron Schatz
In today's Tuesday Morning Quarterback column on ESPN.com, Gregg Easterbrook introduces the Immutable Law of "Clang on First Bars Run on Second." Is he right? A look at the 2002 data says it ain't necessarily so.
18 Sep 2003, 01:19pm by Aaron Schatz
Two NFL writers say that Week 2 proved that rushing is the key to victory. We say that one week does not a season make.
06 Sep 2003, 12:49pm by Aaron Schatz
How angry do you get when the coach of your favorite team calls an 8-yard pass on 3rd-and-9? Ever wonder how often your team does that? We've actually found a stat where Arizona is the best team in the NFL...
14 Aug 2003, 04:18am by Aaron Schatz
Some teams showed completely different pass offenses with two different quarterbacks in 2002. If one of those quarterbacks is now out of the picture, what does that mean for those teams and their offensive efficiency... not to mention your fantasy draft? (No, Vick is not included, since the only WR that had a different value with Doug Johnson was Shawn Jefferson, no longer in Atlanta.)
07 Aug 2003, 12:47pm by Aaron Schatz
Which coaches win the close ones? We rank the last 20 years of coaches based on the ability to win more games than expected based on point differential. The top coaches have something unexpected in common... and the coach at the bottom is even more surprising.
3 comments, Last at 02 Sep 2007, 2:45am by Len
06 Aug 2003, 01:15pm by Aaron Schatz
Which players face easier or harder fantasy schedules this year? Do schedule changes year to year affect fantasy value more than real value, or vice versa?
14 Jul 2003, 06:24am by Aaron Schatz
In baseball, the Pythgorean Theorem says runs scored and allowed can predict a team's record. Does it work for football too? You bet, and it says some interesting things about teams that don't match their predictions. Pay attention, Chiefs fans.
14 Jul 2003, 06:23am by Aaron Schatz
It has always been the conventional wisdom of pro football: establish the run. Winning teams run early. Let's see how conventional wisdom stacks up against our master statistician...
5 comments, Last at 08 Mar 2013, 4:18pm by brainetics.com math 14.99