Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2009 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/7/10

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency), explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

NOTE: Because special teams ratings are integrated into Offensive and Defensive S&P+, and because Special Teams has its own ratings within FEI, creating Offensive, Defensive, and Special Teams F/+ ratings has become difficult since the most recent S&P+ redesign. For now, there will therefore be no unit ratings presented -- only overall F/+ ratings.

F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
1 Alabama 14-0 67.8% 24.0 2 0.329 1
2 Florida 13-1 63.2% 25.0 1 0.270 2
3 Texas 13-1 57.8% 23.2 3 0.245 3
4 Virginia Tech 10-3 53.7% 22.5 4 0.221 5
5 TCU 12-1 51.4% 19.7 5 0.228 4
6 Ohio State 11-2 45.8% 16.7 9 0.216 6
7 Oregon 10-3 43.7% 17.8 8 0.184 9
8 Nebraska 10-4 42.4% 18.3 7 0.170 11
9 Oklahoma 8-5 41.9% 19.0 6 0.162 15
10 Iowa 11-2 41.1% 15.7 11 0.185 8
11 Penn State 11-2 38.8% 15.5 13 0.167 13
12 Boise State 14-0 38.3% 12.4 22 0.213 7
13 Pittsburgh 10-3 37.0% 13.5 16 0.176 10
14 Miami 9-4 36.5% 14.4 15 0.160 17
15 LSU 9-4 36.1% 15.5 12 0.145 18
16 Texas Tech 9-4 34.8% 12.7 19 0.167 14
17 Cincinnati 12-1 34.7% 13.0 17 0.161 16
18 Wisconsin 9-3 34.5% 16.5 10 0.126 23
19 Clemson 9-5 31.6% 12.5 21 0.140 19
20 Arkansas 8-5 30.5% 12.7 20 0.128 21
21 Georgia Tech 11-3 28.1% 8.5 29 0.169 12
22 BYU 11-2 27.0% 10.7 24 0.122 24
23 Tennessee 7-6 25.4% 15.2 14 0.070 39
24 Stanford 8-5 24.0% 7.9 30 0.133 20
25 Notre Dame 6-6 22.6% 8.7 27 0.106 31
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
26 Auburn 8-5 21.2% 9.1 25 0.090 35
27 West Virginia 9-4 20.9% 8.5 28 0.094 33
28 USC 9-4 19.9% 6.8 34 0.108 29
29 Connecticut 8-5 19.6% 6.5 36 0.108 28
30 Ole Miss 9-4 19.4% 6.1 40 0.113 26
31 Michigan State 6-7 19.2% 11.0 23 0.054 44
32 Arizona 8-5 18.3% 6.3 37 0.100 32
33 Georgia 8-5 17.9% 7.7 31 0.076 38
34 Oklahoma State 9-4 17.8% 9.0 26 0.061 41
35 South Carolina 7-6 17.8% 12.9 18 0.028 48
36 Oregon State 8-5 16.8% 4.8 44 0.107 30
37 Florida State 7-6 16.7% 6.0 41 0.087 36
38 Utah 10-3 16.2% 7.1 32 0.069 40
39 North Carolina 8-5 15.3% 2.7 54 0.127 22
40 Mississippi State 5-7 14.7% 7.1 33 0.056 43
41 Houston 10-4 13.7% 4.2 45 0.085 37
42 East Carolina 9-5 13.1% 6.2 38 0.052 45
43 Central Michigan 12-2 12.6% 1.7 58 0.113 25
44 Air Force 8-5 10.8% 1.7 59 0.094 34
45 Navy 10-4 10.7% 0.6 61 0.111 27
46 Purdue 5-7 9.8% 6.0 42 0.027 49
47 Boston College 8-5 9.7% 3.5 48 0.057 42
48 Missouri 8-5 6.4% 4.0 46 0.020 51
49 Kentucky 7-6 6.0% 3.3 50 0.026 50
50 Virginia 3-9 6.0% 6.8 35 -0.015 67
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
51 Troy 9-4 5.2% 5.9 43 -0.013 66
52 Texas A&M 6-7 5.1% 6.2 39 -0.017 68
53 UCLA 7-6 5.1% 1.9 57 0.035 46
54 Kansas 5-7 3.8% 3.4 49 0.004 58
55 Wake Forest 4-7 2.6% 2.6 56 0.004 57
56 South Florida 7-5 2.6% 3.8 47 -0.012 65
57 Michigan 5-7 2.4% 2.9 52 -0.002 61
58 Washington 5-7 2.1% 2.9 53 -0.005 63
59 Minnesota 6-7 -0.1% 0.1 63 0.011 55
60 Temple 9-4 -2.2% -3.4 78 0.034 47
61 California 8-5 -2.9% -1.6 69 0.006 56
62 Southern Miss 7-6 -3.3% -1.4 66 0.000 60
63 Ohio 9-5 -3.6% -2.9 75 0.016 52
64 Central Florida 8-5 -3.7% 0.7 60 -0.030 73
65 Rutgers 9-4 -3.9% -3.1 76 0.015 54
66 Arizona State 4-8 -4.0% -1.5 68 -0.004 62
67 Middle Tennessee 10-3 -4.4% -0.4 64 -0.022 69
68 Nevada 8-5 -5.0% 3.1 51 -0.075 84
69 Bowling Green 7-6 -7.3% -2.1 71 -0.027 71
70 Baylor 4-8 -8.1% 2.7 55 -0.102 93
71 Fresno State 8-5 -8.3% -2.9 73 -0.027 70
72 SMU 8-5 -8.4% -6.9 93 0.016 53
73 Marshall 7-6 -9.3% -2.0 70 -0.046 76
74 Louisiana Tech 4-8 -9.5% -2.8 72 -0.038 74
75 Northern Illinois 7-6 -9.7% -5.5 86 -0.010 64
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
76 Northwestern 8-5 -9.9% -6.9 92 0.003 59
77 Colorado 3-9 -10.1% -1.0 65 -0.067 81
78 Indiana 4-8 -10.7% -1.5 67 -0.065 79
79 Syracuse 4-8 -11.1% 0.3 62 -0.096 90
80 Buffalo 5-7 -11.4% -5.0 83 -0.029 72
81 Kansas State 6-6 -13.5% -5.8 89 -0.038 75
82 Iowa State 7-6 -13.8% -3.8 79 -0.063 78
83 Louisville 4-8 -15.1% -2.9 74 -0.088 87
84 Illinois 3-9 -15.4% -3.9 80 -0.078 85
85 N.C. State 4-7 -15.4% -5.3 84 -0.060 77
86 Tulsa 5-7 -16.0% -3.3 77 -0.091 88
87 Maryland 2-10 -16.9% -5.6 87 -0.069 82
88 UAB 5-7 -17.9% -3.9 81 -0.101 92
89 Colorado State 3-9 -18.9% -3.9 82 -0.111 96
90 Utah State 4-8 -19.2% -5.8 88 -0.087 86
91 Vanderbilt 2-10 -21.1% -9.4 99 -0.065 80
92 Idaho 7-6 -21.9% -5.5 85 -0.118 97
93 Duke 5-7 -23.9% -10.9 104 -0.075 83
94 UNLV 5-7 -24.9% -6.0 90 -0.140 99
95 UTEP 4-8 -25.3% -9.6 100 -0.096 89
96 Memphis 2-10 -27.5% -6.0 91 -0.171 110
97 Wyoming 7-6 -28.1% -7.4 94 -0.151 104
98 Western Michigan 5-7 -30.1% -12.8 110 -0.106 94
99 Kent State 5-7 -30.3% -14.4 113 -0.097 91
100 UL-Monroe 6-6 -30.5% -8.5 95 -0.158 106
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
101 North Texas 2-10 -30.6% -9.2 98 -0.148 102
102 Florida International 3-9 -30.9% -8.6 96 -0.160 107
103 Ball State 2-10 -31.5% -13.9 111 -0.109 95
104 Florida Atlantic 5-7 -32.3% -10.1 101 -0.151 103
105 Hawaii 5-7 -33.2% -8.7 97 -0.186 111
106 Toledo 5-7 -33.3% -11.2 105 -0.146 101
107 Arkansas State 4-8 -34.7% -12.7 109 -0.142 100
108 Akron 3-9 -34.8% -11.5 106 -0.155 105
109 Miami (Ohio) 1-11 -36.0% -10.3 102 -0.186 112
110 San Diego State 4-8 -36.5% -12.4 108 -0.160 108
111 New Mexico 1-11 -37.2% -10.8 103 -0.190 114
112 Army 4-8 -37.9% -17.5 118 -0.132 98
113 UL-Lafayette 6-6 -40.1% -14.1 112 -0.171 109
114 San Jose State 2-10 -43.3% -12.1 107 -0.240 117
115 Western Kentucky 0-11 -46.3% -17.4 117 -0.190 113
116 Tulane 3-9 -49.3% -15.9 114 -0.233 115
117 Eastern Michigan 1-11 -50.0% -16.3 115 -0.233 116
118 Rice 2-10 -53.8% -16.5 116 -0.274 119
119 Washington State 1-11 -56.6% -20.5 119 -0.241 118
120 New Mexico State 4-9 -63.2% -21.1 120 -0.291 120