Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2010 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/10/11

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency), explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

NOTE: Because special teams ratings are integrated into Offensive and Defensive S&P+, and because Special Teams has its own ratings within FEI, creating Offensive, Defensive, and Special Teams F/+ ratings has become difficult since the most recent S&P+ redesign. For now, there will therefore be no unit ratings presented -- only overall F/+ ratings.

F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
1 Auburn 14-0 63.3% 23.9 2 0.338 1
2 Alabama 10-3 56.0% 22.9 4 0.268 3
3 Boise State 12-1 53.3% 26.2 1 0.225 9
4 Stanford 12-1 52.8% 20.2 6 0.274 2
5 Ohio State 12-1 49.8% 23.0 3 0.216 10
6 Oklahoma 12-2 49.5% 20.9 5 0.231 7
7 Arkansas 10-3 48.7% 19.8 9 0.236 6
8 TCU 13-0 48.2% 18.4 10 0.251 4
9 South Carolina 9-5 43.0% 20.0 8 0.185 15
10 Oregon 12-1 41.6% 14.7 16 0.245 5
11 LSU 11-2 40.9% 15.0 15 0.226 8
12 Oklahoma State 11-2 39.8% 16.7 12 0.188 14
13 Missouri 10-3 39.8% 15.5 14 0.204 11
14 Virginia Tech 11-3 36.4% 13.4 18 0.201 12
15 Notre Dame 8-5 36.4% 20.1 7 0.136 22
16 Wisconsin 11-2 35.8% 13.3 19 0.196 13
17 Florida State 10-4 35.1% 16.8 11 0.146 20
18 Iowa 8-5 31.4% 12.7 21 0.157 18
19 Pittsburgh 8-5 29.2% 12.7 20 0.135 23
20 Nebraska 10-4 27.3% 8.8 32 0.175 17
21 Texas A&M 9-4 27.1% 12.1 22 0.123 24
22 N.C. State 9-4 26.1% 8.0 34 0.176 16
23 West Virginia 9-4 25.7% 9.1 31 0.150 19
24 Miami 7-6 25.3% 13.6 17 0.093 32
25 USC 8-5 24.8% 10.7 23 0.117 26
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
26 Mississippi State 8-5 24.6% 10.5 26 0.118 25
27 Nevada 13-1 22.3% 7.1 36 0.144 21
28 Clemson 5-7 21.8% 10.5 25 0.092 34
29 Oregon State 5-7 20.5% 16.2 13 0.038 48
30 Illinois 7-6 20.2% 8.6 33 0.098 29
31 Michigan State 11-2 19.9% 10.0 29 0.080 37
32 Utah 10-3 19.8% 10.5 27 0.075 38
33 Georgia 6-7 19.7% 9.2 30 0.088 36
34 Florida 8-5 19.6% 10.4 28 0.074 39
35 Maryland 9-4 18.0% 7.5 35 0.092 33
36 Arizona 7-6 17.5% 10.6 24 0.054 43
37 Central Florida 11-3 16.2% 5.8 39 0.095 31
38 San Diego State 9-4 13.5% 3.3 46 0.105 28
39 Northern Illinois 11-3 13.1% 3.4 45 0.098 30
40 Navy 9-4 11.4% 1.5 59 0.110 27
41 Louisville 7-6 11.0% 3.6 43 0.073 40
42 Air Force 9-4 11.0% 2.5 53 0.089 35
43 Arizona State 6-6 9.0% 2.6 51 0.066 41
44 North Carolina 8-5 7.8% 2.7 50 0.053 44
45 Penn State 7-6 7.5% 6.1 38 0.009 52
46 Hawaii 10-4 6.9% 4.4 42 0.023 50
47 Kansas State 7-6 6.7% 2.4 55 0.046 45
48 Tulsa 9-3 6.7% 2.4 54 0.045 46
49 South Florida 8-5 6.6% 1.6 57 0.055 42
50 Michigan 7-6 6.0% 5.8 40 -0.001 57
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
51 Washington 7-6 4.0% 6.3 37 -0.025 69
52 Kentucky 6-7 3.8% 0.9 64 0.036 49
53 BYU 7-6 3.7% 3.2 47 0.006 54
54 Southern Miss 8-5 3.4% 0.4 66 0.039 47
55 Boston College 7-6 3.4% 2.9 49 0.008 53
56 SMU 7-7 1.7% 3.2 48 -0.012 63
57 Ole Miss 5-7 0.1% 2.3 56 -0.017 66
58 Cincinnati 4-8 -0.1% 0.7 65 0.000 56
59 Texas 5-7 -0.8% 3.4 44 -0.039 71
60 Texas Tech 8-5 -1.1% 1.2 60 -0.015 65
61 Tennessee 6-7 -1.8% 1.5 58 -0.025 68
62 Connecticut 8-5 -2.2% -0.8 70 -0.001 58
63 Baylor 7-6 -2.3% 2.6 52 -0.043 73
64 East Carolina 6-7 -4.1% 1.1 63 -0.043 72
65 Western Michigan 6-6 -4.3% -2.2 73 -0.005 61
66 California 5-7 -4.6% 5.0 41 -0.102 89
67 Syracuse 8-5 -5.2% -4.8 83 0.017 51
68 Florida International 7-6 -5.4% -3.6 77 0.001 55
69 Temple 8-4 -5.6% -2.8 76 -0.009 62
70 Troy 8-5 -6.5% -4.0 78 -0.004 60
71 Army 7-6 -6.8% -4.3 79 -0.004 59
72 Northwestern 7-6 -7.6% -1.4 72 -0.046 74
73 Colorado 5-7 -7.7% -0.1 68 -0.063 78
74 Georgia Tech 6-7 -7.9% -4.3 80 -0.013 64
75 Iowa State 5-7 -8.3% 0.0 67 -0.071 80
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
76 Toledo 8-5 -8.5% 1.1 62 -0.088 84
77 UCLA 4-8 -8.5% 1.1 61 -0.089 86
78 Fresno State 8-5 -9.6% -0.7 69 -0.075 81
79 Minnesota 3-9 -10.1% -2.7 75 -0.053 77
80 Arkansas State 4-8 -10.7% -6.2 88 -0.019 67
81 Houston 5-7 -11.3% -5.3 85 -0.034 70
82 Duke 2-9 -11.4% -1.3 71 -0.085 83
83 Louisiana Tech 5-7 -13.1% -2.6 74 -0.084 82
84 Rutgers 4-8 -13.9% -6.1 87 -0.050 75
85 UAB 4-8 -14.4% -4.6 81 -0.071 79
86 Central Michigan 3-9 -17.5% -9.3 99 -0.050 76
87 Purdue 4-8 -18.3% -5.2 84 -0.103 90
88 Ohio 7-5 -19.6% -7.3 90 -0.088 85
89 Kent State 5-7 -21.5% -8.5 94 -0.092 87
90 Marshall 5-7 -21.9% -5.7 86 -0.133 99
91 Virginia 4-8 -23.6% -8.7 97 -0.109 91
92 Indiana 5-7 -23.6% -8.6 96 -0.110 92
93 Wake Forest 2-9 -23.9% -4.7 82 -0.180 109
94 Miami (Ohio) 10-4 -24.0% -8.5 93 -0.116 95
95 Washington State 2-10 -24.0% -7.2 89 -0.134 101
96 Idaho 6-7 -25.1% -8.6 95 -0.125 96
97 Utah State 4-8 -25.7% -7.7 92 -0.143 104
98 North Texas 3-9 -27.8% -13.9 105 -0.098 88
99 Vanderbilt 2-10 -28.5% -8.9 98 -0.155 106
100 Rice 4-8 -29.7% -7.7 91 -0.196 113
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
101 Wyoming 3-9 -31.3% -9.4 100 -0.180 108
102 Western Kentucky 2-10 -31.3% -16.1 111 -0.111 93
103 UL-Lafayette 3-9 -32.6% -13.7 103 -0.138 102
104 UL-Monroe 5-7 -32.8% -14.9 108 -0.130 97
105 Tulane 4-8 -33.0% -14.0 106 -0.139 103
106 Middle Tennessee 6-7 -33.1% -18.4 115 -0.113 94
107 Bowling Green 2-10 -33.5% -15.4 110 -0.132 98
108 San Jose State 1-12 -34.4% -11.1 102 -0.187 111
109 Florida Atlantic 4-8 -34.7% -13.8 104 -0.155 105
110 UTEP 5-7 -34.9% -16.7 113 -0.134 100
111 UNLV 2-11 -39.2% -11.0 101 -0.265 116
112 Buffalo 2-10 -43.5% -20.8 118 -0.174 107
113 Ball State 4-8 -43.9% -19.8 117 -0.182 110
114 Eastern Michigan 2-10 -44.1% -15.2 109 -0.229 114
115 Kansas 3-9 -44.9% -19.3 116 -0.192 112
116 Colorado State 3-9 -45.6% -14.5 107 -0.265 117
117 Akron 1-10 -46.1% -16.5 112 -0.230 115
118 Memphis 1-11 -50.3% -16.7 114 -0.281 119
119 New Mexico 1-11 -57.3% -21.8 119 -0.273 118
120 New Mexico State 2-10 -61.6% -23.7 120 -0.290 120