Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

FEI COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS 2012

through games of 1/7/2013

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

Game Efficiency (GE) is the composite possession-by-possession efficiency of a team over the course of a game, a measurement of the success of its offensive, defensive, and special teams units’ essential goals: to maximize the team’s own scoring opportunities and to minimize those of its opponent. FEI ratings take the season-long GE data and adjust for opponent, placing special emphasis on quality performance against good teams, win or lose.

Other definitions:

  • SOS: Strength of schedule, based on the likelihood of an elite team going undefeated against the given team's entire schedule.
  • FBS MW: Mean Wins, the average number of games a team with the given FEI rating would be expected to win against its entire schedule.
  • OFEI: Offensive FEI, the opponent-adjusted efficiency of the given team's offense.
  • DFEI: Defensive FEI, the opponent-adjusted efficiency of the given team's defense.
  • STE: Special Teams Efficiency, the scoring value earned by field goal, punt and kickoff units measured in points per average game.
  • FPA: Field Position Advantage, the share of the value of total starting field position earned by each team against its opponents.

Overall FEI ratings and FEI splits for Offense, Defense and Special Teams can be found using the drop-down menus provided above. Program FEI (five-year weighted) ratings and other supplemental drive-based data can be found here.

Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
1 Alabama 12-1 .324 .342 1 .100 31 11.6 .533 5 -.657 4 1.320 28 .555 6
2 Oregon 11-1 .319 .334 2 .137 35 10.7 .521 6 -.587 8 1.682 18 .543 11
3 Texas A&M 9-2 .295 .221 4 .075 19 9.2 .806 2 -.412 20 -.800 89 .504 57
4 Kansas State 10-2 .279 .200 8 .050 5 9.5 .337 21 -.563 10 3.577 1 .577 1
5 Florida 10-2 .259 .122 25 .062 11 9.4 .144 43 -.795 1 3.224 3 .536 17
6 Oklahoma 9-3 .243 .131 20 .052 6 8.7 .535 4 -.339 25 1.061 34 .512 44
7 Stanford 12-2 .234 .124 24 .056 8 11.0 .190 34 -.670 3 1.924 12 .553 8
8 Georgia 11-2 .227 .222 3 .083 25 10.3 .445 14 -.475 17 .347 53 .526 30
9 Ohio State 12-0 .216 .153 14 .246 61 10.0 .470 10 -.482 15 -.551 82 .505 55
10 Notre Dame 12-1 .215 .145 17 .061 10 9.7 .454 12 -.476 16 -.822 90 .492 74
11 South Carolina 10-2 .215 .165 10 .115 34 9.2 .244 28 -.629 5 -.624 86 .506 52
12 LSU 9-3 .199 .112 27 .048 4 8.5 .125 46 -.605 6 2.195 9 .556 5
13 Florida State 10-2 .195 .214 6 .360 80 9.9 .163 41 -.571 9 1.223 31 .539 14
14 Oklahoma State 7-5 .185 .131 21 .086 28 8.4 .505 7 -.277 30 1.982 10 .491 75
15 Wisconsin 7-6 .183 .130 22 .105 32 9.1 .233 30 -.492 12 -.225 72 .552 10
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
16 Oregon State 8-4 .182 .065 39 .070 17 7.9 .329 22 -.384 23 .250 54 .501 62
17 Texas 9-4 .173 .065 40 .066 14 8.5 .400 16 -.198 38 1.280 30 .534 21
18 Baylor 7-5 .172 .068 38 .086 27 7.7 .846 1 .238 85 -1.536 102 .510 49
19 Nebraska 9-4 .147 .027 54 .074 18 7.6 .504 8 -.239 32 -1.544 103 .457 110
20 Cincinnati 8-3 .146 .137 18 .488 98 8.6 .246 27 -.491 13 .014 60 .534 22
21 Northwestern 9-3 .143 .075 35 .243 58 8.6 .239 29 -.165 45 2.895 4 .535 18
22 TCU 6-6 .142 .010 59 .083 26 6.9 -.103 71 -.561 11 .226 55 .519 38
23 Michigan State 7-6 .142 .043 48 .147 37 8.3 -.056 66 -.683 2 .436 50 .499 65
24 Utah State 10-2 .139 .210 7 .321 73 9.5 -.038 63 -.491 14 .984 38 .527 29
25 Clemson 10-2 .135 .148 16 .291 69 9.0 .446 13 -.058 55 1.404 26 .513 43
26 Michigan 8-5 .133 .115 26 .048 3 7.8 .267 25 -.338 26 .454 49 .483 84
27 Syracuse 7-5 .132 .055 44 .309 72 8.1 .372 18 -.191 39 -.657 87 .504 56
28 Louisville 10-2 .126 .070 37 .240 56 8.5 .614 3 -.169 44 -2.315 115 .480 89
29 BYU 7-5 .125 .135 19 .204 49 8.0 -.009 59 -.444 18 -.181 71 .542 12
30 USC 7-6 .122 .081 33 .082 24 7.7 .167 38 -.229 36 1.440 23 .522 34
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
31 Penn State 8-4 .121 .128 23 .335 75 8.7 .131 44 -.439 19 -1.057 94 .509 50
32 Boise State 11-2 .121 .216 5 .514 99 10.6 .078 52 -.410 21 .350 52 .537 16
33 UCLA 9-5 .116 .061 42 .142 36 8.8 .203 33 -.303 29 -.229 73 .538 15
34 Rutgers 8-4 .100 .061 41 .412 87 8.2 -.156 80 -.591 7 -.114 67 .509 51
35 Central Florida 10-4 .093 .158 13 .360 79 10.8 .094 48 -.191 40 1.718 16 .541 13
36 Northern Illinois 11-2 .092 .190 9 .560 103 10.4 .167 37 -.138 49 1.601 19 .503 59
37 Arizona State 7-5 .090 .095 32 .163 43 7.6 .047 56 -.254 31 -.111 66 .534 20
38 San Jose State 10-2 .087 .159 12 .339 77 8.8 .203 32 -.093 52 .610 47 .516 42
39 Iowa State 5-7 .082 -.025 71 .089 29 5.4 -.006 58 -.128 50 .928 40 .524 33
40 Tulsa 10-3 .080 .079 34 .563 105 9.4 .011 57 -.313 27 -.260 75 .497 68
41 Arizona 7-5 .070 .002 62 .066 15 5.7 .478 9 .053 68 -1.050 93 .505 54
42 Mississippi 6-6 .068 .050 45 .040 2 6.1 .180 36 -.171 43 -1.984 111 .457 108
43 Vanderbilt 8-4 .065 .103 31 .156 41 6.8 -.120 72 -.230 35 2.632 6 .554 7
44 Pittsburgh 5-6 .065 .020 55 .224 52 5.6 .084 50 -.235 34 .396 51 .511 45
45 Texas Tech 7-5 .058 .010 60 .080 21 5.7 .308 23 .041 66 .116 58 .481 87
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
46 Louisiana Tech 9-3 .054 .161 11 .243 59 8.6 .459 11 .486 112 2.443 7 .561 3
47 North Carolina 7-4 .053 .107 30 .607 111 7.8 .391 17 .124 78 .734 44 .520 37
48 San Diego State 8-4 .052 .110 28 .445 92 8.1 -.041 64 -.237 33 .867 41 .500 64
49 Virginia Tech 6-6 .048 .001 63 .249 62 6.1 -.085 69 -.375 24 -.036 62 .477 93
50 Georgia Tech 6-7 .047 .036 50 .170 45 6.9 .246 26 .037 64 -2.001 112 .490 77
51 Arkansas State 9-3 .046 .075 36 .185 48 7.9 .231 31 -.005 62 -3.090 120 .462 104
52 West Virginia 6-6 .046 -.013 68 .082 23 4.8 .410 15 .073 73 -1.608 105 .481 88
53 Kent State 10-3 .046 .107 29 .579 107 9.2 -.103 70 -.159 46 3.387 2 .552 9
54 Fresno State 8-4 .043 .152 15 .173 46 8.0 -.179 83 -.312 28 -.364 80 .527 28
55 Washington 6-6 .029 -.041 76 .069 16 5.0 -.016 60 -.226 37 -1.364 98 .511 46
56 Toledo 8-4 .020 .036 51 .443 91 7.2 .068 53 -.041 57 1.406 25 .525 31
57 Missouri 4-7 .012 -.087 89 .024 1 3.0 -.238 97 -.122 51 1.522 20 .510 48
58 Utah 4-7 .011 -.017 69 .215 50 4.6 -.196 88 -.078 53 1.327 27 .535 19
59 North Carolina State 6-6 .009 -.002 64 .399 86 6.5 -.149 78 -.177 42 -.095 64 .483 85
60 Miami 6-5 .004 -.005 65 .163 42 4.6 .117 47 .320 94 1.713 17 .559 4
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
61 Tennessee 4-7 .001 -.032 74 .079 20 4.3 .182 35 .226 84 -.100 65 .511 47
62 Mississippi State 7-5 -.012 .013 58 .066 13 5.6 -.195 87 -.029 59 1.205 32 .524 32
63 Iowa 3-8 -.013 -.076 84 .251 63 4.3 -.189 85 -.031 58 1.134 33 .518 39
64 Connecticut 5-7 -.017 -.030 73 .351 78 5.8 -.349 108 -.398 22 .690 45 .505 53
65 Nevada 6-6 -.024 .027 53 .686 119 7.0 .359 19 .568 118 .040 59 .487 80
66 Western Kentucky 6-6 -.030 .015 57 .230 53 7.3 -.153 79 -.005 63 -.162 70 .501 60
67 Arkansas 3-8 -.032 -.100 95 .064 12 3.5 .064 54 .080 74 -1.356 97 .458 107
68 Ball State 9-4 -.033 .018 56 .450 94 6.4 .165 40 .390 101 2.838 5 .533 23
69 Louisiana Monroe 8-5 -.033 .059 43 .614 113 7.8 .166 39 .328 98 -.334 78 .517 40
70 Ohio 8-4 -.034 .047 47 .585 110 7.5 -.056 65 .062 72 1.048 35 .517 41
71 Indiana 3-8 -.036 -.051 79 .280 67 4.6 .272 24 .428 106 .680 46 .486 81
72 Bowling Green 7-5 -.041 .037 49 .322 74 6.3 -.277 102 -.186 41 -1.239 95 .532 24
73 South Florida 2-9 -.047 -.119 99 .300 71 3.0 -.021 61 .122 77 -1.009 92 .435 121
74 Minnesota 5-7 -.051 -.072 83 .240 57 4.2 -.218 92 -.063 54 -.743 88 .497 66
75 Louisiana Lafayette 8-4 -.052 .048 46 .277 66 6.2 .088 49 .141 79 .148 56 .479 90
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
76 SMU 6-6 -.056 -.009 67 .219 51 4.9 -.224 94 .037 65 .949 39 .532 26
77 Troy 5-7 -.063 -.006 66 .783 124 6.7 .126 45 .392 103 -.447 81 .485 82
78 Virginia 3-8 -.065 -.099 94 .432 90 3.8 -.209 90 -.148 47 -3.752 123 .435 122
79 California 2-9 -.066 -.144 101 .080 22 2.2 -.255 100 .058 71 -.273 76 .476 94
80 Rice 7-6 -.074 .004 61 .582 108 7.0 -.224 95 .299 90 1.977 11 .520 36
81 Maryland 3-8 -.079 -.086 88 .412 88 3.6 -.369 109 -.141 48 -.013 61 .478 91
82 Western Michigan 3-8 -.086 -.050 78 .715 122 5.0 -.024 62 .150 80 -1.740 108 .465 102
83 Temple 3-7 -.091 -.115 98 .338 76 2.5 -.120 73 .253 88 1.843 13 .491 76
84 Houston 5-7 -.093 -.021 70 .626 115 5.9 -.212 91 .057 70 -1.326 96 .462 105
85 Florida International 3-9 -.097 -.083 87 .619 114 4.9 -.193 86 .105 75 -1.740 107 .471 98
86 Boston College 1-10 -.099 -.155 106 .239 55 2.8 -.199 89 .169 81 .995 36 .456 111
87 Duke 5-7 -.100 -.095 92 .181 47 3.3 .146 42 .497 113 1.497 22 .492 73
88 UTEP 3-9 -.105 -.096 93 .288 68 4.6 -.288 106 .286 89 1.431 24 .501 63
89 Purdue 5-7 -.106 -.092 91 .153 40 3.1 -.278 103 -.028 60 -.232 74 .496 69
90 Marshall 4-7 -.106 -.055 80 .695 121 4.5 .346 20 .595 121 -1.795 110 .442 117
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
91 Buffalo 3-8 -.114 -.100 96 .382 82 3.4 -.377 110 -.022 61 -3.025 119 .447 116
92 Middle Tennessee 8-3 -.119 .028 52 .665 117 4.1 -.279 104 .507 115 2.339 8 .568 2
93 Kansas 0-11 -.121 -.227 118 .058 9 1.0 -.167 81 .224 83 -3.257 121 .455 114
94 Wyoming 4-7 -.122 -.079 86 .466 97 4.1 .083 51 .504 114 -2.804 118 .472 97
95 Memphis 4-7 -.125 -.041 75 .727 123 4.7 -.410 114 .178 82 1.781 15 .532 25
96 Air Force 5-7 -.128 -.047 77 .522 101 5.3 -.173 82 .321 95 -2.165 114 .485 83
97 Washington State 2-9 -.134 -.178 113 .090 30 2.3 -.386 111 .054 69 -1.612 106 .430 123
98 Akron 0-11 -.137 -.167 111 .612 112 3.4 -.121 74 .326 97 -2.511 116 .450 115
99 North Texas 3-8 -.139 -.126 100 .236 54 3.1 -.183 84 .447 108 -1.475 101 .494 70
100 Central Michigan 6-6 -.143 -.061 82 .560 104 4.3 -.064 68 .422 105 -.576 84 .488 79
101 Eastern Michigan 2-9 -.150 -.164 110 .576 106 2.7 -.225 96 .300 91 -1.741 109 .457 109
102 Wake Forest 4-7 -.152 -.159 107 .271 65 2.4 -.387 112 .051 67 -2.523 117 .463 103
103 Navy 7-5 -.153 -.058 81 .394 84 3.6 -.262 101 .469 110 .746 43 .501 61
104 Texas State 3-8 -.154 -.077 85 .516 100 3.9 -.122 75 .651 123 1.823 14 .527 27
105 South Alabama 1-11 -.156 -.147 102 .692 120 4.2 -.491 118 .122 76 -1.429 99 .471 99
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
106 UNLV 2-10 -.156 -.150 104 .399 85 4.1 -.239 98 .301 93 -.561 83 .455 113
107 East Carolina 7-5 -.160 -.028 72 .382 81 4.1 -.125 76 .391 102 -.053 63 .497 67
108 Army 2-9 -.161 -.148 103 .584 109 3.1 .051 55 .652 124 -.611 85 .493 72
109 New Mexico 3-9 -.162 -.092 90 .461 96 4.2 -.136 77 .634 122 -.859 91 .521 35
110 Illinois 1-10 -.162 -.229 120 .149 38 1.7 -.534 120 -.057 56 -2.002 113 .442 118
111 Kentucky 1-10 -.163 -.219 117 .168 44 1.2 -.286 105 .550 117 -.311 77 .482 86
112 Miami (OH) 3-8 -.163 -.160 108 .293 70 2.7 -.062 67 .469 111 -1.552 104 .461 106
113 UAB 2-9 -.165 -.152 105 .253 64 3.2 -.250 99 .346 99 .988 37 .467 100
114 Florida Atlantic 2-9 -.170 -.173 112 .149 39 2.8 -.346 107 .412 104 -.138 69 .489 78
115 Southern Mississippi 0-12 -.181 -.218 116 .424 89 2.6 -.403 113 .321 96 -1.460 100 .467 101
116 Auburn 2-9 -.192 -.198 115 .054 7 1.5 -.513 119 .359 100 1.504 21 .503 58
117 Tulane 2-10 -.197 -.190 114 .650 116 2.6 -.441 116 .300 92 .571 48 .456 112
118 UTSA 4-4 -.212 -.115 97 .674 118 2.0 -.222 93 .580 120 .140 57 .472 96
119 Idaho 1-10 -.227 -.271 121 .244 60 2.0 -.599 123 .239 86 -.124 68 .442 119
120 Hawaii 2-9 -.239 -.228 119 .389 83 2.0 -.668 124 .251 87 1.295 29 .493 71
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
121 Colorado State 4-7 -.258 -.163 109 .446 93 2.1 -.583 122 .448 109 .768 42 .475 95
122 Colorado 1-10 -.261 -.330 123 .107 33 0.9 -.467 117 .545 116 -3.620 122 .438 120
123 Massachusetts 1-11 -.271 -.312 122 .454 95 1.3 -.580 121 .444 107 -.340 79 .478 92
124 New Mexico State 0-11 -.287 -.349 124 .538 102 1.5 -.436 115 .570 119 -3.894 124 .420 124