Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2014

Regular season totals, through Week 3

Revised as of 9/23/2014

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the expected points added by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Total QBR is not adjusted for strength of opponent.

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • Please note there are no opponent adjustments until after Week 4.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 30 passes, 35 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
M.Ryan ATL 341 1 35.9% 1 85.5 3 114 937 1,048 7 0 0 3 69.1% 1/12
P.Manning DEN 310 2 31.4% 3 85.7 2 114 792 1,009 8 0 0 1 66.7% 1/17
D.Brees NO 262 3 21.8% 7 73.7 9 120 826 996 5 1 0 2 71.6% 2/45
K.Cousins WAS 260 4 34.8% 2 84.4 4 83 656 809 5 0 0 1 64.2% 1/14
P.Rivers SD 236 5 25.6% 5 77.8 6 103 748 840 6 3 0 1 68.4% 2/38
A.Luck IND 225 6 13.4% 11 70.0 13 131 891 1,045 9 0 0 3 68.3% 1/25
B.Hoyer CLE 204 7 22.7% 6 71.9 12 101 692 765 3 0 0 0 64.6% 2/22
N.Foles PHI 200 8 13.5% 10 75.8 7 127 933 925 6 0 2 2 61.5% 3/96
M.Stafford DET 174 9 11.7% 12 75.7 8 121 834 847 3 0 1 3 62.3% 1/5
A.Dalton CIN 168 10 19.3% 9 56.6 21 84 722 673 2 0 0 1 65.5% 2/29
C.Kaepernick SF 136 11 9.6% 14 63.1 19 100 660 715 4 0 0 3 70.2% 1/7
J.Cutler CHI 121 12 3.2% 20 67.9 14 129 689 850 8 1 1 2 66.1% 3/85
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
B.Roethlisberger PIT 112 13 5.9% 17 55.6 22 104 730 684 3 0 0 2 69.1% 2/61
R.Fitzpatrick HOU 109 14 9.7% 13 61.3 20 77 622 570 4 1 0 3 64.9% 2/12
D.Anderson CAR 105 15 27.8% 4 90.4 1 41 288 360 3 1 0 0 76.3% 0/0
R.Wilson SEA 103 16 5.2% 18 54.2 23 93 609 647 6 1 0 1 69.0% 0/0
J.Flacco BAL 100 17 1.0% 21 66.5 16 124 712 802 4 0 0 2 62.0% 3/69
A.Davis STL 97 18 3.4% 19 66.7 15 100 718 668 3 0 0 3 72.3% 0/0
C.Newton CAR 83 19 7.2% 15 51.5 25 76 478 474 2 0 1 0 66.7% 0/0
C.Palmer ARI 80 20 20.0% 8 79.9 5 39 290 317 2 0 1 0 64.9% 1/15
A.Rodgers GB 78 21 -0.6% 22 65.8 17 112 633 704 5 1 1 1 62.7% 2/71
D.Stanton ARI 71 22 6.5% 16 73.5 10 66 387 424 2 0 0 0 51.6% 1/21
EJ Manuel BUF 52 23 -2.1% 23 31.1 32 91 565 531 3 1 0 1 64.0% 0/0
T.Romo DAL 38 24 -5.5% 24 72.9 11 96 620 587 4 0 0 4 67.4% 3/68
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
T.Brady NE -11 25 -12.5% 25 52.8 24 121 587 635 3 0 2 0 59.6% 3/42
A.Smith KC -18 26 -13.5% 26 43.1 28 113 588 565 4 0 1 3 62.7% 0/0
E.Manning NYG -33 27 -15.5% 27 65.7 18 105 630 566 5 0 0 4 65.0% 4/66
R.Griffin WAS -43 28 -25.8% 30 36.2 30 46 251 175 0 1 1 0 79.5% 0/0
D.Carr OAK -68 29 -20.5% 28 48.5 26 110 570 493 3 0 0 3 63.0% 3/71
G.Smith NYJ -99 30 -25.2% 29 33.3 31 109 664 430 3 1 0 4 63.1% 0/0
J.Locker TEN -106 31 -26.7% 31 39.7 29 110 650 408 3 1 0 4 56.4% 0/0
M.Cassel MIN -117 32 -34.8% 33 28.9 33 78 370 239 4 1 0 4 57.7% 2/58
R.Tannehill MIA -165 33 -29.8% 32 27.2 34 133 571 487 4 1 0 2 56.5% 0/0
J.McCown TB -211 34 -57.5% 35 47.1 26 72 387 79 2 1 0 4 64.2% 0/0
C.Henne JAC -217 35 -48.7% 34 16.1 35 94 393 169 3 0 1 1 53.8% 0/0

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-29 passes

Player Team DYAR DVOA QBR Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
B.Bortles JAC 33 9.9% 58.9 25 217 173 2 0 0 2 58.3% 0/0
T.Bridgewater MIN -5 -14.9% 47.4 22 135 97 0 0 0 0 60.0% 0/0
M.Glennon TB -18 -23.4% 70.1 26 103 93 1 0 0 0 70.8% 0/0
S.Hill STL -67 -98.0% 25.3 14 75 -29 0 1 0 1 61.5% 0/0

RUSHING: Minimum 2 rushes, 33 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
J.McCown TB 36 1 101.4% 4 5 33 107 2 0
D.Carr OAK 26 2 115.0% 1 4 58 74 0 0
J.Locker TEN 20 3 29.3% 12 10 77 83 0 0
R.Wilson SEA 19 4 12.3% 17 14 91 98 0 0
A.Rodgers GB 18 5 110.2% 2 3 30 52 0 0
B.Bortles JAC 14 6 108.0% 3 2 30 42 0 0
D.Stanton ARI 14 7 74.1% 5 3 22 45 0 0
M.Ryan ATL 14 8 25.0% 13 7 45 60 0 0
N.Foles PHI 14 9 36.9% 9 6 36 53 0 0
J.Cutler CHI 12 10 66.9% 6 4 44 40 0 0
R.Fitzpatrick HOU 11 11 5.8% 19 9 46 72 1 0
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
M.Stafford DET 9 12 23.0% 14 5 24 38 1 0
C.Henne JAC 8 13 29.4% 11 4 25 35 0 0
C.Palmer ARI 8 14 64.8% 7 3 30 28 0 0
R.Griffin WAS 8 15 47.8% 8 3 23 28 0 0
A.Smith KC 7 16 -0.5% 21 13 95 59 0 0
T.Bridgewater MIN 7 17 20.1% 15 4 30 30 0 0
C.Newton CAR 6 18 15.0% 16 5 27 30 0 0
D.Anderson CAR 6 19 30.2% 10 2 10 22 0 0
P.Rivers SD 5 20 -2.3% 22 8 44 45 0 0
K.Cousins WAS 4 21 12.3% 18 2 6 21 0 0
M.Cassel MIN 2 22 5.2% 20 3 22 15 0 0
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
A.Luck IND 2 23 -8.2% 23 11 55 46 1 0
B.Roethlisberger PIT 0 24 -12.3% 24 3 9 14 0 0
D.Brees NO -1 25 -25.2% 26 2 5 5 0 0
T.Brady NE -4 26 -40.6% 31 2 3 1 0 0
EJ Manuel BUF -10 27 -27.3% 27 12 55 24 1 0
G.Smith NYJ -10 28 -21.8% 25 17 87 53 1 1
A.Dalton CIN -13 29 -35.7% 30 8 16 10 0 0
J.Flacco BAL -14 30 -31.9% 29 9 19 19 0 0
R.Tannehill MIA -18 31 -72.6% 32 6 18 -20 0 1
B.Hoyer CLE -20 32 -124.0% 33 3 2 -34 0 0
C.Kaepernick SF -21 33 -27.6% 28 25 133 51 0 1