Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2017

Regular season totals, through Week 11

Revised as of 11/21/2017

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Beginning in 2016, Total QBR is now adjusted for strength of opponent. Total QBR on other stats pages (pre-2016) has not yet been updated with oppponent adjustment. (Note: We plan on updating all QB Stats pages with adjusted QBR and a qualifying minimum of 200 passes sometime before the end of the 2017 season.)

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • ALEX represents Air Less EXpected on third downs, the average difference between the length of the quarterback's throw and the distance needed for a new set of downs. The number listed here only includes third downs and is not adjusted for passes thrown away or batted down.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 165 passes, 33 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
T.Brady NE 1,218 1 1,200 1 34.6% 1 33.9% 72.4 3 403 3,013 3,801 22 3 2 2 68.7% 6/115 1.7
D.Brees NO 885 2 985 2 27.6% 3 32.0% 60.3 9 350 2,702 3,042 15 2 0 5 72.3% 1/1 -1.1
C.Keenum MIN 854 3 806 3 31.2% 2 28.8% 74.0 2 305 2,150 2,788 12 0 0 5 65.7% 7/149 0.3
J.Goff LARM 711 4 721 4 22.9% 4 23.4% 54.9 16 331 2,490 2,624 16 2 1 4 61.9% 4/60 0.0
B.Roethlisberger PIT 677 5 586 9 17.6% 8 13.8% 59.7 10 364 2,504 2,817 16 1 1 10 62.2% 8/191 2.2
M.Ryan ATL 665 6 712 5 18.4% 6 20.6% 64.6 7 342 2,433 2,707 15 1 1 8 67.3% 5/65 0.6
A.Smith KC 655 7 708 6 17.3% 9 19.7% 59.2 12 358 2,521 2,742 18 1 1 3 69.6% 3/40 0.7
C.Wentz PHI 640 8 634 8 18.1% 7 17.8% 70.9 4 344 2,272 2,634 25 4 2 5 59.7% 5/127 3.2
M.Stafford DET 624 9 525 11 14.5% 11 10.4% 59.3 11 393 2,576 2,817 19 2 5 5 63.2% 6/130 2.0
P.Rivers LACH 624 10 683 7 15.7% 10 18.2% 42.6 23 366 2,398 2,725 17 3 1 6 61.0% 10/167 0.4
K.Cousins WAS 596 11 492 13 13.3% 12 9.0% 65.1 6 373 2,537 2,774 17 4 3 5 67.1% 4/60 0.7
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
D.Carr OAK 466 12 545 10 10.7% 13 14.3% 51.3 18 329 2,130 2,356 14 1 1 7 64.2% 6/126 2.0
D.Watson HOU 461 13 493 12 20.6% 5 22.8% 81.7 1 221 1,583 1,802 19 1 1 7 62.4% 8/173 2.1
J.Winston TB 333 14 335 15 7.8% 15 7.9% 39.4 27 273 1,833 1,869 10 2 2 6 61.6% 2/28 3.7
R.Wilson SEA 300 15 444 14 0.5% 17 6.0% 58.3 14 403 2,596 2,494 21 5 2 7 63.7% 5/81 0.6
A.Rodgers GB 294 16 282 16 9.2% 14 8.4% 62.5 8 212 1,249 1,556 13 0 1 3 66.3% 6/65 3.1
D.Prescott DAL 258 17 244 18 0.5% 16 -0.1% 69.8 5 340 2,016 2,135 16 1 3 7 63.2% 3/55 0.8
E.Manning NYG 239 18 160 22 -1.8% 20 -4.9% 48.6 20 390 2,154 2,374 14 2 4 6 63.6% 4/51 1.9
B.Bortles JAC 218 19 174 20 -0.9% 19 -3.0% 51.2 19 332 2,002 2,010 12 3 3 7 58.4% 6/99 0.9
T.Taylor BUF 194 20 263 17 -0.9% 18 2.8% 51.9 17 308 1,696 1,772 11 0 2 3 63.8% 4/72 0.6
C.Palmer ARI 156 21 239 19 -2.6% 21 1.9% 47.9 22 289 1,828 1,680 10 0 0 7 61.4% 7/105 0.3
M.Mariota TEN 136 22 160 21 -3.9% 22 -2.7% 58.6 13 297 1,967 1,708 8 0 0 10 62.9% 2/22 3.4
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
C.Newton CAR 76 23 127 23 -7.7% 23 -5.3% 55.2 15 343 2,074 1,857 14 3 0 11 62.5% 5/82 2.0
A.Dalton CIN -26 24 -36 25 -12.4% 24 -12.9% 40.6 25 324 1,950 1,614 16 0 4 8 62.2% 5/56 2.3
J.Brissett IND -59 25 -98 27 -14.1% 25 -16.0% 40.0 26 329 1,941 1,538 9 3 2 5 61.1% 2/70 -0.6
J.Cutler MIA -70 26 2 24 -15.0% 26 -11.0% 36.3 28 284 1,512 1,359 13 1 0 9 64.6% 2/54 -0.4
B.Hoyer 2TM -103 27 -133 29 -18.4% 27 -20.5% 31.9 31 225 1,146 1,007 4 1 1 4 59.2% 3/40 0.2
C.J.Beathard SF -132 28 -172 30 -22.0% 30 -25.3% 33.9 30 202 1,125 801 4 0 2 5 54.3% 0/0 0.9
T.Siemian DEN -142 29 -130 28 -19.3% 28 -18.6% 29.8 32 272 1,508 1,217 9 2 2 10 61.5% 7/121 0.9
B.Hundley GB -171 30 -340 31 -26.0% 31 -40.8% 41.8 24 175 808 692 2 1 1 7 61.1% 3/65 2.3
J.McCown NYJ -230 31 -37 26 -22.0% 29 -12.9% 47.9 21 344 2,016 1,397 14 4 2 8 69.7% 2/31 -0.9
J.Flacco BAL -468 32 -385 32 -33.0% 32 -29.1% 34.4 29 340 1,568 1,077 9 3 0 11 66.1% 1/7 -0.7
D.Kizer CLE -710 33 -819 33 -47.9% 33 -53.6% 24.3 33 305 1,428 587 5 2 4 13 52.5% 6/93 1.3

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-164 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
S.Bradford MIN 172 126 45.1% 30.0% 71.0 48 342 480 3 0 0 0 74.4% 0/0 -1.8
R.Fitzpatrick TB 159 202 9.8% 15.4% 47.8 125 780 827 7 0 0 3 58.5% 1/13 1.2
EJ Manuel OAK 83 14 19.9% -6.1% 53.8 47 236 329 1 0 0 1 55.8% 0/0 2.5
M.Moore MIA 68 28 0.6% -6.3% 44.9 98 612 560 3 0 0 3 59.1% 1/18 2.0
R.Mallett BAL 37 26 23.9% 13.7% 74.5 16 56 137 2 0 0 0 56.3% 0/0 -2.0
M.Trubisky CHI 17 -72 -9.3% -18.8% 31.5 162 886 779 4 0 2 2 53.1% 0/0 -2.2
B.Gabbert ARI 17 22 -3.9% -1.4% 46.2 37 243 206 3 1 0 2 64.7% 1/15 -0.6
D.Stanton ARI -5 -12 -12.0% -13.2% 41.4 95 511 464 3 1 0 2 48.4% 2/13 1.3
C.Kessler CLE -80 -54 -60.9% -44.7% 6.4 27 87 20 0 0 0 1 50.0% 0/0 -1.1
B.Osweiler DEN -87 -96 -22.6% -23.8% 32.1 122 655 494 3 1 0 4 53.4% 0/0 -1.3
K.Hogan CLE -95 -98 -27.9% -28.5% 36.6 82 484 326 4 1 0 5 62.7% 4/33 4.4
S.Tolzien IND -104 -135 -87.5% -110.3% 9.6 22 99 -32 0 0 0 2 50.0% 0/0 3.8
N.Peterman BUF -150 -185 -95.8% -115.7% 1.8 25 142 -61 1 1 0 5 54.2% 0/0 5.3
M.Glennon CHI -216 -163 -35.4% -29.4% 24.0 150 756 424 4 1 3 5 66.4% 0/0 -1.5
T.Savage HOU -238 -269 -38.4% -41.9% 26.5 138 645 385 4 1 6 3 52.8% 3/29 3.6
M.Cassel TEN -286 -227 -105.7% -86.1% 10.6 50 125 -146 1 0 2 2 59.5% 0/0 -0.5

RUSHING: Minimum 6 rushes, 29 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
D.Prescott DAL 130 1 141 1 64.4% 2 71.0% 32 249 411 5 0
R.Wilson SEA 126 2 135 2 46.6% 7 51.0% 47 385 448 2 1
C.Newton CAR 102 3 111 3 16.9% 17 19.4% 65 446 494 4 2
M.Mariota TEN 97 4 95 4 55.1% 5 53.9% 27 196 332 4 0
D.Watson HOU 71 5 69 7 29.7% 11 28.7% 35 270 284 2 1
B.Bortles JAC 69 6 70 6 37.7% 8 38.7% 27 203 263 0 0
C.J.Beathard SF 67 7 71 5 54.4% 6 58.0% 17 118 230 3 0
A.Smith KC 60 8 54 9 18.4% 15 15.3% 36 207 285 1 0
T.Taylor BUF 58 9 37 13 12.2% 19 3.2% 47 280 305 3 1
B.Hundley GB 55 10 58 8 61.1% 3 66.3% 12 105 179 2 0
C.Wentz PHI 43 11 39 11 9.8% 20 7.9% 36 231 241 0 1
D.Kizer CLE 43 12 46 10 5.8% 21 7.3% 41 224 273 4 0
C.Keenum MIN 41 13 38 12 85.1% 1 76.8% 9 90 127 0 0
K.Hogan CLE 32 14 26 16 56.9% 4 43.4% 10 71 108 0 0
M.Trubisky CHI 30 15 26 17 30.9% 10 24.7% 17 169 118 0 1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
A.Rodgers GB 24 16 31 14 26.4% 12 37.1% 12 88 101 0 0
M.Stafford DET 22 17 27 15 21.1% 14 28.2% 14 95 99 0 0
M.Ryan ATL 21 18 22 18 25.3% 13 26.7% 12 96 91 0 2
J.Goff LARM 20 19 16 20 31.8% 9 24.4% 10 65 79 1 0
A.Dalton CIN 20 20 9 24 13.8% 18 -0.4% 14 69 101 0 0
D.Brees NO 19 21 20 19 18.1% 16 20.0% 8 21 91 2 0
J.Brissett IND 9 22 3 27 -6.2% 24 -10.5% 32 159 136 3 1
K.Cousins WAS 8 23 12 22 -6.6% 25 -4.0% 26 124 131 3 3
R.Fitzpatrick TB 5 24 8 25 -1.0% 22 4.7% 10 61 47 0 0
J.Winston TB 4 25 7 26 -4.8% 23 0.4% 11 54 50 0 0
T.Siemian DEN 2 26 14 21 -10.6% 26 1.5% 18 94 77 1 0
J.McCown NYJ 0 27 9 23 -12.1% 27 -0.7% 13 79 45 3 2
T.Brady NE -4 28 -4 28 -18.3% 28 -18.7% 11 33 46 0 0
C.Palmer ARI -17 29 -14 29 -43.1% 29 -39.1% 8 16 0 0 2