Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2016

Regular season totals, through Week 13

Revised as of 12/6/2016

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Beginning in 2016, Total QBR is now adjusted for strength of opponent. Total QBR on other stats pages (pre-2016) has not yet been updated with oppponent adjustment.

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • ALEX represents Air Less EXpected on third downs, the average difference between the length of the quarterback's throw and the distance needed for a new set of downs. The number listed here only includes third downs and is not adjusted for passes thrown away or batted down.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 195 passes, 32 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
M.Ryan ATL 1,327 1 1,146 2 34.5% 2 28.3% 81.1 3 443 3,613 4,149 27 0 2 7 68.8% 9/125 0.3
D.Brees NO 1,188 2 1,201 1 23.7% 5 24.1% 73.5 6 514 3,746 4,363 30 0 3 10 72.8% 4/75 1.4
D.Prescott DAL 1,128 3 1,072 3 36.2% 1 33.9% 85.2 1 375 2,874 3,452 19 1 4 2 68.3% 3/46 1.2
D.Carr OAK 1,120 4 1,014 5 25.7% 4 22.2% 65.8 13 468 3,316 3,970 24 0 3 5 65.9% 15/264 0.9
K.Cousins WAS 1,091 5 1,062 4 23.0% 6 22.1% 74.5 5 487 3,685 4,058 21 2 1 8 67.9% 5/163 2.1
T.Brady NE 877 6 997 6 33.0% 3 39.1% 82.0 2 312 2,398 2,785 19 0 0 1 69.3% 1/9 2.4
M.Stafford DET 742 7 693 8 13.7% 8 12.1% 72.5 8 457 3,071 3,412 21 1 1 5 67.7% 9/82 0.6
A.Rodgers GB 740 8 747 7 11.0% 10 11.2% 77.4 4 504 3,110 3,713 29 3 2 6 64.5% 7/239 4.0
J.Winston TB 604 9 483 13 9.7% 11 5.5% 68.8 11 462 2,994 3,171 23 1 3 11 61.7% 7/106 2.2
M.Mariota TEN 587 10 684 9 11.7% 9 15.4% 68.9 10 397 2,841 2,872 25 2 2 8 64.5% 10/134 1.8
B.Roethlisberger PIT 574 11 608 10 9.4% 12 10.6% 68.2 12 425 2,870 3,028 25 1 2 8 65.0% 6/70 4.4
A.Dalton CIN 556 12 520 12 7.1% 13 6.0% 58.5 20 473 3,158 3,205 14 4 2 6 64.5% 8/88 0.6
P.Rivers SD 483 13 414 15 5.3% 16 3.0% 69.1 9 454 3,186 3,027 25 3 3 14 62.7% 8/79 0.9
R.Wilson SEA 480 14 541 11 6.4% 14 8.6% 64.3 16 433 2,910 2,857 12 4 1 5 65.9% 7/139 1.1
A.Smith KC 447 15 403 16 6.4% 15 4.6% 64.7 15 397 2,445 2,666 12 1 3 4 67.7% 1/12 0.5
B.Hoyer CHI 377 16 482 14 17.5% 7 25.5% 62.7 17 203 1,429 1,574 6 1 1 0 67.7% 2/32 1.2
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
A.Luck IND 377 17 365 17 1.9% 17 1.5% 72.7 7 440 2,864 2,845 23 1 3 8 64.3% 7/154 1.6
E.Manning NYG 233 18 189 19 -3.6% 19 -5.0% 55.6 25 467 3,003 2,807 22 3 2 12 63.1% 9/85 3.2
S.Bradford MIN 219 19 248 18 -3.0% 18 -2.0% 51.2 28 420 2,435 2,463 13 4 3 3 71.6% 6/92 -0.7
T.Siemian DEN 98 20 156 20 -6.8% 20 -4.3% 61.6 18 349 2,254 1,972 15 1 2 7 60.2% 9/132 1.6
C.Newton CAR 76 21 6 25 -8.0% 21 -10.9% 59.9 19 395 2,407 2,077 14 0 2 9 55.2% 5/89 3.4
C.Palmer ARI 41 22 99 21 -9.8% 24 -8.0% 57.0 22 497 2,943 2,631 18 7 3 11 62.1% 6/98 -0.5
C.Kessler CLE 40 23 79 22 -8.2% 22 -5.4% 51.5 27 213 1,225 1,162 6 3 1 2 66.0% 3/66 -0.9
T.Taylor BUF 40 24 57 23 -9.5% 23 -8.8% 65.6 14 380 2,110 1,998 11 0 1 5 60.7% 5/110 2.8
R.Tannehill MIA -80 25 3 26 -14.3% 27 -11.0% 54.4 26 397 2,554 1,937 16 4 2 11 67.2% 3/34 1.5
C.Wentz PHI -89 26 -18 27 -14.1% 25 -11.7% 48.1 30 479 2,736 2,317 12 2 2 11 63.2% 4/43 0.1
B.Bortles JAC -103 27 -125 28 -14.2% 26 -14.8% 51.2 28 507 2,791 2,594 20 0 3 15 58.4% 14/219 1.6
J.Flacco BAL -143 28 11 24 -15.4% 28 -10.8% 58.1 21 515 3,085 2,470 16 2 2 11 65.4% 5/114 1.3
C.Kaepernick SF -171 29 -190 29 -22.8% 30 -24.0% 56.6 23 235 1,319 954 10 5 1 3 54.7% 1/17 0.2
C.Keenum LARM -207 30 -191 30 -20.8% 29 -20.1% 44.1 32 336 2,022 1,428 9 2 1 11 61.0% 5/84 0.2
R.Fitzpatrick NYJ -356 31 -376 31 -26.0% 32 -26.9% 46.2 31 362 2,231 1,442 10 6 1 14 57.3% 8/131 1.0
B.Osweiler HOU -394 32 -425 32 -24.1% 31 -25.1% 56.1 24 458 2,327 1,913 14 3 1 12 59.9% 6/70 0.9

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-194 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
J.Garoppolo NE 232 175 48.4% 33.7% 90.9 64 476 630 4 1 1 0 70.0% 0/0 2.2
M.Glennon TB 58 63 57.9% 63.0% 96.1 11 75 147 1 0 0 0 90.9% 0/0 -2.0
S.Hill MIN 21 41 -1.5% 7.6% 64.0 35 235 204 0 0 0 0 55.9% 0/0 6.7
T.Boykin SEA 13 22 5.8% 16.7% 47.3 12 103 81 1 0 0 1 75.0% 0/0 1.2
N.Foles KC 9 20 -8.6% -5.8% 36.6 59 376 314 3 0 0 0 65.5% 0/0 -0.7
J.Brissett NE -2 -12 -11.5% -14.1% 42.9 61 360 317 0 1 0 0 61.8% 3/19 0.4
C.Whitehurst CLE -17 2 -21.8% -10.1% 33.3 26 168 107 1 0 0 1 58.3% 1/21 2.3
T.Pryor CLE -27 -29 -49.2% -52.7% 21.8 10 40 20 0 0 0 0 55.6% 0/0 0.0
L.Jones PIT -34 -6 -22.9% -13.3% 41.4 48 281 187 1 0 0 1 60.4% 0/0 1.4
D.Anderson CAR -47 -47 -22.8% -22.9% 18.3 53 453 259 2 0 0 5 67.9% 1/19 4.6
S.Tolzien IND -60 -68 -34.0% -37.1% 33.8 40 196 133 1 1 0 2 62.2% 1/7 -1.6
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
J.Cutler CHI -63 -213 -17.9% -33.8% 33.8 154 955 672 4 2 2 5 59.1% 2/24 0.9
M.Barkley CHI -64 -1 -22.4% -11.3% 33.7 90 567 372 3 1 0 4 51.7% 3/89 3.0
G.Smith NYJ -65 -85 -68.3% -86.1% 33.7 17 105 3 1 1 0 1 57.1% 0/0 1.5
P.Lynch DEN -65 -68 -22.0% -22.4% 28.1 91 455 392 2 2 0 1 59.8% 1/8 3.0
R.Griffin CLE -66 -101 -48.8% -68.5% 28.2 29 168 51 0 1 0 1 46.2% 1/6 -0.4
D.Stanton ARI -111 -79 -51.7% -40.0% 26.2 44 176 69 2 0 0 1 39.5% 0/0 5.4
K.Hogan CLE -134 -135 -88.0% -88.8% 69.1 28 94 -42 0 0 0 2 53.8% 0/0 2.5
B.Petty NYJ -136 -99 -45.9% -36.6% 22.0 61 309 130 2 0 0 3 54.2% 0/0 1.1
B.Gabbert SF -182 -225 -27.5% -31.4% 61.4 172 876 647 5 0 0 6 57.1% 3/24 -1.2
J.McCown CLE -281 -297 -35.5% -36.8% 36.1 184 966 549 6 3 4 6 54.9% 2/47 2.6
J.Goff LARM -340 -286 -66.4% -57.7% 31.9 102 436 34 4 0 1 3 54.3% 1/6 -2.5

RUSHING: Minimum 6 rushes, 31 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
C.Kaepernick SF 126 1 123 1 39.2% 3 37.9% 50 395 472 1 1
D.Prescott DAL 101 2 103 2 45.9% 2 46.5% 35 234 364 5 2
A.Luck IND 83 3 83 3 28.6% 4 28.7% 39 285 329 1 0
T.Taylor BUF 77 4 55 7 9.8% 13 3.5% 67 465 435 6 3
A.Rodgers GB 73 5 82 4 26.3% 5 30.7% 37 310 287 3 3
B.Bortles JAC 56 6 57 6 15.0% 11 15.7% 42 319 280 2 2
M.Mariota TEN 50 7 68 5 12.2% 12 21.3% 40 324 265 2 3
K.Hogan CLE 47 8 45 9 115.9% 1 110.1% 8 105 137 1 0
A.Dalton CIN 46 9 44 10 16.3% 10 15.0% 30 179 224 3 2
B.Gabbert SF 42 10 28 13 8.5% 15 1.6% 38 175 249 2 0
B.Osweiler HOU 39 11 42 11 25.1% 6 28.7% 17 144 166 1 1
M.Stafford DET 35 12 40 12 18.9% 8 23.5% 23 186 165 0 0
C.Newton CAR 24 13 47 8 -5.6% 20 1.0% 65 289 318 5 0
D.Brees NO 23 14 21 16 24.9% 7 22.3% 9 26 99 2 0
C.Keenum LARM 23 15 23 14 18.7% 9 19.7% 13 58 106 1 0
R.Tannehill MIA 21 16 15 18 2.9% 16 -1.2% 28 148 152 1 0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
J.Flacco BAL 16 17 16 17 9.6% 14 9.4% 12 58 91 2 0
R.Wilson SEA 16 18 22 15 -3.6% 19 -0.1% 39 200 172 1 0
A.Smith KC 7 19 8 21 -3.6% 18 -2.2% 16 65 73 2 0
R.Fitzpatrick NYJ 6 20 9 20 -7.2% 21 -4.3% 22 111 101 0 1
P.Rivers SD 4 21 10 19 2.3% 17 21.4% 6 40 33 0 0
T.Siemian DEN 2 22 -2 22 -10.0% 22 -13.9% 16 60 67 0 1
M.Ryan ATL 2 23 -2 23 -10.8% 23 -14.1% 21 116 93 0 1
J.Brissett NE -5 24 -7 24 -20.7% 24 -22.7% 13 86 33 1 2
C.Kessler CLE -9 25 -11 27 -37.3% 29 -43.7% 7 19 5 0 0
K.Cousins WAS -9 26 -9 26 -23.2% 25 -23.0% 13 61 39 2 3
P.Lynch DEN -10 27 -9 25 -37.9% 30 -35.1% 8 29 5 0 0
J.Winston TB -16 28 -16 29 -26.5% 27 -26.1% 24 129 44 1 3
C.Wentz PHI -16 29 -14 28 -23.8% 26 -22.3% 24 104 63 1 1
T.Brady NE -19 30 -25 30 -27.3% 28 -31.8% 18 68 47 0 1
D.Carr OAK -35 31 -33 31 -57.9% 31 -55.7% 17 69 -26 0 2