Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2017

Regular season totals, through Week 2

Revised as of 9/19/2017

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

Opponent adjustments are not included until after Week 4 of the NFL season.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Beginning in 2016, Total QBR is now adjusted for strength of opponent. Total QBR on other stats pages (pre-2016) has not yet been updated with oppponent adjustment. (Note: We plan on updating all QB Stats pages with adjusted QBR and a qualifying minimum of 200 passes sometime before the end of the 2017 season.)

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • ALEX represents Air Less EXpected on third downs, the average difference between the length of the quarterback's throw and the distance needed for a new set of downs. The number listed here only includes third downs and is not adjusted for passes thrown away or batted down.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 30 passes, 33 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
D.Carr OAK 293 1 54.1% 2 67.2 8 62 480 761 5 0 0 0 75.0% 2/41 1.2
D.Brees NO 289 2 39.4% 6 46.4 19 83 632 853 3 0 0 0 66.7% 0/0 2.1
T.Brady NE 287 3 43.2% 4 62.3 11 80 683 818 3 0 0 0 61.3% 2/38 1.6
A.Smith KC 271 4 44.9% 3 74.5 4 70 584 757 5 0 0 0 77.8% 1/20 -1.2
P.Rivers LACH 251 5 38.4% 7 66.8 9 74 508 750 4 0 0 1 73.6% 3/60 2.9
B.Roethlisberger PIT 242 6 40.4% 5 74.3 5 74 488 707 4 0 0 1 66.2% 3/112 3.7
S.Bradford MIN 216 7 89.4% 1 90.6 1 33 341 467 3 0 0 0 84.4% 0/0 -2.3
M.Ryan ATL 205 8 38.3% 8 78.7 2 63 531 612 2 0 0 0 69.0% 0/0 4.5
A.Rodgers GB 127 9 9.1% 17 59.0 12 99 600 668 3 0 1 2 66.3% 2/13 1.7
M.Stafford DET 119 10 20.8% 11 70.1 7 66 391 460 6 0 1 1 72.1% 0/0 1.5
J.Goff LARM 117 11 21.3% 10 41.1 23 57 510 448 2 1 0 1 66.7% 0/0 0.9
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
M.Mariota TEN 105 12 12.6% 13 56.5 13 70 466 499 1 0 0 1 58.8% 0/0 5.1
T.Siemian DEN 102 13 11.8% 14 70.3 6 66 383 499 6 0 1 2 65.0% 2/24 0.7
C.Newton CAR 80 14 9.8% 16 42.9 22 62 349 417 2 0 0 1 60.7% 2/9 0.1
J.Winston TB 76 15 26.4% 9 49.0 18 32 194 268 1 0 0 0 60.0% 0/0 3.4
J.Flacco BAL 75 16 11.0% 15 45.2 20 54 312 376 3 0 0 2 66.7% 1/7 -0.8
J.Cutler MIA 69 17 20.7% 12 53.7 14 35 225 270 1 0 0 0 72.7% 0/0 -2.3
D.Prescott DAL 64 18 -0.7% 20 53.2 15 91 491 587 3 0 0 2 61.4% 1/21 -0.8
B.Bortles JAC 50 19 2.1% 18 28.5 28 57 339 375 2 0 1 2 56.4% 2/29 4.0
T.Taylor BUF 37 20 -0.6% 19 63.6 10 58 325 332 2 0 0 1 62.3% 1/24 -1.2
C.Wentz PHI 26 21 -6.7% 21 52.8 16 95 568 500 4 2 1 2 60.0% 0/0 3.7
C.Keenum MIN -24 22 -21.8% 25 35.2 25 39 146 150 0 0 0 0 54.1% 1/17 -1.2
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
R.Wilson SEA -26 23 -17.0% 23 40.7 24 72 313 328 1 0 1 0 56.1% 1/20 2.5
M.Glennon CHI -33 24 -17.0% 22 32.3 27 90 466 406 2 0 1 2 67.1% 0/0 -1.1
C.Palmer ARI -35 25 -17.6% 24 43.0 21 89 570 386 2 0 0 4 54.8% 2/16 0.3
J.Brissett IND -55 26 -31.9% 28 27.1 29 44 241 138 0 1 0 1 55.0% 0/0 -2.2
K.Cousins WAS -61 27 -24.1% 26 34.5 26 74 362 296 2 1 2 1 61.2% 1/25 0.4
E.Manning NYG -65 28 -24.5% 27 26.5 30 79 408 304 1 1 0 2 71.8% 0/0 -1.6
D.Watson HOU -83 29 -35.2% 29 77.0 3 54 179 169 1 0 1 1 57.4% 3/28 2.9
J.McCown NYJ -125 30 -38.7% 30 49.9 17 69 320 194 2 0 1 2 67.2% 0/0 -1.1
D.Kizer CLE -214 31 -61.6% 31 18.3 31 70 356 50 1 0 1 4 57.4% 1/21 3.9
B.Hoyer SF -244 32 -65.3% 32 11.9 32 68 244 30 0 0 1 2 63.9% 0/0 1.4
A.Dalton CIN -317 33 -78.3% 33 9.6 33 73 347 -51 0 0 1 4 53.8% 0/0 4.6

PASSING, OTHERS: 8-29 passes

Player Team DYAR DVOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
K.Hogan CLE 3 -8.1% 74.3 12 116 70 1 0 0 1 45.5% 0/0 18.0
T.Savage HOU -84 -74.3% 9.1 19 26 -7 0 0 2 0 53.8% 2/22 2.8
S.Tolzien IND -135 -110.0% 8.3 22 99 -74 0 0 0 2 50.0% 0/0 3.8

RUSHING: Minimum 2 rushes, 22 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
M.Mariota TEN 27 1 81.8% 4 7 52 84 1 0
D.Watson HOU 26 2 88.3% 2 7 83 79 1 0
B.Bortles JAC 23 3 71.6% 6 5 44 75 0 0
R.Wilson SEA 22 4 33.6% 10 10 79 86 0 1
C.Wentz PHI 21 5 85.6% 3 6 62 66 0 0
A.Rodgers GB 16 6 68.3% 7 4 33 52 0 0
M.Stafford DET 16 7 75.1% 5 4 38 50 0 0
J.McCown NYJ 14 8 57.5% 8 4 33 35 1 0
M.Ryan ATL 12 9 135.7% 1 2 21 33 0 0
D.Prescott DAL 10 10 27.2% 11 6 48 43 0 0
T.Taylor BUF 7 11 0.5% 14 13 96 59 0 0
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
K.Hogan CLE 5 12 41.4% 9 2 9 18 0 0
T.Siemian DEN 4 13 -5.2% 16 9 35 50 1 0
J.Brissett IND 4 14 1.4% 13 5 22 30 0 0
A.Dalton CIN 3 15 4.4% 12 3 7 22 0 0
A.Smith KC 3 16 -2.4% 15 6 30 29 0 0
D.Kizer CLE 1 17 -9.5% 18 10 43 43 1 0
K.Cousins WAS 1 18 -9.4% 17 6 30 24 0 1
C.Palmer ARI -1 19 -20.5% 19 3 9 9 0 1
T.Brady NE -2 20 -33.1% 20 3 10 6 0 0
J.Goff LARM -12 21 -84.7% 22 3 4 -15 0 0
C.Newton CAR -12 22 -43.3% 21 7 32 0 0 1