Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2014

Regular season totals, through Week 1

Revised as of 9/9/2014

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the expected points added by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Total QBR is not adjusted for strength of opponent.

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • Please note there are no opponent adjustments until after Week 4.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 10 passes, 33 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
M.Ryan ATL 258 1 80.6% 2 91.9 3 43 445 576 3 0 0 0 73.8% 1/12
M.Stafford DET 186 2 90.3% 1 97.5 1 33 341 402 2 0 0 0 68.8% 0/0
C.Kaepernick SF 141 3 79.6% 3 93.5 2 24 192 319 2 0 0 0 69.6% 1/7
D.Brees NO 139 4 36.0% 8 84.1 5 42 333 425 1 0 0 1 69.0% 2/45
P.Manning DEN 136 5 45.7% 4 79.8 7 37 259 378 3 0 0 0 61.1% 0/0
J.Locker TEN 113 6 38.5% 6 70.3 9 37 243 337 2 0 0 0 66.7% 0/0
B.Roethlisberger PIT 103 7 36.1% 7 58.4 14 35 338 315 1 0 0 1 74.2% 0/0
C.Palmer ARI 94 8 25.2% 9 79.9 6 39 290 335 2 0 1 0 64.9% 1/15
J.Cutler CHI 90 9 13.8% 13 54.8 15 51 341 414 2 0 0 2 69.4% 2/52
M.Cassel MIN 80 10 40.3% 5 60.4 11 26 160 234 2 0 0 0 68.0% 0/0
A.Dalton CIN 76 11 19.7% 10 52.3 16 38 301 302 1 0 0 0 65.8% 0/0
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
D.Anderson CAR 60 12 15.3% 12 89.7 4 35 208 265 2 1 0 0 75.0% 0/0
R.Fitzpatrick HOU 43 13 16.4% 11 76.8 8 23 201 186 1 1 0 0 63.6% 0/0
R.Wilson SEA 42 14 8.9% 14 66.8 10 29 191 228 2 0 0 0 67.9% 0/0
A.Luck IND 36 15 -1.9% 16 41.9 20 56 354 365 2 0 0 2 66.0% 1/25
B.Hoyer CLE 30 16 3.9% 15 45.6 18 34 206 203 1 0 0 0 61.3% 0/0
C.Henne JAC 24 17 -3.0% 17 36.6 21 46 248 270 2 0 1 0 55.8% 0/0
E.J.Manuel BUF 9 18 -4.5% 18 59.1 12 23 167 125 1 0 0 1 72.7% 0/0
R.Tannehill MIA 6 19 -8.4% 19 34.9 22 33 171 197 2 0 0 1 56.3% 0/0
G.Smith NYJ -8 20 -15.7% 21 32.3 25 30 194 137 1 1 0 1 82.1% 0/0
D.Carr OAK -10 21 -15.4% 20 32.6 24 34 133 171 2 0 0 0 62.5% 1/16
A.Rodgers GB -11 22 -16.0% 22 47.9 17 36 178 171 1 1 0 1 69.7% 1/44
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
P.Rivers SD -19 23 -19.2% 23 59.0 13 37 224 163 1 1 0 1 58.3% 0/0
T.Romo DAL -38 24 -24.3% 25 19.9 31 40 255 179 1 0 0 3 62.2% 0/0
R.Griffin WAS -41 25 -26.6% 26 29.7 27 42 222 157 0 1 1 0 80.6% 0/0
J.Flacco BAL -46 26 -21.6% 24 45.2 19 65 329 290 1 0 0 1 56.5% 1/15
A.Davis STL -46 27 -41.7% 29 10.3 33 27 171 61 0 0 0 1 69.6% 0/0
S.Hill STL -67 28 -97.4% 33 25.3 29 14 75 -29 0 1 0 1 61.5% 0/0
N.Foles PHI -71 29 -35.1% 27 34.0 23 49 277 141 2 0 2 1 61.4% 0/0
E.Manning NYG -95 30 -48.2% 30 27.9 28 35 144 77 1 0 0 2 54.5% 2/35
A.Smith KC -98 31 -49.1% 31 11.4 32 39 178 75 1 0 0 3 54.3% 0/0
T.Brady NE -105 32 -39.0% 28 32.2 26 60 222 173 1 0 2 0 51.8% 0/0
J.McCown TB -130 33 -64.0% 32 21.7 30 38 162 21 2 1 0 2 62.9% 0/0

RUSHING: Minimum 2 rushes, 15 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
J.McCown TB 15 1 71.6% 1 3 27 47 0 0
R.Wilson SEA 9 2 31.2% 4 4 32 35 0 0
C.Palmer ARI 8 3 62.7% 2 3 30 27 0 0
E.J.Manuel BUF 6 4 17.2% 6 4 23 31 1 0
D.Anderson CAR 6 5 33.0% 3 2 10 23 0 0
R.Fitzpatrick HOU 5 6 18.7% 5 2 12 21 0 0
J.Flacco BAL 3 7 2.7% 7 3 7 22 0 0
M.Ryan ATL 2 8 -2.5% 8 3 15 18 0 0
A.Luck IND 2 9 -4.6% 9 5 19 21 1 0
J.Locker TEN 1 10 -6.6% 10 4 17 16 0 0
B.Roethlisberger PIT -2 11 -32.7% 13 2 8 3 0 0
A.Smith KC -2 12 -21.0% 11 6 36 14 0 0
C.Kaepernick SF -3 13 -31.1% 12 3 13 4 0 0
A.Dalton CIN -20 14 -92.4% 15 4 5 -29 0 0
G.Smith NYJ -24 15 -67.3% 14 8 40 -25 0 1