Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2015

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 5/16/2016

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Total QBR is not adjusted for strength of opponent.

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 200 passes, 37 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
C.Palmer ARI 1,698 1 1,755 1 34.4% 1 36.0% 82.2 1 557 4,495 5,310 35 2 2 11 64.5% 16/253
T.Brady NE 1,312 2 1,269 2 19.5% 5 18.5% 64.4 11 660 4,536 5,234 36 3 2 7 64.6% 10/233
R.Wilson SEA 1,190 3 1,159 4 24.3% 3 23.4% 74.9 4 526 3,744 4,311 34 1 2 8 68.7% 2/30
A.Dalton CIN 1,135 4 1,059 6 31.7% 2 28.9% 73.1 5 409 3,103 3,676 26 2 2 7 66.1% 5/107
B.Roethlisberger PIT 1,114 5 1,056 7 22.1% 4 20.4% 76.9 2 489 3,809 4,214 21 0 0 16 68.2% 14/297
D.Brees NO 1,111 6 1,184 3 15.8% 7 17.5% 75.5 3 657 4,625 4,838 32 2 2 11 68.6% 1/37
K.Cousins WAS 1,023 7 1,125 5 16.9% 6 19.7% 70.1 6 570 3,979 4,329 29 2 3 11 69.8% 6/112
P.Rivers SD 847 8 780 9 7.8% 11 6.3% 59.4 20 704 4,503 4,755 29 2 2 13 66.5% 8/102
M.Stafford DET 804 9 637 12 8.0% 10 4.1% 62.6 14 637 3,979 4,467 32 1 2 13 67.6% 6/89
J.Cutler CHI 659 10 556 13 8.6% 9 5.5% 60.7 17 512 3,499 3,587 21 1 5 11 64.5% 9/191
C.Newton CAR 630 11 855 8 7.6% 12 14.3% 66.0 9 526 3,558 3,567 35 0 1 10 60.0% 3/64
D.Carr OAK 582 12 428 17 4.1% 13 0.0% 49.2 26 603 3,763 3,871 32 3 1 13 61.3% 8/165
R.Fitzpatrick NYJ 542 13 670 10 3.5% 14 7.0% 63.6 12 583 3,779 3,714 31 2 2 15 59.6% 4/88
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
T.Taylor BUF 536 14 486 16 9.8% 8 7.9% 67.8 7 417 2,810 2,790 20 5 1 6 63.7% 3/98
A.Smith KC 468 15 359 19 3.0% 15 -0.3% 66.5 8 516 3,243 3,303 20 2 0 7 65.5% 4/90
J.Winston TB 467 16 495 15 2.1% 16 2.9% 58.6 21 560 3,828 3,480 22 2 1 15 58.9% 6/153
A.Rodgers GB 406 17 258 20 -1.0% 17 -4.7% 64.9 10 617 3,489 3,802 31 4 4 8 60.9% 14/364
E.Manning NYG 404 18 535 14 -1.9% 19 1.1% 60.5 18 646 4,225 4,063 35 5 3 14 62.9% 13/192
M.Ryan ATL 389 19 669 11 -1.9% 18 4.8% 61.8 15 647 4,372 3,911 21 6 5 15 66.4% 6/74
B.Hoyer HOU 201 20 372 18 -3.0% 20 3.9% 59.6 19 394 2,400 2,266 19 4 2 5 61.0% 1/10
T.Bridgewater MIN 187 21 93 25 -5.1% 22 -8.1% 62.7 13 491 2,923 2,745 14 3 2 9 65.3% 6/116
B.Osweiler DEN 153 22 140 22 -3.2% 21 -3.9% 48.8 27 299 1,813 1,765 10 2 1 6 61.8% 3/58
J.McCown CLE 110 23 81 26 -5.8% 23 -7.2% 53.9 25 315 1,963 1,804 12 2 4 4 63.7% 1/6
S.Bradford PHI 107 24 221 21 -8.2% 24 -5.0% 41.8 34 560 3,512 3,027 19 4 1 14 65.3% 11/176
B.Bortles JAC 54 25 100 24 -9.9% 25 -8.8% 46.4 30 657 4,089 3,549 35 7 4 18 58.9% 8/145
R.Tannehill MIA 20 26 67 27 -10.6% 27 -9.4% 43.2 32 632 3,817 3,204 24 5 5 12 62.2% 7/109
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
J.Flacco BAL 17 27 55 29 -10.5% 26 -9.1% 40.9 35 428 2,637 2,213 14 3 2 12 65.2% 3/31
R.Mallett 2TM -33 28 -127 31 -13.2% 29 -19.2% 55.1 22 248 1,282 1,227 5 0 0 6 56.7% 1/11
M.Hasselbeck IND -41 29 57 28 -13.4% 30 -8.0% 55.1 23 273 1,588 1,424 9 1 2 5 61.3% 5/52
M.Mariota TEN -53 30 123 23 -13.2% 28 -6.4% 61.0 16 407 2,551 2,017 19 3 6 10 62.5% 10/120
B.Gabbert SF -85 31 -118 30 -15.6% 31 -17.4% 42.6 33 308 1,866 1,416 10 2 1 7 63.1% 3/28
J.Manziel CLE -105 32 -179 32 -18.4% 33 -23.4% 54.7 24 241 1,350 1,048 7 3 3 5 58.4% 1/2
A.Luck IND -126 33 -189 33 -17.5% 32 -20.6% 47.6 28 306 1,783 1,435 15 2 0 12 55.9% 1/18
M.Cassel DAL -172 34 -210 34 -23.7% 35 -26.5% 33.7 36 216 1,190 866 5 2 0 6 58.9% 4/32
C.Kaepernick SF -182 35 -249 35 -21.5% 34 -25.3% 47.1 29 273 1,446 1,168 6 1 1 5 59.0% 1/28
P.Manning DEN -326 36 -317 36 -25.8% 36 -25.4% 45.0 31 346 2,156 1,339 9 1 0 17 60.2% 4/35
N.Foles STL -353 37 -428 37 -27.9% 37 -31.4% 30.0 37 350 1,944 1,219 7 2 2 10 56.9% 4/109

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-199 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
L.McCown NO 220 154 77.1% 50.5% 84.9 40 335 498 0 0 0 1 82.1% 0/0
AJ.McCarron CIN 151 138 6.9% 5.3% 64.4 132 781 882 6 0 1 2 66.4% 3/50
B.Weeden 2TM 131 199 3.0% 10.3% 66.2 149 967 925 5 1 1 2 69.8% 2/40
C.Keenum STL 83 144 -1.1% 6.3% 47.7 131 795 778 4 1 1 1 61.1% 2/54
G.Smith NYJ 72 83 11.0% 14.2% 66.2 45 246 357 2 0 0 1 64.3% 2/29
L.Jones PIT 37 -12 -1.5% -14.3% 35.9 57 496 361 3 0 1 4 58.2% 1/18
D.Orlovsky DET 31 -1 0.4% -11.4% 50.8 40 201 260 1 0 0 1 55.0% 0/0
R.Lindley IND 28 34 27.4% 36.1% 83.7 10 58 96 1 0 0 0 60.0% 0/0
C.McCoy WAS 22 14 20.9% 9.6% 36.8 12 114 86 1 1 0 0 63.6% 0/0
T.J.Yates HOU 17 -18 -7.0% -15.6% 55.7 62 337 350 3 0 1 1 49.1% 2/35
K.Moore DAL 10 16 -9.7% -8.8% 19.0 110 752 567 4 0 1 5 58.7% 0/0
J.Clausen 2TM 6 -148 -10.3% -30.2% 28.6 132 701 631 2 0 0 4 57.6% 0/0
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
A.Tanney TEN 3 2 -8.5% -8.9% 39.9 17 65 87 1 0 0 0 71.4% 0/0
M.McGloin OAK -26 -46 -21.5% -29.5% 18.8 34 123 167 2 0 1 1 71.9% 0/0
EJ Manuel BUF -26 -12 -16.0% -13.3% 37.0 89 509 395 3 1 1 3 63.4% 0/0
J.Freeman IND -70 -58 -48.0% -41.9% 53.9 29 142 58 1 0 0 1 53.6% 0/0
D.Stanton ARI -82 -99 -57.4% -67.0% 12.3 27 96 31 0 0 0 2 44.0% 2/42
T.Romo DAL -93 -65 -22.4% -19.0% 55.8 127 847 538 5 0 1 7 68.6% 1/16
C.Whitehurst IND -99 -86 -58.4% -52.2% 20.5 37 122 38 0 0 0 1 50.0% 0/0
M.Schaub BAL -146 -71 -38.4% -24.4% 34.3 83 513 232 3 0 0 4 65.0% 0/0
M.Vick PIT -207 -184 -57.4% -52.2% 31.8 75 321 79 2 1 0 0 61.5% 0/0
M.Sanchez PHI -227 -154 -46.9% -35.3% 38.9 100 562 202 4 0 1 4 64.8% 0/0
A.Davis CLE -269 -287 -52.9% -55.8% 22.1 105 425 152 1 0 1 3 60.9% 0/0
Z.Mettenberger TEN -408 -486 -46.4% -53.2% 13.6 179 812 376 4 1 2 7 61.6% 0/0

RUSHING: Minimum 8 rushes, 36 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
C.Newton CAR 142 1 158 1 8.1% 18 10.4% 119 645 840 10 4
T.Taylor BUF 133 2 127 2 19.8% 11 18.3% 87 586 612 4 2
R.Wilson SEA 123 3 106 5 17.4% 13 13.1% 85 566 593 1 4
A.Rodgers GB 107 4 111 4 37.1% 3 39.0% 45 356 409 1 0
A.Smith KC 86 5 113 3 11.5% 16 18.9% 72 509 461 2 2
B.Bortles JAC 86 6 90 6 24.5% 8 26.3% 42 320 370 2 2
J.Cutler CHI 84 7 77 8 43.7% 2 38.6% 28 208 307 1 1
R.Fitzpatrick NYJ 73 8 89 7 18.0% 12 24.3% 45 281 349 2 1
J.Manziel CLE 68 9 40 14 32.6% 5 13.8% 32 235 266 0 0
C.Kaepernick SF 63 10 54 10 22.7% 9 17.9% 40 260 279 1 3
A.Luck IND 59 11 51 12 31.2% 7 25.5% 26 202 237 0 1
R.Tannehill MIA 49 12 55 9 36.5% 4 42.2% 23 149 187 1 0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
J.Winston TB 42 13 53 11 7.6% 19 12.9% 41 223 216 6 3
M.Stafford DET 35 14 46 13 11.4% 17 19.3% 29 179 191 1 0
B.Gabbert SF 34 15 37 15 16.2% 14 18.5% 24 179 167 1 1
EJ Manuel BUF 34 16 23 19 20.8% 10 10.2% 16 66 154 1 0
T.Bridgewater MIN 32 17 37 16 5.3% 22 8.2% 35 203 206 3 3
B.Weeden 2TM 27 18 26 17 49.8% 1 47.3% 9 55 96 1 0
T.Brady NE 25 19 25 18 6.5% 21 6.2% 20 69 158 3 1
N.Foles STL 21 20 14 23 32.0% 6 18.6% 8 28 79 1 0
M.Mariota TEN 20 21 22 20 -0.6% 25 0.6% 32 253 171 2 1
M.Vick PIT 15 22 11 24 12.1% 15 4.6% 14 105 82 0 1
J.Flacco BAL 15 23 17 21 6.8% 20 9.5% 9 24 92 3 0
J.McCown CLE 12 24 -8 32 0.7% 23 -20.1% 19 95 93 1 3
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
A.Dalton CIN 9 25 1 28 -8.1% 28 -11.8% 42 150 191 3 1
K.Cousins WAS 8 26 16 22 -3.1% 26 5.0% 14 52 88 5 3
B.Osweiler DEN 6 27 4 27 -6.1% 27 -8.1% 17 65 84 1 0
E.Manning NYG 5 28 6 26 -0.4% 24 0.7% 9 70 44 0 1
M.Ryan ATL 3 29 8 25 -9.6% 30 -4.4% 17 73 86 0 1
AJ.McCarron CIN 2 30 0 29 -8.2% 29 -11.8% 8 37 37 0 0
P.Rivers SD 1 31 -6 31 -9.8% 31 -27.3% 9 37 32 0 0
C.Palmer ARI -10 32 -9 33 -31.7% 34 -29.5% 8 36 13 2 2
M.Cassel DAL -10 33 -12 34 -29.3% 33 -33.4% 14 85 19 0 2
D.Carr OAK -13 34 -5 30 -25.3% 32 -16.7% 21 141 42 0 3
J.Clausen 2TM -17 35 -29 35 -50.8% 35 -76.4% 9 38 -8 0 1
S.Bradford PHI -43 36 -42 36 -76.7% 36 -75.7% 13 40 -51 0 3