Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

RUNNING BACKS 2014

Regular season totals, through Week 4

Revised as of 9/30/2014

Running backs are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the performance on plays where this RB carried/caught the ball compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The next statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average running back in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a running back with more total value. DVOA means a running back with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

The final statistic is Success Rate. This number represents the player's consistency, measured by successful running plays (the definition of success being different based on down and distance) divided by total running plays. A player with higher DVOA and a low success rate mixes long runs with downs getting stuffed at the line of scrimmage. A player with lower DVOA and a high success rate generally gets the yards needed, but doesn't often get more. Success Rate is further explained here. It is not adjusted for opponent.

  • These numbers do not separate the performance of a running back from the performance of his offensive line. (You'll find numbers that try to do that on this page.) Be aware that one will affect the other.
  • All fumbles are considered equal, whether recovered by the offense or defense.
  • Opponent adjustments are currently at 40 percent strength and will gradually rise until after Week 10.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

RUSHING: Minimum 32 rushes, 38 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM Suc
Rate
Rk
D.Murray DAL 136 1 139 1 23.7% 1 24.4% 99 534 581 5 2 59% 5
R.Jennings NYG 89 2 71 4 15.5% 6 10.8% 81 341 461 2 0 54% 8
M.Lynch SEA 70 3 72 3 23.3% 2 24.1% 52 234 302 4 0 54% 9
L.Miller MIA 58 4 54 5 16.0% 5 14.6% 49 277 296 2 2 63% 1
T.West CLE 50 5 46 6 16.9% 4 15.1% 47 204 248 2 0 53% 10
L.Bell PIT 49 6 46 7 8.7% 12 7.8% 72 378 321 1 0 42% 27
S.Jackson ATL 48 7 44 8 13.9% 7 11.9% 50 201 262 1 0 60% 2
A.Morris WAS 47 8 43 9 6.8% 14 5.5% 71 317 343 3 1 49% 14
C.Ivory NYJ 45 9 40 11 11.9% 9 9.6% 50 273 264 2 1 58% 6
A.Bradshaw IND 45 10 41 10 22.9% 3 20.1% 34 182 197 0 0 56% 7
F.Gore SF 45 11 31 14 9.5% 11 3.8% 59 258 289 1 0 53% 11
J.Forsett BAL 42 12 74 2 13.8% 8 30.5% 44 255 232 2 0 48% 19
Z.Stacy STL 33 13 27 16 10.3% 10 7.2% 42 181 200 1 1 52% 12
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM Suc
Rate
Rk
K.Davis KC 32 14 8 23 2.9% 17 -5.5% 71 336 287 3 2 39% 30
S.Ridley NE 31 15 27 17 3.7% 16 2.0% 57 204 265 1 0 60% 4
K.Robinson NO 27 16 40 12 6.8% 13 14.3% 40 215 192 1 0 60% 3
F.Jackson BUF 19 17 17 19 5.6% 15 4.5% 32 152 144 0 0 41% 29
L.Taliaferro BAL 16 18 33 13 1.7% 18 12.3% 33 149 162 2 0 48% 18
M.Forte CHI 15 19 10 22 -3.7% 20 -5.3% 65 258 285 0 0 51% 13
A.Foster HOU 10 20 -9 28 -4.8% 22 -12.0% 63 247 232 1 1 44% 22
A.Williams NYG 9 21 -15 29 -2.8% 19 -19.0% 34 105 141 1 0 38% 33
G.Bernard CIN 8 22 15 20 -5.4% 23 -2.2% 55 185 218 3 0 42% 26
S.Greene TEN 5 23 30 15 -4.2% 21 15.8% 33 154 116 1 0 48% 17
M.Asiata MIN 4 24 18 18 -6.5% 25 0.3% 47 159 180 3 0 49% 15
A.Ellington ARI 4 25 -5 27 -6.0% 24 -11.6% 46 209 145 0 1 39% 31
D.McFadden OAK 3 26 10 21 -7.2% 26 -2.9% 46 151 158 1 0 41% 28
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM Suc
Rate
Rk
B.Rainey TB 1 27 8 24 -8.1% 27 -4.2% 41 199 151 0 1 49% 16
R.Bush DET 0 28 7 25 -8.7% 28 -3.9% 39 148 132 1 0 46% 20
C.Johnson NYJ -9 29 3 26 -14.1% 29 -6.8% 41 167 126 1 0 39% 32
A.Blue HOU -17 30 -21 30 -21.6% 32 -24.9% 34 127 83 0 0 32% 36
E.Lacy GB -25 31 -49 34 -20.7% 30 -31.9% 53 161 140 2 1 32% 37
C.J.Spiller BUF -27 32 -21 31 -21.5% 31 -18.6% 52 207 135 0 1 42% 25
T.Richardson IND -41 33 -48 33 -24.7% 33 -27.8% 61 204 151 1 2 43% 24
M.Ball DEN -48 34 -23 32 -32.9% 34 -20.3% 49 165 92 1 1 45% 21
D.Brown SD -53 35 -78 38 -37.0% 35 -50.7% 50 100 74 0 0 20% 38
T.Gerhart JAC -63 36 -61 36 -38.0% 36 -36.9% 44 114 82 1 1 34% 35
J.Bell DET -69 37 -55 35 -40.7% 37 -34.5% 48 153 73 1 2 44% 23
L.McCoy PHI -100 38 -73 37 -45.5% 38 -35.5% 70 194 71 1 1 36% 34

RUSHING, OTHERS: 6-31 rushes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
J.Hill CIN 70 75 55.0% 59.6% 26 132 207 2 0
M.Ingram NO 68 76 56.8% 65.0% 24 143 198 3 0
I.Crowell CLE 65 60 49.4% 44.8% 27 141 202 3 0
L.Blount PIT 55 56 56.2% 58.2% 21 157 162 2 0
K.Moreno MIA 49 64 37.9% 52.8% 25 138 169 1 0
A.Smith ATL 42 41 107.2% 103.5% 10 119 99 2 1
B.Sankey TEN 34 51 26.0% 42.8% 24 123 141 1 0
De.Williams CAR 30 13 20.6% 3.7% 25 106 137 0 0
J.Starks GB 29 24 38.4% 30.2% 15 75 101 0 0
S.Redd WAS 28 25 78.4% 69.1% 8 41 72 1 0
C.Hyde SF 26 21 22.0% 15.3% 24 89 117 2 0
J.Randle DAL 24 23 61.3% 58.1% 9 57 69 0 0
J.Charles KC 22 35 11.5% 23.3% 27 115 129 1 0
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
K.Carey CHI 22 28 23.5% 32.5% 16 76 93 0 0
R.Helu WAS 20 25 24.8% 31.8% 15 80 86 1 0
J.McKinnon MIN 20 27 15.5% 24.4% 23 143 102 0 0
D.Thomas MIA 19 22 72.6% 83.1% 7 50 52 0 0
A.Dixon BUF 17 17 59.4% 57.2% 7 63 49 0 0
J.Rodgers ATL 17 17 13.9% 14.2% 17 65 92 1 0
P.Thomas NO 17 21 11.8% 17.0% 20 85 98 1 0
C.J.Anderson DEN 14 17 24.7% 31.1% 11 55 59 0 0
C.Gray KC 13 12 28.9% 25.8% 8 31 50 1 0
B.Tate CLE 10 14 39.7% 60.6% 6 41 33 0 0
D.Sproles PHI 8 16 3.0% 14.9% 18 121 73 2 1
S.Vereen NE 2 1 -6.2% -7.2% 28 122 95 1 0
R.Mathews SD 2 -17 -6.6% -23.8% 23 74 99 1 1
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
T.Riddick DET 2 5 -0.8% 10.9% 6 22 24 0 0
Dam.Williams MIA 2 -3 -4.9% -13.9% 12 39 46 0 0
D.Herron IND 1 1 -5.5% -5.4% 8 25 28 0 0
P.Hillis NYG 0 -4 -7.6% -20.8% 8 31 28 0 0
B.Cunningham STL 0 -3 -9.1% -12.0% 20 65 77 0 0
B.Powell NYJ -2 3 -16.7% 4.4% 7 33 19 0 0
R.Turbin SEA -4 -3 -16.6% -14.3% 10 35 38 0 0
J.Stewart CAR -6 -22 -13.3% -26.6% 29 88 95 1 0
D.McCluster TEN -7 1 -18.8% -6.9% 16 60 46 0 0
J.Dwyer ARI -7 -2 -20.7% -11.6% 16 51 40 1 0
D.Reaves CAR -8 -17 -27.0% -49.4% 12 26 23 0 0
B.Oliver SD -9 -3 -27.6% -15.9% 12 34 25 0 0
R.Brown HOU -11 -16 -60.6% -85.6% 6 4 0 0 0
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
D.Woodhead SD -12 -21 -26.9% -41.9% 15 38 36 0 0
D.Robinson JAC -12 -6 -24.2% -16.0% 20 66 48 0 0
L.Dunbar DAL -13 -13 -40.0% -38.9% 11 27 15 0 0
A.Peterson MIN -14 -3 -26.8% -13.1% 21 75 43 0 0
B.Bolden NE -16 -21 -62.9% -80.4% 8 12 -1 0 0
B.Pierce BAL -22 -16 -26.2% -21.3% 28 110 73 0 1
D.Freeman ATL -23 -34 -45.8% -64.8% 15 36 16 0 1
D.Martin TB -24 -15 -35.6% -26.0% 23 49 37 1 0
M.James TB -28 -31 -76.9% -83.6% 10 11 -10 0 0
M.Jones-Drew OAK -32 -36 -77.4% -86.3% 10 23 -12 0 1
M.Tolbert CAR -49 -56 -87.2% -98.2% 14 10 -26 0 0

RECEIVING: Minimum 8 passes, 37 players ranked

  • Passes includes all passes to this receiver, complete and incomplete.
  • Catch Rate is the percentage of passes completed to this receiver.
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
A.Bradshaw IND 114 1 102 1 87.9% 2 77.3% 16 134 315 4 88% 0
L.Bell PIT 53 2 53 2 31.5% 7 31.3% 23 192 194 0 83% 0
M.Lynch SEA 53 3 47 5 88.5% 1 78.4% 10 81 146 2 80% 0
M.Forte CHI 48 4 37 8 17.0% 11 9.9% 30 194 212 0 80% 0
T.Richardson IND 48 5 38 7 48.1% 6 35.5% 14 122 155 0 79% 0
R.Helu WAS 47 6 48 3 73.6% 3 75.6% 11 159 136 0 91% 0
C.J.Spiller BUF 43 7 48 4 58.6% 4 67.1% 10 81 132 1 100% 0
F.Jackson BUF 36 8 47 6 12.5% 13 20.5% 24 170 171 1 79% 0
A.Foster HOU 29 9 12 13 26.4% 8 2.6% 15 84 110 0 73% 0
P.Thomas NO 28 10 36 9 20.0% 10 29.1% 15 110 117 0 93% 0
G.Bernard CIN 28 11 17 12 12.1% 14 2.4% 19 148 133 0 63% 0
D.Freeman ATL 24 12 10 15 55.3% 5 15.8% 9 59 74 0 78% 0
J.Charles KC 18 13 11 14 20.3% 9 6.9% 8 39 73 2 100% 1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
D.Sproles PHI 12 14 30 10 -2.1% 15 14.1% 21 198 101 0 76% 0
Z.Stacy STL 12 15 19 11 15.1% 12 33.4% 8 62 52 0 75% 0
E.Lacy GB 4 16 4 20 -6.0% 17 -5.4% 9 49 45 0 78% 0
B.Cunningham STL 4 17 3 21 -4.9% 16 -7.5% 8 39 35 0 75% 0
L.McCoy PHI 4 18 2 22 -8.6% 19 -11.5% 13 64 56 0 77% 0
M.Ball DEN 2 19 7 16 -8.4% 18 3.3% 8 51 37 0 88% 0
R.Jennings NYG 0 20 -9 28 -13.2% 20 -26.9% 11 92 51 0 82% 1
A.Ellington ARI 0 21 -10 29 -14.2% 21 -27.8% 12 50 51 0 75% 0
J.Bell DET -4 22 -8 26 -19.2% 22 -25.1% 15 73 44 0 60% 0
D.Murray DAL -4 23 -9 27 -20.7% 24 -29.1% 11 68 33 0 82% 1
C.Ivory NYJ -5 24 6 18 -22.7% 25 -4.7% 11 71 32 0 64% 0
R.Bush DET -6 25 5 19 -19.4% 23 -9.4% 23 112 69 0 78% 0
C.Johnson NYJ -7 26 -2 24 -25.0% 28 -16.9% 12 40 31 1 67% 0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
D.McFadden OAK -9 27 6 17 -25.4% 29 -5.4% 13 75 36 0 85% 0
D.Brown SD -9 28 -24 31 -23.7% 26 -41.2% 16 72 45 0 75% 0
J.Forsett BAL -10 29 -34 34 -24.3% 27 -48.6% 19 63 49 0 84% 0
M.Asiata MIN -13 30 -2 23 -26.5% 30 -15.4% 18 111 45 1 67% 0
M.Tolbert CAR -20 31 -13 30 -54.3% 35 -39.3% 11 59 -9 0 73% 0
B.Rainey TB -21 32 -7 25 -41.8% 31 -23.3% 15 118 8 1 87% 2
K.Davis KC -22 33 -50 37 -44.0% 33 -81.0% 13 41 7 0 62% 1
L.Miller MIA -31 34 -40 36 -42.0% 32 -50.4% 17 53 14 1 71% 0
J.McKinnon MIN -36 35 -27 32 -73.4% 37 -58.3% 11 31 -31 0 45% 0
M.Reece OAK -40 36 -38 35 -65.0% 36 -62.5% 13 36 -27 0 54% 0
S.Vereen NE -41 37 -28 33 -46.4% 34 -35.9% 21 93 5 0 71% 0

RECEIVING, OTHERS: 5-7 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
J.McKnight KC 48 56 103.0% 122.0% 7 64 130 2 86% 0
A.Smith ATL 43 27 134.9% 78.9% 5 73 111 1 60% 0
D.Young WAS 27 33 62.2% 81.4% 6 41 80 2 83% 0
L.Dunbar DAL 25 14 45.6% 19.5% 7 57 82 0 71% 0
T.Gerhart JAC 19 24 31.2% 42.9% 7 63 70 0 100% 0
K.Juszczyk BAL 18 23 26.0% 37.7% 7 62 68 1 71% 0
D.Woodhead SD 15 19 23.7% 32.2% 6 34 60 0 83% 0
J.Stewart CAR 12 19 15.4% 31.8% 7 58 55 0 100% 0
D.McCluster TEN 8 9 10.7% 14.4% 6 41 39 0 67% 0
J.Rodgers ATL 7 4 4.6% -3.9% 7 39 44 0 86% 0
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
B.Powell NYJ 4 11 -1.5% 24.3% 5 38 28 0 80% 0
S.Jackson ATL -4 -7 -27.1% -39.6% 6 20 13 0 67% 0
T.Cadet NO -5 3 -27.1% -6.0% 7 64 17 0 100% 1
M.Ingram NO -7 -3 -39.9% -23.4% 5 22 5 0 80% 0
J.Todman JAC -8 -6 -49.3% -38.6% 5 25 0 0 60% 0
D.Robinson JAC -12 -13 -43.7% -46.5% 7 24 4 0 86% 0
M.Jones-Drew OAK -15 -13 -64.6% -60.9% 5 14 -10 0 80% 0
D.Reaves CAR -21 -26 -73.0% -89.0% 6 11 -18 0 50% 0
A.Williams NYG -24 -27 -80.1% -89.9% 6 7 -24 0 33% 0
C.Hyde SF -29 -32 -115.5% -128.2% 5 3 -39 0 60% 0