Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

FEI COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS 2014

through results of 10/25/14

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

Game Efficiency (GE) is the composite possession-by-possession efficiency of a team over the course of a game, a measurement of the success of its offensive, defensive, and special teams units’ essential goals: to maximize the team’s own scoring opportunities and to minimize those of its opponent. FEI ratings take the season-long GE data and adjust for opponent, placing special emphasis on quality performance against good teams, win or lose.

Other definitions:

  • SOS: Strength of schedule, based on the likelihood of an elite team going undefeated against the given team's entire schedule.
  • FBS MW: Mean Wins, the average number of games a team with the given FEI rating would be expected to win against its entire schedule.
  • FBS RMW: Remaining Mean Wins, the average number of games a team with the given FEI rating would be expected to win against its remaining schedule.
  • OFEI: Offensive FEI, the opponent-adjusted efficiency of the given team's offense.
  • DFEI: Defensive FEI, the opponent-adjusted efficiency of the given team's defense.
  • STE: Special Teams Efficiency, the scoring value earned by field goal, punt and kickoff units measured in points per average game.
  • FPA: Field Position Advantage, the share of the value of total starting field position earned by each team against its opponents.

Overall ratings and splits for Offense, Defense, Special Teams, and Field Position can be found using the drop-down menus provided above. Other supplemental drive-based data can be found here.

Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
1 Oregon 6-1 .294 1 .193 14 .089 23 9.1 3.3 .762 2 -.327 32 1.334 26 .536 22
2 Georgia 6-1 .258 2 .279 2 .207 53 9.2 3.2 .490 15 -.257 40 2.801 9 .608 1
3 Arizona 6-1 .253 4 .123 22 .041 5 9.0 3.5 .488 16 -.353 28 .930 36 .557 9
4 USC 5-3 .253 3 .127 21 .038 4 8.7 3.0 .526 13 -.291 36 .027 69 .487 84
5 Utah 5-1 .250 8 .112 26 .048 8 7.8 3.0 -.132 78 -.736 5 3.156 3 .572 5
6 Auburn 6-1 .249 11 .180 15 .045 7 8.0 2.3 .665 5 -.543 13 .477 50 .523 29
7 Mississippi 7-1 .246 6 .259 4 .192 51 9.0 2.1 .256 35 -.743 3 1.360 25 .567 6
8 Florida State 6-0 .246 7 .163 18 .198 52 9.1 3.9 .622 7 -.429 20 .547 44 .487 85
9 Alabama 7-1 .229 14 .250 5 .128 30 8.4 1.8 .503 14 -.502 15 -1.091 96 .474 100
10 Arizona State 5-1 .226 16 .071 35 .064 11 7.5 3.2 .592 10 -.331 31 1.030 31 .508 44
11 TCU 5-1 .225 5 .249 6 .264 60 9.2 4.2 .383 22 -.560 11 2.586 10 .576 4
12 UCLA 6-2 .221 9 .042 46 .045 6 7.8 2.4 .648 6 -.240 42 .360 59 .498 63
13 Nebraska 6-1 .218 20 .242 7 .297 65 9.2 3.3 .250 37 -.573 9 2.414 12 .556 10
14 Oklahoma 5-2 .218 10 .195 13 .236 56 10.0 4.5 .615 8 -.265 38 2.818 8 .543 14
15 Georgia Tech 5-2 .218 22 .103 30 .123 29 8.0 2.6 .965 1 .186 85 1.566 20 .548 12
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
16 Clemson 5-2 .218 12 .078 33 .082 19 8.0 3.2 .235 40 -.740 4 -.882 91 .513 38
17 Mississippi State 7-0 .216 18 .229 8 .139 34 8.5 2.6 .377 23 -.551 12 .924 37 .540 16
18 Kansas State 5-1 .196 19 .203 12 .106 24 7.9 3.3 .351 26 -.526 14 1.040 30 .535 23
19 Notre Dame 6-1 .193 21 .168 17 .088 22 8.4 3.0 .266 32 -.494 16 1.088 29 .519 35
20 Ohio State 6-1 .192 13 .263 3 .375 77 10.2 4.1 .450 18 -.283 37 2.902 7 .581 3
21 Baylor 5-1 .186 17 .204 11 .231 55 8.5 3.7 .321 28 -.389 24 .453 52 .551 11
22 Duke 5-1 .184 24 .157 19 .240 57 8.5 4.0 .074 56 -.654 7 2.948 5 .558 8
23 Michigan State 6-1 .176 25 .227 9 .166 45 8.2 2.9 .204 43 -.481 17 -.238 75 .540 18
24 Louisville 5-2 .174 29 .113 25 .119 27 7.4 2.2 -.100 72 -.867 1 .511 46 .468 109
25 Stanford 4-3 .169 28 .106 29 .027 2 5.7 1.4 -.071 68 -.705 6 -.570 84 .525 28
26 Miami 4-3 .167 41 .096 32 .072 15 6.5 2.6 .677 4 -.144 50 .043 68 .495 66
27 Colorado State 6-1 .152 23 .110 28 .385 79 8.8 3.6 .410 20 -.022 66 1.896 15 .507 46
28 LSU 6-2 .143 50 .122 23 .142 37 7.0 1.9 .266 33 -.359 27 2.222 14 .538 20
29 Virginia Tech 3-4 .139 15 .016 59 .140 36 6.3 2.5 -.379 104 -.751 2 1.673 17 .502 54
30 Boston College 4-3 .138 27 .056 38 .132 31 6.5 1.9 .260 34 -.306 34 -.875 89 .502 55
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
31 Marshall 7-0 .131 26 .364 1 .844 127 10.3 3.8 .199 45 -.256 41 1.275 27 .540 15
32 West Virginia 5-2 .128 32 .052 41 .189 49 6.6 2.3 .352 25 -.168 47 .352 60 .484 91
33 Nevada 4-3 .115 33 .032 48 .302 67 7.6 3.5 .244 39 .073 74 .591 42 .532 26
34 Missouri 5-2 .115 34 .112 27 .409 82 7.9 3.0 -.388 106 -.569 10 2.534 11 .529 27
35 Wisconsin 4-2 .115 58 .206 10 .392 81 7.8 3.1 .161 48 -.426 22 -1.283 101 .490 74
36 Boise State 6-2 .111 47 .074 34 .342 75 8.7 3.5 .117 53 -.377 26 -.764 86 .499 60
37 East Carolina 5-1 .111 31 .136 20 .511 95 8.7 4.3 .536 12 .068 73 -1.883 115 .492 71
38 Virginia 3-4 .105 35 .018 56 .064 12 4.9 1.0 .179 46 -.434 19 -.355 76 .487 83
39 South Carolina 3-4 .091 44 .005 62 .152 41 6.3 2.5 .759 3 .753 127 .724 40 .484 90
40 North Carolina 3-4 .081 53 -.087 96 .068 13 4.4 1.9 .486 17 .204 89 -1.551 104 .512 39
41 California 3-4 .079 40 -.050 78 .058 9 4.5 1.7 .255 36 -.112 53 -.507 80 .487 87
42 Memphis 3-3 .078 46 .117 24 .275 63 8.1 4.4 -.124 77 -.083 59 3.101 4 .588 2
43 Washington 4-3 .078 45 .055 39 .060 10 5.7 2.1 -.334 101 -.400 23 .062 67 .538 19
44 Iowa 4-2 .076 36 .052 42 .431 86 6.8 2.6 -.094 70 -.426 21 -.882 90 .488 81
45 Pittsburgh 3-4 .066 30 -.026 69 .170 46 5.0 1.6 .306 30 .038 69 .836 38 .499 59
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
46 Penn State 4-3 .066 48 .061 37 .521 96 8.0 3.3 -.283 96 -.609 8 -1.591 106 .471 103
47 Washington State 1-6 .064 37 -.103 100 .034 3 3.5 1.3 .613 9 .371 98 -5.500 126 .439 123
48 Northwestern 2-4 .058 54 -.033 71 .254 59 5.7 2.8 .202 44 -.152 48 -1.914 117 .506 49
49 Tennessee 2-5 .058 42 -.030 70 .082 20 5.2 2.4 -.106 74 -.346 29 .482 49 .507 48
50 BYU 4-4 .053 39 .011 60 .463 90 6.5 2.1 .368 24 .067 72 1.495 22 .501 57
51 Arkansas 3-4 .049 56 .061 36 .072 14 4.6 .9 .164 47 -.226 43 -2.114 119 .479 94
52 Oregon State 3-3 .044 43 -.034 72 .072 16 3.9 1.6 .028 62 -.042 62 -.551 83 .474 98
53 Minnesota 5-2 .042 51 .054 40 .183 47 5.5 1.1 -.106 73 -.339 30 1.637 18 .536 21
54 Georgia Southern 5-2 .039 60 .172 16 .497 92 8.7 3.5 .234 41 .148 82 .298 63 .540 17
55 Central Florida 4-2 .027 55 .031 49 .471 91 6.9 3.7 -.027 64 -.187 46 -1.131 97 .490 77
56 Utah State 4-3 .024 49 .027 50 .391 80 7.2 3.4 -.272 94 -.452 18 -1.609 107 .505 51
57 Maryland 4-3 .020 38 -.017 67 .333 73 4.9 1.8 -.095 71 -.122 52 3.178 2 .490 76
58 Houston 3-3 .014 57 .026 51 .649 114 7.8 4.2 -.440 113 -.302 35 -.953 93 .489 80
59 Syracuse 2-5 .005 64 -.063 86 .134 32 3.7 1.3 -.121 76 -.021 67 -.449 79 .522 30
60 Air Force 4-2 .002 62 .043 45 .588 107 6.5 2.8 -.265 89 -.380 25 1.427 24 .521 33
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
61 Colorado 2-6 .000 69 -.067 88 .024 1 3.1 .5 .121 52 .194 87 -.430 78 .478 95
62 Iowa State 2-4 -.003 59 -.097 97 .191 50 4.2 1.9 .333 27 .255 91 .513 45 .484 89
63 Oklahoma State 4-3 -.005 52 .010 61 .074 17 4.1 .9 -.063 66 -.079 60 2.930 6 .509 43
64 Western Michigan 4-3 -.006 61 .047 43 .628 111 7.6 3.2 -.069 67 -.086 55 -1.671 110 .461 112
65 Florida 3-3 -.007 68 -.001 65 .114 25 3.7 1.2 -.259 88 -.200 44 .319 61 .520 34
66 Navy 3-4 -.013 70 .020 55 .433 87 6.1 2.1 .435 19 .336 95 -1.235 99 .451 120
67 Purdue 2-5 -.023 72 -.075 92 .249 58 3.9 1.2 .127 50 .186 84 .951 34 .507 47
68 Rutgers 4-3 -.027 66 -.062 85 .164 44 3.7 1.3 .109 54 .060 71 .315 62 .466 111
69 Western Kentucky 3-4 -.032 71 .040 47 .624 109 7.8 3.1 .303 31 .516 115 -.514 81 .534 24
70 Michigan 3-5 -.038 67 -.036 75 .143 38 4.3 1.3 -.181 81 -.132 51 -.043 71 .488 82
71 North Carolina State 3-4 -.042 79 -.056 82 .139 33 3.6 1.3 .051 57 .118 79 .451 53 .498 64
72 Toledo 4-3 -.043 73 -.021 68 .726 119 6.7 3.1 .559 11 .658 122 .014 70 .501 58
73 Hawaii 1-6 -.044 76 -.060 83 .507 94 5.7 2.5 -.413 112 -.085 57 1.172 28 .519 36
74 San Diego State 3-3 -.045 75 .003 63 .423 85 5.2 2.3 -.272 92 .109 77 .832 39 .498 62
75 Kentucky 4-3 -.050 89 .024 54 .150 40 3.7 .4 -.249 87 -.085 58 -1.692 112 .501 56
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
76 Arkansas State 3-3 -.054 63 .017 57 .525 98 7.1 4.1 .050 58 .122 80 -1.400 102 .489 78
77 Temple 3-3 -.055 80 .025 52 .582 105 4.9 1.9 -.410 111 .201 88 1.615 19 .533 25
78 Texas A&M 4-3 -.060 84 -.046 77 .075 18 3.5 1.3 .048 59 .301 92 .120 65 .470 105
79 Texas 3-5 -.063 74 -.061 84 .150 39 3.5 1.0 -.319 99 -.311 33 -2.704 121 .472 102
80 Illinois 3-4 -.063 90 -.074 91 .188 48 3.2 .7 .038 61 .384 99 .447 54 .509 42
81 Louisiana Tech 5-2 -.064 85 .100 31 .274 62 6.3 2.5 -.298 97 -.029 63 -.126 73 .562 7
82 Ball State 2-4 -.065 83 -.035 74 .742 120 5.8 3.0 -.118 75 .437 106 1.747 16 .545 13
83 Indiana 2-4 -.065 77 -.073 90 .302 68 3.7 1.4 .141 49 .647 121 1.022 32 .521 32
84 UTSA 2-6 -.075 65 -.063 87 .525 97 6.2 2.7 -.451 114 -.025 64 1.474 23 .491 72
85 New Mexico 2-5 -.083 87 -.078 94 .380 78 5.1 1.9 .100 55 .416 102 -.770 88 .476 96
86 Central Michigan 4-4 -.085 88 .003 64 .827 125 5.9 1.9 -.321 100 -.017 68 -1.754 114 .457 115
87 Florida International 2-4 -.090 81 -.071 89 .630 113 4.9 2.8 -.508 118 -.258 39 -1.614 108 .480 93
88 Akron 3-4 -.091 82 -.045 76 .590 108 5.7 2.7 -.464 117 -.022 65 1.514 21 .522 31
89 Tulane 1-5 -.093 91 -.136 109 .293 64 3.3 1.6 -.243 86 -.104 54 -5.531 127 .452 119
90 Wake Forest 1-6 -.099 98 -.138 110 .121 28 2.6 .4 -.613 124 -.152 49 3.295 1 .469 107
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
91 Fresno State 2-5 -.102 95 -.165 118 .118 26 3.4 1.9 -.240 85 .192 86 -1.056 95 .457 114
92 Texas Tech 2-5 -.105 86 -.125 107 .153 43 2.5 .7 .312 29 .443 108 .509 47 .449 121
93 Connecticut 0-6 -.106 97 -.162 117 .529 100 4.5 2.7 -.555 121 -.086 56 .407 57 .456 118
94 Cincinnati 4-3 -.109 93 -.013 66 .339 74 4.4 1.5 .021 63 .367 96 .427 55 .474 99
95 UAB 3-4 -.109 78 -.034 73 .415 83 4.9 1.8 -.266 90 .243 90 2.270 13 .494 69
96 Kansas 1-5 -.110 92 -.143 112 .086 21 2.1 .4 -.509 119 -.194 45 -4.529 125 .494 70
97 Middle Tennessee 4-3 -.121 94 -.055 81 .499 93 4.2 1.8 -.347 102 .103 76 .932 35 .490 75
98 San Jose State 2-4 -.127 96 -.107 101 .303 69 2.8 1.1 -.310 98 .078 75 -2.951 123 .436 125
99 Massachusetts 2-7 -.130 103 -.052 79 .652 115 5.2 1.4 .040 60 .533 116 -1.910 116 .494 68
100 Northern Illinois 5-2 -.130 101 .016 58 .658 116 4.6 1.4 .245 38 .716 125 .140 64 .472 101
101 South Alabama 5-2 -.139 100 .047 44 .532 101 5.6 1.9 -.650 125 -.057 61 .384 58 .505 52
102 Miami (OH) 2-6 -.141 99 -.102 99 .758 122 4.3 1.3 -.170 80 .368 97 -.766 87 .470 106
103 Rice 4-3 -.145 102 .025 53 .418 84 4.8 1.6 .123 51 .658 123 -1.206 98 .503 53
104 Florida Atlantic 3-5 -.154 104 -.097 98 .225 54 4.3 2.1 -.271 91 .404 101 .955 33 .518 37
105 Buffalo 1-5 -.165 107 -.111 103 .705 118 4.5 1.9 -.057 65 .599 117 -1.534 103 .496 65
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
106 Tulsa 1-6 -.166 105 -.151 114 .328 71 3.5 1.1 -.204 84 .462 110 -.526 82 .485 88
107 UNLV 1-6 -.170 111 -.188 121 .320 70 2.3 .8 -.184 82 .645 119 .071 66 .510 41
108 UTEP 4-3 -.171 119 -.054 80 .533 102 4.7 2.4 -.278 95 .131 81 -1.565 105 .476 97
109 Kent State 1-7 -.177 109 -.156 116 .445 89 4.4 1.5 -.538 120 .118 78 -.730 85 .494 67
110 Vanderbilt 1-6 -.178 116 -.228 125 .140 35 2.0 .9 -.578 123 .328 94 .489 48 .505 50
111 South Florida 2-5 -.182 110 -.149 113 .527 99 2.6 1.1 -.386 105 .317 93 -.168 74 .487 86
112 Bowling Green 4-3 -.183 113 -.078 93 .669 117 3.2 1.2 -.398 109 .442 107 .595 41 .491 73
113 Old Dominion 2-5 -.183 115 -.128 108 .754 121 3.5 1.4 .384 21 .717 126 -2.843 122 .436 124
114 Idaho 1-6 -.186 112 -.118 105 .773 123 4.7 1.8 -.086 69 .665 124 .410 56 .508 45
115 New Mexico State 1-6 -.192 114 -.166 119 .625 110 4.5 2.2 -.272 93 .402 100 -1.715 113 .456 116
116 Georgia State 0-7 -.196 106 -.220 124 .434 88 3.8 2.0 .208 42 .833 128 -1.641 109 .434 126
117 Wyoming 2-5 -.199 108 -.193 122 .153 42 1.7 .5 -.167 79 .447 109 -2.238 120 .457 113
118 Army 2-4 -.201 117 -.120 106 .587 106 2.4 .6 -.394 107 .421 103 -.886 92 .498 61
119 Louisiana Lafayette 3-3 -.205 121 -.107 102 .371 76 4.3 2.7 -.184 83 .505 114 .561 43 .511 40
120 Ohio 3-5 -.210 118 -.139 111 .629 112 3.0 1.1 -.395 108 .487 112 -1.680 111 .482 92
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
121 Southern Mississippi 2-5 -.214 120 -.167 120 .270 61 2.9 .8 -.373 103 .484 111 -.109 72 .447 122
122 Texas State 3-3 -.235 122 -.081 95 .834 126 2.9 1.1 -.455 116 .422 104 -1.055 94 .467 110
123 Louisiana Monroe 3-4 -.236 125 -.112 104 .571 104 3.6 1.4 -.688 126 .039 70 -1.954 118 .468 108
124 Appalachian State 1-4 -.259 124 -.153 115 .783 124 2.8 1.6 -.404 110 .645 120 -6.268 128 .489 79
125 North Texas 1-6 -.261 123 -.209 123 .847 128 2.6 .8 -.563 122 .435 105 .462 51 .456 117
126 Eastern Michigan 1-6 -.276 126 -.274 127 .541 103 1.4 .4 -.764 127 .154 83 -3.128 124 .421 127
127 Troy 1-6 -.301 127 -.265 126 .329 72 2.1 .9 -.454 115 .635 118 -1.251 100 .471 104
128 SMU 0-7 -.336 128 -.459 128 .301 66 .9 .4 -.880 128 .492 113 -.402 77 .416 128