Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

FEI COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS 2014

through results of 9/13/14

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) is a college football rating system based on opponent-adjusted drive efficiency. Nearly 20,000 possessions are contested annually in FBS vs. FBS games. First-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores are filtered out. Game Efficiency (GE) is a function of the starting field position and outcome of non-garbage possessions. Opponent adjustments are calculated with special emphasis placed on quality performances against good teams, win or lose.

Strength of Schedule (SOS) is calculated as the likelihood that an "elite team" (two standard deviations above average) would win every game on the given team's schedule. SOS listed here includes all regular season games scheduled. A multifaceted approach to measuring schedule strength is available here.

Mean Wins (FBS MW) represent the average total games a team with the given FEI rating should expect to win against its complete schedule of FBS opponents. Remaining Mean Wins (FBS RMW) represent the average total games a team with the given FEI rating should expect to win against the remaining opponents on its schedule.

These ratings are partially influenced by preseason projections, a function of Program FEI ratings, previous-year FEI and garbage time data, previous-year turnover-neutral, special teams-neutral, and field position-neutral FEI, returning starters, recruiting success, and quarterback reliance. As the season progresses and actual 2014 data continues to be collected, the weight given to projection data will be reduced each week until Week 7, at which point it will be eliminated from the rankings entirely. Offensive and defensive FEI ratings will also debut in Week 7.

Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
1 Oregon 2-0 .314 1 .321 13 .128 35 9.6 7.8
2 Florida State 1-0 .307 2 .059 48 .172 49 9.7 8.9
3 Missouri 2-0 .255 9 .304 15 .175 50 9.2 7.3
4 Stanford 1-1 .253 4 .210 22 .034 1 7.8 6.2
5 LSU 2-0 .247 7 .213 20 .085 22 8.3 6.6
6 USC 2-1 .243 3 .151 27 .089 25 9.2 7.1
7 Mississippi 3-0 .235 11 .479 2 .113 30 8.4 5.6
8 Alabama 3-0 .231 5 .368 7 .108 28 8.2 5.4
9 Georgia 1-1 .229 6 .083 38 .139 41 8.5 7.3
10 Oklahoma 3-0 .226 8 .440 6 .313 72 10.2 7.3
11 Texas A&M 2-0 .224 12 .333 10 .049 9 7.3 5.8
12 Auburn 2-0 .218 15 .333 11 .035 2 6.8 4.9
13 Notre Dame 3-0 .215 10 .351 8 .048 7 8.4 5.6
14 Michigan State 0-1 .210 14 -.127 95 .132 38 8.6 8.4
15 South Carolina 2-1 .203 18 -.020 66 .110 29 7.6 5.8
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
16 Virginia Tech 1-1 .193 13 .033 54 .212 53 8.3 7.0
17 Ohio State 2-1 .184 20 .202 23 .264 64 9.2 6.9
18 BYU 3-0 .183 16 .213 19 .546 106 9.3 6.8
19 Oklahoma State 1-1 .180 19 .075 41 .082 21 7.4 6.3
20 Wisconsin 0-1 .179 21 -.041 73 .303 71 8.7 8.4
21 Kansas State 1-0 .176 25 .048 49 .148 44 7.6 6.9
22 Clemson 0-1 .174 27 -.173 102 .073 17 7.1 6.9
23 UCLA 3-0 .172 24 .065 44 .073 16 7.5 5.2
24 Baylor 2-0 .171 23 .444 4 .243 58 8.1 6.1
25 Louisville 1-1 .167 22 .047 51 .114 31 7.4 6.0
26 Oregon State 1-0 .161 33 .074 42 .072 14 6.9 6.0
27 Nebraska 2-0 .154 31 .440 5 .235 57 8.2 6.2
28 Arizona State 2-0 .151 17 .176 24 .080 20 6.2 4.3
29 Washington 2-0 .145 26 .134 30 .086 23 7.6 5.8
30 North Carolina 1-0 .145 38 .048 50 .121 33 6.4 5.5
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
31 Mississippi State 3-0 .139 36 .332 12 .086 24 6.8 3.9
32 Pittsburgh 2-0 .133 42 .140 28 .248 60 7.2 5.6
33 Utah 1-0 .127 29 .472 3 .045 5 5.4 4.4
34 Iowa 1-1 .125 30 .006 60 .400 80 7.6 6.0
35 Arizona 3-0 .119 39 .160 26 .070 13 6.9 4.4
36 Miami 1-1 .111 37 .099 34 .075 18 5.2 4.0
37 Duke 2-0 .098 41 .334 9 .270 67 7.0 5.0
38 Cincinnati 1-0 .098 52 .211 21 .412 83 8.8 8.0
39 Florida 2-0 .091 34 .307 14 .044 4 4.6 2.8
40 Northern Illinois 2-0 .090 43 .131 31 .697 120 9.2 7.7
41 Penn State 3-0 .090 40 .094 35 .353 75 7.8 5.7
42 Georgia Tech 2-0 .085 32 .140 29 .120 32 5.2 3.4
43 Boise State 2-1 .085 46 .028 55 .422 86 9.2 7.4
44 Michigan 2-1 .083 35 .160 25 .150 45 6.8 4.7
45 TCU 1-0 .083 44 .243 18 .250 61 6.4 5.5
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
46 East Carolina 1-1 .083 55 -.017 65 .246 59 7.1 6.7
47 Virginia 1-1 .074 57 -.028 69 .048 6 4.1 3.4
48 Iowa State 1-1 .068 59 -.007 64 .185 51 5.3 4.7
49 Boston College 2-1 .067 76 .063 45 .080 19 5.2 3.6
50 Syracuse 1-0 .063 64 .504 1 .123 34 5.0 4.1
51 Navy 2-1 .062 48 .084 37 .431 89 7.8 6.0
52 Indiana 0-1 .051 56 -.029 70 .129 36 5.0 4.4
53 Arkansas 1-1 .050 69 .027 56 .037 3 3.2 2.6
54 Central Florida 0-2 .050 28 -.173 101 .254 63 6.5 6.1
55 Houston 0-2 .049 45 -.169 100 .455 92 7.6 6.8
56 Marshall 2-0 .046 60 .298 16 .845 128 9.7 7.8
57 West Virginia 1-1 .044 50 -.036 72 .142 42 4.3 3.7
58 Maryland 1-1 .037 49 .018 58 .187 52 4.2 2.8
59 Rutgers 1-1 .033 54 .000 63 .143 43 4.1 3.2
60 UTSA 1-2 .032 51 .000 62 .457 93 8.5 7.6
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
61 Northwestern 0-2 .031 62 -.089 84 .220 54 4.8 3.7
62 North Carolina State 3-0 .028 91 .276 17 .129 37 5.3 2.6
63 Texas 1-2 .026 53 -.023 67 .136 40 4.8 3.4
64 Washington State 0-2 .025 63 -.082 83 .049 10 3.0 2.0
65 Nevada 1-1 .019 67 .027 57 .423 87 6.6 5.9
66 California 1-0 .001 66 .080 40 .049 8 2.5 2.2
67 Toledo 0-2 -.001 58 -.247 113 .357 76 6.2 5.9
68 Bowling Green 1-1 -.005 70 -.103 88 .527 104 7.0 6.1
69 Tennessee 2-1 -.010 61 .070 43 .051 11 3.8 2.1
70 Texas Tech 1-1 -.017 47 -.108 90 .165 47 3.7 2.5
71 Western Kentucky 1-2 -.019 73 .037 53 .661 117 7.5 5.8
72 Temple 1-1 -.022 65 .108 33 .506 101 5.1 4.0
73 San Diego State 0-1 -.024 72 -.048 76 .358 77 6.4 6.3
74 Ball State 0-1 -.031 71 -.044 74 .590 108 5.7 5.6
75 Colorado State 1-1 -.035 84 .006 61 .593 110 6.8 5.9
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
76 Minnesota 1-1 -.036 68 -.028 68 .224 56 4.1 3.2
77 Kentucky 1-1 -.037 77 .059 47 .072 15 3.7 2.6
78 Memphis 0-1 -.041 74 -.071 80 .267 65 5.3 5.3
79 Connecticut 0-2 -.063 78 -.196 103 .524 103 4.6 4.2
80 Illinois 1-1 -.063 81 -.078 81 .164 46 3.4 2.9
81 Louisiana Tech 2-1 -.067 95 .129 32 .298 70 5.9 4.5
82 Hawaii 0-2 -.071 79 -.046 75 .613 112 5.9 5.6
83 Utah State 1-1 -.091 83 -.095 87 .457 95 6.0 5.1
84 South Alabama 1-1 -.093 75 -.126 94 .457 94 7.2 6.5
85 Colorado 1-2 -.093 109 -.057 77 .058 12 2.3 1.2
86 Western Michigan 1-1 -.094 98 .062 46 .500 100 5.2 4.0
87 Middle Tennessee 1-1 -.109 92 -.079 82 .626 113 5.1 4.5
88 Tulane 0-2 -.110 87 -.140 97 .401 81 2.6 1.8
89 Akron 0-1 -.121 102 -.234 111 .530 105 5.0 4.9
90 Wake Forest 0-2 -.123 97 -.094 85 .102 26 2.2 1.3
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
91 Central Michigan 1-1 -.126 82 -.063 78 .664 119 5.0 4.4
92 San Jose State 0-1 -.135 103 -.457 125 .438 91 3.6 3.6
93 Buffalo 0-2 -.136 89 -.261 115 .699 121 5.2 4.7
94 UAB 1-1 -.142 101 .044 52 .554 107 4.4 3.6
95 Arkansas State 0-2 -.143 86 -.227 110 .663 118 6.2 6.0
96 Purdue 1-2 -.143 111 -.108 91 .224 55 1.8 .8
97 Georgia Southern 0-2 -.143 117 -.032 71 .591 109 5.8 5.7
98 North Texas 1-2 -.149 85 -.116 92 .655 116 4.6 3.5
99 Army 1-1 -.150 93 -.133 96 .417 85 3.4 2.9
100 Rice 0-2 -.150 94 -.409 123 .271 68 4.3 4.3
101 Air Force 1-1 -.153 107 .083 39 .766 125 4.1 2.8
102 Fresno State 0-3 -.155 96 -.436 124 .251 62 3.1 3.1
103 South Florida 0-2 -.160 80 -.304 117 .429 88 2.2 1.9
104 Kansas 0-1 -.161 88 -.385 120 .133 39 1.2 1.1
105 Florida International 0-1 -.161 104 -.167 99 .596 111 3.3 3.2
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
106 UTEP 2-1 -.163 105 .094 36 .514 102 4.9 3.2
107 SMU 0-2 -.164 114 -.399 122 .297 69 2.3 1.9
108 UNLV 0-2 -.168 112 -.250 114 .370 78 3.0 2.9
109 Tulsa 1-2 -.178 99 -.226 108 .476 98 3.2 2.3
110 Vanderbilt 1-2 -.184 100 -.237 112 .107 27 2.1 1.1
111 Kent State 0-3 -.185 90 -.273 116 .392 79 3.7 2.6
112 Miami (OH) 0-2 -.187 121 -.198 105 .495 99 3.2 3.1
113 New Mexico 0-2 -.201 118 -.213 106 .636 114 3.5 3.0
114 Louisiana Monroe 2-1 -.204 110 -.065 79 .267 66 5.0 4.0
115 Florida Atlantic 1-2 -.206 122 -.197 104 .314 73 3.2 2.6
116 Massachusetts 0-3 -.207 124 -.108 89 .651 115 3.2 2.5
117 Old Dominion 1-1 -.218 120 .013 59 .757 124 3.1 2.3
118 Southern Mississippi 0-2 -.219 119 -.486 126 .336 74 2.6 2.6
119 Idaho 0-2 -.222 115 -.155 98 .832 127 4.6 3.9
120 Texas State 0-1 -.224 113 -.316 118 .825 126 4.1 4.0
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
121 Louisiana Lafayette 0-2 -.224 108 -.516 127 .410 82 4.4 4.1
122 Ohio 1-2 -.225 106 -.225 107 .724 122 2.5 2.1
123 Wyoming 1-1 -.237 116 -.226 109 .165 48 2.2 1.8
124 Troy 0-2 -.255 125 -.347 119 .464 97 3.7 3.5
125 Georgia State 0-2 -.276 123 -.117 93 .433 90 3.2 2.2
126 Eastern Michigan 0-2 -.293 126 -.395 121 .413 84 1.2 .9
127 Appalachian State 0-1 -.301 127 -.800 128 .733 123 2.4 2.3
128 New Mexico State 1-1 -.316 128 -.095 86 .460 96 2.5 2.1