Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

FEI COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS 2014

through results of 10/18/14

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

Game Efficiency (GE) is the composite possession-by-possession efficiency of a team over the course of a game, a measurement of the success of its offensive, defensive, and special teams units’ essential goals: to maximize the team’s own scoring opportunities and to minimize those of its opponent. FEI ratings take the season-long GE data and adjust for opponent, placing special emphasis on quality performance against good teams, win or lose.

Other definitions:

  • SOS: Strength of schedule, based on the likelihood of an elite team going undefeated against the given team's entire schedule.
  • FBS MW: Mean Wins, the average number of games a team with the given FEI rating would be expected to win against its entire schedule.
  • FBS RMW: Remaining Mean Wins, the average number of games a team with the given FEI rating would be expected to win against its remaining schedule.
  • OFEI: Offensive FEI, the opponent-adjusted efficiency of the given team's offense.
  • DFEI: Defensive FEI, the opponent-adjusted efficiency of the given team's defense.
  • STE: Special Teams Efficiency, the scoring value earned by field goal, punt and kickoff units measured in points per average game.
  • FPA: Field Position Advantage, the share of the value of total starting field position earned by each team against its opponents.

Overall ratings and splits for Offense, Defense, Special Teams, and Field Position can be found using the drop-down menus provided above. Other supplemental drive-based data can be found here.

Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
1 Oregon 5-1 .306 1 .199 11 .074 18 9.1 4.2 .761 3 -.368 27 -.518 77 .533 25
2 Georgia 6-1 .262 7 .279 4 .225 53 9.4 3.4 .588 10 -.260 38 2.801 10 .608 1
3 USC 5-2 .260 3 .152 18 .034 5 8.8 3.4 .584 11 -.270 36 -.548 80 .498 62
4 Arizona 5-1 .254 5 .089 28 .031 4 8.7 4.3 .537 14 -.292 33 -.370 74 .548 16
5 TCU 4-1 .253 4 .206 9 .227 54 9.4 5.3 .475 18 -.572 11 2.204 15 .562 9
6 Mississippi 7-0 .249 2 .301 3 .270 64 9.3 3.1 .400 23 -.700 5 1.677 22 .563 8
7 Florida State 6-0 .244 12 .163 16 .229 55 9.1 4.0 .577 12 -.463 20 .547 48 .487 79
8 Utah 4-1 .241 10 .126 23 .040 7 7.5 3.5 -.180 83 -.668 8 4.222 1 .572 4
9 UCLA 5-2 .239 14 .046 46 .040 6 8.2 3.5 .797 2 -.211 43 .195 63 .495 67
10 Oklahoma 5-2 .229 11 .195 12 .183 47 9.8 4.4 .664 6 -.273 35 2.818 9 .543 20
11 Auburn 5-1 .228 13 .192 13 .053 10 7.8 3.0 .515 16 -.373 26 1.400 25 .542 21
12 Clemson 4-2 .224 20 .074 30 .094 22 8.3 4.4 .335 27 -.679 6 -1.118 96 .509 45
13 Ohio State 5-1 .213 25 .309 2 .291 72 10.1 5.0 .447 20 -.352 28 2.888 8 .598 2
14 Alabama 6-1 .213 15 .262 5 .157 43 8.3 2.6 .402 22 -.586 10 -1.338 98 .472 96
15 Virginia Tech 3-3 .209 19 .058 37 .128 34 8.0 3.8 -.222 88 -.846 1 1.690 21 .508 47
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
16 Arizona State 4-1 .208 24 .056 39 .056 11 6.9 3.6 .650 7 -.295 32 .677 43 .484 85
17 Baylor 5-1 .202 8 .204 10 .188 50 8.4 3.8 .330 28 -.446 21 .453 52 .551 15
18 Mississippi State 6-0 .201 6 .245 7 .186 48 8.7 3.5 .265 33 -.564 12 .213 61 .535 22
19 Kansas State 4-1 .200 42 .173 14 .086 20 7.7 4.1 .269 32 -.532 15 .553 47 .545 18
20 Nebraska 5-1 .196 26 .245 6 .375 80 9.2 4.2 .206 39 -.481 18 2.140 16 .563 7
21 Notre Dame 6-1 .182 17 .168 15 .102 26 8.5 3.0 .256 34 -.463 19 1.088 28 .519 38
22 Georgia Tech 4-2 .177 16 .057 38 .096 24 7.0 2.7 1.066 1 .401 100 2.106 17 .526 30
23 Colorado State 5-1 .176 18 .066 33 .362 79 9.0 4.7 .445 21 -.057 65 1.786 19 .496 65
24 Duke 5-1 .170 28 .157 17 .237 58 8.2 3.6 .055 57 -.676 7 2.948 6 .558 11
25 Michigan State 5-1 .168 32 .210 8 .132 36 7.8 3.5 .152 45 -.425 23 .399 56 .547 17
26 Marshall 6-0 .162 29 .405 1 .845 128 10.4 4.7 .250 35 -.253 39 1.934 18 .557 12
27 Boston College 3-3 .160 23 .052 42 .094 23 6.7 3.0 .218 36 -.432 22 -.316 73 .505 52
28 Stanford 3-3 .156 9 .064 34 .022 2 5.3 2.0 -.174 82 -.750 3 -.726 85 .527 27
29 Louisville 5-2 .154 21 .113 24 .121 32 7.1 2.1 -.118 73 -.832 2 .511 50 .468 104
30 Pittsburgh 3-3 .152 36 .024 53 .179 46 7.0 3.2 .536 15 -.001 71 .941 34 .526 31
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
31 East Carolina 4-1 .147 37 .140 20 .434 93 9.1 5.5 .616 8 -.031 67 -2.226 114 .478 90
32 West Virginia 4-2 .141 56 .031 50 .136 39 6.3 2.9 .449 19 -.172 47 .126 65 .472 97
33 Nevada 3-3 .138 39 .021 56 .265 61 7.9 4.4 .286 31 .034 72 .898 36 .527 28
34 Missouri 4-2 .137 41 .107 25 .386 81 8.3 4.2 -.355 106 -.710 4 2.923 7 .535 23
35 Virginia 3-3 .135 30 .023 55 .059 12 5.4 2.2 .208 37 -.550 13 .258 60 .500 58
36 Iowa 4-2 .114 50 .052 43 .350 75 7.5 3.4 -.041 69 -.489 17 -.882 88 .488 76
37 Washington State 1-5 .104 34 -.068 87 .030 3 4.1 1.8 .675 5 .330 94 -4.887 126 .446 122
38 Maryland 4-2 .101 58 .046 47 .353 76 6.8 3.1 .087 53 -.285 34 3.467 2 .496 64
39 BYU 4-3 .099 40 .051 44 .422 90 7.3 2.7 .500 17 -.018 69 2.283 14 .508 48
40 California 3-3 .096 31 -.030 74 .043 8 4.5 1.7 .182 41 -.171 48 1.183 26 .492 69
41 Miami 3-3 .092 52 .059 36 .067 15 4.6 1.8 .553 13 -.080 62 -.027 70 .487 80
42 Tennessee 2-4 .089 33 -.009 69 .076 19 5.7 3.1 -.129 75 -.538 14 .499 51 .505 51
43 Oregon State 3-2 .088 46 .024 54 .068 16 4.8 2.2 .040 60 -.102 58 -.008 67 .471 99
44 South Carolina 3-3 .087 38 .020 57 .144 41 6.2 2.5 .739 4 .329 93 -.450 76 .464 107
45 Washington 4-2 .087 22 .095 27 .049 9 5.7 2.2 -.182 84 -.197 45 .836 38 .571 5
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
46 Memphis 2-3 .086 54 .060 35 .254 60 8.2 5.5 -.133 77 -.136 52 2.964 5 .592 3
47 Boise State 5-2 .082 44 .047 45 .290 71 7.9 3.7 .072 55 -.265 37 -1.573 101 .492 70
48 Penn State 4-2 .066 35 .089 29 .464 95 7.7 3.4 -.265 94 -.636 9 -1.346 99 .469 101
49 Utah State 3-3 .062 55 .008 61 .328 73 7.8 4.7 -.135 78 -.499 16 -2.254 115 .501 57
50 LSU 5-2 .057 53 .134 21 .191 51 6.1 1.6 .074 54 -.162 49 3.143 4 .554 14
51 Minnesota 5-1 .056 49 .073 32 .186 49 6.0 2.1 -.026 68 -.297 31 2.378 13 .559 10
52 Oklahoma State 4-2 .044 45 .042 49 .059 13 4.5 1.4 -.019 67 -.131 53 3.357 3 .519 37
53 North Carolina 2-4 .043 76 -.103 99 .063 14 3.5 1.8 .344 26 .218 85 -1.737 107 .499 59
54 Northwestern 2-4 .036 51 -.033 77 .265 62 5.4 2.5 .151 46 -.091 60 -1.914 112 .506 50
55 Central Florida 3-2 .035 57 -.008 67 .390 84 6.9 4.6 .053 58 -.185 46 .693 41 .501 56
56 Arkansas 2-4 .027 48 -.003 65 .087 21 4.3 1.7 .101 50 -.142 50 -2.738 119 .489 73
57 Houston 3-3 .025 67 .026 51 .586 111 7.8 4.3 -.469 114 -.385 25 -.953 94 .489 75
58 Wisconsin 3-2 .024 60 .151 19 .415 86 5.9 2.4 -.004 64 -.219 41 -1.671 103 .476 93
59 Iowa State 2-4 .020 68 -.097 98 .134 38 4.2 2.0 .358 25 .233 86 .513 49 .484 83
60 Georgia Southern 4-2 .010 65 .130 22 .566 107 8.4 4.2 .154 44 .214 83 -.049 71 .544 19
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
61 Western Michigan 3-3 .005 69 .015 60 .518 100 7.8 4.2 -.063 70 -.116 55 -2.381 117 .453 118
62 Air Force 4-2 .000 62 .043 48 .534 101 6.4 2.7 -.222 87 -.310 30 1.427 24 .521 34
63 Arkansas State 3-2 -.008 74 .054 41 .582 110 7.9 5.4 .034 61 -.012 70 -1.787 108 .518 39
64 Syracuse 2-4 -.010 78 -.055 84 .107 28 3.3 1.1 -.008 65 .135 79 -.681 83 .535 24
65 UTSA 2-5 -.010 71 -.030 73 .483 98 7.6 4.1 -.227 89 -.035 66 1.779 20 .504 53
66 Rutgers 4-2 -.011 27 -.033 76 .149 42 3.9 1.5 .207 38 .068 75 1.166 27 .461 111
67 Michigan 3-4 -.017 66 .007 62 .139 40 4.5 1.4 -.126 74 -.207 44 -.591 82 .484 84
68 Florida 3-3 -.018 47 -.001 64 .121 31 3.8 1.2 -.198 85 -.140 51 .319 59 .520 35
69 Colorado 2-5 -.019 59 -.075 91 .019 1 2.7 .5 .143 48 .314 90 -.885 89 .477 91
70 Navy 2-4 -.019 61 -.014 71 .428 92 6.0 3.0 .315 30 .252 88 -1.892 111 .446 123
71 Western Kentucky 2-4 -.022 63 .018 59 .578 109 8.0 4.0 .369 24 .574 116 -1.734 106 .514 41
72 Purdue 2-5 -.026 81 -.075 90 .283 67 4.0 1.4 .095 52 .194 82 .951 33 .507 49
73 Toledo 3-3 -.028 79 -.040 78 .678 115 7.0 4.2 .594 9 .699 125 .205 62 .510 44
74 Texas 3-4 -.029 77 -.030 75 .108 29 3.6 1.1 -.244 90 -.391 24 -2.680 118 .467 105
75 San Diego State 3-3 -.050 87 .003 63 .419 87 5.2 2.3 -.294 100 .141 80 .832 39 .498 61
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
76 Hawaii 1-5 -.051 75 -.054 82 .440 94 5.4 2.6 -.492 116 -.086 61 1.566 23 .530 26
77 Indiana 2-4 -.051 80 -.073 89 .230 56 3.7 1.4 .181 42 .615 119 1.022 31 .521 33
78 UAB 3-3 -.053 72 .024 52 .421 89 6.0 2.5 -.154 79 .047 73 1.011 32 .481 87
79 North Carolina State 3-4 -.055 83 -.056 85 .165 44 3.7 1.4 .031 62 .159 81 .451 53 .498 63
80 Temple 3-2 -.061 73 .074 31 .535 102 4.9 2.0 -.255 93 .319 91 -.438 75 .527 29
81 Florida International 2-4 -.062 70 -.070 88 .540 103 5.0 3.1 -.445 112 -.323 29 -1.614 102 .480 89
82 Akron 3-3 -.066 82 -.025 72 .465 96 6.3 3.5 -.446 113 -.059 64 2.618 12 .555 13
83 Ball State 1-4 -.069 85 -.077 92 .676 114 5.7 3.7 -.174 81 .427 104 1.050 30 .523 32
84 Texas A&M 4-3 -.070 43 -.046 79 .098 25 3.5 1.4 .116 49 .336 95 .120 66 .470 100
85 Louisiana Tech 4-2 -.070 90 .096 26 .287 69 6.1 3.1 -.352 105 -.079 63 -.528 79 .571 6
86 Texas Tech 2-4 -.076 86 -.066 86 .115 30 2.8 .7 .326 29 .444 107 .729 40 .469 102
87 New Mexico 2-5 -.082 99 -.078 94 .354 77 5.1 1.9 .061 56 .374 97 -.770 86 .476 92
88 Central Michigan 3-4 -.093 100 -.008 68 .819 126 5.8 2.6 -.280 98 .082 76 -1.688 104 .457 115
89 Kentucky 4-2 -.095 64 .055 40 .176 45 3.3 .2 -.305 101 -.107 57 -.952 93 .514 40
90 Illinois 2-4 -.096 84 -.095 97 .213 52 2.7 .8 -.083 71 .459 108 .692 42 .495 66
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
91 Tulane 1-5 -.100 89 -.136 109 .289 70 3.2 1.4 -.247 92 -.092 59 -5.531 127 .452 119
92 Kansas 1-5 -.101 94 -.143 111 .071 17 2.0 .4 -.515 119 -.214 42 -4.529 125 .494 68
93 Cincinnati 3-3 -.103 97 -.051 81 .356 78 4.6 2.4 .050 59 .417 102 .336 58 .471 98
94 Middle Tennessee 4-3 -.109 96 -.055 83 .427 91 4.4 1.9 -.309 103 .092 77 .932 35 .490 72
95 Fresno State 2-5 -.109 103 -.165 117 .125 33 3.3 1.8 -.270 96 .215 84 -1.056 95 .457 114
96 San Jose State 2-3 -.113 95 -.078 95 .285 68 3.0 1.4 -.497 118 -.108 56 -3.246 124 .425 126
97 Connecticut 0-5 -.131 98 -.173 119 .473 97 4.0 2.4 -.705 125 -.120 54 .673 44 .458 113
98 Wake Forest 1-5 -.131 88 -.146 112 .106 27 2.3 .3 -.730 126 -.220 40 2.741 11 .463 109
99 Miami (OH) 1-6 -.135 91 -.125 107 .706 119 4.5 2.1 -.132 76 .397 99 -.813 87 .475 95
100 South Alabama 4-2 -.140 92 .019 58 .540 104 5.7 2.9 -.697 124 -.020 68 .428 54 .513 42
101 Northern Illinois 4-2 -.143 102 -.006 66 .689 118 4.5 2.1 .099 51 .679 122 .377 57 .469 103
102 Rice 3-3 -.153 93 -.014 70 .398 85 4.9 2.3 .162 43 .747 127 -1.435 100 .502 55
103 Massachusetts 2-6 -.155 101 -.049 80 .621 113 4.8 1.4 -.010 66 .533 115 -1.891 110 .487 78
104 Florida Atlantic 3-4 -.163 109 -.091 96 .234 57 3.8 2.0 -.290 99 .369 96 .882 37 .511 43
105 Tulsa 1-6 -.171 104 -.151 113 .274 65 3.5 1.1 -.221 86 .463 109 -.526 78 .485 81
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
106 Georgia State 0-6 -.176 112 -.186 122 .421 88 4.4 2.3 .149 47 .669 121 -.949 92 .426 125
107 Buffalo 1-4 -.189 108 -.116 101 .683 116 4.2 2.1 .000 63 .707 126 -1.843 109 .488 77
108 Wyoming 2-4 -.190 113 -.158 115 .133 37 1.8 .6 -.266 95 .377 98 -2.046 113 .464 108
109 Kent State 1-6 -.194 111 -.162 116 .389 83 4.2 1.6 -.493 117 .251 87 -.691 84 .484 82
110 South Florida 2-4 -.194 114 -.142 110 .542 105 2.3 1.2 -.332 104 .413 101 -.576 81 .482 86
111 UNLV 1-5 -.196 115 -.203 123 .266 63 1.9 .7 -.164 80 .822 128 .617 45 .520 36
112 Idaho 1-6 -.197 107 -.118 102 .800 124 4.7 1.7 -.103 72 .697 124 .410 55 .508 46
113 Bowling Green 4-3 -.201 117 -.078 93 .762 122 2.9 1.1 -.434 109 .463 110 .595 46 .491 71
114 New Mexico State 1-6 -.206 118 -.166 118 .728 121 4.6 2.2 -.270 97 .443 106 -1.715 105 .456 116
115 Old Dominion 2-4 -.214 116 -.121 104 .711 120 3.3 1.3 .199 40 .683 123 -2.749 120 .453 117
116 Vanderbilt 1-5 -.216 110 -.239 125 .132 35 1.7 .8 -.691 123 .279 89 1.078 29 .504 54
117 Army 2-4 -.217 106 -.120 103 .603 112 2.3 .6 -.435 110 .437 105 -.886 90 .498 60
118 Ohio 3-4 -.229 119 -.123 106 .574 108 2.9 1.1 -.483 115 .505 113 -.943 91 .480 88
119 UTEP 3-3 -.240 122 -.127 108 .507 99 3.3 1.8 -.309 102 .320 92 -2.826 121 .450 120
120 Southern Mississippi 2-4 -.242 120 -.174 120 .276 66 2.5 .8 -.438 111 .530 114 -.011 68 .439 124
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
121 Louisiana Lafayette 2-3 -.243 126 -.178 121 .388 82 3.6 2.5 -.247 91 .575 117 -.017 69 .475 94
122 Texas State 2-3 -.248 105 -.104 100 .840 127 2.9 1.4 -.572 121 .419 103 -1.120 97 .466 106
123 North Texas 1-5 -.266 123 -.207 124 .811 125 2.6 1.0 -.543 120 .474 111 .167 64 .449 121
124 Appalachian State 1-4 -.266 125 -.153 114 .771 123 3.0 1.7 -.406 107 .649 120 -6.268 128 .489 74
125 Louisiana Monroe 3-3 -.274 121 -.122 105 .684 117 3.2 1.7 -.690 122 .047 74 -2.979 123 .462 110
126 Eastern Michigan 1-5 -.305 127 -.293 127 .551 106 1.2 .5 -.880 127 .094 78 -2.841 122 .410 128
127 Troy 1-5 -.316 124 -.264 126 .344 74 2.0 .9 -.412 108 .607 118 -2.375 116 .459 112
128 SMU 0-6 -.331 128 -.443 128 .238 59 1.0 .5 -.940 128 .482 112 -.056 72 .412 127