Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

FEI COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS 2014

through results of 9/20/14

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) is a college football rating system based on opponent-adjusted drive efficiency. Nearly 20,000 possessions are contested annually in FBS vs. FBS games. First-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores are filtered out. Game Efficiency (GE) is a function of the starting field position and outcome of non-garbage possessions. Opponent adjustments are calculated with special emphasis placed on quality performances against good teams, win or lose.

Strength of Schedule (SOS) is calculated as the likelihood that an "elite team" (two standard deviations above average) would win every game on the given team's schedule. SOS listed here includes all regular season games scheduled. A multifaceted approach to measuring schedule strength is available here.

Mean Wins (FBS MW) represent the average total games a team with the given FEI rating should expect to win against its complete schedule of FBS opponents. Remaining Mean Wins (FBS RMW) represent the average total games a team with the given FEI rating should expect to win against the remaining opponents on its schedule.

These ratings are partially influenced by preseason projections, a function of Program FEI ratings, previous-year FEI and garbage time data, previous-year turnover-neutral, special teams-neutral, and field position-neutral FEI, returning starters, recruiting success, and quarterback reliance. As the season progresses and actual 2014 data continues to be collected, the weight given to projection data will be reduced each week until Week 7, at which point it will be eliminated from the rankings entirely. Offensive and defensive FEI ratings will also debut in Week 7.

Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
1 Florida State 2-0 .314 2 .059 53 .171 50 9.8 8.2
2 Oregon 3-0 .298 1 .237 16 .100 33 9.2 6.5
3 Auburn 3-0 .267 12 .249 14 .031 2 7.9 5.3
4 Texas A&M 3-0 .259 11 .423 3 .042 6 8.0 5.4
5 USC 2-1 .256 6 .151 28 .060 14 9.1 6.9
6 Stanford 1-1 .248 4 .210 20 .030 1 7.5 6.0
7 Alabama 4-0 .241 8 .318 9 .079 24 8.1 4.3
8 Oklahoma 4-0 .236 10 .363 6 .226 59 10.0 6.3
9 LSU 2-1 .229 5 .111 34 .051 10 7.5 5.2
10 UCLA 3-0 .219 23 .065 48 .064 16 8.2 5.8
11 Mississippi 3-0 .215 7 .479 1 .073 21 7.6 4.8
12 Utah 2-0 .209 33 .315 10 .042 5 7.0 5.2
13 Georgia 2-1 .206 9 .299 11 .135 43 8.1 6.0
14 Notre Dame 3-0 .204 13 .351 7 .050 9 8.4 5.6
15 Oklahoma State 1-1 .202 19 .075 44 .061 15 7.5 6.3
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
16 Missouri 2-1 .194 3 .174 25 .157 48 8.0 5.6
17 Baylor 2-0 .193 24 .444 2 .181 52 8.1 6.1
18 Mississippi State 4-0 .190 31 .255 13 .070 18 7.3 4.1
19 Ohio State 2-1 .189 17 .202 21 .254 66 9.3 6.8
20 Wisconsin 1-1 .189 20 .225 17 .268 67 8.7 7.4
21 Clemson 0-2 .184 22 -.115 92 .078 23 7.5 7.0
22 Kansas State 1-1 .182 21 -.013 70 .091 28 7.1 6.1
23 South Carolina 3-1 .182 15 .061 51 .097 31 7.3 4.7
24 Arizona State 2-0 .174 28 .176 24 .072 20 6.5 4.6
25 Michigan State 1-1 .171 14 .220 18 .107 35 7.6 6.4
26 Virginia Tech 1-2 .169 16 .013 64 .234 61 7.9 6.1
27 BYU 4-0 .163 18 .182 23 .512 101 9.0 5.8
28 Louisville 2-1 .161 25 .139 30 .109 37 7.3 4.9
29 Nebraska 3-0 .157 27 .388 4 .244 64 8.2 5.5
30 Oregon State 2-0 .153 26 .169 26 .070 17 6.6 4.7
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
31 Iowa 2-1 .151 34 .023 61 .314 74 7.9 5.8
32 Indiana 1-1 .134 52 .005 66 .146 46 6.7 5.6
33 Pittsburgh 2-1 .131 32 .091 40 .292 71 7.3 5.2
34 Georgia Tech 3-0 .131 42 .102 36 .163 49 6.6 4.4
35 TCU 1-0 .117 45 .243 15 .192 54 6.7 5.8
36 Arizona 4-0 .113 35 .117 33 .053 12 6.5 3.3
37 East Carolina 2-1 .113 46 .098 38 .340 76 8.0 6.8
38 Arkansas 2-1 .110 53 .158 27 .033 3 4.5 2.9
39 Duke 3-0 .107 37 .325 8 .307 73 7.4 4.5
40 Maryland 2-1 .103 58 .072 45 .154 47 5.5 3.3
41 Penn State 4-0 .102 41 .213 19 .289 70 7.7 4.7
42 Iowa State 1-1 .098 48 -.007 69 .131 42 5.5 4.9
43 Washington 3-0 .092 29 .197 22 .082 26 6.3 3.6
44 Virginia 1-2 .090 47 -.047 76 .048 7 4.6 3.7
45 Rutgers 2-1 .086 59 .028 59 .124 41 5.0 3.4
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
46 Miami 1-2 .085 36 -.004 68 .080 25 4.8 3.4
47 Boston College 2-1 .082 49 .063 49 .075 22 5.4 3.8
48 West Virginia 1-2 .077 57 -.086 83 .091 27 4.4 3.7
49 Florida 2-1 .069 39 .129 32 .056 13 4.6 2.7
50 Boise State 3-1 .069 43 .082 42 .458 90 9.1 6.4
51 Michigan 2-2 .066 44 .055 54 .119 40 5.8 3.4
52 Marshall 3-0 .063 56 .366 5 .843 127 10.0 7.3
53 North Carolina State 3-0 .060 62 .276 12 .146 45 5.9 3.2
54 Texas 1-2 .055 63 -.023 73 .098 32 4.9 3.4
55 Cincinnati 2-0 .050 38 .146 29 .419 80 7.9 6.2
56 Washington State 0-3 .050 64 -.083 81 .041 4 3.2 2.2
57 Central Florida 0-2 .048 54 -.173 107 .317 75 6.7 6.2
58 Navy 2-2 .046 51 .039 57 .419 81 7.4 5.3
59 Syracuse 1-1 .046 50 .082 43 .108 36 4.3 3.0
60 California 1-1 .040 66 .014 63 .053 11 3.4 2.6
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
61 Nevada 1-1 .033 65 .027 60 .457 89 7.0 6.2
62 North Carolina 1-1 .032 30 -.143 98 .112 38 3.5 2.4
63 UTSA 1-2 .020 60 .000 67 .460 92 8.4 7.5
64 Houston 1-2 .014 55 -.022 72 .508 99 7.0 5.3
65 Northwestern 0-2 .013 61 -.089 84 .215 58 4.6 3.5
66 Texas Tech 1-1 .005 70 -.108 88 .112 39 3.5 2.5
67 Toledo 1-2 -.001 67 -.112 90 .499 97 6.9 5.7
68 Memphis 1-1 -.004 78 .101 37 .273 68 6.2 5.3
69 Colorado State 1-1 -.012 75 .006 65 .584 108 7.2 6.3
70 Temple 1-1 -.016 72 .108 35 .530 106 5.3 4.1
71 Northern Illinois 2-1 -.021 40 -.027 75 .645 116 7.3 6.1
72 Minnesota 2-1 -.034 76 .048 55 .199 56 4.3 2.5
73 Western Kentucky 1-2 -.037 71 .037 58 .664 118 7.2 5.3
74 Tennessee 2-1 -.038 69 .070 47 .070 19 3.7 2.1
75 Louisiana Tech 2-1 -.046 81 .129 31 .232 60 6.3 4.8
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
76 Georgia Southern 1-2 -.059 97 .071 46 .524 105 7.2 6.3
77 Bowling Green 1-2 -.060 68 -.243 114 .479 94 6.0 5.5
78 San Diego State 0-2 -.064 73 -.170 106 .460 91 6.0 5.7
79 Ball State 0-2 -.067 74 -.146 99 .603 110 5.7 5.4
80 Connecticut 0-3 -.072 79 -.151 101 .522 104 4.5 3.5
81 Kentucky 1-1 -.082 77 .059 52 .105 34 3.2 2.2
82 Hawaii 0-3 -.085 82 -.060 78 .662 117 5.8 5.1
83 Colorado 2-2 -.086 85 -.016 71 .049 8 2.4 .6
84 Illinois 2-1 -.099 80 -.024 74 .171 51 2.9 1.6
85 Western Michigan 1-1 -.100 86 .062 50 .588 109 5.5 4.3
86 Utah State 1-2 -.104 83 -.084 82 .500 98 5.9 4.5
87 Tulane 0-3 -.111 88 -.197 110 .352 77 2.4 1.8
88 Wake Forest 1-2 -.117 90 -.058 77 .094 29 2.3 .6
89 North Texas 1-2 -.132 98 -.116 93 .542 107 5.0 3.8
90 UAB 1-1 -.132 94 .044 56 .435 82 4.7 3.7
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
91 Kansas 1-1 -.137 104 -.101 86 .095 30 1.3 .6
92 Middle Tennessee 1-2 -.138 87 -.146 100 .609 112 4.3 3.7
93 Buffalo 0-2 -.139 93 -.261 116 .696 119 5.5 5.0
94 UTEP 2-1 -.141 106 .094 39 .521 103 5.4 3.7
95 Arkansas State 1-2 -.143 95 -.114 91 .717 120 6.3 5.6
96 Army 1-2 -.145 99 -.103 87 .441 83 3.7 2.8
97 Purdue 1-2 -.148 96 -.108 89 .198 55 1.9 .8
98 Fresno State 0-3 -.149 102 -.436 125 .192 53 3.5 3.5
99 South Alabama 1-2 -.149 84 -.170 105 .449 86 5.9 4.9
100 Miami (OH) 0-3 -.150 112 -.162 104 .639 115 4.5 4.2
101 Tulsa 1-2 -.151 109 -.226 112 .442 84 3.7 2.7
102 South Florida 1-2 -.153 103 -.196 109 .401 79 2.3 1.6
103 Air Force 1-1 -.155 101 .083 41 .797 125 4.2 2.9
104 Central Michigan 1-2 -.156 91 -.100 85 .785 124 4.4 3.5
105 San Jose State 0-2 -.159 92 -.341 122 .367 78 3.2 3.0
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
106 Florida International 0-2 -.170 105 -.245 115 .607 111 3.0 2.9
107 Rice 0-3 -.171 100 -.276 119 .237 62 3.7 3.1
108 Florida Atlantic 1-3 -.176 115 -.138 97 .293 72 3.6 2.5
109 Old Dominion 2-1 -.177 117 .022 62 .728 121 4.0 2.7
110 Akron 0-2 -.184 89 -.372 123 .521 102 3.9 3.8
111 Texas State 0-2 -.188 120 -.160 103 .833 126 4.8 4.5
112 UNLV 0-3 -.188 108 -.266 117 .443 85 3.0 2.7
113 Kent State 0-3 -.188 111 -.273 118 .453 88 4.0 2.8
114 Vanderbilt 1-3 -.194 110 -.243 113 .139 44 2.0 1.1
115 Louisiana Monroe 2-1 -.209 114 -.065 79 .249 65 4.7 3.7
116 Idaho 0-3 -.211 119 -.153 102 .847 128 4.8 3.5
117 SMU 0-3 -.216 107 -.455 126 .242 63 1.4 1.2
118 New Mexico 1-2 -.224 113 -.133 96 .618 113 3.0 2.1
119 Ohio 2-2 -.239 122 -.122 94 .747 122 2.6 1.7
120 Wyoming 2-1 -.240 123 -.127 95 .208 57 2.2 1.4
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
121 Louisiana Lafayette 0-3 -.244 121 -.429 124 .452 87 3.9 3.7
122 Massachusetts 0-4 -.247 116 -.225 111 .631 114 2.7 2.2
123 Appalachian State 0-2 -.253 127 -.300 121 .755 123 3.6 3.2
124 Southern Mississippi 1-2 -.254 118 -.290 120 .283 69 2.0 1.4
125 New Mexico State 1-2 -.275 128 -.077 80 .493 95 3.4 2.4
126 Georgia State 0-3 -.280 125 -.185 108 .475 93 3.0 2.1
127 Eastern Michigan 0-3 -.305 126 -.464 127 .511 100 1.3 1.1
128 Troy 0-3 -.336 124 -.533 128 .495 96 2.1 2.0