Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

FEI COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS 2014

through results of 9/27/14

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) is a college football rating system based on opponent-adjusted drive efficiency. Nearly 20,000 possessions are contested annually in FBS vs. FBS games. First-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores are filtered out. Game Efficiency (GE) is a function of the starting field position and outcome of non-garbage possessions. Opponent adjustments are calculated with special emphasis placed on quality performances against good teams, win or lose.

Strength of Schedule (SOS) is calculated as the likelihood that an "elite team" (two standard deviations above average) would win every game on the given team's schedule. SOS listed here includes all regular season games scheduled. A multifaceted approach to measuring schedule strength is available here.

Mean Wins (FBS MW) represent the average total games a team with the given FEI rating should expect to win against its complete schedule of FBS opponents. Remaining Mean Wins (FBS RMW) represent the average total games a team with the given FEI rating should expect to win against the remaining opponents on its schedule.

These ratings are partially influenced by preseason projections, a function of Program FEI ratings, previous-year FEI and garbage time data, previous-year turnover-neutral, special teams-neutral, and field position-neutral FEI, returning starters, recruiting success, and quarterback reliance. As the season progresses and actual 2014 data continues to be collected, the weight given to projection data will be reduced each week until Week 7, at which point it will be eliminated from the rankings entirely. Offensive and defensive FEI ratings will also debut in Week 7.

Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
1 Oregon 3-0 0.311 2 0.237 14 0.108 31 9.5 6.7
2 Florida State 3-0 0.297 1 0.088 38 0.192 50 9.7 7.2
3 Auburn 4-0 0.271 3 0.266 11 0.033 2 8.0 4.4
4 Alabama 4-0 0.263 7 0.318 7 0.070 17 8.4 4.6
5 Texas A&M 4-0 0.259 4 0.299 9 0.038 3 7.9 4.5
6 Stanford 2-1 0.256 6 0.152 24 0.040 4 8.0 5.6
7 Oklahoma 4-0 0.246 8 0.363 5 0.236 59 10.2 6.5
8 USC 3-1 0.240 5 0.171 22 0.073 18 9.0 6.0
9 UCLA 4-0 0.237 10 0.129 26 0.089 25 9.0 5.6
10 Missouri 3-1 0.216 16 0.128 29 0.170 46 8.5 5.2
11 Mississippi 4-0 0.214 11 0.375 3 0.069 16 7.6 3.8
12 Mississippi State 4-0 0.208 18 0.255 12 0.065 14 7.6 4.2
13 LSU 3-1 0.202 9 0.200 17 0.042 5 6.8 3.7
14 Georgia 3-1 0.200 13 0.214 16 0.130 40 7.9 4.8
15 Notre Dame 4-0 0.194 14 0.306 8 0.083 21 8.6 5.0
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
16 Baylor 3-0 0.193 17 0.395 2 0.194 51 8.3 5.5
17 Ohio State 3-1 0.188 19 0.225 15 0.265 66 9.4 6.0
18 BYU 4-0 0.183 27 0.182 21 0.525 101 9.3 5.9
19 Clemson 1-2 0.179 21 -0.027 71 0.104 28 7.6 6.2
20 TCU 2-0 0.179 35 0.404 1 0.212 54 8.0 6.2
21 Oklahoma State 2-1 0.174 15 0.082 40 0.063 11 6.9 4.9
22 Wisconsin 2-1 0.174 20 0.240 13 0.277 69 8.4 6.0
23 Michigan State 2-1 0.160 25 0.282 10 0.112 33 7.6 5.5
24 Utah 2-1 0.158 12 0.189 19 0.057 8 6.3 3.9
25 Nebraska 4-0 0.155 29 0.361 6 0.265 67 8.2 4.5
26 Kansas State 2-1 0.151 22 0.192 18 0.084 22 6.6 4.6
27 Maryland 3-1 0.144 40 0.128 28 0.239 60 7.1 4.1
28 Virginia Tech 2-2 0.144 26 0.056 46 0.304 71 7.6 5.1
29 Louisville 3-1 0.144 28 0.128 30 0.128 36 7.0 3.8
30 South Carolina 3-2 0.143 23 0.042 50 0.090 26 6.5 3.7
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
31 Arkansas 2-2 0.133 38 0.082 41 0.029 1 4.8 2.9
32 Georgia Tech 3-0 0.127 34 0.102 35 0.219 56 6.9 4.7
33 Arizona 4-0 0.125 36 0.117 34 0.057 7 6.9 3.8
34 Marshall 3-0 0.109 52 0.366 4 0.841 128 10.1 7.4
35 East Carolina 2-1 0.108 37 0.098 37 0.395 83 8.2 6.7
36 Washington State 1-3 0.103 56 -0.055 78 0.064 12 4.9 3.3
37 Miami 2-2 0.098 46 0.033 55 0.117 34 5.7 3.5
38 Rutgers 3-1 0.098 45 0.078 42 0.128 37 5.5 2.9
39 Washington 3-1 0.094 43 0.126 31 0.077 19 6.6 3.7
40 Oregon State 2-1 0.092 30 0.044 48 0.082 20 5.6 3.8
41 West Virginia 1-2 0.092 48 -0.086 86 0.086 24 4.7 4.1
42 Florida 2-1 0.090 49 0.129 27 0.060 9 4.9 2.9
43 Northwestern 1-2 0.082 65 0.008 62 0.254 65 6.2 4.4
44 Penn State 4-1 0.081 41 0.119 33 0.332 73 7.2 3.8
45 Iowa 3-1 0.081 31 0.061 45 0.346 74 6.6 3.6
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
46 Virginia 2-2 0.080 44 0.036 52 0.065 13 4.8 3.0
47 Boston College 2-2 0.075 47 0.041 51 0.109 32 5.5 2.9
48 Duke 3-1 0.072 39 0.186 20 0.377 79 7.1 3.8
49 Central Florida 0-2 0.068 57 -0.173 109 0.288 70 7.0 6.5
50 North Carolina State 3-1 0.062 53 0.131 25 0.177 47 6.0 3.3
51 Nevada 2-1 0.058 61 0.065 44 0.410 86 7.2 5.7
52 Minnesota 3-1 0.055 72 0.083 39 0.202 52 5.8 3.3
53 California 2-1 0.054 60 0.018 57 0.043 6 3.3 1.8
54 Pittsburgh 2-2 0.052 33 0.036 53 0.359 77 5.5 3.0
55 Texas 2-2 0.044 54 0.029 56 0.097 27 4.7 2.6
56 Syracuse 1-2 0.042 59 -0.017 67 0.146 43 4.4 3.0
57 Navy 2-3 0.039 58 0.005 63 0.409 85 6.7 4.2
58 Houston 1-2 0.039 64 -0.022 69 0.462 90 7.4 5.7
59 Iowa State 1-2 0.037 42 -0.122 96 0.147 44 4.3 3.4
60 Cincinnati 2-1 0.034 55 0.008 61 0.392 82 7.5 5.8
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
61 Arizona State 2-1 0.032 24 0.015 60 0.085 23 3.6 1.8
62 UTSA 1-3 0.032 63 -0.010 66 0.448 88 8.4 6.7
63 Memphis 1-2 0.032 68 0.018 58 0.251 64 7.0 6.0
64 Indiana 1-2 0.029 32 -0.090 88 0.166 45 4.8 3.6
65 Tennessee 2-2 0.022 74 0.043 49 0.066 15 4.4 2.6
66 Western Kentucky 2-2 0.022 73 0.053 47 0.612 109 8.5 6.0
67 Michigan 2-3 0.019 51 0.000 64 0.129 38 4.7 2.0
68 Boise State 3-2 0.019 50 0.034 54 0.425 87 7.9 4.9
69 Colorado State 2-1 0.019 69 0.017 59 0.613 110 7.6 6.2
70 Temple 2-1 0.017 70 0.162 23 0.523 100 6.1 4.0
71 North Carolina 1-2 0.016 62 -0.145 104 0.143 42 3.5 2.4
72 Northern Illinois 2-1 0.008 71 -0.027 72 0.553 106 7.7 6.5
73 Texas Tech 1-2 -0.003 66 -0.103 92 0.117 35 3.5 2.3
74 Toledo 2-2 -0.007 67 -0.042 75 0.526 102 6.9 4.8
75 Georgia Southern 2-2 -0.029 76 0.122 32 0.533 104 7.5 5.5
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
76 Ball State 0-2 -0.061 79 -0.146 105 0.710 121 5.7 5.3
77 Air Force 2-1 -0.065 103 0.100 36 0.807 125 6.1 4.1
78 Utah State 1-2 -0.070 86 -0.084 85 0.462 91 6.1 4.7
79 San Diego State 1-2 -0.071 78 -0.037 74 0.560 107 5.7 4.6
80 Colorado 2-3 -0.074 83 -0.018 68 0.060 10 2.8 0.7
81 Hawaii 0-3 -0.078 82 -0.060 80 0.687 119 5.8 5.0
82 Kentucky 2-1 -0.080 81 0.078 43 0.106 30 3.2 1.4
83 Wake Forest 1-3 -0.089 88 -0.068 81 0.129 39 2.8 0.9
84 Middle Tennessee 2-2 -0.090 92 -0.075 82 0.464 92 5.0 3.8
85 Illinois 2-2 -0.092 84 -0.084 84 0.178 48 2.7 1.5
86 Western Michigan 1-2 -0.092 85 -0.031 73 0.628 111 5.7 4.5
87 Louisiana Tech 2-2 -0.093 75 0.000 65 0.217 55 5.5 4.1
88 Akron 1-2 -0.096 110 -0.192 114 0.606 108 5.8 5.4
89 Arkansas State 1-2 -0.114 95 -0.114 93 0.656 115 6.6 5.9
90 Bowling Green 2-2 -0.118 77 -0.149 106 0.523 99 4.7 3.7
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
91 Connecticut 0-4 -0.122 80 -0.183 110 0.497 96 3.7 2.5
92 Miami (OH) 0-4 -0.123 100 -0.143 103 0.648 113 4.8 3.9
93 Kansas 1-2 -0.128 91 -0.129 99 0.105 29 1.5 0.5
94 Florida International 1-2 -0.136 106 -0.087 87 0.640 112 3.6 2.9
95 Army 1-2 -0.137 96 -0.103 91 0.402 84 3.7 2.7
96 Texas State 1-2 -0.138 111 -0.090 89 0.833 126 5.9 4.9
97 South Alabama 2-2 -0.139 99 -0.058 79 0.481 94 5.8 4.3
98 Purdue 1-3 -0.142 97 -0.118 95 0.247 63 1.9 0.6
99 UAB 1-2 -0.146 90 -0.044 77 0.351 75 4.1 2.7
100 Rice 1-3 -0.147 107 -0.132 100 0.222 57 4.4 3.0
101 San Jose State 0-3 -0.148 105 -0.268 120 0.322 72 3.2 3.0
102 North Texas 1-2 -0.150 89 -0.116 94 0.660 116 4.9 3.5
103 Tulane 0-4 -0.150 87 -0.212 116 0.352 76 1.8 1.2
104 Central Michigan 1-3 -0.153 104 -0.123 98 0.769 123 4.4 3.4
105 Tulsa 1-3 -0.164 101 -0.171 108 0.364 78 3.3 1.9
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
106 Buffalo 1-2 -0.166 93 -0.137 102 0.696 120 4.6 3.8
107 Old Dominion 2-2 -0.168 109 -0.025 70 0.652 114 4.1 2.5
108 Florida Atlantic 2-3 -0.171 108 -0.094 90 0.241 61 3.5 2.1
109 Fresno State 1-3 -0.172 98 -0.300 124 0.247 62 3.2 2.6
110 South Florida 1-3 -0.177 102 -0.214 117 0.380 80 2.0 1.4
111 UNLV 0-4 -0.193 112 -0.264 119 0.389 81 2.6 2.2
112 Vanderbilt 1-4 -0.196 114 -0.217 118 0.132 41 1.7 0.7
113 UTEP 2-2 -0.206 94 -0.083 83 0.526 103 3.8 2.4
114 Kent State 0-4 -0.207 113 -0.289 122 0.450 89 3.4 2.3
115 Massachusetts 0-5 -0.213 122 -0.169 107 0.666 117 3.3 2.3
116 Idaho 0-4 -0.214 116 -0.186 113 0.836 127 4.6 2.9
117 New Mexico 1-3 -0.218 118 -0.134 101 0.713 122 3.3 1.7
118 Louisiana Monroe 3-1 -0.239 115 -0.043 76 0.268 68 3.9 2.4
119 Ohio 2-2 -0.244 119 -0.122 97 0.683 118 2.4 1.5
120 Wyoming 2-2 -0.244 120 -0.199 115 0.191 49 2.0 1.3
Rank Team FBS
W-L
FEI LW GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
FBS
RMW
121 Louisiana Lafayette 0-3 -0.244 121 -0.429 126 0.486 95 3.9 3.6
122 Georgia State 0-3 -0.251 126 -0.185 112 0.479 93 3.3 2.4
123 Southern Mississippi 1-3 -0.258 124 -0.270 121 0.227 58 2.2 1.1
124 New Mexico State 1-3 -0.267 125 -0.184 111 0.536 105 3.4 2.3
125 SMU 0-4 -0.286 117 -0.494 128 0.212 53 0.9 0.7
126 Appalachian State 0-3 -0.294 123 -0.300 123 0.798 124 2.6 2.3
127 Eastern Michigan 0-3 -0.295 127 -0.464 127 0.506 97 1.2 1.0
128 Troy 0-4 -0.298 128 -0.367 125 0.517 98 2.7 2.3