Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

FEI COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS 2015

Final 2015 Ratings

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) is a college football rating system based on opponent-adjusted drive efficiency. Approximately 20,000 possessions are contested annually in FBS vs. FBS games. First-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores are filtered out. Unadjusted game efficiency (GE) is a measure of net success on non-garbage possessions, and opponent adjustments are calculated with special emphasis placed on quality performances against good teams, win or lose. Other definitions:

  • SOS: Strength of Schedule, measured as the likelihood of an elite team going undefeated against the given team's full schedule, including conference championship games and bowl games.
  • FBS MW: Mean Wins, the average number of games a team with the given FEI rating would be expected to win against its full schedule of FBS opponents.
  • OFEI: Opponent-adjusted Offensive Efficiency value generated per possession.
  • DFEI: Opponent-adjusted Defensive Efficiency value generated per opponent possession.
  • STE: Special Teams Efficiency value generated per game possession.
  • FVE: Field Value Efficiency value generated per game possession.
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE Rk SOS Rk FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FVE Rk
1 Alabama 13-1 .333 .210 5 .044 2 12.6 .77 11 1.05 1 .02 50 .13 12
2 Clemson 13-1 .270 .191 9 .074 12 12.1 .99 6 .81 3 -.04 100 -.11 110
3 Stanford 12-2 .265 .243 3 .182 36 12.4 1.30 2 .52 22 .14 5 .19 4
4 Ohio State 12-1 .248 .245 2 .273 63 11.6 .68 13 .69 9 .07 21 .21 3
5 Mississippi 9-3 .221 .159 16 .054 6 9.2 1.00 5 .55 18 -.03 89 .02 59
6 Oklahoma 11-2 .220 .201 6 .138 27 10.7 .74 12 .98 2 -.01 79 .07 33
7 Notre Dame 10-3 .202 .141 20 .044 3 9.6 .89 8 .01 57 .09 12 .10 16
8 Michigan State 12-2 .198 .105 27 .051 5 10.6 .51 24 .67 14 -.07 111 .06 34
9 Arkansas 7-5 .181 .085 37 .032 1 7.9 .98 7 -.04 61 -.05 104 .05 42
10 Houston 12-1 .175 .214 4 .498 103 11.3 .63 15 .68 11 .06 25 .17 7
11 Tennessee 8-4 .175 .149 17 .079 13 8.8 .57 17 .14 46 .14 3 .19 5
12 TCU 10-2 .173 .109 25 .249 57 9.4 .16 42 .53 20 .07 18 .07 26
13 Baylor 9-3 .171 .195 8 .291 70 9.5 .86 9 .78 4 -.05 106 -.04 80
14 Michigan 10-3 .167 .200 7 .235 54 10.0 .56 19 .63 15 .07 19 .06 35
15 LSU 9-3 .167 .102 30 .046 4 8.0 .61 16 .44 27 -.03 90 -.03 74
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE Rk SOS Rk FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FVE Rk
16 Mississippi State 8-4 .157 .079 39 .085 14 7.8 .53 23 .31 33 .02 47 .01 62
17 USC 8-6 .156 .109 26 .058 7 8.9 .63 14 .48 25 .01 60 .04 47
18 Utah 10-3 .155 .099 32 .218 49 9.5 .00 54 .76 7 .09 9 .16 9
19 Washington 6-6 .154 .097 33 .122 16 8.2 .09 47 .67 12 .08 14 .09 22
20 Toledo 10-2 .151 .162 13 .425 93 9.9 .46 26 .72 8 -.01 74 .04 50
21 North Carolina 9-3 .149 .165 12 .250 58 9.2 .78 10 .01 56 .11 8 .08 23
22 Western Kentucky 12-2 .149 .247 1 .487 101 12.1 1.49 1 .19 43 .05 29 .07 30
23 Oregon 8-4 .144 .044 51 .070 11 7.2 .55 20 -.04 60 .02 56 .03 54
24 Navy 10-2 .143 .178 10 .266 61 9.0 1.23 3 .09 50 -.02 87 -.07 96
25 Florida State 9-3 .137 .144 19 .190 41 8.8 .50 25 .49 24 .03 43 .00 63
26 Texas A&M 7-5 .110 .064 44 .069 10 6.8 -.09 64 .34 30 .07 20 .07 29
27 Memphis 8-4 .105 .103 29 .228 52 7.6 .38 31 .24 41 .09 10 .08 24
28 California 7-5 .101 .025 57 .086 15 6.2 .53 22 -.11 65 -.03 95 -.08 99
29 Nebraska 6-7 .100 .055 47 .440 95 9.1 .27 37 .24 40 .05 28 -.06 87
30 Bowling Green 10-4 .099 .148 18 .438 94 10.4 1.22 4 .05 53 -.08 116 -.05 84
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE Rk SOS Rk FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FVE Rk
31 Georgia 9-3 .099 .069 42 .163 33 7.8 -.01 57 .53 21 -.02 82 .03 52
32 UCLA 8-5 .095 .074 40 .130 23 8.0 .40 28 .31 34 -.01 77 -.04 78
33 Auburn 6-6 .095 .035 54 .065 8 5.9 .03 52 .09 49 .08 13 .04 46
34 Iowa 11-2 .094 .104 28 .185 37 8.3 .30 36 .45 26 .02 48 .03 53
35 Wisconsin 10-3 .091 .137 21 .155 31 9.0 -.14 67 .76 6 .03 40 .09 21
36 BYU 8-4 .091 .072 41 .305 73 7.5 .22 39 .33 32 .01 62 -.03 75
37 Boise State 8-4 .090 .159 15 .582 114 9.1 .35 33 .69 10 .01 61 .05 45
38 Florida 10-4 .081 .054 48 .066 9 7.7 -.01 56 .51 23 -.02 88 .18 6
39 South Florida 7-5 .080 .091 34 .346 79 7.7 .35 34 .23 42 .00 67 .06 39
40 Washington State 9-3 .080 .064 43 .200 44 7.1 .09 48 .24 39 -.05 101 -.11 108
41 West Virginia 7-5 .079 .085 38 .198 43 7.3 .16 44 .67 13 .00 66 -.02 73
42 San Diego State 10-3 .076 .168 11 .662 123 10.4 .41 27 .77 5 .14 4 .22 1
43 Arizona State 5-7 .075 .019 61 .210 45 5.8 .04 51 .04 54 .03 42 .05 41
44 Appalachian State 10-2 .074 .161 14 .325 77 9.7 .21 40 .54 19 .02 52 -.03 76
45 Temple 10-4 .071 .089 36 .276 64 9.1 -.08 63 .33 31 .05 27 .07 32
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE Rk SOS Rk FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FVE Rk
46 Western Michigan 7-5 .062 .060 45 .191 42 7.1 .39 29 -.26 73 .06 24 .05 43
47 Oklahoma State 9-3 .060 .058 46 .214 46 6.3 .36 32 .05 52 .04 35 .05 44
48 Pittsburgh 7-5 .056 .014 67 .345 78 6.4 .16 43 -.28 76 .08 15 .16 8
49 Northwestern 9-3 .054 .005 69 .188 40 6.1 -.56 89 .55 17 .00 72 -.05 83
50 Marshall 9-3 .054 .133 23 .612 118 9.3 -.05 59 .28 38 .13 6 .14 11
51 Louisville 7-5 .054 .026 56 .222 51 6.1 -.01 55 .02 55 .00 69 -.04 81
52 Georgia Southern 8-4 .039 .132 24 .494 102 8.0 .20 41 .56 16 .02 54 .08 25
53 Texas Tech 6-6 .037 .017 62 .132 24 5.6 .23 38 -.71 99 .02 57 .00 69
54 Southern Mississippi 8-5 .036 .135 22 .321 76 8.4 .54 21 .29 37 .02 55 .10 18
55 Utah State 5-7 .033 .042 52 .357 81 6.9 .07 49 .29 36 .01 64 .06 37
56 Virginia Tech 6-6 .032 .020 60 .420 92 6.5 -.29 78 -.06 62 .13 7 .09 19
57 Penn State 7-6 .028 .031 55 .143 28 6.4 -.24 75 .40 29 -.04 97 -.08 98
58 Louisiana Tech 8-4 .027 .102 31 .455 99 8.4 .56 18 .40 28 -.10 120 -.08 100
59 North Carolina State 6-6 .026 .053 49 .251 59 6.2 .38 30 -.10 64 .00 71 .12 13
60 Indiana 5-7 .023 .002 71 .232 53 5.9 .13 45 -.33 80 .02 46 .00 67
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE Rk SOS Rk FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FVE Rk
61 Georgia Tech 2-9 .008 -.052 87 .133 26 4.2 -.50 87 -.40 87 .05 32 -.06 89
62 Central Michigan 6-6 .005 .036 53 .401 87 6.7 -.08 62 -.06 63 -.01 76 .00 66
63 Northern Illinois 7-6 .005 .015 65 .218 48 7.0 -.18 70 .18 44 .00 68 -.06 86
64 Missouri 4-7 .002 -.064 89 .287 68 4.1 -.53 88 -.03 59 -.07 109 -.13 116
65 Miami 7-5 .001 -.039 85 .217 47 4.5 -.17 68 -.14 69 .03 41 .06 36
66 Arkansas State 8-4 .000 .089 35 .408 89 7.5 -.03 58 .29 35 .07 22 .21 2
67 Minnesota 6-7 -.001 -.022 79 .186 38 5.3 -.24 74 -.13 68 .01 59 -.11 106
68 Air Force 7-6 -.002 .050 50 .271 62 6.9 .33 35 -.13 66 .04 36 -.01 70
69 Texas 5-7 -.002 -.014 74 .129 21 4.8 -.42 84 .07 51 .09 11 .06 38
70 Connecticut 5-7 -.005 -.005 72 .403 88 5.4 -.50 86 .10 48 .01 63 .09 20
71 Cincinnati 6-6 -.006 .003 70 .320 74 5.4 .10 46 -.35 82 -.02 85 -.19 126
72 East Carolina 4-7 -.008 .016 64 .440 96 5.1 -.32 79 -.13 67 .06 26 .07 28
73 Duke 7-5 -.018 .010 68 .549 110 5.8 -.27 77 -.31 79 .16 1 .15 10
74 Ohio 7-5 -.024 .023 58 .585 115 6.3 -.09 65 .00 58 .03 44 .10 15
75 Illinois 4-7 -.025 -.037 83 .281 65 3.7 -.34 80 -.18 71 -.02 83 .04 48
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE Rk SOS Rk FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FVE Rk
76 Boston College 1-9 -.026 -.086 94 .182 35 3.4 -.60 91 -.27 75 -.10 123 -.07 94
77 Kansas State 5-7 -.029 -.033 81 .253 60 4.2 -.34 81 -.44 91 .15 2 .10 17
78 Middle Tennessee 6-6 -.031 .014 66 .126 18 6.1 .03 53 -.17 70 -.06 108 -.17 124
79 Arizona 6-6 -.035 -.017 78 .127 19 4.3 .06 50 -.43 89 .04 37 .03 56
80 Vanderbilt 3-8 -.037 -.100 99 .147 29 2.7 -.71 101 -.22 72 -.08 114 -.11 107
81 Virginia 3-8 -.041 -.080 93 .321 75 3.1 -.43 85 -.43 90 -.05 103 -.12 111
82 Georgia State 6-6 -.041 .017 63 .570 113 7.1 -.06 61 .17 45 -.08 112 -.15 117
83 Akron 7-5 -.046 .023 59 .385 84 6.2 -.22 72 .10 47 .00 70 .04 49
84 South Carolina 3-8 -.050 -.078 92 .133 25 3.0 -.63 94 -.73 100 .04 33 .12 14
85 Kentucky 4-7 -.050 -.035 82 .383 83 3.9 -.35 82 -.37 84 -.01 75 -.06 90
86 Iowa State 2-9 -.051 -.107 100 .154 30 2.7 -.83 106 -.82 102 -.02 84 -.09 102
87 Maryland 2-9 -.055 -.142 106 .128 20 2.2 -1.01 110 -.91 105 -.02 81 -.10 104
88 Colorado State 6-6 -.057 -.008 73 .741 127 6.1 -.25 76 -.30 78 .05 30 .00 64
89 Colorado 3-9 -.062 -.073 90 .168 34 3.9 -.60 92 -.39 85 -.03 94 -.01 71
90 Syracuse 3-8 -.073 -.117 101 .247 56 2.5 -.63 95 -.96 107 .03 45 -.04 82
91 Troy 3-8 -.074 -.017 75 .446 97 4.8 -.37 83 -.26 74 .04 34 .03 55
92 San Jose State 5-7 -.074 -.017 76 .612 119 5.2 -.06 60 -.35 83 -.05 102 -.05 85
93 Wake Forest 2-9 -.075 -.126 103 .129 22 2.6 -.96 108 -.99 108 .02 53 -.04 77
94 New Mexico 6-6 -.076 -.031 80 .655 122 5.7 -.17 69 -.39 86 -.01 78 .07 31
95 Nevada 6-6 -.077 -.017 77 .597 116 6.0 -.21 71 -.28 77 .02 51 -.12 112
96 Tulsa 6-7 -.082 -.037 84 .294 71 5.1 -.09 66 -.62 95 -.08 113 .00 68
97 Purdue 1-10 -.087 -.160 112 .283 67 1.9 -1.06 112 -1.04 113 -.16 126 -.06 91
98 Buffalo 4-7 -.094 -.058 88 .737 126 4.3 -.24 73 -.33 81 -.08 117 .02 58
99 Florida Atlantic 3-9 -.099 -.050 86 .560 111 5.9 -.71 100 -.48 92 .00 73 .01 61
100 Rutgers 3-8 -.120 -.145 108 .220 50 2.2 -.93 107 -1.11 115 .07 17 .05 40
101 Army 1-9 -.125 -.077 91 .643 121 3.9 -.62 93 -.60 94 .00 65 -.07 93
102 South Alabama 4-7 -.133 -.118 102 .569 112 3.1 -.71 102 -.53 93 -.03 92 -.15 118
103 Massachusetts 3-9 -.136 -.099 98 .379 82 4.3 -.70 99 -.40 88 -.04 98 -.07 95
104 Louisiana Lafayette 3-8 -.140 -.090 96 .693 124 4.0 -.68 97 -.78 101 -.02 80 .00 65
105 UNLV 2-9 -.146 -.135 104 .505 106 3.0 -.76 104 -1.03 111 -.02 86 -.01 72
106 Kent State 2-9 -.156 -.156 111 .545 109 2.2 -1.18 117 -.84 103 -.11 124 -.10 103
107 SMU 2-9 -.163 -.176 115 .187 39 2.2 -1.06 111 -1.23 116 -.10 121 -.13 113
108 UTSA 3-9 -.166 -.095 97 .718 125 4.5 -.66 96 -.63 97 -.07 110 -.08 97
109 Ball State 2-9 -.167 -.179 116 .452 98 1.8 -1.29 120 -1.27 118 .02 49 .01 60
110 Miami (OH) 2-9 -.170 -.151 110 .500 104 2.5 -1.07 113 -.63 96 -.03 93 -.13 115
111 Fresno State 2-9 -.179 -.196 120 .303 72 2.0 -1.21 118 -1.26 117 -.08 115 -.06 88
112 Oregon State 1-10 -.188 -.262 125 .126 17 .7 -1.64 125 -1.49 124 -.09 118 -.11 109
113 Louisiana Monroe 1-11 -.193 -.187 118 .161 32 2.9 -1.30 121 -1.07 114 -.10 122 -.21 128
114 Florida International 4-7 -.199 -.087 95 .610 117 3.3 -.73 103 -1.01 110 .07 16 .02 57
115 Tulane 2-9 -.199 -.181 117 .396 86 1.9 -1.08 114 -1.00 109 -.13 125 -.20 127
116 Idaho 3-8 -.203 -.164 113 .501 105 2.3 -.80 105 -1.04 112 -.03 91 -.16 119
117 New Mexico State 3-9 -.204 -.146 109 .394 85 3.0 -.96 109 -.90 104 -.04 96 -.10 105
118 Wyoming 2-9 -.207 -.223 124 .464 100 1.8 -1.09 115 -1.39 121 -.21 128 -.16 120
119 Charlotte 1-10 -.216 -.218 122 .784 128 2.3 -1.44 124 -1.30 120 -.09 119 -.17 122
120 Texas State 2-9 -.218 -.193 119 .414 91 2.2 -1.28 119 -1.48 123 .03 39 .07 27
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE Rk SOS Rk FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FVE Rk
121 Eastern Michigan 1-11 -.219 -.209 121 .411 90 2.6 -1.39 122 -1.53 125 .03 38 -.04 79
122 Hawaii 2-10 -.226 -.219 123 .287 69 1.8 -1.42 123 -1.45 122 .05 31 -.13 114
123 Old Dominion 4-7 -.228 -.141 105 .619 120 2.5 -.68 98 -.93 106 -.05 105 -.17 123
124 Rice 4-7 -.236 -.172 114 .505 107 2.2 -.58 90 -1.29 119 -.06 107 -.06 92
125 UTEP 4-7 -.252 -.144 107 .509 108 2.4 -1.13 116 -.69 98 -.04 99 -.17 121
126 North Texas 1-10 -.253 -.283 126 .351 80 1.8 -2.00 126 -1.86 126 .01 58 .03 51
127 Kansas 0-11 -.262 -.376 128 .281 66 .3 -2.45 127 -2.46 127 -.17 127 -.18 125
128 Central Florida 0-11 -.266 -.332 127 .236 55 .9 -2.53 128 -2.53 128 .06 23 -.08 101