Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

FEI COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS 2007

through games of 1/7/2008

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

Game Efficiency (GE) is the composite possession-by-possession efficiency of a team over the course of a game, a measurement of the success of its offensive, defensive, and special teams units’ essential goals: to maximize the team’s own scoring opportunities and to minimize those of its opponent. FEI ratings take the season-long GE data and adjust for opponent, placing special emphasis on quality performance against good teams, win or lose.

Other definitions:

  • SOS: Strength of schedule, based on the likelihood of an elite team going undefeated against the given team's entire schedule.
  • FBS MW: Mean Wins, the average number of games a team with the given FEI rating would be expected to win against its entire schedule.
  • OFEI: Offensive FEI, the opponent-adjusted efficiency of the given team's offense.
  • DFEI: Defensive FEI, the opponent-adjusted efficiency of the given team's defense.
  • STE: Special Teams Efficiency, the scoring value earned by field goal, punt and kickoff units measured in points per average game.
  • FPA: Field Position Advantage, the share of the value of total starting field position earned by each team against its opponents.

Overall FEI ratings and FEI splits for Offense, Defense and Special Teams can be found using the drop-down menus provided above. Program FEI (five-year weighted) ratings and other supplemental drive-based data can be found here.

Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
1 LSU 12-2 .282 .200 6 .102 17 11.9 .513 3 -.519 6 1.008 36 .525 25
2 West Virginia 11-2 .262 .243 1 .171 31 11.2 .394 12 -.501 8 2.544 10 .543 9
3 USC 11-2 .261 .207 5 .121 23 10.8 .352 16 -.587 2 2.172 14 .523 27
4 Oregon 9-4 .256 .150 11 .097 15 10.4 .492 5 -.497 9 .585 47 .519 30
5 Florida 8-4 .231 .184 8 .088 12 9.1 .779 1 -.040 56 3.385 2 .538 12
6 Georgia 10-2 .222 .140 15 .185 35 9.5 .394 13 -.464 13 2.176 13 .524 26
7 Oklahoma 11-3 .208 .227 3 .172 32 11.3 .356 15 -.407 16 2.605 8 .529 20
8 Ohio State 10-2 .202 .219 4 .203 40 9.5 .291 22 -.443 14 1.223 29 .550 6
9 South Florida 8-4 .194 .115 20 .124 24 8.5 .244 24 -.536 4 .557 50 .539 11
10 Missouri 11-2 .190 .166 9 .182 34 10.0 .462 8 -.244 35 .125 62 .497 65
11 Clemson 8-4 .187 .157 10 .257 53 9.2 .162 35 -.479 10 1.597 24 .533 15
12 Virginia Tech 10-3 .186 .125 19 .092 14 9.4 .058 46 -.504 7 3.875 1 .538 13
13 Cincinnati 9-3 .183 .146 12 .231 46 9.3 .233 26 -.420 15 2.483 11 .551 5
14 BYU 10-2 .177 .142 13 .394 82 9.8 .423 11 -.255 32 .410 55 .493 75
15 Auburn 8-4 .177 .068 37 .049 1 7.6 .203 30 -.531 5 .710 43 .501 58
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
16 Oregon State 8-4 .161 .013 55 .054 2 6.9 .007 55 -.670 1 -1.044 86 .502 57
17 Arizona State 10-3 .159 .091 27 .113 21 8.7 .336 17 -.339 22 .835 40 .502 56
18 Tennessee 10-4 .157 .061 38 .055 3 8.8 .475 6 -.212 37 .753 42 .506 46
19 Boston College 10-3 .156 .091 28 .171 30 9.2 .424 10 -.269 30 -2.034 105 .484 88
20 Kansas 11-1 .152 .235 2 .387 79 9.7 .209 29 -.384 17 1.114 33 .535 14
21 Arkansas 7-5 .147 .093 26 .104 18 7.7 .332 18 -.330 24 -.165 70 .504 51
22 Michigan 9-3 .141 .088 29 .169 29 8.1 .001 56 -.477 11 .248 58 .527 24
23 UCLA 6-7 .141 .005 56 .058 4 7.0 -.128 80 -.572 3 2.915 5 .519 31
24 California 7-6 .138 .033 44 .082 10 7.6 .317 20 -.274 28 -.077 69 .505 50
25 Kentucky 7-5 .128 .032 46 .097 16 6.9 .457 9 -.192 41 -.501 76 .488 81
26 Texas 10-3 .126 .133 17 .341 70 9.8 .288 23 -.158 47 1.723 20 .518 32
27 Arizona 4-7 .117 -.016 68 .059 6 5.1 .144 38 -.263 31 1.154 32 .494 74
28 Alabama 6-6 .116 .023 51 .138 25 6.9 .067 45 -.360 21 1.465 25 .515 34
29 Illinois 8-4 .116 .073 34 .189 37 7.7 .230 27 -.191 42 .349 57 .475 96
30 South Carolina 5-6 .109 -.013 66 .059 5 5.2 .115 42 -.252 33 .430 54 .482 89
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
31 Virginia 9-4 .101 .046 41 .429 90 8.8 .148 37 -.245 34 -.600 77 .501 59
32 Texas Tech 8-4 .100 .141 14 .267 55 8.2 .472 7 .145 78 .702 44 .508 43
33 Utah 9-4 .095 .098 23 .273 58 8.8 -.194 93 -.473 12 2.790 6 .547 7
34 Wake Forest 9-4 .091 .073 35 .263 54 8.3 -.042 62 -.272 29 2.368 12 .552 3
35 Michigan State 7-6 .090 .079 32 .289 62 8.6 .160 36 -.062 55 .887 38 .540 10
36 Florida State 7-6 .084 .013 54 .089 13 6.7 -.023 60 -.222 36 1.172 31 .530 18
37 Mississippi State 7-5 .084 -.012 65 .061 7 5.5 -.044 64 -.372 19 .189 60 .508 44
38 Wisconsin 8-4 .080 .071 36 .248 48 7.2 .181 33 -.008 57 1.740 19 .528 23
39 Connecticut 8-4 .078 .056 39 .144 26 6.8 -.017 59 -.364 20 1.609 23 .506 49
40 Washington 4-9 .074 -.023 71 .082 9 5.7 .239 25 .011 58 .072 65 .511 38
41 Maryland 5-7 .069 -.008 61 .176 33 5.6 .054 48 -.161 46 1.194 30 .489 80
42 Penn State 9-4 .069 .133 18 .311 68 8.4 .084 44 -.132 48 .905 37 .528 21
43 Louisville 5-6 .063 -.014 67 .112 20 5.2 .558 2 .121 73 -1.357 93 .459 109
44 Georgia Tech 6-6 .063 .018 53 .252 49 6.3 .164 34 .086 69 2.092 15 .533 16
45 Rutgers 7-5 .062 .074 33 .270 57 6.9 .216 28 -.086 52 -.830 80 .470 99
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
46 Central Florida 10-4 .061 .107 21 .417 88 9.7 -.110 78 -.325 25 1.835 17 .494 73
47 Pittsburgh 4-7 .055 -.040 76 .148 27 5.2 -.088 73 -.377 18 -.335 72 .495 68
48 Boise State 9-3 .054 .187 7 .632 114 9.4 .050 49 .037 61 3.025 4 .553 2
49 TCU 8-5 .054 .093 25 .347 71 8.6 -.105 77 -.288 27 1.825 18 .553 1
50 Oklahoma State 6-6 .047 .038 43 .215 42 6.5 .375 14 .165 79 -.929 83 .506 48
51 Air Force 8-4 .046 .084 31 .366 72 7.4 .326 19 .230 89 -.749 78 .506 47
52 Colorado 6-7 .029 -.007 60 .224 44 6.6 -.133 82 -.205 39 .472 51 .528 22
53 Stanford 4-8 .027 -.078 88 .104 19 4.7 -.039 61 -.129 49 .036 67 .497 64
54 Tulsa 10-4 .024 .088 30 .417 87 9.1 .311 21 .207 87 -1.879 103 .476 93
55 Hawaii 10-1 .023 .134 16 .543 104 7.6 .186 31 -.063 53 -1.188 91 .464 103
56 Fresno State 8-4 .018 .104 22 .369 74 7.9 .141 39 .201 85 3.070 3 .551 4
57 Troy 7-4 .017 .095 24 .212 41 6.6 -.113 79 -.208 38 2.018 16 .516 33
58 North Carolina 3-8 -.002 -.060 81 .227 45 4.1 -.165 88 -.183 43 .114 64 .501 60
59 New Mexico 8-4 -.013 .020 52 .406 84 6.3 -.364 106 -.337 23 1.063 34 .498 61
60 Navy 8-4 -.014 .053 40 .554 105 6.8 .505 4 .567 114 .129 61 .494 72
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
61 Purdue 7-5 -.015 .032 45 .410 85 6.2 -.145 84 -.063 54 .393 56 .487 83
62 Washington State 5-7 -.018 -.057 80 .064 8 3.5 .184 32 .057 65 -2.948 110 .457 111
63 Southern Mississippi 6-6 -.018 .040 42 .394 80 6.6 -.137 83 .090 71 .844 39 .487 82
64 Miami 5-7 -.019 -.024 72 .185 36 5.1 -.234 95 -.299 26 -1.789 100 .496 66
65 Iowa 6-6 -.023 .004 57 .532 103 6.5 -.255 98 -.200 40 -.359 75 .514 35
66 Vanderbilt 4-7 -.028 -.052 79 .117 22 3.6 -.083 71 -.178 44 -2.193 107 .523 28
67 Texas A&M 6-6 -.035 -.038 74 .199 39 4.3 -.083 70 .181 81 .245 59 .503 54
68 Indiana 6-6 -.036 -.005 59 .502 102 5.4 -.057 65 .204 86 .766 41 .494 71
69 East Carolina 8-5 -.038 .023 50 .252 50 6.2 -.130 81 .083 68 -1.007 84 .523 29
70 North Carolina State 4-7 -.040 -.099 93 .300 63 3.0 -.157 86 -.109 51 .557 49 .461 107
71 Kansas State 4-7 -.049 -.017 69 .269 56 4.2 .025 53 .238 90 2.580 9 .529 19
72 Ball State 6-6 -.049 .023 49 .604 109 6.8 -.043 63 .296 93 .687 46 .545 8
73 Houston 7-5 -.060 .024 48 .304 65 5.8 -.158 87 .018 59 -1.831 101 .477 92
74 Notre Dame 3-9 -.064 -.126 104 .199 38 2.9 -.417 109 -.174 45 -2.623 109 .484 87
75 Mississippi 2-9 -.065 -.113 99 .086 11 2.4 -.058 66 .053 63 -3.355 112 .461 108
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
76 Marshall 3-8 -.073 -.071 83 .309 66 4.2 .056 47 .368 99 .041 66 .497 63
77 Florida Atlantic 8-5 -.074 .000 58 .253 51 6.0 -.105 76 .030 60 -1.476 95 .468 101
78 Colorado State 2-9 -.079 -.083 89 .403 83 3.6 -.074 69 .185 82 -.355 74 .498 62
79 Northwestern 5-6 -.079 -.077 87 .310 67 4.0 -.083 72 .243 91 -1.767 99 .476 95
80 Duke 1-11 -.081 -.158 112 .319 69 2.5 -.205 94 .039 62 -4.795 117 .441 117
81 UTEP 3-8 -.084 -.077 86 .610 110 4.7 .090 43 .539 111 1.660 21 .503 53
82 Minnesota 1-10 -.088 -.107 96 .435 92 3.6 .011 54 .461 106 -.344 73 .507 45
83 Central Michigan 8-5 -.091 .025 47 .384 78 6.4 .130 41 .577 115 -1.061 88 .495 69
84 Western Michigan 4-7 -.093 -.038 75 .275 59 5.3 -.309 100 .077 67 -.076 68 .490 79
85 Wyoming 5-7 -.095 -.072 84 .431 91 4.1 -.352 104 -.113 50 -2.115 106 .446 116
86 Nebraska 5-7 -.097 -.086 90 .161 28 3.2 .133 40 .509 109 1.349 27 .491 78
87 Middle Tennessee 5-6 -.109 -.010 63 .288 61 4.5 -.153 85 .138 76 -.887 82 .532 17
88 Arkansas State 5-7 -.119 -.027 73 .455 95 5.2 -.253 97 .076 66 -1.057 87 .502 55
89 Nevada 5-7 -.122 -.023 70 .730 119 5.4 .035 51 .310 96 -3.384 113 .464 105
90 UNLV 2-10 -.123 -.129 105 .495 101 3.4 -.239 96 .113 72 -1.543 96 .453 113
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
91 Tulane 3-8 -.124 -.088 91 .486 99 4.3 -.322 101 .215 88 -1.875 102 .451 114
92 Iowa State 3-8 -.128 -.141 108 .236 47 2.8 -.174 89 .192 83 -2.556 108 .464 104
93 Louisiana Monroe 5-6 -.128 -.073 85 .415 86 3.8 -.176 91 .311 97 -.759 79 .476 94
94 SMU 1-11 -.138 -.118 101 .625 113 4.0 -.101 74 .524 110 .446 52 .510 39
95 San Diego State 3-8 -.138 -.151 110 .301 64 1.9 -.013 58 .662 119 1.395 26 .512 37
96 Ohio 5-6 -.140 -.009 62 .563 107 5.8 -.323 102 .300 94 1.643 22 .513 36
97 Army 2-9 -.149 -.145 109 .394 81 2.8 -.581 118 .054 64 .117 63 .504 52
98 Miami (OH) 6-7 -.151 -.048 78 .620 112 5.2 -.486 116 .126 74 -1.544 97 .474 97
99 Eastern Michigan 3-8 -.152 -.123 103 .561 106 3.7 -.101 75 .424 104 -1.923 104 .481 90
100 Memphis 6-6 -.152 -.063 82 .720 118 4.4 .026 52 .428 105 -3.131 111 .463 106
101 Bowling Green 7-5 -.155 -.011 64 .492 100 4.9 -.176 90 .471 107 -.245 71 .480 91
102 Louisiana Lafayette 3-8 -.160 -.108 97 .436 93 3.4 .050 50 .557 113 -3.441 115 .459 110
103 Louisiana Tech 4-7 -.164 -.107 95 .255 52 3.4 -.449 113 .138 75 -1.098 89 .486 85
104 Rice 3-8 -.166 -.130 106 .601 108 3.0 -.064 67 .650 118 -.834 81 .509 41
105 Kent State 2-9 -.170 -.116 100 .418 89 4.3 -.417 108 .286 92 -1.701 98 .493 76
Rk Team FBS
Rec
FEI GE GE
Rk
SOS SOS
Rk
FBS
MW
OFEI Rk DFEI Rk STE Rk FPA Rk
106 North Texas 1-10 -.181 -.190 113 .368 73 2.9 -.191 92 .397 103 -4.107 116 .466 102
107 Baylor 2-9 -.182 -.210 116 .285 60 1.7 -.418 111 .141 77 -4.945 118 .421 119
108 Syracuse 2-10 -.186 -.236 119 .217 43 1.4 -.361 105 .303 95 -1.031 85 .469 100
109 Akron 4-8 -.187 -.091 92 .454 94 3.9 -.435 112 .380 101 .693 45 .494 70
110 New Mexico State 2-9 -.190 -.154 111 .468 97 3.1 -.065 68 .345 98 -5.810 119 .424 118
111 Idaho 0-11 -.194 -.199 115 .372 76 3.3 -.402 107 .392 102 2.669 7 .473 98
112 Toledo 4-7 -.195 -.106 94 .617 111 3.5 -.008 57 .588 116 .438 53 .487 84
113 Buffalo 5-7 -.197 -.043 77 .646 115 4.1 -.418 110 .548 112 1.056 35 .510 40
114 Florida International 1-11 -.198 -.232 118 .371 75 2.3 -.621 119 .180 80 -1.132 90 .450 115
115 UAB 1-10 -.199 -.227 117 .467 96 1.6 -.266 99 .605 117 1.337 28 .496 67
116 Northern Illinois 2-9 -.199 -.134 107 .703 117 3.2 -.453 114 .369 100 -1.243 92 .486 86
117 Utah State 2-10 -.205 -.193 114 .373 77 2.9 -.330 103 .487 108 .585 48 .509 42
118 Temple 4-8 -.206 -.108 98 .695 116 3.6 -.560 117 .089 70 -3.393 114 .455 112
119 San Jose State 4-7 -.214 -.121 102 .471 98 2.4 -.464 115 .196 84 -1.448 94 .492 77