Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2014 FEI COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS, OFFENSE

through games of 9/20/2014

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

  • OFEI: Offensive FEI, the opponent-adjusted efficiency of the given team's offense.
  • OE: Offensive Efficiency, the raw unadjusted efficiency of the given team's offense, a measure of its actual drive success against expected drive success based on field position.
  • FD: First Down rate, the percentage of offensive drives that result in at least one first down or touchdown.
  • AY: Available Yards, yards earned by the offense divided by the total number of yards available based on starting field position.
  • Ex: Explosive Drives, the percentage of each offense's drives that average at least 10 yards per play.
  • Me: Methodical Drives, the percentage of each offense's drives that run 10 or more plays.
  • Va: Value Drives, the percentage of each offense's drives beginning on its own side of the field that reach at least the opponent's 30-yard line.
  • OSOS: Offensive Strength of Schedule, the likelihood that an elite offense (two standard deviations better than average) would have an above-average OE rating against each of the defenses faced by the given team.

Opponent-adjusted OFEI and OSOS data will be published after Week 7. Teams listed below are ranked by unadjusted offensive efficiency.

OFEI OFEI
Rk
Team FBS
Rec
FEI
Rk
OE OE
Rk
FD FD
Rk
AY AY
Rk
Ex Ex
Rk
Me Me
Rk
Va Va
Rk
OSOS Rk
- - Texas A&M 3-0 4 1.734 1 .880 3 .752 1 .320 3 .160 52 .696 1 - -
- - Nebraska 3-0 29 1.110 2 .806 20 .686 6 .258 13 .194 28 .690 2 - -
- - Alabama 4-0 7 1.096 3 .842 13 .688 5 .211 27 .158 53 .667 5 - -
- - North Carolina State 3-0 53 1.096 4 .857 7 .723 2 .214 24 .214 17 .667 4 - -
- - Oregon 3-0 2 .968 5 .710 57 .602 13 .355 2 .097 94 .607 8 - -
- - Arkansas 2-1 38 .901 6 .769 28 .608 12 .192 31 .346 1 .542 16 - -
- - Mississippi 3-0 11 .838 7 .893 1 .691 4 .214 25 .214 18 .591 11 - -
- - Marshall 3-0 52 .786 8 .727 46 .623 10 .273 7 .091 98 .643 6 - -
- - South Carolina 3-1 23 .785 9 .800 21 .600 14 .175 36 .200 23 .579 13 - -
- - Oklahoma 4-0 8 .666 10 .721 50 .578 20 .233 16 .093 97 .538 19 - -
- - Western Michigan 1-1 85 .619 11 .783 24 .568 22 .261 12 .087 102 .476 36 - -
- - Oregon State 2-0 30 .613 12 .727 47 .544 33 .227 17 .182 38 .524 20 - -
- - Georgia 2-1 13 .594 13 .733 44 .651 7 .267 10 .133 76 .625 7 - -
- - Old Dominion 2-1 109 .587 14 .750 38 .574 21 .156 47 .219 14 .464 39 - -
- - Arizona State 2-0 24 .579 15 .731 45 .564 26 .269 8 .038 121 .500 32 - -
OFEI OFEI
Rk
Team FBS
Rec
FEI
Rk
OE OE
Rk
FD FD
Rk
AY AY
Rk
Ex Ex
Rk
Me Me
Rk
Va Va
Rk
OSOS Rk
- - Arizona 4-0 36 .569 16 .843 12 .622 11 .216 23 .157 56 .587 12 - -
- - Auburn 3-0 3 .542 17 .759 32 .592 16 .172 37 .138 72 .538 18 - -
- - Cincinnati 2-0 55 .541 18 .708 61 .525 41 .208 29 .125 83 .450 43 - -
- - Navy 2-2 58 .521 19 .725 48 .562 28 .225 20 .225 12 .568 14 - -
- - Baylor 2-0 17 .509 20 .870 5 .709 3 .217 22 .217 15 .667 3 - -
- - Northern Illinois 2-1 71 .483 21 .581 105 .471 59 .065 99 .258 6 .467 38 - -
- - East Carolina 2-1 37 .475 22 .811 18 .588 19 .297 5 .135 74 .559 15 - -
- - Western Kentucky 1-2 73 .474 23 .816 15 .639 9 .211 28 .184 37 .606 9 - -
- - UTEP 2-1 94 .454 24 .688 67 .565 25 .063 100 .313 2 .500 26 - -
- - Missouri 2-1 16 .446 25 .757 34 .501 47 .243 15 .162 49 .375 65 - -
- - Wisconsin 1-1 20 .442 26 .615 90 .477 56 .385 1 .077 109 .391 59 - -
- - Toledo 1-2 67 .435 27 .813 17 .562 29 .219 21 .156 57 .481 34 - -
- - Colorado State 1-1 69 .421 28 .652 78 .483 52 .043 111 .174 43 .391 58 - -
- - Notre Dame 3-0 14 .414 29 .700 63 .567 23 .100 79 .167 47 .522 21 - -
- - Georgia Southern 1-2 76 .403 30 .676 71 .563 27 .265 11 .147 63 .516 22 - -
OFEI OFEI
Rk
Team FBS
Rec
FEI
Rk
OE OE
Rk
FD FD
Rk
AY AY
Rk
Ex Ex
Rk
Me Me
Rk
Va Va
Rk
OSOS Rk
- - Duke 3-0 39 .390 31 .871 4 .598 15 .226 19 .129 80 .500 29 - -
- - Rice 0-3 107 .383 32 .759 33 .524 42 .103 77 .276 3 .429 47 - -
- - USC 2-1 5 .348 33 .588 102 .500 50 .176 35 .206 21 .393 57 - -
- - Texas Tech 1-1 66 .339 34 .636 85 .503 45 .182 33 .091 99 .429 50 - -
- - Georgia Tech 3-0 34 .331 35 .750 39 .532 36 .125 67 .188 35 .464 40 - -
- - Air Force 1-1 103 .324 36 .783 25 .558 31 .130 63 .130 79 .500 28 - -
- - Indiana 1-1 32 .317 37 .828 14 .561 30 .310 4 .069 114 .500 30 - -
- - Ohio State 2-1 19 .271 38 .710 58 .591 18 .194 30 .065 115 .600 10 - -
- - Mississippi State 4-0 18 .256 39 .660 76 .528 39 .226 18 .094 96 .477 35 - -
- - Iowa 2-1 31 .237 40 .862 6 .500 48 .103 78 .276 4 .393 56 - -
- - New Mexico 1-2 118 .234 41 .848 10 .542 34 .152 51 .182 39 .484 33 - -
- - Washington State 0-3 56 .234 42 .771 27 .591 17 .286 6 .171 44 .515 23 - -
- - New Mexico State 1-2 125 .213 43 .848 11 .534 35 .091 82 .212 19 .433 45 - -
- - California 1-1 60 .199 44 .714 53 .497 51 .250 14 .143 64 .417 53 - -
- - UAB 1-1 90 .170 45 .692 65 .478 54 .269 9 .077 110 .435 44 - -
OFEI OFEI
Rk
Team FBS
Rec
FEI
Rk
OE OE
Rk
FD FD
Rk
AY AY
Rk
Ex Ex
Rk
Me Me
Rk
Va Va
Rk
OSOS Rk
- - BYU 4-0 27 .148 46 .711 56 .531 37 .156 48 .133 77 .514 24 - -
- - Nevada 1-1 61 .143 47 .545 112 .432 77 .000 122 .273 5 .381 64 - -
- - UCLA 3-0 10 .137 48 .757 35 .439 74 .162 41 .189 33 .333 81 - -
- - Boston College 2-1 47 .137 49 .639 82 .471 58 .167 39 .194 27 .471 37 - -
- - Boise State 3-1 50 .113 50 .792 23 .502 46 .146 54 .188 34 .432 46 - -
- - Michigan State 1-1 25 .113 51 .808 19 .522 43 .077 89 .038 122 .421 52 - -
- - Rutgers 2-1 45 .108 52 .583 103 .458 68 .111 74 .222 13 .412 54 - -
- - Penn State 4-0 41 .103 53 .814 16 .551 32 .186 32 .186 36 .513 25 - -
- - Oklahoma State 1-1 15 .091 54 .517 117 .396 89 .172 38 .103 91 .370 68 - -
- - Memphis 1-1 68 .087 55 .760 31 .530 38 .160 44 .200 24 .333 80 - -
- - Illinois 2-1 84 .077 56 .605 95 .467 63 .158 46 .158 54 .400 55 - -
- - Louisiana Tech 2-1 75 .068 57 .710 59 .444 71 .161 43 .097 95 .357 74 - -
- - Syracuse 1-1 59 .062 58 .850 8 .566 24 .050 107 .200 25 .389 61 - -
- - Buffalo 0-2 93 .059 59 .750 40 .457 69 .167 40 .042 119 .318 90 - -
- - West Virginia 1-2 48 .052 60 .775 26 .527 40 .150 52 .150 60 .459 42 - -
OFEI OFEI
Rk
Team FBS
Rec
FEI
Rk
OE OE
Rk
FD FD
Rk
AY AY
Rk
Ex Ex
Rk
Me Me
Rk
Va Va
Rk
OSOS Rk
- - Iowa State 1-1 42 .048 61 .750 41 .469 61 .050 108 .250 9 .333 78 - -
- - Stanford 1-1 6 .047 62 .882 2 .639 8 .059 102 .176 42 .538 17 - -
- - Kansas State 1-1 22 .038 63 .609 94 .500 49 .130 64 .217 16 .500 27 - -
- - Pittsburgh 2-1 33 .032 64 .694 64 .511 44 .139 57 .139 68 .464 41 - -
- - North Carolina 1-1 62 .028 65 .708 62 .471 60 .125 68 .208 20 .333 79 - -
- - Miami 1-2 46 .027 66 .548 110 .464 65 .161 42 .032 124 .429 51 - -
- - Georgia State 0-3 126 .007 67 .611 92 .439 73 .139 59 .139 69 .382 63 - -
- - Utah 2-0 12 .002 68 .625 87 .426 81 .125 69 .042 120 .500 31 - -
- - Washington 3-0 43 -.006 69 .676 72 .438 75 .088 83 .118 88 .333 84 - -
- - Colorado 2-2 83 -.010 70 .755 37 .468 62 .075 92 .132 78 .373 66 - -
- - Bowling Green 1-2 77 -.010 71 .676 73 .462 66 .081 87 .243 10 .429 49 - -
- - Texas State 0-2 111 -.031 72 .692 66 .390 92 .000 122 .192 31 .292 102 - -
- - Idaho 0-3 116 -.031 73 .639 83 .472 57 .083 84 .250 8 .429 48 - -
- - LSU 2-1 9 -.046 74 .684 68 .429 80 .105 75 .079 107 .371 67 - -
- - Florida 2-1 49 -.089 75 .744 43 .479 53 .128 66 .205 22 .357 73 - -
OFEI OFEI
Rk
Team FBS
Rec
FEI
Rk
OE OE
Rk
FD FD
Rk
AY AY
Rk
Ex Ex
Rk
Me Me
Rk
Va Va
Rk
OSOS Rk
- - Army 1-2 96 -.090 76 .710 60 .414 82 .129 65 .161 51 .280 106 - -
- - Kentucky 1-1 81 -.119 77 .769 29 .478 55 .154 49 .192 29 .348 77 - -
- - Tulane 0-3 87 -.126 78 .722 49 .465 64 .139 58 .167 45 .387 62 - -
- - Tennessee 2-1 74 -.132 79 .718 52 .410 85 .077 90 .128 82 .333 82 - -
- - Ohio 2-2 119 -.167 80 .714 54 .443 72 .071 94 .190 32 .390 60 - -
- - Michigan 2-2 51 -.177 81 .850 9 .462 67 .150 53 .075 112 .359 72 - -
- - Florida State 2-0 1 -.182 82 .714 55 .397 88 .214 26 .036 123 .320 89 - -
- - Massachusetts 0-4 122 -.188 83 .548 111 .385 94 .119 73 .119 87 .333 83 - -
- - UNLV 0-3 112 -.198 84 .684 69 .429 79 .132 62 .053 117 .361 71 - -
- - Tulsa 1-2 101 -.207 85 .757 36 .430 78 .135 61 .162 50 .353 75 - -
- - Middle Tennessee 1-2 92 -.209 86 .564 107 .379 96 .154 50 .128 81 .324 86 - -
- - TCU 1-0 35 -.250 87 .769 30 .445 70 .000 122 .077 111 .333 85 - -
- - Clemson 0-2 21 -.252 88 .536 114 .358 105 .071 96 .179 41 .320 88 - -
- - Virginia Tech 1-2 26 -.271 89 .571 106 .371 97 .071 95 .143 67 .289 104 - -
- - Maryland 2-1 40 -.273 90 .667 74 .389 93 .179 34 .103 92 .303 95 - -
OFEI OFEI
Rk
Team FBS
Rec
FEI
Rk
OE OE
Rk
FD FD
Rk
AY AY
Rk
Ex Ex
Rk
Me Me
Rk
Va Va
Rk
OSOS Rk
- - Central Florida 0-2 57 -.313 91 .684 70 .401 86 .105 76 .158 55 .313 92 - -
- - Northwestern 0-2 65 -.314 92 .800 22 .413 83 .160 45 .240 11 .292 100 - -
- - Temple 1-1 70 -.322 93 .720 51 .398 87 .040 112 .120 86 .222 114 - -
- - Purdue 1-2 97 -.326 94 .595 99 .394 91 .027 118 .108 89 .321 87 - -
- - Texas 1-2 54 -.343 95 .611 93 .345 108 .028 117 .139 71 .303 94 - -
- - San Diego State 0-2 78 -.344 96 .667 75 .435 76 .143 55 .143 65 .368 69 - -
- - Minnesota 2-1 72 -.376 97 .639 84 .395 90 .056 103 .083 104 .290 103 - -
- - Louisiana Monroe 2-1 115 -.382 98 .528 115 .362 102 .139 60 .167 46 .294 99 - -
- - Appalachian State 0-2 123 -.407 99 .600 97 .368 98 .000 122 .200 26 .316 91 - -
- - Houston 1-2 64 -.415 100 .525 116 .354 106 .125 71 .150 61 .353 76 - -
- - Florida Atlantic 1-3 108 -.418 101 .595 98 .359 104 .143 56 .143 66 .297 98 - -
- - UTSA 1-2 63 -.429 102 .475 120 .284 118 .075 93 .100 93 .242 111 - -
- - Virginia 1-2 44 -.437 103 .651 79 .411 84 .070 98 .163 48 .361 70 - -
- - Arkansas State 1-2 95 -.442 104 .625 88 .323 112 .050 110 .125 85 .229 112 - -
- - Wyoming 2-1 120 -.446 105 .625 89 .362 101 .125 70 .063 116 .267 109 - -
OFEI OFEI
Rk
Team FBS
Rec
FEI
Rk
OE OE
Rk
FD FD
Rk
AY AY
Rk
Ex Ex
Rk
Me Me
Rk
Va Va
Rk
OSOS Rk
- - Central Michigan 1-2 104 -.491 106 .594 100 .343 109 .125 72 .125 84 .267 108 - -
- - Hawaii 0-3 82 -.494 107 .636 86 .360 103 .023 121 .182 40 .297 97 - -
- - Miami (OH) 0-3 100 -.503 108 .553 108 .354 107 .079 88 .079 108 .273 107 - -
- - Louisville 2-1 28 -.518 109 .553 109 .299 117 .053 106 .105 90 .286 105 - -
- - Troy 0-3 128 -.554 110 .615 91 .367 99 .077 91 .192 30 .292 101 - -
- - Ball State 0-2 79 -.583 111 .750 42 .340 110 .050 109 .150 62 .222 113 - -
- - Kansas 1-1 91 -.601 112 .583 104 .314 114 .083 85 .083 103 .211 116 - -
- - Kent State 0-3 113 -.611 113 .471 122 .248 122 .029 116 .088 100 .152 125 - -
- - Utah State 1-2 86 -.634 114 .659 77 .364 100 .098 81 .073 113 .306 93 - -
- - Vanderbilt 1-3 114 -.662 115 .605 96 .308 116 .026 120 .053 118 .200 118 - -
- - Wake Forest 1-2 88 -.690 116 .459 124 .241 123 .054 105 .081 106 .182 121 - -
- - South Florida 1-2 102 -.697 117 .485 119 .241 124 .030 115 .152 59 .138 126 - -
- - South Alabama 1-2 99 -.703 118 .649 81 .315 113 .027 119 .135 75 .200 117 - -
- - San Jose State 0-2 105 -.728 119 .650 80 .380 95 .100 80 .250 7 .300 96 - -
- - Connecticut 0-3 80 -.750 120 .472 121 .265 121 .083 86 .139 70 .257 110 - -
OFEI OFEI
Rk
Team FBS
Rec
FEI
Rk
OE OE
Rk
FD FD
Rk
AY AY
Rk
Ex Ex
Rk
Me Me
Rk
Va Va
Rk
OSOS Rk
- - Fresno State 0-3 98 -.784 121 .444 125 .268 120 .056 104 .083 105 .194 119 - -
- - Southern Mississippi 1-2 124 -.812 122 .515 118 .270 119 .061 101 .030 126 .167 123 - -
- - Florida International 0-2 106 -.833 123 .429 126 .221 125 .071 97 .000 128 .192 120 - -
- - Louisiana Lafayette 0-3 121 -.859 124 .594 101 .328 111 .031 113 .156 58 .167 122 - -
- - North Texas 1-2 89 -.994 125 .471 123 .188 126 .000 122 .088 101 .156 124 - -
- - Akron 0-2 110 -1.014 126 .545 113 .311 115 .000 122 .136 73 .211 115 - -
- - Eastern Michigan 0-3 127 -1.251 127 .265 128 .140 128 .000 122 .029 127 .059 128 - -
- - SMU 0-3 117 -1.532 128 .313 127 .144 127 .031 114 .031 125 .067 127 - -