Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2007 FEI RATINGS, OFFENSE

FEI is a college football rating system based on opponent-adjusted drive efficiency. Approximately 20,000 possessions are contested annually in FBS vs. FBS games. First-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores are filtered out. Offensive Efficiency (OE) is the value generated by a team's offense per non-garbage possession relative to national average scoring rates by starting field position. OFEI is value generated per possession adjusted for the strength of opponent defenses faced.

Available Yards Percentage (OAY) is the total number of yards earned by the offense divided by the number of yards available to be earned based on starting field position. Value Drive Rate (OVD) is the percentage of offensive drives that begin at least 50 yards from the end zone and reach the opponent's 30-yard line. First Down Rate (OFD) is the percentage of offensive drives that result in a touchdown or at least one first down. Touchdown Rate (OTD) is the percentage of offensive drives that result in a touchdown. Touchdown Rate After First Down (OTF) is the percentage touchdowns scored on offensive drives that earn at least one first down. Turnover Rate (OTO) is the percentage of offensive drives that result in a fumble or interception.

OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
1 Florida 8-4 1.60 1.42 1 .607 2 .571 2 .802 4 .488 1 .608 1 .107 25
2 Navy 8-4 1.16 1.16 2 .611 1 .587 1 .841 1 .421 2 .500 7 .119 37
3 West Virginia 11-2 .98 .86 8 .551 9 .483 12 .738 39 .393 6 .533 4 .124 41
4 Oklahoma 11-3 .97 1.01 4 .525 13 .496 6 .750 24 .414 3 .553 2 .105 22
5 LSU 12-2 .91 .60 14 .505 19 .440 21 .765 15 .343 14 .449 15 .096 14
6 Oklahoma State 6-6 .89 .80 10 .529 12 .488 9 .750 25 .356 12 .475 11 .136 52
7 Oregon 9-4 .87 .50 18 .495 24 .421 34 .735 41 .335 16 .456 14 .112 29
8 Missouri 11-2 .86 .85 9 .554 7 .496 7 .782 11 .361 11 .461 13 .109 27
9 Tulsa 10-4 .81 1.06 3 .566 4 .484 11 .818 2 .403 4 .493 8 .165 95
10 Texas Tech 8-4 .80 .98 5 .588 3 .529 4 .799 5 .403 5 .505 5 .149 77
11 Louisville 5-6 .75 .49 19 .512 16 .427 28 .763 17 .311 23 .408 30 .148 74
12 BYU 10-2 .71 .41 27 .504 21 .437 23 .789 7 .317 22 .402 34 .169 99
13 Central Michigan 8-5 .68 .72 12 .505 20 .431 26 .763 18 .375 9 .492 9 .094 11
14 Fresno State 8-4 .65 .71 13 .555 6 .450 19 .798 6 .349 13 .437 20 .116 35
15 Hawaii 10-1 .64 .79 11 .549 10 .475 13 .715 58 .385 8 .538 3 .208 117
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
16 Air Force 8-4 .63 .49 20 .494 25 .431 24 .783 10 .302 29 .386 41 .109 26
17 Kansas 11-1 .63 .91 6 .553 8 .534 3 .770 14 .367 10 .477 10 .079 5
18 Georgia 10-2 .61 .51 17 .462 48 .398 47 .733 45 .326 18 .444 17 .104 21
19 Clemson 8-4 .60 .33 33 .478 35 .443 20 .733 44 .274 46 .374 49 .067 3
20 Kentucky 7-5 .59 .44 24 .503 23 .462 15 .758 20 .333 17 .440 18 .137 53
21 Ohio State 10-2 .59 .36 31 .478 36 .368 61 .815 3 .300 30 .368 53 .138 58
22 Boise State 9-3 .59 .89 7 .559 5 .505 5 .779 12 .393 7 .505 6 .136 51
23 Tennessee 10-4 .55 .38 28 .490 27 .430 27 .706 65 .306 25 .434 23 .088 6
24 Arkansas 7-5 .54 .43 25 .492 26 .415 37 .743 33 .324 19 .436 21 .095 13
25 California 7-6 .52 .22 42 .467 43 .404 42 .660 93 .282 42 .427 24 .154 81
26 Texas 10-3 .52 .59 15 .532 11 .457 16 .785 9 .342 15 .435 22 .165 94
27 USC 11-2 .51 .36 30 .480 33 .402 46 .723 54 .323 20 .446 16 .142 62
28 Rutgers 7-5 .50 .41 26 .518 14 .457 17 .774 13 .293 35 .379 45 .128 47
29 Michigan State 7-6 .49 .25 37 .463 47 .364 67 .733 46 .298 32 .407 31 .099 17
30 Illinois 8-4 .48 .33 32 .482 30 .423 31 .743 34 .279 43 .376 47 .162 89
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
31 Wisconsin 8-4 .46 .30 34 .475 37 .419 35 .739 37 .283 41 .382 43 .123 40
32 Boston College 10-3 .44 .01 59 .443 60 .365 66 .699 68 .259 54 .371 52 .157 85
33 Nebraska 5-7 .42 .24 39 .490 28 .408 41 .705 67 .295 33 .419 27 .174 103
34 Washington State 5-7 .42 .10 49 .486 29 .431 25 .741 35 .252 60 .340 67 .158 86
35 Washington 4-9 .36 .00 60 .434 65 .367 63 .653 98 .251 62 .385 42 .138 55
36 Arizona State 10-3 .30 .10 52 .435 64 .365 65 .669 90 .263 51 .393 37 .125 42
37 Toledo 4-7 .23 .24 38 .464 46 .417 36 .690 76 .295 34 .427 25 .140 61
38 Bowling Green 7-5 .23 .23 40 .478 34 .409 40 .762 19 .286 38 .375 48 .167 97
39 Penn State 9-4 .23 .10 53 .465 44 .385 53 .734 42 .266 49 .363 56 .149 78
40 Maryland 5-7 .21 -.26 74 .383 89 .331 84 .681 81 .210 79 .309 79 .094 12
41 Central Florida 10-4 .21 .37 29 .481 32 .423 32 .687 77 .319 21 .465 12 .133 48
42 Northwestern 5-6 .18 .10 51 .481 31 .409 39 .752 23 .256 57 .340 66 .180 108
43 Cincinnati 9-3 .17 .12 47 .445 58 .403 43 .715 59 .305 28 .426 26 .146 70
44 Marshall 3-8 .16 .23 41 .467 41 .421 33 .740 36 .252 59 .341 64 .114 32
45 South Florida 8-4 .15 -.09 65 .454 53 .455 18 .744 32 .256 56 .345 61 .179 107
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
46 Michigan 9-3 .14 .05 56 .440 61 .367 62 .733 47 .267 48 .364 54 .144 63
47 Virginia 9-4 .13 -.15 69 .380 92 .311 93 .677 83 .226 68 .333 68 .090 9
48 Texas A&M 6-6 .12 .11 48 .444 59 .393 50 .682 79 .248 63 .364 55 .101 18
49 Nevada 5-7 .12 .55 16 .510 17 .439 22 .787 8 .305 27 .387 39 .099 15
50 Georgia Tech 6-6 .09 -.30 80 .415 78 .325 88 .764 16 .196 87 .257 96 .149 76
51 Auburn 8-4 .09 -.17 70 .421 73 .353 76 .713 60 .221 72 .309 78 .154 82
52 Ball State 6-6 .08 .46 21 .508 18 .467 14 .746 28 .283 40 .379 46 .058 1
53 Memphis 6-6 .07 .45 23 .516 15 .484 10 .745 30 .277 45 .371 51 .099 16
54 Arizona 4-7 .06 -.35 85 .404 85 .357 73 .690 75 .197 86 .286 87 .162 90
55 Houston 7-5 .05 .45 22 .504 22 .489 8 .757 22 .311 24 .411 29 .149 75
56 Purdue 7-5 .05 .12 46 .453 54 .381 55 .695 71 .265 50 .381 44 .146 71
57 Indiana 6-6 .03 .03 58 .457 50 .388 52 .723 50 .262 52 .363 57 .170 100
58 Louisiana Lafayette 3-8 .02 .10 54 .459 49 .357 74 .654 97 .260 53 .398 36 .102 19
59 San Diego State 3-8 .01 -.28 78 .368 100 .277 107 .595 115 .198 85 .333 69 .111 28
60 Virginia Tech 10-3 .00 -.35 86 .378 95 .308 94 .620 110 .215 75 .347 60 .114 34
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
61 Minnesota 1-10 .00 -.06 63 .449 55 .347 79 .723 51 .255 58 .353 59 .170 101
62 Florida Atlantic 8-5 -.01 .19 44 .456 51 .390 51 .734 43 .284 39 .387 40 .089 7
63 South Carolina 5-6 -.02 -.27 76 .397 86 .320 89 .674 86 .215 76 .319 74 .163 92
64 East Carolina 8-5 -.02 .18 45 .433 66 .350 78 .696 70 .292 36 .419 28 .071 4
65 UTEP 3-8 -.03 .26 36 .473 38 .402 45 .750 26 .300 31 .400 35 .107 24
66 Connecticut 8-4 -.04 -.31 81 .407 82 .352 77 .677 84 .180 93 .267 90 .090 8
67 Alabama 6-6 -.06 -.30 79 .436 63 .359 71 .739 38 .203 81 .274 89 .118 36
68 Eastern Michigan 3-8 -.08 .00 61 .423 70 .330 85 .692 74 .258 55 .373 50 .125 43
69 Colorado 6-7 -.10 -.21 73 .418 75 .333 83 .711 62 .235 66 .331 70 .145 66
70 Southern Mississippi 6-6 -.12 .27 35 .468 40 .424 30 .711 61 .289 37 .406 32 .185 113
71 Troy 7-4 -.13 .08 55 .455 52 .397 49 .693 73 .271 47 .392 38 .179 105
72 Middle Tennessee 5-6 -.14 .10 50 .417 76 .373 59 .636 104 .279 44 .439 19 .093 10
73 TCU 8-5 -.14 -.19 71 .467 42 .381 54 .730 48 .214 77 .293 85 .138 57
74 New Mexico State 2-9 -.14 .04 57 .465 45 .410 38 .744 31 .240 65 .323 71 .144 65
75 Ohio 5-6 -.17 -.04 62 .414 79 .402 44 .681 80 .246 64 .362 58 .138 54
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
76 Colorado State 2-9 -.18 -.32 83 .437 62 .364 68 .748 27 .198 83 .265 92 .145 68
77 Wake Forest 9-4 -.19 -.35 88 .386 87 .275 108 .706 66 .209 80 .296 84 .153 80
78 Utah 9-4 -.22 -.28 77 .408 81 .373 57 .646 100 .222 70 .343 62 .120 38
79 Kansas State 4-7 -.23 -.14 68 .430 67 .398 48 .720 55 .227 67 .316 76 .144 64
80 Florida State 7-6 -.27 -.52 95 .382 91 .287 106 .708 63 .161 105 .227 114 .125 44
81 Vanderbilt 4-7 -.27 -.41 91 .406 83 .340 80 .659 94 .190 89 .289 86 .159 88
82 Rice 3-8 -.29 .19 43 .446 57 .363 69 .757 21 .306 26 .404 33 .146 72
83 Duke 1-11 -.30 -.54 98 .314 115 .234 114 .577 116 .183 92 .317 75 .113 30
84 Stanford 4-8 -.32 -.61 104 .345 109 .295 102 .658 95 .158 107 .240 110 .127 45
85 Oregon State 8-4 -.32 -.64 106 .352 107 .246 113 .675 85 .175 95 .259 95 .163 91
86 Buffalo 5-7 -.34 -.20 72 .421 72 .357 75 .727 49 .220 73 .302 82 .106 23
87 Mississippi 2-9 -.35 -.41 90 .419 74 .368 60 .633 107 .167 102 .263 93 .200 114
88 Miami 5-7 -.36 -.54 97 .369 99 .298 98 .643 101 .200 82 .311 77 .207 116
89 North Carolina 3-8 -.38 -.74 110 .370 98 .306 95 .684 78 .147 113 .215 117 .184 112
90 SMU 1-11 -.42 -.08 64 .471 39 .378 56 .735 40 .252 61 .342 63 .181 109
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
91 Pittsburgh 4-7 -.43 -.62 105 .375 96 .252 112 .723 53 .190 90 .263 94 .139 59
92 Iowa 6-6 -.44 -.33 84 .360 105 .264 111 .634 106 .193 88 .304 80 .062 2
93 North Carolina State 4-7 -.45 -.82 113 .360 104 .319 90 .657 96 .157 110 .239 111 .201 115
94 Arkansas State 5-7 -.45 -.11 67 .447 56 .424 29 .746 29 .225 69 .301 83 .152 79
95 Tulane 3-8 -.45 -.10 66 .424 69 .358 72 .672 88 .216 74 .322 72 .127 46
96 Louisiana Monroe 5-6 -.47 -.31 82 .405 84 .319 91 .698 69 .198 84 .284 88 .103 20
97 Mississippi State 7-5 -.48 -.59 103 .335 112 .205 118 .614 111 .186 91 .303 81 .166 96
98 Western Michigan 4-7 -.48 -.27 75 .408 80 .362 70 .648 99 .221 71 .340 65 .179 106
99 UCLA 6-7 -.51 -.87 115 .325 114 .230 115 .603 113 .128 117 .213 118 .145 69
100 North Texas 1-10 -.53 -.35 87 .385 88 .328 86 .664 91 .212 78 .320 73 .178 104
101 Kent State 2-9 -.55 -.48 93 .422 71 .365 64 .716 57 .179 94 .250 99 .164 93
102 Miami (OH) 6-7 -.55 -.42 92 .417 77 .338 81 .671 89 .168 100 .250 100 .155 83
103 San Jose State 4-7 -.55 -.35 89 .426 68 .373 58 .707 64 .171 98 .241 108 .114 33
104 New Mexico 8-4 -.57 -.52 94 .383 90 .336 82 .673 87 .167 101 .248 103 .133 49
105 Wyoming 5-7 -.58 -.65 107 .366 102 .295 103 .681 82 .174 96 .255 98 .167 98
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
106 Utah State 2-10 -.59 -.57 100 .351 108 .269 109 .661 92 .169 99 .256 97 .113 31
107 UNLV 2-10 -.61 -.68 108 .371 97 .291 105 .723 52 .139 115 .192 119 .139 60
108 Syracuse 2-10 -.64 -.84 114 .308 116 .225 116 .602 114 .143 114 .238 112 .120 39
109 Baylor 2-9 -.68 -.78 111 .343 110 .297 101 .612 112 .163 104 .266 91 .209 118
110 Akron 4-8 -.68 -.68 109 .341 111 .293 104 .635 105 .155 111 .245 106 .135 50
111 Iowa State 3-8 -.69 -.58 102 .368 101 .297 100 .695 72 .164 103 .236 113 .156 84
112 Notre Dame 3-9 -.69 -.98 117 .285 118 .197 119 .639 102 .160 106 .250 101 .146 73
113 UAB 1-10 -.71 -.54 96 .380 93 .319 92 .626 109 .154 112 .247 105 .138 56
114 Louisiana Tech 4-7 -.81 -.55 99 .365 103 .297 99 .717 56 .172 97 .240 109 .145 67
115 Northern Illinois 2-9 -.90 -.58 101 .380 94 .328 87 .638 103 .157 108 .247 104 .181 110
116 Temple 4-8 -.90 -.81 112 .330 113 .299 97 .566 118 .138 116 .244 107 .159 87
117 Florida International 1-11 -1.04 -1.14 119 .261 119 .211 117 .538 119 .117 119 .218 116 .172 102
118 Army 2-9 -1.15 -1.08 118 .303 117 .267 110 .574 117 .125 118 .218 115 .184 111
119 Idaho 0-11 -1.15 -.96 116 .357 106 .305 96 .629 108 .157 109 .250 102 .221 119