Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2009 FEI RATINGS, OFFENSE

FEI is a college football rating system based on opponent-adjusted drive efficiency. Approximately 20,000 possessions are contested annually in FBS vs. FBS games. First-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores are filtered out. Offensive Efficiency (OE) is the value generated by a team's offense per non-garbage possession relative to national average scoring rates by starting field position. OFEI is value generated per possession adjusted for the strength of opponent defenses faced.

Available Yards Percentage (OAY) is the total number of yards earned by the offense divided by the number of yards available to be earned based on starting field position. Value Drive Rate (OVD) is the percentage of offensive drives that begin at least 50 yards from the end zone and reach the opponent's 30-yard line. First Down Rate (OFD) is the percentage of offensive drives that result in a touchdown or at least one first down. Touchdown Rate (OTD) is the percentage of offensive drives that result in a touchdown. Touchdown Rate After First Down (OTF) is the percentage touchdowns scored on offensive drives that earn at least one first down. Turnover Rate (OTO) is the percentage of offensive drives that result in a fumble or interception.

OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
1 Cincinnati 11-1 1.33 1.33 1 .568 6 .533 5 .746 30 .426 2 .571 1 .074 3
2 Georgia Tech 10-3 1.16 .94 7 .544 13 .500 12 .786 12 .382 7 .485 7 .107 26
3 Florida 12-1 1.11 .90 8 .621 2 .596 2 .855 3 .359 9 .420 22 .120 42
4 Stanford 8-5 1.10 .97 6 .588 3 .553 3 .795 10 .386 6 .486 6 .098 19
5 Houston 9-4 1.10 1.22 3 .650 1 .598 1 .857 2 .388 5 .452 12 .156 85
6 Alabama 13-0 1.02 .45 29 .520 20 .405 39 .736 39 .286 34 .388 37 .079 6
7 Nevada 8-5 .86 1.30 2 .583 4 .500 10 .802 7 .437 1 .545 2 .119 40
8 BYU 11-2 .84 .97 5 .541 14 .463 18 .786 13 .412 4 .524 3 .153 83
9 Texas A&M 6-7 .82 .54 20 .512 26 .450 25 .745 31 .331 16 .444 14 .110 32
10 Florida State 6-6 .82 .48 25 .537 15 .477 15 .803 6 .307 27 .382 42 .165 94
11 Oregon 10-3 .81 .56 18 .477 35 .420 35 .689 73 .351 11 .510 5 .119 41
12 Arkansas 7-5 .81 .56 19 .459 46 .405 40 .703 60 .324 19 .462 10 .054 1
13 Notre Dame 6-6 .80 .80 11 .562 8 .513 7 .862 1 .323 20 .375 47 .100 21
14 Boise State 13-0 .77 1.16 4 .580 5 .535 4 .799 9 .417 3 .523 4 .072 2
15 Virginia Tech 10-3 .76 .52 23 .508 28 .450 24 .748 28 .319 23 .426 19 .096 18
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
16 TCU 11-1 .71 .61 16 .549 11 .500 11 .776 16 .343 15 .442 16 .134 53
17 Central Michigan 11-2 .69 .84 10 .563 7 .472 17 .845 4 .349 13 .413 27 .109 29
18 Texas 13-1 .69 .29 32 .485 32 .432 30 .733 40 .311 26 .424 20 .149 79
19 Texas Tech 8-4 .67 .53 22 .520 18 .463 19 .801 8 .355 10 .442 15 .170 98
20 Idaho 8-5 .66 .90 9 .553 10 .504 9 .785 14 .370 8 .472 9 .148 77
21 Florida Atlantic 5-7 .65 .70 13 .531 17 .444 26 .789 11 .328 17 .416 25 .109 30
22 Pittsburgh 9-3 .65 .71 12 .548 12 .533 6 .722 44 .317 24 .440 18 .087 13
23 Penn State 10-2 .63 .49 24 .515 22 .422 34 .762 23 .295 30 .387 38 .107 25
24 Oregon State 7-5 .55 .54 21 .510 27 .451 23 .777 15 .315 25 .406 29 .077 5
25 Wisconsin 9-3 .51 .46 28 .520 19 .459 20 .736 38 .326 18 .442 17 .132 50
26 Tennessee 7-6 .48 .24 34 .458 47 .385 52 .741 34 .294 31 .396 32 .126 44
27 Troy 9-4 .45 .69 14 .535 16 .496 14 .747 29 .344 14 .461 11 .149 81
28 Navy 9-4 .43 .45 30 .480 33 .398 42 .723 43 .323 21 .447 13 .100 20
29 Connecticut 7-5 .41 .25 33 .460 45 .410 37 .723 42 .270 43 .373 50 .135 56
30 Miami 8-4 .41 .16 43 .469 39 .376 58 .716 49 .299 29 .417 24 .142 67
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
31 Auburn 7-5 .39 .15 45 .454 50 .359 71 .709 52 .255 54 .360 57 .113 33
32 North Carolina State 3-7 .38 .21 36 .447 53 .380 56 .718 47 .282 37 .392 34 .164 92
33 Kansas 4-7 .35 .07 54 .474 37 .431 31 .752 26 .264 46 .351 63 .160 88
34 Missouri 7-5 .33 .12 51 .475 36 .457 21 .707 55 .243 63 .343 68 .107 28
35 Wake Forest 4-7 .33 .43 31 .515 24 .429 33 .805 5 .280 39 .347 66 .136 59
36 Michigan State 5-7 .31 .17 40 .462 44 .352 74 .704 57 .261 50 .370 53 .134 52
37 UAB 5-7 .30 .47 26 .495 29 .435 29 .724 41 .283 36 .391 35 .087 11
38 Washington 5-7 .30 .19 37 .486 31 .435 28 .765 20 .244 62 .319 77 .134 54
39 UTEP 4-8 .28 .57 17 .515 25 .500 13 .763 21 .321 22 .420 23 .130 47
40 Fresno State 7-5 .27 .68 15 .554 9 .509 8 .722 45 .349 12 .484 8 .143 68
41 Southern Mississippi 6-6 .26 .47 27 .515 23 .451 22 .776 17 .306 28 .394 33 .104 22
42 Ohio State 11-2 .26 .15 47 .452 51 .395 43 .671 89 .250 58 .372 51 .093 16
43 Toledo 5-7 .25 .16 42 .471 38 .411 36 .682 78 .280 38 .411 28 .182 109
44 California 7-5 .24 .13 49 .435 67 .388 49 .674 84 .246 60 .366 55 .087 12
45 UNLV 4-7 .21 .16 44 .478 34 .436 27 .737 37 .272 41 .369 54 .149 80
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
46 USC 9-4 .19 .15 46 .447 54 .373 59 .688 74 .262 47 .381 44 .135 55
47 Arizona 7-5 .18 -.03 62 .450 52 .373 60 .692 70 .241 67 .348 65 .135 58
48 Georgia 7-5 .16 -.07 65 .398 82 .328 84 .659 92 .252 56 .382 43 .178 106
49 Bowling Green 7-6 .14 .23 35 .488 30 .431 32 .740 35 .286 33 .386 39 .091 15
50 Oklahoma 7-5 .13 -.03 61 .441 63 .370 63 .688 75 .241 66 .351 64 .113 34
51 West Virginia 8-4 .12 .11 52 .442 60 .410 38 .647 102 .273 40 .422 21 .144 70
52 Kentucky 6-6 .12 -.14 73 .390 91 .313 90 .656 95 .244 61 .372 52 .137 61
53 Temple 9-3 .08 .09 53 .429 71 .364 69 .738 36 .285 35 .385 40 .115 36
54 Mississippi 7-4 .08 -.24 78 .438 64 .358 72 .691 71 .228 73 .329 73 .203 117
55 LSU 9-4 .08 -.13 71 .394 85 .328 85 .704 59 .230 71 .326 74 .089 14
56 Clemson 8-5 .06 -.05 64 .457 48 .403 41 .711 51 .257 53 .361 56 .132 48
57 Michigan 4-7 .02 -.07 66 .399 80 .355 73 .654 97 .262 49 .400 31 .169 97
58 Air Force 7-5 .02 .02 59 .465 42 .392 45 .760 24 .223 74 .293 89 .074 4
59 Colorado State 2-9 -.01 .12 50 .444 57 .366 67 .716 50 .239 69 .333 70 .138 62
60 Northern Illinois 6-6 -.02 .16 41 .442 61 .383 53 .707 54 .268 45 .379 46 .114 35
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
61 North Texas 2-10 -.03 .03 57 .466 41 .390 46 .694 66 .271 42 .390 36 .188 112
62 Kansas State 4-6 -.03 -.29 84 .435 66 .363 70 .762 22 .198 90 .260 101 .129 46
63 SMU 7-5 -.03 .19 38 .463 43 .381 55 .692 69 .287 32 .414 26 .154 84
64 Mississippi State 4-7 -.04 -.42 91 .428 72 .333 82 .701 61 .189 95 .270 99 .205 118
65 Utah 10-3 -.05 .02 58 .441 62 .382 54 .673 86 .258 52 .383 41 .107 27
66 Buffalo 4-7 -.06 -.08 68 .466 40 .386 50 .709 53 .236 70 .333 71 .181 108
67 Purdue 5-7 -.06 -.03 63 .437 65 .369 64 .698 64 .262 48 .375 48 .148 76
68 Iowa State 6-6 -.06 -.25 80 .409 79 .325 86 .656 94 .206 87 .314 81 .176 101
69 Indiana 3-8 -.06 -.24 79 .424 75 .370 61 .693 68 .220 77 .318 79 .126 45
70 Nebraska 10-4 -.07 -.28 82 .398 81 .344 78 .673 85 .207 86 .307 83 .140 66
71 South Florida 6-5 -.07 .03 56 .426 73 .346 76 .698 63 .241 65 .346 67 .138 63
72 Illinois 2-9 -.08 -.15 74 .398 83 .308 92 .650 101 .217 80 .333 72 .125 43
73 East Carolina 8-5 -.14 -.07 67 .443 58 .367 66 .752 27 .229 72 .304 86 .105 23
74 Northwestern 7-5 -.14 -.09 69 .455 49 .379 57 .770 19 .216 81 .281 95 .149 78
75 Oklahoma State 8-4 -.15 -.36 89 .390 90 .314 89 .633 107 .223 75 .352 61 .144 71
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
76 Minnesota 5-7 -.19 -.49 97 .366 101 .288 102 .657 93 .197 91 .300 87 .182 110
77 Louisville 3-8 -.19 -.34 87 .389 92 .318 88 .681 79 .172 100 .253 103 .138 64
78 Marshall 6-6 -.20 -.10 70 .422 76 .345 77 .698 62 .222 76 .318 78 .135 57
79 Iowa 10-2 -.20 -.36 88 .420 77 .339 81 .743 33 .207 84 .279 97 .186 111
80 Utah State 3-8 -.21 .14 48 .446 55 .350 75 .771 18 .250 57 .324 75 .079 7
81 Duke 4-6 -.22 -.27 81 .443 59 .385 51 .679 81 .183 97 .270 98 .110 31
82 Boston College 7-5 -.25 -.46 94 .355 104 .282 103 .579 117 .207 85 .358 58 .164 93
83 South Carolina 6-6 -.26 -.50 98 .393 88 .311 91 .721 46 .176 99 .245 107 .132 51
84 Louisiana Tech 3-8 -.28 .18 39 .416 78 .324 87 .672 87 .269 44 .400 30 .084 10
85 Rutgers 7-4 -.29 -.30 85 .388 94 .307 93 .690 72 .198 89 .287 93 .095 17
86 Western Michigan 4-7 -.29 -.15 75 .446 56 .389 48 .696 65 .248 59 .356 60 .168 96
87 Middle Tennessee 10-3 -.29 .04 55 .431 69 .367 65 .682 77 .260 51 .381 45 .116 37
88 Syracuse 3-8 -.33 -.53 100 .392 89 .330 83 .718 48 .185 96 .258 102 .177 105
89 Central Florida 7-5 -.34 -.14 72 .431 70 .394 44 .672 88 .252 55 .375 49 .145 73
90 Memphis 1-10 -.36 -.38 90 .369 100 .291 101 .664 91 .192 93 .289 92 .144 72
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
91 Western Kentucky 0-11 -.36 -.22 76 .394 86 .370 62 .622 108 .218 78 .351 62 .160 87
92 Hawaii 5-7 -.36 -.01 60 .518 21 .477 16 .744 32 .240 68 .322 76 .198 116
93 Baylor 3-8 -.37 -.67 106 .343 108 .280 104 .610 111 .144 113 .236 110 .161 90
94 Ohio 8-5 -.37 -.43 92 .372 99 .292 100 .664 90 .191 94 .287 94 .132 49
95 North Carolina 6-5 -.45 -.43 93 .372 98 .339 80 .650 100 .163 107 .250 104 .146 75
96 Virginia 3-8 -.45 -.73 110 .303 116 .234 116 .613 110 .145 111 .237 109 .081 8
97 San Diego State 3-8 -.46 -.47 95 .372 97 .300 97 .685 76 .210 83 .306 84 .161 91
98 Louisiana Lafayette 5-6 -.48 -.29 83 .388 93 .276 108 .637 106 .218 79 .342 69 .137 60
99 Arizona State 3-8 -.51 -.53 101 .362 102 .280 107 .639 105 .195 92 .306 85 .180 107
100 Louisiana Monroe 5-6 -.52 -.33 86 .425 74 .389 47 .680 80 .216 82 .318 80 .176 102
101 Wyoming 6-6 -.59 -.61 104 .346 107 .261 111 .641 104 .160 108 .250 105 .084 9
102 Tulsa 4-7 -.60 -.23 77 .432 68 .366 68 .679 82 .243 64 .358 59 .143 69
103 Florida International 3-9 -.61 -.49 96 .341 109 .242 114 .644 103 .199 88 .309 82 .116 38
104 Miami (OH) 1-11 -.61 -.70 107 .373 96 .276 109 .656 96 .145 112 .221 113 .229 120
105 UCLA 7-6 -.62 -.71 108 .377 95 .280 106 .704 58 .138 114 .196 116 .151 82
OFEI
Rk

Team FBS
Rec
OFEI OE OE
Rk
OAY OAY
Rk
OVD OVD
Rk
OFD OFD
Rk
OTD OTD
Rk
OTF OTF
Rk
OTO OTO
Rk
106 Maryland 1-10 -.66 -.73 111 .352 105 .302 96 .654 98 .154 110 .235 111 .146 74
107 Tulane 2-9 -.68 -.52 99 .398 84 .306 94 .755 25 .167 103 .221 114 .176 104
108 Kent State 4-7 -.70 -.66 105 .348 106 .295 99 .580 116 .168 102 .289 91 .160 89
109 Ball State 2-9 -.72 -.61 102 .359 103 .298 98 .675 83 .167 104 .247 106 .175 100
110 Vanderbilt 1-10 -.72 -.87 116 .324 113 .236 115 .653 99 .097 118 .148 119 .105 24
111 Akron 2-9 -.73 -.78 113 .330 112 .306 95 .595 113 .157 109 .264 100 .190 113
112 Colorado 3-9 -.74 -.77 112 .312 115 .265 110 .613 109 .181 98 .295 88 .194 114
113 Eastern Michigan 0-12 -.75 -.72 109 .332 111 .280 105 .600 112 .168 101 .280 96 .176 103
114 New Mexico 1-11 -.87 -.81 114 .334 110 .246 113 .706 56 .132 115 .188 117 .140 65
115 Arkansas State 3-8 -.93 -.61 103 .393 87 .343 79 .694 67 .165 106 .238 108 .174 99
116 Army 4-7 -.96 -.87 117 .316 114 .252 112 .594 114 .117 117 .197 115 .117 39
117 Rice 2-10 -.99 -.85 115 .293 118 .209 117 .564 118 .165 105 .293 90 .158 86
118 Washington State 1-11 -1.15 -1.10 119 .251 120 .194 120 .519 120 .093 119 .179 118 .194 115
119 San Jose State 1-10 -1.31 -.95 118 .303 117 .206 118 .588 115 .132 116 .224 112 .167 95
120 New Mexico State 2-10 -1.83 -1.36 120 .262 119 .198 119 .524 119 .073 120 .138 120 .218 119