Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2014 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/12/15

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency), explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

NOTE: Because special teams ratings are integrated into Offensive and Defensive S&P+, and because Special Teams has its own ratings within FEI, creating Offensive, Defensive, and Special Teams F/+ ratings has become difficult since the most recent S&P+ redesign. For now, there will therefore be no unit ratings presented -- only overall F/+ ratings. Previous years (2005-13) will soon be updated in this fashion.

F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
1 Ohio State 14-1 69.6% 30.2 1 0.298 1
2 Alabama 12-2 66.6% 28.3 2 0.291 2
3 Oregon 13-2 58.9% 23.7 3 0.279 3
4 Georgia 10-3 55.0% 22.6 7 0.253 4
5 Ole Miss 9-4 50.1% 23.0 6 0.206 7
6 TCU 12-1 49.3% 19.4 8 0.242 6
7 Auburn 9-4 49.1% 23.6 4 0.195 9
8 Georgia Tech 11-3 48.6% 18.7 10 0.248 5
9 Arkansas 7-6 44.9% 23.1 5 0.170 15
10 Baylor 11-2 42.2% 17.2 14 0.199 8
11 Michigan State 11-2 42.1% 18.6 11 0.181 10
12 UCLA 10-3 41.2% 19.0 9 0.170 13
13 Mississippi State 10-3 40.6% 17.8 12 0.176 12
14 Clemson 10-3 36.4% 15.5 17 0.164 16
15 Florida State 13-1 35.2% 13.7 22 0.178 11
16 USC 9-4 35.1% 14.2 20 0.170 14
17 Marshall 13-1 34.4% 14.1 21 0.163 17
18 Stanford 8-5 33.9% 16.6 15 0.133 21
19 Oklahoma 8-5 32.7% 17.7 13 0.116 27
20 Missouri 11-3 32.4% 13.0 23 0.157 18
21 Boise State 12-2 32.0% 15.4 18 0.129 23
22 LSU 8-5 31.3% 16.5 16 0.114 29
23 Louisville 9-4 28.8% 12.9 24 0.126 25
24 Tennessee 7-6 28.2% 14.2 19 0.109 30
25 Wisconsin 10-4 27.9% 12.8 25 0.120 26
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
26 Kansas State 9-4 27.8% 11.9 28 0.129 24
27 Arizona State 10-3 26.5% 10.2 32 0.138 20
28 Arizona 10-4 24.7% 9.5 35 0.130 22
29 Utah 9-4 23.9% 8.0 41 0.143 19
30 Nebraska 9-4 23.4% 10.3 31 0.107 31
31 Miami 6-7 23.1% 12.7 26 0.081 37
32 Florida 7-5 22.6% 11.6 29 0.087 35
33 Virginia Tech 7-6 22.5% 8.9 37 0.115 28
34 Notre Dame 8-5 22.0% 12.1 27 0.077 39
35 Louisiana Tech 9-5 19.7% 9.9 34 0.079 38
36 Boston College 7-6 19.6% 8.4 39 0.094 32
37 Minnesota 8-5 19.4% 9.1 36 0.084 36
38 South Carolina 7-6 18.2% 7.9 43 0.087 34
39 Virginia 5-7 16.2% 7.9 42 0.069 43
40 West Virginia 7-6 15.6% 8.0 40 0.063 45
41 Memphis 10-3 15.2% 5.1 49 0.092 33
42 Texas A&M 8-5 14.3% 10.4 30 0.031 52
43 Pittsburgh 6-7 14.1% 7.9 44 0.052 46
44 Navy 8-5 13.3% 5.7 48 0.068 44
45 Penn State 7-6 11.8% 6.1 46 0.050 48
46 BYU 8-5 11.2% 6.1 47 0.044 50
47 Cincinnati 9-4 9.9% 8.8 38 0.008 59
48 Air Force 10-3 9.6% 2.2 54 0.075 41
49 Colorado State 10-3 8.8% 2.0 56 0.070 42
50 Western Kentucky 8-5 8.4% 3.9 51 0.045 49
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
51 Duke 9-4 5.8% -1.0 73 0.077 40
52 Utah State 10-4 5.7% 3.6 52 0.023 55
53 Texas 6-7 5.1% 10.0 33 -0.043 74
54 Michigan 5-7 4.9% 6.8 45 -0.016 66
55 N.C. State 8-5 4.4% 4.0 50 0.008 60
56 Western Michigan 8-5 4.4% 0.1 62 0.051 47
57 Georgia Southern 9-3 4.0% 2.0 57 0.026 53
58 Washington 8-6 1.1% -1.3 75 0.036 51
59 Toledo 9-4 1.0% -0.3 67 0.025 54
60 Central Florida 9-4 0.0% -0.8 71 0.021 56
61 East Carolina 8-5 -1.0% -0.9 72 0.013 58
62 Maryland 7-6 -1.5% 3.3 53 -0.037 71
63 Iowa 7-6 -2.2% -0.6 70 0.000 63
64 Nevada 7-6 -2.5% -2.2 81 0.014 57
65 California 5-7 -2.8% 0.3 61 -0.015 65
66 Arkansas State 7-6 -3.6% 1.0 59 -0.030 70
67 Temple 6-6 -3.8% -0.3 66 -0.018 67
68 Kentucky 5-7 -5.2% 1.5 58 -0.050 76
69 Northern Illinois 11-3 -5.6% -2.2 80 -0.013 64
70 North Carolina 6-7 -5.9% 2.1 55 -0.064 84
71 Northwestern 5-7 -5.9% -3.9 85 0.001 62
72 UL-Lafayette 9-4 -6.9% 0.4 60 -0.053 79
73 Houston 8-5 -7.5% -5.8 90 0.005 61
74 Oregon State 5-7 -7.6% -1.1 74 -0.043 73
75 Oklahoma State 7-6 -7.7% 0.0 63 -0.056 80
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
76 San Diego State 7-6 -7.8% -2.9 83 -0.024 68
77 Washington State 3-9 -8.0% -0.5 68 -0.053 78
78 Illinois 6-7 -8.0% -0.1 65 -0.058 81
79 UAB 6-6 -8.1% -3.0 84 -0.026 69
80 Syracuse 3-9 -9.6% -2.0 78 -0.050 77
81 Rutgers 8-5 -10.4% -0.6 69 -0.074 87
82 Texas Tech 4-8 -10.4% 0.0 64 -0.082 89
83 Colorado 2-10 -10.8% -1.9 77 -0.063 82
84 Purdue 3-9 -11.2% -2.1 79 -0.064 83
85 Central Michigan 7-6 -12.4% -5.4 89 -0.039 72
86 Rice 8-5 -13.9% -1.5 76 -0.098 94
87 Middle Tennessee 6-6 -14.6% -4.3 87 -0.070 85
88 Indiana 4-8 -14.6% -3.9 86 -0.074 86
89 South Alabama 6-7 -14.9% -2.8 82 -0.090 91
90 UTEP 7-6 -20.2% -4.5 88 -0.120 102
91 Ball State 5-7 -21.7% -14.2 116 -0.045 75
92 Iowa State 2-10 -22.1% -8.3 95 -0.092 92
93 Tulane 3-9 -22.2% -7.5 93 -0.102 95
94 New Mexico 4-8 -23.1% -6.5 91 -0.122 105
95 Texas State 7-5 -24.0% -11.0 106 -0.083 90
96 Florida International 4-8 -24.8% -12.3 111 -0.080 88
97 UL-Monroe 4-8 -24.9% -8.0 94 -0.120 103
98 Bowling Green 8-6 -25.3% -9.1 96 -0.111 99
99 Kansas 3-9 -25.7% -7.1 92 -0.142 112
100 Florida Atlantic 3-9 -25.9% -9.1 97 -0.117 101
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
101 Wake Forest 3-9 -27.3% -12.4 112 -0.097 93
102 Fresno State 6-8 -27.4% -9.7 100 -0.123 106
103 Miami (Ohio) 2-10 -27.7% -9.6 99 -0.127 108
104 Appalachian State 7-5 -28.0% -12.5 113 -0.102 97
105 Akron 5-7 -28.0% -10.9 104 -0.117 100
106 Ohio 6-6 -28.3% -9.4 98 -0.135 110
107 Kent State 2-9 -28.3% -9.7 101 -0.131 109
108 Old Dominion 6-6 -28.7% -10.6 102 -0.125 107
109 UTSA 4-8 -30.1% -12.1 110 -0.122 104
110 Southern Miss 3-9 -32.3% -10.7 103 -0.157 118
111 Hawaii 4-9 -33.0% -18.8 123 -0.102 96
112 Idaho 1-10 -33.6% -11.6 109 -0.158 119
113 Wyoming 4-8 -33.9% -11.2 107 -0.166 120
114 Buffalo 5-6 -34.4% -18.8 122 -0.111 98
115 Vanderbilt 3-9 -34.8% -10.9 105 -0.181 121
116 San Jose State 3-9 -35.7% -13.6 114 -0.154 117
117 Tulsa 2-10 -37.1% -15.5 118 -0.147 114
118 UNLV 2-11 -37.2% -15.0 117 -0.153 116
119 Connecticut 2-10 -37.8% -16.3 119 -0.148 115
120 Massachusetts 3-9 -38.8% -17.5 120 -0.146 113
121 Army 4-8 -39.5% -19.8 125 -0.139 111
122 Georgia State 1-11 -39.8% -11.5 108 -0.242 126
123 South Florida 4-8 -39.9% -13.7 115 -0.192 123
124 New Mexico State 2-10 -48.6% -21.4 127 -0.191 122
125 North Texas 4-8 -49.3% -20.5 126 -0.202 124
126 Troy 3-9 -50.0% -18.1 121 -0.234 125
127 SMU 1-11 -53.8% -19.3 124 -0.257 127
128 Eastern Michigan 2-10 -65.9% -24.6 128 -0.304 128